Chapter 177: The Opportunity Period
Thirteen letter cards, this news is enough to rejoice.
And the latter sentence allows the sale of rice with private goods, which is enough to add the word "crazy".
If you catch it, you will die, and if you let it go, it will be chaotic.
Liu Yu knew too well the significance of the shogunate opening this small door.
Sixteen years ago, before Arai Shiraishi made the Zhengde New Order, there was no trade letter, but the trade volume was controlled, and it was on a first-come, first-served basis.
Only control the total amount of trade in the official face, and the ships come as much as they want.
As a result, maritime merchants took advantage of such opportunities.
Although there are only so many official shares, there is no control over private smuggling and private transactions.
Japanese merchants also opted for smuggling transactions, and the amount of private transactions was often several times the official trade value.
With just a small opening, you can tear open a door.
It's not a matter of ability, it's the profit-seeking nature of businessmen, and Japanese businessmen are also businessmen.
Even 16 years ago, some maritime merchants even went to Kokura and Maguan to smuggle.
If the Japanese hadn't really opened fire, I'm afraid they would have been able to run to the Seto Inland Sea.
The shogunate allowed him to add some private goods when transporting rice. The shogunate official does not accept it, but the merchants will, and of course the Japanese merchants are happy to make money, but they were too strict before.
The only problem is that the ship may be empty when he goes back, because apart from copper, Liu Yu can't think of any other large quantities of goods that can make money in Japan.
The consumption power of ordinary people in Dashun is very limited, and there is nothing too distinctive in Japan, although it is a little less, but as long as the amount is large, there is no problem.
Dashun's rice will definitely not make much money when it is shipped to Japan, and Dashun is not allowed to export grain on a large scale.
I can only try to buy rice in Thailand, and it is said that the price is very low, only two or three dollars and one stone.
I had already calculated a plan to carry illicit goods in the future, thinking that this great famine in Japan would take at least two or three years to subside, and these two or three years should be enough to tear a big hole.
After exchanging a few words with the shogun, this time the "Hajj" was over.
In the next few days, accompanied by Shi Shiyong, he walked around Edo Castle, inquired about the price situation, recorded everything he saw and heard, and then went back.
Before leaving, Liu Yu once again instructed Shi Shiyong.
"Brother Heisei, remember my words. It's not for you to be dead, or for you to come to see the Japanese armaments. It makes no sense. As long as we collect more Japanese attitudes towards our DPRK and some arrogance remarks. Keep it in your heart, never on paper. ”
"Yes, I wrote it down. Keep your brother and rest assured. ”
Shi Shiyong didn't know how long he would live here, seeing that Liu Yu was leaving, and it was unlikely that anyone from Dashun's side would come again in a short time, so he was depressed.
There were also some Chinese in Edo Castle, but most of them fled here during the great rebellion in the late Ming Dynasty.
In just 80 years, Shi Shiyong and the descendants of these people have become incompatible, although the descendants of these people can still speak Chinese, but there are huge differences in their attitudes towards Dashun, their understanding of orthodoxy, world view, etc.
The days of Edo Castle were a little lonely in the past. Thinking that this kind of lonely day would have to endure for a while, I had to finally arch my hand at Liu Yu, and said in my heart: I don't know when I will be able to return to my homeland? Lord Liu's words should be kept in mind and saved for life, so that they will be of great use in the future.
When Liu Yu and the others returned to Nagasaki, it was already the first month of the lunar calendar.
It was the day when the director of the Dutch Merchant House went to Edo once a year, and the two sides met in Nagasaki, and I don't know if these Dutchmen would arrange themselves.
He knew that in order to trade with the Japanese, the Dutch even made up the story of "the Netherlands smashed the statue of Christ". The enemy without a bottom line is the most terrifying.
Looking at the Dutchman who was heading to Edo, Liu Yu was a little worried. The Dutch should be aware of their rise in Nagasaki, making stumbling almost inevitable, but they don't know what tricks they will use, only to see how to dismantle them.
After receiving the trade letter card in Nagasaki, the Nagasaki commissioner conveyed that Liu Yu was allowed to sell rice and carry some private goods, and finally checked the items that Liu Yu was carrying.
Looking at the pamphlet with animal and plant specimens pasted, the Japanese did not recognize the Hanyu Pinyin used as a record in it, nor did they see the map drawn on the white paper with green onion and ginger juice, so they let it go.
The flotilla that had exchanged rice for silver finally began to return home, and when they left Japan, the people in the flotilla relaxed.
"My lord, in a few years, we won't be in this place again, will we?"
Chen Qinghai roasted some of the drawings and records he had drawn over a charcoal fire and asked.
"No, the next time I come back, it's time to force him to open the country."
"How many people do you think are needed to use soldiers against the Japanese people?"
"Seven or eight thousand is enough."
Liu Yu gave a very cheap figure, estimating that the military expenditure was only three or four million taels of silver.
These people followed him on a trip to Edo, and saw the suppressive samurai in Edo Castle, although the level of training was insufficient, but there were really a lot of them.
Thinking about how Japan is also a big country with a population of 10 million, do you think that 7 or 8,000 people is a bit too big?
Seeing that these people were not too underestimating the enemy, Liu Yu smiled and said: "You guys, although it is a good thing not to underestimate the enemy, you have never figured out one thing. The Wajin had one of their greatest weaknesses, and that was the shogunate. ”
"Protect Japan or protect the shogunate? You are the shogun, how do you choose? The shogunate pulled out its own bannermen and his subordinates to fight with us, and then vacated Edo Castle for those daimyos? ”
"When encountering such a thing, think about the humility of Zhao Song after the southern crossing, and think about the broken incident of 'Lianyu Pingkou' during the Yongchang period."
