Chapter 310: The key is to prevent hollowing
"First of all, I think that even if real estate soars in the next few years, our real estate in China will not collapse like Japan." Xiao Qi was heavy as soon as he opened his mouth, "Because China is different from Japan, since ancient times, we have paid attention to 'home, country, and world', and a large part of this 'home' is to have our own homeland." Therefore, the Chinese people's love for land and houses far exceeds that of any other country on Shijie, as long as most people still want to own their own houses and want to pass them on to their children, then this real estate market will not be broken. ”
Niu Ruzheng nodded noncommittally, "Go on." ”
"But does this mean that we let real estate develop and push up housing prices, so that local governments can get benefits, and the country can also drive the economy...... Isn't that a good thing? Xiao Qi said word by word: "People who think like this are extremely wrong. Our real estate will not repeat the mistakes of Japan, but if real estate kidnaps the country's economy in the future, the harm will be more serious than the collapse of real estate, and we will become ten times worse than Japan! ”
Niu Ru was gasping coldly, "Xiao Qi, what you said is a bit alarmist, right?" Although the Japanese economy has been stagnant for almost 10 years due to the collapse of the real estate bubble, it is still developing well. ”
"Japan is Japan, and China is China." Xiao Qi shook his head and said, "There are some things that Japan can withstand, but Huaguo can't. ”
"Be clear." Niu Ruzheng became interested, and his expression was a little more solemn.
"Japan's real estate bubble comes from the influx of countless hot money, and on the surface, it is similar to China, but in fact it is not the same at all." Xiao Qi talked eloquently. "Part of Japan's hot money comes from foreign speculators, and part of it comes from bank loans. China's hot money is inevitable for international speculators, and bank loans are also indispensable, but there is one more than Japan. That is the foundation of China's economy: small and medium-sized entrepreneurs will definitely put all the money they use for production, equipment, and raw materials into real estate when real estate is booming...... In this way, a large number of industrial enterprises in China will be bankrupt, which will completely lead to the hollowing out of China's economy and bring great harm to economic development. ”
"Would they really do that? Isn't this the severing of all your foundations? Niu Ruzheng didn't believe it.
"On the one hand, we work hard to do business, with a gross profit margin of 5% to 10%, and we have to bear the risk of declining profits due to the rising exchange rate. There is also the pressure of rising production costs such as raw materials...... On the other hand, it is invested in real estate, and it is simply subcontracted to a construction company, which can make 30% to 100% super high profits, and you don't have to worry about it. ”
Niu Ruzheng fell silent.
He knew too well those entrepreneurs in Huaguo, and it was really possible to do what Xiao Qi said.
After thinking about it for a long time, he said, "Then don't Japanese entrepreneurs do that?" ”
"The facts prove it. They didn't do that. Xiao Qi said with a straight face: "Sony, Panasonic, Toyota, Toshiba, etc., are just borrowing money from banks to speculate in real estate and stocks." At the same time, their own jishu reserves, production and research and development, and global layout have not stopped at all...... So even if they lost too much money because of the collapse of the real estate bubble, their skeleton is still there and can continue to develop...... So now we can see, Sony is still Sony. And Panasonic is still Panasonic, and it will never lead to their overall collapse because of the huge losses of the extra business. This is the difference between a respectable business and an ordinary business. ”
Niu Ruzheng listened and nodded again and again, and it was only at this time that he really felt. It was definitely a wise decision to talk to Xiao Qi by himself.
At least Xiao Qi's words, he has never heard of them, and they are so straightforward and in-depth, quite to the point of subtlety.
"If real estate is liberalized, what do you think will happen next?" After the silence, Niu Ru asked.
"The more money the local finance gets from the sale of land, the more real estate can develop and grow, and in the future, the local finance will be heavily dependent on real estate, thus hijacking the local finance, so that the local finance has to support their development, so that more people will invest in the lucrative industry of real estate." Xiao Qi said solemnly: "It's not terrible to pour any hot money into real estate, the most terrible thing is that our entrepreneurs have given up their own industrial system, given up their factories that have worked hard for decades, and delusionally want to get rich by the virtual economy!" There is no country on Shijie that has not grown up by relying on its strong industrial strength, and I have never heard that a country developed with real estate will really be located in the forest of Shijie powerhouses! ”
Xiao Qi's words, like morning bells and dusk drums, rang in Niu Ruzheng's ears.
A country can get rich with finance, but it can never be built with finance.
Only a strong industrial foundation can manufacture the products it needs, play an important role in the development of national defense scientific research, and establish a backbone to support the development of the country, which is absolutely impossible to change!
From the actual situation of the rapid rise in real estate, to see the deeper inside, Xiao Qi is enough to be the think tank of the country!
Niu Ruzheng, who admired the young man in front of him more and more, felt that it was not enough, although Xiao Qi's talent was enough to demonize, but he felt that this was not Xiao Qi's greatest strength.
At least he felt that if Xiao Qi could see so far, he should have his own countermeasures.
Being able to see far-reaching is a country's think tank, but if you can not only see a doctor, but also prescribe the right medicine, then you can be called a pillar of the country!
So Niu Ruzheng asked again: "If you are asked to formulate countermeasures to prevent the occurrence of real estate kidnapping of the local economy and the hollowing out of industry, what are you going to do?" ”
"I don't know!"
To Niu Ruzheng's surprise, Xiao Qi simply refused.
"You kid, are you still clumsy with your Uncle Niu?" Niu Ruzheng was stunned, then pointed at him and scolded with a smile: "Say it quickly!" There is no such appetizing thing as you! ”
"I really don't know, I can analyze these, it's already my limit, but what should be done, I'm not a person in charge of the economy, of course, I haven't studied it in depth, so naturally I can't say more." Xiao Qi shrugged his shoulders and said embarrassedly: "The introduction of any national policy is a very cautious thing, how dare I think about affecting the country's economic trend?" (To be continued.) For mobile phone users, please read it on m.qidian.com. )