With the sound of a gunshot, the already chaotic scene became more and more out of control.

"The Russians have killed!"

I don't know who shouted, and it directly detonated the audience. The already angry protest crowd was completely ignited.

The most important feature of activism is that decisions are often made only because they are hot-headed, and they never weigh the pros and cons.

No matter what the place is, everyone's mind is full of "kill all the Russians, bloody battle!" ”

Not only did I think about it in my heart, but I also took practical action. The protesters tore down the gates and walls and charged the interior of the embassy.

In the face of the swarming crowd, the Russian guards put up a brave resistance, how could they not defeat four hands with two fists, even if they had guns.

After all, this is the embassy district. The Japanese government was primarily responsible for security, and the guards' weapons were limited to guarding against the underdogs, and they had no heavy firepower at all.

Everyone rushed in, and it was self-evident what would happen next. Anyway, the embassies of various countries watching the bustle nearby had already picked up their cameras and took wild pictures of the chaotic scene.

The only regret is that the distance is too far, there is no picture quality at all, and through the photos, you can only see the crowd storming the Russian embassy.

The police, who were in charge of maintaining law and order not far away, were already frightened at the moment. Disturbing outside the embassy and breaking in are two completely different concepts.

It can be seen from the degree of chaos at the scene that the group of people who broke in are not rational masters, and if they do something irrational, the consequences are simply unimaginable.

"Sheriff, what now?"

Glaring at his subordinates who were about to pee, the middle-aged sheriff said indifferently, "What to do?"

Remember, Muraki. Just now, a mob wanted to storm the British Embassy, and we were intercepting it all the time. We didn't see anything about the situation at the Russian embassy. ”

After speaking, the middle-aged man had already raised his fists and punched and kicked his subordinates, as if he was simulating the scene after the impact of the mob.

They are far from the only ones who have made similar decisions, and in order not to carry the black pot, few of the police officers on duty nearby are in good condition.

There is no way, the scene is out of control, and it is not something that these pawns can stop at all. Now that I'm mixed in, I don't know if I can control the situation, but I'll have to be put into it anyway.

Those who are experienced in society know that they should be good first. As for other issues, that's a matter of the above, anyway, allowing the procession to approach the Russian embassy area is also an order from the higher-ups.

If such a big thing happens, someone has to come out and carry the pot, and this "pot" is not something that ordinary people can carry.

As a pawn, you have to flash. As long as they are not directly involved, the big guys can't take care of them.

……

In the government office building, Prime Minister Shigenobu Okuma, who had just had afternoon tea, was looking at a pile of documents in a daze at the moment, when he suddenly received the shocking news that "a mob stormed the Russian embassy area."

"Is the scene under control?"

"Are there any casualties in the Russian embassy?"

……

Protest is protest, and the assault on the embassy district is over. Ordinary people don't know the seriousness of the matter, but Shigenobu Okuma is still clear.

Since we want to "break away from Asia and join Europe," we naturally need to understand the rules of the political game for Europeans, such as the universally recognized "international law."

On the surface, the assault on the Russian embassy district seems to be just a contradiction between Japan and Russia, but in fact it is not.

If one is not handled well, the Japanese Government will face the reproach of the entire international community. Don't say it's an international sanction, and just condemning it is enough for the Japanese government to drink a pot.

Against this background, it is particularly important whether there are casualties in the Russian embassy.

If it's just a property casualty, it's a big deal to lose a lot of money; If someone is hurt, the Russians will definitely not give up on such a good opportunity.

You must know that the current Russian Empire is not alone, not only the Russian-Austrian Alliance, but also one of the main members of the European Continental Union.

The reasons were all sent to the door, and there was no reason why the tsarist government should not pull the allies to intervene. International politics does not advocate individual heroism, but the rule of the crowd is the way of the few.

The staff replied in a panic: "The scene is completely out of control, the garrison has asked the military for help, and it is unknown whether there are any casualties in the Russian embassy." ”

Hearing this result, Shigenobu Okuma did his job in the position. The scene is out of control and the military is about to intervene, who would dare to believe what casualties are being claimed?

The question now is not how many people died, but how many people survived in the Russian embassy. In short, a diplomatic catastrophe is coming.

……

The advent of the telegraph has brought mankind closer. During the day, there was an accident in Japan, and in the evening Vienna received the news.

