"The head of the family and his wife are in good health, the white lord is thriving, as for the advice, His Royal Highness has specifically mentioned three things." Okubo felt that he had been snubbed from the Kansho, and he had been worried about the attitude of Mr. Tanan and Oguri Tadashun towards the white lord, but now it seems that it was completely his own crankiness, and from the concern of the two adults, it is obvious that the friendship with Naohide is extraordinary.

"What three things?" Mr. Tan'an cared about his disciple and hurriedly asked.

"Two urgents and one slow. The first thing is that the catfish god rolls over. ”

The catfish god turned over, also known as the catfish disaster, is the Edo period for earthquakes - at that time, people did not know the principle of earthquakes, so they mythologized it, and the most popular earthquake myth is that catfish cause earthquakes: according to the myth, catfish is carrying the Fuso Islands on its back, so earthquakes occur when it moves.

When it comes to catfish, the two big flags can't sit still, because catfish often bring fires, and Fuso's houses are all wooden structures, and it is troublesome enough to have many fires in Edo, so wouldn't this catfish disaster add fuel to the fire.

Okubo was a little dissatisfied with the reaction of these two, which was obviously underestimating the degree of damage of the earthquake, so he carefully introduced Naohide's lecture at the village school at that time - Naohide couldn't help it, Ezo and North Ezo were also in the Pacific Rim Earthquake Zone, and they would immediately enter the high earthquake incidence period of Fuso, which was not good at all.

The spacious house reverberated with a clear voice, and from then on, the white lord began to intervene in the shogunate in an alternative way.

"The success or failure of the chaos is about 200 years in a cycle of 220 years - 100 years of repetition, followed by 100 years of stability." Okubo points out that earthquakes are frequent over a period of about 220 years, followed by a transition period of about 10 years, where small earthquakes continue and then a quiet period of about 100 years.

This time, according to the "calculation" of the white lord, the 100-year high incidence period of earthquakes has come again - the last quiet period was the 7th year of Hoei (1710) - the 11th year of Tenpo (1840), and this time from the 11th year of Tenpo, it was about 100 years of unrest.

The Tokugawa Shogunate was officially established in the 8th year of Keicho (1603), and it is now in its 250th year, so it is natural that there is a detailed record of the Great Genroku Earthquake from 1703 to 1710.

"Huh~", Mr. Tan'an pinched his fingers and counted, this is not right.

"The catfish disaster of the Tianming famine is around 1782 in the Western calendar, which is not in line with what you said."

Okubo breathed a sigh of relief - when Naohide talked about the principle of earthquakes and the Edo earthquake cycle at that time, the shaking caused was so great that even if Naohide was the acting official, he was questioned a lot, so he remembered Naohide's answer very clearly.

"Heaven is not merciful, and it is difficult to help Sang." Okubo continued to explain that this time he didn't dare to pretend to be X, and relayed Naohide's statement at the time.

Naohide said at the time that the Fuso Islands are located in the Pacific Rim Seismic Zone, which is the junction of several major plates, and because of the squeezing of the plates, there are many earthquakes - as for the six major plates, Okubo can't remember clearly, but he can understand the meaning anyway.

The so-called 220-year cycle refers to earthquake statistics centered on Edo, and as for earthquakes in other regions, Fuso does not occur several times a year, so it is normal for earthquakes to occur during the morning famine, and it is an accident**, and only earthquakes in Edo should be counted.

"Ou~~" Mr. Tanan and Oguri sighed meaninglessly, and Okubo was ashamed - in fact, he was also suspicious of what Naohide said, but he couldn't stand Naohide's timetable, and the authenticity of this thing could be identified in a few months.

"In February of the following year and calendar, beans shook far away. The mountains collapsed, and Odawara Castle was broken. ”

Hearing this, the two high-ranking officials of the shogunate looked at each other, and this time point was given, not like a lie.

But this was not the end, Okubo simply took out a note from his sleeve and read aloud, "The Great Earthquake of July 1854 in the Prefectures, the Great Earthquake and Tsunami of the Tokai, Higashiyama, and Nankai Provinces in December 1854, and the Great Edo Earthquake in November 1855." ”

As the saying goes, good news is not bad news, Okubo once advised Naohide, this earthquake is still unknown and needs to be cautious - in fact, it is better not to spread it around without evidence, to put it mildly. But Naoxiu insisted, he said that "people are expensive and self-sustaining", what does it mean? It's that people should have firm beliefs, and Naohide said that since I knew that such a catastrophe was going to happen, how could I not tell everyone in advance? Right or wrong, it will be clear if Izu and Sagami have nothing to do next spring.

Moreover, if you don't convey it, Okubo, I'll go to Edo and spread it myself.

Okubo saw that Naohide was so stubborn, so he had to tell Mr. Tanan and Oguri about it - he also felt that it would be a big sin if there was an earthquake as scheduled and he didn't say it, but he insisted that Naohide not write a letter, and he brought it up in private conversation, leaving a certain amount of room for manoeuvre.

