Chapter Sixty-Eight: The Sharp Commentator of the Rising Sun

As soon as the entire six-point point of view came out, Xiao Qi smiled from the bottom of his heart.

Dad is worthy of being a dad, and he is really a very talented person, although he is far from the summary level of several economists in later generations, but it should be noted that what Dad is talking about now is not a post-event summary, but a warning issued in advance, and the meaning of the two is completely different.

Those who give warnings in advance are called financial experts, and those who summarize after the fact are called afterthoughts, and the attention that can be aroused is certainly not comparable.

Moreover, Xiao Xu's language style is as sharp as ever, especially the collapse of Japan's bubble economy is vividly said again, which obviously allows everyone to compare the similarities and differences with the current China.

The next day, Rising Sun published a second opinion piece, "The Rapid Rise in Housing Prices and the Dependence of Small and Medium-sized Enterprises on Their Survival".

Due to the increasingly serious dependence of local finance on land sales and the rapid rise of housing prices, the local finance will be kidnapped at first, resulting in local fiscal expenditure tilted towards real estate, and also led to bank funds tilted towards more profitable real estate, resulting in the difficulty of small and medium-sized enterprises that really continue to bank credit to turnover, and even large-scale bankruptcy due to the interruption of the capital chain.

The rapid rise in housing prices will inevitably lead to a decline in people's living standards, because everyone will save money to buy a house, and as a result, domestic demand will drop sharply, once again hitting the viability of small and medium-sized enterprises.

The rapid rise in housing prices will cause people who invest in real estate to obtain very rich profits, and even those who speculate in real estate will have profits several times higher than the profits of 10 to 15 percent of the manufacturing industry, which will cause capital to flow towards real estate that is easy to make money, that is to say, the bosses of the manufacturing industry will no longer make goods, but directly go to speculate in real estate, resulting in the closure of a large number of small and medium-sized factories.

The rapid rise in housing prices, combined with the decline in export profits caused by the appreciation of the renminbi, has exacerbated the exit of factory owners, and the number of small and medium-sized factory closures has increased again.

The funds of small and medium-sized enterprises leaving the entity and investing in real estate will in turn cause real estate prices to skyrocket again, so that the property market bubble will increase sharply, which in turn will affect the real economy...... Such a cycle has formed a vicious circle of the real economy, impacting the country's economic lifeline.

Ordinary people regard these two comments as interesting articles, but when the gaze rises above the provincial level, many people begin to reflect.

There are not many small and medium-sized factories in Shuchuan, and even fewer rely on exports for a living, so the feeling is not so profound.

However, the leaders of eastern Guangdong and Jiangsu and Zhejiang were quite frightened when they saw the two articles.

Especially when looking at the actual situation in his own locality, he agrees that this kind of comment and prediction is reasonable, at least to a certain extent, and the development of things seems to be following what the rising sun said.

On the afternoon of Saturday, November 25, the secretary of the Shuchuan Provincial Party Committee. Remembering Yu Chengsheng, he received a former classmate of the Central Party School and the current secretary of the Provincial Party Committee of East Guangdong. Remember Mu Xuefei's phone number.

In terms of official positions, both of them are provincial party committee secretaries. Note, but because of the particularity of eastern Guangdong, its provincial party committee. The ranking in the party is far higher than that of the provincial party committee of Shuchuan. Remembered.

However, Mu Xuefei is very elegant, has his own set of ideas when speaking and doing things, and is not arrogant and strong, so among the classmates of the Central Party School, his popularity is very good.

After a period of greetings, Mu Xuefei suddenly made a request, "Chengsheng, how about you lend me someone?" ”

Yu Chengsheng was stunned for a moment, but he remained silent on the surface, "Hehe, Lao Mu are not joking, right?" You are full of talents in eastern Guangdong, how can you come to our Shuchuan to borrow people? ”

"There are talents everywhere, and not all talents are available in eastern Guangdong." Mu Xuefei smiled heartily, "Don't worry, I don't borrow your confidant, I'll borrow a newspaper commentator, I want to learn from him about a few aspects." ”

"Oh? Which commentator can actually alarm Lao Mu you? Yu Chengsheng was really surprised at this time.

"In your Shuchuan Life Newspaper there, there is a commentator named Rising Sun, and some of his views are very interesting. If I can, I'd like to ask him to come to our eastern part of Guangdong first. Mu Xue Fei said calmly.

Yu Chengsheng's eyes rolled, "Haode, that's no problem, I'll find him first, how about giving you an answer on Monday?" ”

"Alright, Xiexie, you're done."

Mu Xuefei smiled and hung up the phone.

Holding his mobile phone, Yu Chengsheng began to be stunned, and immediately dialed out a call, "Xiao Li, you can find me the Shuchuan Life Newspaper in the last month, as long as there is an article written by a commentator named Rising Sun on it, you can bring it to me...... Well, now, as soon as possible! ”

Provincial Party Committee Book. Remembering the words, the speed of action was naturally very fast, and an hour later, just after dinner, two newspapers were placed in front of Yu Chengsheng.

"On the Impact of Exchange Rate Rise on Imports and Exports".

"The Rapid Rise in Housing Prices and the Dependence of Small and Medium-sized Enterprises on Their Survival".

Looking at the two titles, Yu Chengsheng understood that Weishenme Mu Xuefei had called someone to ask for someone, and this daring was to name and say that it was eastern Guangdong.

Wearing glasses and reading slowly, Yu Chengsheng's relaxed face slowly became solemn.

After closing his eyes and thinking for a moment, he began to read it a second time, this time more carefully than before, and his face became more and more solemn.

When he couldn't stop nodding, Yu Chengsheng contacted the actual situation, and was shocked to find that the development of the country now seems to be moving in the direction that the rising sun said, and the consequences caused by this may have begun to appear now.

Thinking of this, Yu Chengsheng didn't care that it was eight o'clock in the evening, grabbed his mobile phone and called Mu Xuefei, "Old Mu, tell me honestly, have your small and medium-sized factories really started to close down in large numbers recently?" ”

"There haven't been a lot of closures yet, but hundreds are already going out of business." Mu Xuefei said with a wry smile on the phone, "Although compared to the hundreds of thousands of factories in eastern Guangdong, these hundreds are nothing, but I inquired about the credit of major banks, and sure enough, I found that small and medium-sized enterprises are no longer able to borrow money because of mortgage difficulties." Fifty percent of the total amount of loans will be given to large and medium-sized state-owned enterprises, the remaining 40 percent will be given to real estate, and only the remaining 10 percent will not be fully obtained by small and medium-sized enterprises! ”

"In other words, the survival situation of small and medium-sized enterprises is more serious than what is said in the internal reference?"

"Well, coupled with the constant rise in the exchange rate and the sharp drop in profits, they can't bear it anymore." Mu Xuefei nodded, "So I'm going to ask Rising Sun how I can help them, I hope he can have real materials!" ”

"Didn't he say it in the newspaper?"

"Hehe, where is he going to say the really concrete measures? This is going to cause trouble! Mu Xuefei smiled slightly, "I'm going to ask him in person and ask him to work out an overall feasible method for me!" Chengsheng, you have to help me! ”

"Understood." Yu Chengsheng nodded solemnly, "Eastern Guangdong is not only the eastern Guangdong of the south, but also the eastern Guangdong of the whole country!" For the sake of the overall situation, of course I have to contribute! ”