As for blocking the news, just think about it. You must know that the telegraph company in these years was controlled by the foreign powers, and there was no need to buy the accounts of the Japanese government at all.

What's more, it's useless to cut off telegraph contact. The incident happened in the embassy area, and the embassies of various countries are not far away, and there are so many witnesses that it is impossible to keep secrets at all.

You can't kill people, can you?

If something really happens to the embassy staff of various countries, the treatment enjoyed by the Japanese government will definitely not be worse than that of its next-door neighbor, Xin Chounian.

Except for the specific casualties in the Russian embassy, the rest of the content was accompanied by telegrams and transmitted to all parts of the world.

Looking at the telegram in his hand, Franz fell into deep thought. He had heard of the Russo-Japanese War, but he had never heard of the Japanese people's storming of the embassy.

Whether history has changed, or someone deliberately covered up the truth, or whether the incident was too small to cause waves.

Franz was past the age of curiosity and did not have the interest in delving into the Russo-Japanese conflict.

"Has the Japanese main battle faction been suppressed very badly recently?"

At a distance of a few hundred meters, it would be good to be able to roughly see the situation at the scene, but the shooting incident hidden in the shadows is naturally unknown.

I don't know that someone made trouble from it, and the incident of the attack on the Russian embassy area was directly defined as "mob storming the Russian embassy area".

In a pure Russo-Japanese conflict, there is no one else who can do such a stupid thing except for the war maniacs of the Japanese military.

According to Franz's personal experience, when such extreme events usually occur, it is the extreme method adopted by the main battle faction of the Japanese army that is suppressed and used in order to turn the tables.

There have been many similar events in the original space. For example, one year, the government wanted to cut military spending, and the unwilling Japanese military directly launched a coup d'état......

Frederick: "That's right, the Japanese government has been cutting its military budget in recent years. The military budget has been reduced from 84.7 percent of fiscal revenue at its peak to 46.2 percent now.

It is said that the Japanese Government is also prepared to continue to reduce military expenditures and to control military expenditures at about 35 percent of fiscal revenues.

But what does this have to do with the mob storming the Russian embassy district? We should not be ...... just because we are not satisfied with the reduction in the proportion of military budgets."

The high proportion of military expenditure in fiscal revenue is a characteristic of the times. The more economically backward a country is, the higher the proportion of military spending in fiscal expenditure.

Countries that are able to control their military budgets within 40% are basically countries that have started the process of industrialization; Countries that are able to control their military budgets within 25% are considered developed countries.

It can also be seen from the proportion of military budget that Japan's economic development in recent years has been good, otherwise the proportion of military budget would not have been reduced at all.

After all, raising an army is very expensive. With the development of military technology, the daily maintenance costs of the army have been on the rise.

Under the condition that the size of the armed forces remains unchanged, the annual military expenditure will only increase, not decrease. If we want to reduce the proportion of the fiscal budget, the only way to increase the growth rate of fiscal revenue exceeds the growth rate of military maintenance costs.

In the years of the gold standard, seigniorage revenues were far less perverted than those of later generations, and could not have been the backbone of fiscal revenues at all. The increase in the government's fiscal revenue is mainly due to the increase in tax revenue brought about by the economic development dividend.

"It can't happen in other countries, but in Japan it's not for sure. We can't judge this country by common sense.

The traditional ideas of bushido, coupled with the idea of militarism, the Japanese military embarked on a radical path of no return from the very beginning.

Of course, this may have been one of the many factors that led to the storming of the Russian embassy. Most of the direct triggers were the recent conflict in the Far East.

In the face of the Russian Empire, the Japanese government did not have enough confidence. For the sake of domestic development, the Japanese government can make concessions, which does not mean that the radical groups in the civil society will also take into account the overall situation.

In this world, there are too many people who look at problems and do things without using their brains. If nationalism and extremism are mixed in, it will be even more crazy.

As long as someone provokes something out of it, there's nothing they don't dare to do. It is not impossible to storm the Russian embassy, even if all the staff of the Russian embassy are slaughtered. ”

With the original time and space as a reference, Franz felt that what was normal was a kind of comprehensive impact on the three views for Frederick.

"Storming the embassy area" is already appalling enough, if the embassy staff is slaughtered again, then don't say anything, just go to war.

No great power can accept such a provocation, let alone the grumpy Russians.