Mr. Tanan saw that Okubo's expression was dignified, not like a joke, so he quickly asked Okubo to hand over the note.

As a result, Okubo handed over two notes, and one for Oguri, which made Mr. Tanan angry, "How worried I am." ”

"Any more notes?" Oguri just asked casually, but Okubo replied honestly, "Igayan also received it." ”

Seeing such a formation, the two big body flags paid attention to it, this is obviously Naoxiu has pressed his own prestige on it, no matter what, he has to find someone to check when he goes back, whether the catfish disaster has increased significantly in recent years, and the spring and February of the following year have to be careful - Izu is the hereditary acting official territory of the Egawa family, and it is not good if you don't pay attention to it.

Two hurriedness and one slow, Naohide explained Okubo to convey three things, the first one is so sensational, and the other two are not trivial.

This conversation is really unbearable, so it's better to take a break first.

The three of them talked secretly, and the servant and the servant retreated, and Oguri stood up and walked to the door to ask the servant to hurry up and change the tea and bring the sweets.

After a pause, the conversation continued.

Another urgency is the response to the visit of the rice boat.

Naohide made it clear that Okubo told the two mentors and friends that Mi Chuan would definitely come this time, and if he didn't come this year, he would definitely keep it next year. And next year's Admiral will most likely be General Perry, a megalomaniac, warmonger, loyal but ill-intentioned, and must be guarded against.

Up to now, although Oguri and the teacher still don't know the true relationship between the rice boat of Xianheng and Naohide, there is no doubt that the two are colluding, and the stakes are very high.

Naoxiu believes that although Mr. Tan'an has vigorously promoted the cause of orchidology in the past two years, he has too many debts in the early stage, so he still has no strength.

Speaking of which, Okubo secretly checked Mr. Tanan's expression and found that he did not look unhappy, but nodded in agreement.

So Okubo continued: Therefore, this time Mifune visited, it is best not to fight, but if you want to fight, you must win, and then negotiate peace to gain a chance to breathe. The countries of Europa will definitely start fighting after 1853, and as long as they hold out until May 1853, the eyes of the Western countries will return to the continent of Europa; In the spring of 1854, the war expanded, and Fusang could take a breath, and by that time the "Jianye Agreement" had expired for twelve years, the attention of Western countries would be focused on China.

As for the United States, slave owners and anti-slave owners have been at odds for a long time, and the internal conflict in the country has been increasing, and armed struggles have begun to take shape, and as long as the shogunate continues to delay, it will be safe until at least 1858.

Oguri Tadashun used to be Nagasaki Metoke, and Mr. Tanan is the current Haiphong hanger, both of whom have some understanding of overseas forms, and in recent years, Xianheng has not only submitted detailed wind stories, but also desperately sent newspapers and related books to Fuso, so the two of them quite agreed with Naohide's prediction.

Both of them felt that even if they won the foreign ship once or twice, it would not help the overall situation, and the idea of Zhixiu's obscene development was the words of Lao Chengmou for the country.

Of course, Naohide will not just point fingers, he suggests that in order to deal with future trade negotiations, it is necessary to prepare now, this position of negotiation with Western countries is thankless, but very important, and suggests that Mr. Tanan or Oguri discuss whether to be appointed by one of the two, so as not to be misled by other people who talk about the country.

Hearing this suggestion, the two high-ranking and powerful ministers were a little moved, they have been busy with the construction of Odaiba recently, and they really haven't thought about it so far, this "journey of a thousand miles begins with a single step", since the founding of the country is inevitable, it is also right to start preparing now.

They nodded, indicating that there is no objection to this, Okubo you continue.

Two hurriedness and one delay, when it comes to this "one delay", Okubo is a little hesitant, after all, this matter has a lot to do with Kyushu Satsuma, and even he himself is involved, and the stakes are very high, so it's really hard to talk about.

He apologized, then got up to make sure no one was near to eavesdrop.

After today's conversation, Mr. Tanan and Oguri have a good impression of Okubo, thinking that he is a steady, down-to-earth, and talented rising star, so they don't think he is rude, but they are curious about the things to be talked about next - really speaking, the prophecy of the catfish disaster is sensational, and the founding of the country is a violation of the tradition of the shogunate, which can be called a great rebellion, and I haven't seen you so cautious in the first two things, what important matters do you want to talk about next?

"There may be an abnormality in the imperial court!"

Sure enough, it was an earth-shattering word, but the two of them were shocked many times today, so they couldn't get excited, and just listened to Okubo's story solemnly.

"In the spring and March of the fourth year of Jiayong, the imperial court gave a harmonious Qiqing Ma Lu Zheng and gave him the god of protection."

That's it.,It's nothing.,Fengshen is a thing that the small court in Kyoto often do.,Theoretically,The people of the palace.,That is, the people of the imperial court from the five-rank officials and above are all people who have been registered as gods.,Last year, an ancient man who had been dead for more than a thousand years added.

What's wrong with the official gods, it's just a means for the small court to attract attention, and it's not a big deal.

"Please think carefully about what great things this person has done when he was alive."

