Chapter 0438 Prediction

"Dear bosses and friends, it is really difficult and reprimanding to predict the future, especially the future economic development. I am an idealist, and what idealists love to do most is to predict, I am the secretary of the Yunling Municipal Party Committee, and I have predictions about the future of Yunling City. My forecast is based on two aspects, one is the country's development strategy, and the other is the actual situation in Yunling City. ”

"According to my prediction, Yunling City will have such a number of key development directions in the next ten years. 1. Rail transit construction; second, the development and export of green agriculture; 3. The leisure and sightseeing tourism area based on the national hero Qi Jiguang Temple covers an area of at least 35 square kilometers; Fourth, the port expansion plan; 5. Airport construction plan; six, the second high-speed railway; Seventh, the second highway; 8. Comprehensive development of Qingshan mountainous area; 9. Yunling University, which covers an area of five square kilometers; 10. Full coverage of infant and child health care; 11. Full coverage of old-age security for the elderly; 12. Revitalization and development of the real estate industry. ”

"First, rail transit in Yunling City is still blank, in view of its early investment is huge, maintenance costs are not small, the city finance can not have much investment in this area, our policy is to use private or foreign capital. Second, the development of green agriculture includes the greening of barren mountains and the cultivation of tidal flats, and the export value of green agricultural products in Yunling City reached 3.3 billion yuan last year, and it is expected to be 4.5 billion yuan this year, and the prospects are immeasurable. Third, the leisure and sightseeing tourism area based on the national hero Qi Jiguang Temple has been approved by the State Tourism Administration and the provincial government, once launched, it will be tens of billions of investment, all using private or foreign capital, and is expected to be completed in the next five years. ”

"Fourth, the port expansion project, the annual throughput of our port in Yunling City is 18 million tons, which can no longer meet the needs of actual development, once our economic and trade cooperation starts, the goods in and out of Yunling Port will be greatly increased. Therefore, in the next ten years, the annual throughput of Yunling Port will reach at least 50 million tons, for which more than 20 billion yuan needs to be invested, all of which are private or foreign. Fifth, the construction of the airport, with the status and development prospects of Yunling City, it is necessary to have an international airport, complete the project within three years, complete the construction within seven years, our plan is to strive for national investment, and make full use of private or foreign capital. ”

"Six and seven, the second high-speed railway and the second expressway, if you have seen the map of Yunling City, you will know that the length of the first railway and the first expressway in Yunling City is less than five kilometers. If it weren't for the fact that Da'ao Town had a piece of land embedded in Haizhou City to the north, Yunling City would not have had railways and highways, and as a medium-sized city in the shape of a peninsula, it would have been necessary to change the backward situation of land transportation. So in the next 10 years, Yunling City will build a high-speed railway and highway across the east and west, each about 50 kilometers long, the Ministry of Communications and the provincial government have approved, the principle is to make full use of private or foreign capital, who invests who benefits, and no later than the end of the next year will start construction. ”

"Eighth, the comprehensive development of the Qingshan mountainous area, mainly forestry and tourism, to be honest, there is no specific plan in the city at present, but I dare to assert that in the next ten years, there needs to be an investment of 40 billion to 50 billion yuan. Nine, covering an area of five square kilometers of Yunling University, a medium-sized city, a third-tier city in the forefront of the times, there is a higher education school is the standard configuration, I personally hope to build within five years, can accommodate 20,000 students, the first phase of the project needs to invest 20 billion yuan. I myself do not advocate the industrialization of education, but building houses and campuses has to rely on the market to complete. ”

"Ten and eleven, the full coverage of infant health care security and the full coverage of the elderly pension security, these are two livelihood projects, mainly with government investment, supplemented by private investment. If I were to position it, I would define it as a low-profit industry, with huge prospects, not much profit, but not much risk, and suitable for the wealth preservation of participants. Yunling City has an ambitious plan in this regard, that is, two full guarantees and two full coverage, and strive to achieve the initial completion within five years and the realization of all goals within ten years. ”

"Twelve, the revitalization and development of the real estate industry, I think this should be everyone's greatest concern. Here, I would like to share with you some information that I hope will be useful to you. For example, the real estate industry accounts for only 9% of Yunling's GDP, and the related industries only account for 13.5% of GDP, which is far lower than the national proportion. What does this mean? The first is that the real estate industry in Yunling City is under the deliberate control of the government, and the second is that the real estate industry in Yunling City is promising. ”

"Last year, we conducted an accurate survey to determine how high the housing prices in the urban area of Yunling City are, and we got such a set of figures. The average house price is 1.10 million per square meter, the city center is 1.5 million per square meter, and the fringe area of the city is 0.8 million per square meter, ranking first among county-level cities in the country. So I can tell you that the price of real estate development in Yunling City will be strictly controlled by the government, please be mentally prepared in advance. ”

"There are 18 original real estate companies in Yunling City, according to the region, eight local, five foreign, five overseas, according to the nature of capital, two state-owned assets, one municipal one, three foreign-funded companies, three joint ventures, and nine private assets. After a year of rectification, there are currently nine real estate companies in Yunling City, three of which were formed by merger, and are now participating in the transformation of shantytowns, and will also participate in the transformation of two urban villages in the future. Three of the other six real estate companies are confined to outside the urban area, that is, they specialize in the construction of real estate in small towns. ”

"We welcome domestic and foreign real estate companies to participate in the construction of Yunling City, there is no doubt about this, and we treat all real estate companies equally. Here I would like to reveal to you an important piece of information: this year, the construction land index in the urban area of our city has been expanded to 9,000 mu, excluding the more than 500 mu that has been sold, and there are still 8,500 mu. According to our arrangement, all the 8,500 acres will be put on the market within five months, of which 6,200 acres will be residential land and 2,300 acres will be commercial land. ”

"What I want to emphasize here is that, first, the price of new commercial housing will be limited to 10,000 yuan per square meter, and it will increase year by year depending on the inflation situation. Second, the cost composition of new commercial housing is 30 percent for land, 30 percent for taxes and fees, and 30 percent for construction costs, including decoration, that is, only 10 percent of the net profit. Third, in real estate construction, the government will be personally responsible for the demolition and relocation, and the real estate company will be opposed on behalf of the owner, so please pay attention to the word opposition, which is very important. Fourth, we have a penalty system in Yunling City, which is common in all industries, and the real estate industry is no exception, if you cut corners, we will pay a fine of 100, and if you bribe 10,000, we will fine you 1 million. Fifth, the real estate industry in Yunling City has introduced a third-party regulatory agency to jointly supervise the construction of the real estate industry together with the regulatory department dispatched by the municipal government. Sixth, the real estate industry in Yunling City has abolished the pre-sale system, and only renovated houses are allowed to be sold. Seventh, our state-owned land is not sold by the government, but by the government directly set the price, pay in full, which also has strict regulations, the land obtained is not allowed to be resold, not developed within one year, fined half of the land money, the second year does not develop, the whole land is confiscated, the government takes back the land, the commercial housing can not be listed within three years, the government will take back the land and all the appurtenances on the land. ”

Speaking of this, Xu Haodong stopped with a smile again.