In the end, he was still accustomed to seeing strong winds and waves, and apart from the initial disbelief, Frederick quickly recovered and said slowly:

"If all the staff of the Russian embassy were really killed, then the Russo-Japanese War would not have been avoided. However, now that the Trans-Siberian Railway has not yet been opened, the Russians should not do it immediately.

Judging by the progress of the Trans-Siberian Railway, the main line is expected to open to traffic next year, and the regional railway will take about three to five years.

If nothing else, the Russo-Japanese War should break out in the next five to ten years. So can we ......?"

Before Frederick could finish speaking, Franz interrupted: "This is only the best time to start a war from the Russian side, but the outbreak of war is never decided unilaterally.

If you were Emperor Meiji, would you wait for the Russians to come and then passively respond to the war? ”

There is no way, this is a cognitive misunderstanding. The disparity in strength between Japan and Russia is very large, and if it were not for the limited transportation, three or five Japan would not be enough for the Russians to fight.

If we take into account the discrimination against people of color, the assessment of the strength of both sides is even greater.

The Philippine War was a benchmark, and the Spanish labor expedition was able to fight with Japan, and if it weren't for the distance that limited the investment of forces, Japan would have been defeated long ago.

As for the issue of Spain's use of French mercenaries, it was directly ignored by everyone. Europe has a tradition of using mercenaries, and being able to recruit mercenaries to fight is also a manifestation of strength.

In the eyes of many people, the disparity in strength is too great, and the weak take the initiative to provoke a war, that is, they are looking for death.

On the contrary, a passive response to war can also win international sympathy and invite major powers to intervene in mediation. It's the same defeat, but the treatment is completely different.

If the former loses, if it is not done, it will be the death of the country and the destruction of the country; Although the latter was defeated, there was still a glimmer of life.

After all, the international community will not watch the Russians expand, and intervening is inevitable.

……

While Franz and his son were thinking about how to profit from the Russo-Japanese War, the Tsarist government also received bad news from the Far East.

It's just that the information they received was not from their own embassy, but from the Vienna government.

Ally, this little favor is still helpful.

If it weren't for repeated confirmations, the embassy in Tokyo had lost contact, and Nicholas II would have thought it was April Fool's Day today.

The fact that a small Japan dared to repeatedly provoke the great Russian Empire was clearly a disadvantage for bullying them again.

After receiving the news, Nicholas II convened a high-level meeting of the government overnight. This kind of thing happened, and if you don't retaliate back, how can the Russian Empire still mix in the international community?

Prime Minister Sergei Witt: "Your Majesty, the Japanese provoke us and we must respond forcefully and let them know that the Russian Empire is not something they can provoke.

It's just that the Trans-Siberian Railway has not yet been opened, and our forces in the Far East are limited, and it is difficult to deal a heavy blow to Japan.

Rather than retaliate without pain, it is better to wait. When we are ready, we will directly destroy Japan to relieve the hatred in our hearts. ”

Count Sergei Witt is a rational prime minister, and he is full of righteous indignation, and he will never do anything to be angry and angry.

The past does not forget the teacher of the future. In recent years, the Russian Empire has not suffered less from the loss of "anger and rejuvenation", and now it is time to learn a lesson.

Deep down, Sergei Witt had already made up his mind that no matter how provocative the Japanese were, they would have to wait until the Trans-Siberian Railway was fully opened.

It is not only Sergei Witt who is sensible, but the current top of the tsarist government is basically the team left by Alexander III, all intellectuals.

The head of the Orthodox Administration, Pobedonoschev: "The Prime Minister is right, the moment is really not suitable for military action.

For clowns like Japan, we either don't make a move, or if we do, we have to beat them to death with a stick, so that we can really deter people's hearts.

Considering that Japan is an island country, if it wants to destroy them, with the current strength of the Imperial Navy, it is obviously beyond its strength.

On this issue, we can follow the example of the Austrians and draw up a comprehensive 20-year development plan first, and then destroy the Japanese monkeys when we are fully prepared. ”

It can be seen that Donoszev is also deeply aware of the essence of the "Gou" Dao, and it is a twenty-year plan to destroy the sun.

With the strong foundation of the Russian Empire, if it really dives into cultivating land for 20 years, then it is needless to say that Japan must be completely cold.

Don't say it's Japan, even the current British Empire may not be able to suppress the Russian Empire after industrialization.

(End of chapter)