"Leaders, distinguished guests, the following remarks are purely personal and superficial, for reference only, and criticism is welcome."

"Comrades, our country's reform and opening up has entered a new period. As far as my personal understanding is concerned, it is a simple two sentences, one is, from high-speed development to high-quality development. The other sentence is that we first let some people get rich, and then we want to make most of the other people rich too. ”

"Recently, I have been working on four questions in my spare time. The first question I raised to Secretary Li is the different impacts of negative population policies and positive population policies on future development. The second question is the interdependence between the goal of China's population development and China's economic development. The third problem is the fatal flaw of China's current economic structure. Fourth, the government has a lot to do on population and development, and policies should be put forward. ”

"Let me start with the fourth question. I know that at present, some brother provinces and municipalities are preparing to introduce relevant policies to reward childbirth, and this is a positive signal. But I think we should avoid the mistake that only a second child is rewarded, which is unfair and will have a bad impact. The best reward policy should be the award for both one child and two children. For example, in the new individual income tax deduction method that will be introduced soon, I think it is relatively fair to deduct according to the number of children in each family, and if necessary, to consider the age of the children. ”

"There is another misunderstanding of the policy, that is, a one-time reward, which I think is problematic, and the policy should have long-term effect. For example, we are engaged in the integration of four cities, Yunling City, Sanshui City, Haizhou City and Qingyang City, each with its own advantages, and Yunling City is slightly stronger on the whole. For people's livelihood welfare, we have more than 30 in Yunling City. Now the other three cities are on par with Yunling City and have the same benefits. Although the welfare system of the other three cities has just started and the standard is not high, as long as it persists and maintains its long-term effect, it can win the hearts of the people and truly promote the development of society. ”

"The third problem, China's economic structure, its biggest flaw, is that real estate has become the largest industry. And more seriously, the real estate industry has hijacked the government, society, the financial system and the entire economic system. Now housing prices cannot be reduced, housing prices are lowered, GDP growth rate is reduced, employment is a problem, and society will be unstable. ”

"I personally have an opinion, I don't know if it's right. I believe that agriculture will always come first in all sectors of the economy. With a good economic structure, the proportion of agricultural output value should be higher than that of the largest industry in industry. Now, real estate and related industries account for more than 20 percent of GDP, while agriculture accounts for less than 15 percent. This is abnormal and extremely dangerous, and the central government's recent proposal to revitalize rural agriculture is very wise. ”

"Once upon a time, many people in China always compared our country with foreign countries, but they just ignored our country's national conditions. It is very absurd and stupid to compare a country with a per capita GDP of $8,000 per capita with a per capita GDP of $30,000 or $40,000, a large country with a population of 1.4 billion, a country with a population of tens of millions or 100 million, and socialist China with those capitalist countries. ”

"What is a socialist market economy with Chinese characteristics? First, agriculture is the foundation of the country. Second, state-owned enterprises are the stabilizer of the country. Third, what should be managed by the market should be handed over to the market. Fourth, the government must do something, and the government must take care of what should be done by the government. Fifth, a large country with a population of 1.4 billion must withstand all kinds of external tests. Sixth, to strengthen the Chinese market, in addition to continuous opening up, it is also necessary to adhere to continuous reform. ”

"Let me turn to the second question, the interdependence between the goal of China's population development and China's economic development. The demographic dividend that we often talk about is precisely related to this problem. In my opinion, human beings, as the masters of the earth, have two basic abilities, one is to create, and the other is to consume, and the two are inseparable. In contrast, I prefer to put consumption first, because consumption is the driving force, and all creation is born for consumption, which is the mystery of the economy and the mystery of development. ”

"Regarding the demographic dividend, I have done relevant research, and I think that the demographic dividend is divided into two aspects, one is quantity, and the other is quality. Stagnation or decline in population can bring economic development to a standstill. So what is quality? It's spending power. For example, the various welfare systems I introduced earlier not only ensure the quality of life of citizens, but also improve their spending power. ”

"In the first half of this year, China's GDP growth rate was 6.8 percent. This 6.8, of course, is not high compared with previous years. I think the reason for this is that in addition to international factors, the main reason is the disappearance of the demographic dividend. I once made a mathematical model of economics and came to the conclusion that if the fertility rate reaches a normal 2.1 percent, China's economic growth rate can increase by at least 1.6 percentage points, while the current fertility rate is less than 1.5 percent. ”

"As for the first question, it's actually the same question as the second question, two sides of the same question. A negative population policy and a positive population policy will have different impacts on China's future development. In my opinion, the current population policy in our country, in which a couple is allowed to have only two children, is a negative population policy. At this year's National People's Congress and the National People's Congress, there was a proposal to advocate the abolition of birth restrictions. In fact, according to my personal research, even if birth restrictions are lifted now, it is ten to fifteen years late. But the lifting of birth restrictions now would at least slow down the rate of population decline. ”

"The so-called active population policy means that in addition to abolishing birth restrictions, we should also encourage childbirth, as the common people say that they can afford to live and die. In our city of Yunling, a series of welfare systems that I have introduced are active population policies. I dare to say that 150,000 children were born in Yunling City last year, and if the birth restriction is lifted, we will be able to have 50,000 to 80,000 more children every year. ”

"Leaders, distinguished guests, comrades and friends, my report has come to an end for the time being. Since everyone has come to our Yunling City, we must go below to have a look. We recommend that you go to the countryside first, and then to the towns and urban communities, and we don't specify where to visit, but it's up to you to decide......"

Xu Haodong finally stepped down.

Then, two city leaders from other provinces introduced the population development of each city.

The afternoon session lasted until half past five.

The second day was a group visit, the delegates and experts were divided into more than 20 groups, each group of a bus, more than 40 people, by the temporary person in charge of each group to decide the place to visit, mighty and vast, go separately.

Of course, Yunling City attaches great importance to this random visit, and Xu Haodong specially arranged for all the four sets of team members in the city to be dispatched, one for each bus, and was specifically responsible for leading the way.

Xu Haodong did not go out, because Li Zhihong did not go down to visit, and Wu Guozhang did not go down.

Xu Haodong knew that it was not easy at all to talk with the new and old secretaries of the provincial party committee.