It quietly inculcates the shameless ideas of the ruling class, but it speaks extremely obscurely.
Although Chen Qinghai has not yet assimilated, he agrees with Liu Yu's statement.
He carefully put away the paper with the handwriting in his hand, and asked, "As the lord said, there is nothing to worry about. But the Dutch cannot be left without taking into account. If we attack the Japanese, we are afraid that the Dutch will quietly help the Japanese and help them train a new army and reform the navy. ”
This is indeed a problem, but it is not unsolvable.
"One step at a time, one step at a time. The shogunate system was destined to fail. If the shogunate delegates power to the daimyo, the shogunate dies; If the shogunate does not delegate power, it will not be able to do it. As for the Dutch, maybe it's a nuisance, but it's not a big problem either. ”
I took the opportunity to talk about some things in Europe and these confidants, and then talked about trade issues.
Dashun's overly open policy has both advantages and disadvantages.
It is like providing the Netherlands with a continuous supply of nutrient solution, making the Dutch indulge in this beautiful illusion of "free trade".
This makes the Dutch East India Company have a big problem, once Dashun strangles this nutrition pipe, the Dutch East India Company will inevitably have a broken capital flow.
Originally, before the end of the Ming Dynasty, the Netherlands used Batavia as a transit point.
The Dutch were fooled by Li Dan, Yan Siqi and others into making a stupid decision, and united with Britain to engage in gunboat diplomacy in Penghu, completely cutting off the possibility of direct trade with the Ming Dynasty, and also making Li Dan and other maritime groups completely control the Dutch channels for taking goods.
Dashun liberalized trade, and the Dutch established trading houses directly in Guangzhou, which caused Batavia's transit status to decline sharply.
Trade with Japan, transportation of porcelain, tea and silk to the Netherlands were all directly loaded in Guangzhou.
They even gave up the route of buying homespun cloth in India and other routes to Japan for trade, because it was more profitable to ship raw silk and sugar from Guangzhou to Japan.
Once strangled and convinced the Dutch that true free trade was only an illusion on their part, the East India Company was bound to have a big problem: the East India Company could only go berserk with incompetence. In terms of the projection capacity of this era, the Netherlands can send two or three thousand people in Southeast Asia, counting on this point of human gunboat diplomacy to force Dashun to open up?
Britain and the Netherlands were allied, but only on European issues. In Asia, Britain wished for the death of the Dutch East India Company, and the British East India Company also had a huge interest in Canton.
Dashun is not ready to declare war on all countries, only to make trouble with the Netherlands, the British have rusty brains, so they will not do a good free trade, follow the Dutch to send troops, first let Dashun cut off trade, and then ask for an open trade?
After telling him about these things and making sure that everyone understood, he asked, "In your opinion, will you be the first to attack the Japanese kingdom in the future?" Or do you want to get rid of the Netherlands first and then fight the Japanese state? ”
The steamed bun didn't think about it and said, "I want to do it to the Japanese country first." One is quick to produce results, you can ask for money, and let the court know that the navy is profitable; second, we can force the Japanese to open up trade, and we have more and more money; The third is that only the Dutch have an interest in the Japanese state. ”
"The Dutch had two choices, one was to follow our example, force the Japanese to trade and abolish the letter card system. In this way, however, we can 'help' the Japanese to expel the Dutch as a promise to the Son of Heaven. ”
"The second is not to learn from us, to hook up with the Japanese people, and to help the Japanese people. Then we will have an excuse to declare war on the Netherlands. ”
"On top of that, if we play the Netherlands first, we don't get a penny of profit, but we spend a lot of money. The adults said that they can't do it at all, but they are afraid that the court will oppose it and think that they are reckless. After all, it is the Netherlands that has the money, and if it is not Batavia, we cannot fight Amsterdam. Hit Nanyang first, cut off trade, and we couldn't get half a penny, which also made some merchants in Jiangnan who sold raw silk sugar porcelain dissatisfied. ”
Liu Yu didn't say anything, but asked Chen Qinghai, Du Feng and others next to him: "What about you?" What do you guys think? ”
"We feel that Ziming's idea is very right. Adults don't often say that war is not a war for the sake of war. In the past, wars cost money and food, but the adults said that war is used to feed war. That being the case, the first battle of our navy should let people know that what the Lord said was right. ”
Seeing that the rest of the people also had such an attitude, Liu Yu smiled and said, "Yes." That's exactly what it means. The navy of the Japanese is not worth mentioning, but once a war is waged against the Japanese, it is necessary to be foolproof. Make sure that you can defeat the Dutch before you can declare war on the Wa. Therefore, you have a long way to go, and in a few days you must hurry up and train as soon as the French ship arrives. ”
"There's no time to wait. Do you remember what I told you about Europa? As for the throne of Austria, the king of Austria has not yet had half a male child, and he is nearly fifty years old, so it is estimated that he will not be able to give birth. When he dies, Europa will be in chaos, and then it will be our chance. However, how can the fate of man be predicted? Who knows when the King of Austria will die? ”
"Therefore, when the ship of France arrives, you will have to exert twelve points of effort. Seize the day, seize the day, remember this sentence. Don't wait until the time comes, the king of Ori is dead, but you still have the ability to win the Dutch in the South Seas, then you will be the sinners of Zhuxia. ”