What he did was to put down the Fujiwara Nakamaro Rebellion and build Heiankyo, as well as compile the "Minbu Provincial Regulations" and "Washi Genealogy", and control the water in the Settsu Kawachi River.

""The heir of the heavenly kingdom, to return to the royal family", Okubo saw that the two of them didn't react and had to mention something.

Hearing these eight words, Mr. Tanan and Oguri's expressions were shocked - someone wanted to usurp the throne at that time, but it was only through the vigorous dissemination of these eight-character oracles by the harmony of Qi Qing Maro that this palace coup was crushed. If you want to say so, it would be a bit interesting for the small court in Kyoto to add an official title to this person, obviously promoting support for the imperial family, which is dishonest again.

Oguri Tadashun had been in Nagasaki for the past few years, and he didn't feel very deeply, so Mr. Tanan stared at Okubo and said, "In recent years, there have been repeated bans on ginseng and ginseng in the Nirayama territory, but can Kagoshima have such a thing?" ”

Okubo nodded with a wry smile, if it wasn't for Naohide's reminder, he wouldn't have noticed it at all, but in retrospect, the Maharaja's former residence also existed in Satsuma Province, and Kagoshima Shinto was continuous, and there was indeed a comeback.

What are the royal shade ginseng and ginseng?

Ise Jingu is the world's largest shrine in Fuso, and it is said that "you must go once in your life" and people take pride in visiting this shrine to pray for blessings.

The Ise Jingu Shrine is relocated and rebuilt every 20 years, and the main shrine is relocated and rebuilt every 20 years.

However, during the Edo period, the shogunate and feudal domains restricted the movement of their lords, so many commoners secretly went to worship without finding a suitable reason, and this behavior was called "ginseng".

Because it provided a short but precious source of pleasure and solace for people who were bound by the harsh laws and lived a difficult life, the ban continued, and in the end, the shogunate and the princes could only turn a blind eye to it, and as long as they didn't make trouble, they let it go, and the customs offices along the way also opened up to it.

In the late Edo period, the number of people visiting the shrine increased, and at the peak of the Okin ginseng, nearly two million people participated in the year.

"Ise Jingu protects Fuso, and it's understandable that the Shadow Ginseng is right?" Oguri Tadashun reacted a little strangely to the two of them, and felt that there was a suspicion of making a big fuss, so he played to his strengths - if he didn't understand, he asked.

"Hehe~" Mr. Tan'an's cheeks shook a few times, and his eyes were empty to recall what he had seen with his own eyes in the past.

In the first year of Tenpo, in 1830 in the Western calendar, the popularity of the Shadow Ginseng was particularly immense: at that time, people sang and danced in the streets and alleys, and the usual rules of courtesy and samurai were completely discarded. When they were hungry, the crowd broke into the courtyards of the wealthy merchants and peasants to ask for food, and if they didn't give it, they snatched it themselves, and smashed the owner's house to pieces - even the usually majestic samurai were not spared.

During this period, the decree was abolished, and the shogunate and the princes were helpless, so they had to let these people do whatever they wanted, but fortunately, the Imperial Shadow Ginseng only happened once in 20 years, and then the matter was over.

But in the past two years, the Imperial Shadow Ginseng has become popular again, and you can see priests and imperial masters peddling talismans everywhere.

Mr. Tanan not only told Oguri about the past deeds of Okami, but also reminded Oguri not to take it lightly: Although the Maharaja Shigege of Kyoto has not visited Ise Jingu since the establishment of the shogunate of this dynasty, the selection of priests in the shrine is firmly in the hands of the small imperial court.

In addition, many of the abbots of Buddhist temples in Nara were from the Dajun clan, and although the nearby Totsugawa River was the imperial leader, many of the villagers were interested in the small court, and riots occurred from time to time.

In particular, this was the eve of the visit of the rice boat to Fuso and the founding of the country, and if the power of the small imperial court rose sharply, and then it was sideways, the shogunate would be uncomfortable enough.

At present, Fuso is a prosperous era of Buddhism, and there is a saying that "Rinzai shogun, Soto natives", so the shogunate's monitoring of the temple is stricter, but Okubo reminded him that Oguri, who is the Mimetsu, is ready to report to the Shangguan Daime and ask the temple to send an envoy to conduct a relevant investigation.

In fact, Naohide has no prejudice against sects, but as Mr. Yokoi Konan later said, "(This is) the idea that he will shoot his own monarch with a bow and arrow in the future", modernization and innovation are difficult enough, and there is no need for a group of paranoid megalomaniacs to make trouble! If you don't listen to his opinion or do what he says, you will be given a big hat and then insulted in every way, and even threatened with a sword, without the slightest spirit of scientific falsification.

Therefore, Naohide asked Okubo to give Shinto some eye drops first, so that these guys would not get old and bad things.

At this point, the two hurriedness and one delay were all finished, and it was getting late at this time, and Mr. Tanan left the two juniors to dine, and there was a happy party during the banquet, but Okubo accidentally said it again, which almost caused the anger of the two shoguns.