"Murphy's Law...... Is there such a thing? ”

"Or is the captain fooling around?"

Outside the door of the dormitory, Qi Huan, who was eavesdropping, swept his gaze to Wu Zhe, who was secretly emotional.

"Absolutely!"

Wu Zhe nodded vigorously and said, "In mathematical statistics, there is an important statistical law, which is said. ”

"Assuming that the probability of an unexpected event occurring in one experiment is p(p>0), the probability of at least one occurrence in n experiments is P=1-(1-p)^n."

"It follows that no matter how small the probability p is (i.e., a small probability event), when n is getting larger and larger, P is getting closer and closer to 1."

Listening to Wu Zhe's explanation, Qi Huan's brows furrowed.

"Hey, don't be so complicated, it's not popular, I don't understand!"

Wu Zhe sighed, and was about to explain something, when Su Qiyue's voice sounded in the room again.

He hurriedly made a silent gesture to Qi Huan, signaling him to listen to what Su Qiyue said first.

"If there is objectively a wrong way to do anything, or there is a possibility that some kind of accident will occur, no matter how small the probability is, when you do it repeatedly, the accident will always happen at some point."

"In other words, as long as there is a possibility of an accident, no matter how small the likelihood, as long as you continue to do it, the accident is likely to happen."

Seeing that his expression gradually returned to normal, Su Qiyue continued: "Specific to your mission this time, in fact, there are early signs of failing to hit the target. ”

So, you don't need to blame yourself at all. You just need to treat it with a normal mind and then pack up your emotions as soon as possible. ”

Chengcai was slightly stunned, and then hurriedly listened carefully to Su Qiyue's story.

Su Qiyue said calmly: "As a sniper, your patience and concentration are your strengths. ”

"As you say yourself, you can stay motionless and squat at a target for half a day."

When Chengcai heard this, his face suddenly showed a look of contempt.

Indeed, he once bragged to Xu Sanduo about this.

Unexpectedly, Captain Su also knew.

Su Qiyue ignored the change in Chengcai's expression and continued his elaboration.

"Your strengths in shooting are obvious: patience and accuracy."

"At this point, maybe me and the chief of staff will be slightly inferior to you by half a point."

"These two qualities are enough to make you a top-notch sniper, but ......"

Su Qiyue changed his words and said, "There are two sides to everything. You have a lot of patience, which means that your ability to seize opportunities is relatively poor. ”

"Especially when it comes to seizing momentary opportunities, you are inferior to me and the Chief of Staff."

"And your mission this time, because of the suddenness of the incident, gave you a short time to squat. Therefore, it is normal for you to make a mistake when you are not well prepared. ”

"If you start to doubt yourself because of that, then I'm disappointed in you. Because, you have lost the most important thing as a sniper - confidence! ”

Hearing this, Chengcai's face changed several times.

At this time, his heart was already turbulent.

Yes, what Captain Su said is not wrong at all.

Just like the captain said, he and he and the chief of staff, although they are all top snipers, but their styles are different.

This time, the task is urgent, and there is a great restriction on my own performance.

Coupled with some unexpected situations on the spot, this was the accident.

But if there is another opportunity in front of you, I believe that I will never make a mistake.

Secretly took a breath of cool air, Chengcai raised his head, his eyes were a little more bright, and he finally untied his heart knot.

Seeing the change in the expression on his face, Su Qiyue's expression eased a lot.

He chuckled and said, "Negative psychological cues can have a negative impact on people's mentality and behavior, and this is psychologically justified. ”

"To break the 'curse' of Murphy's Law, it is necessary to have firm self-confidence, a stable mentality, positive psychological cues, express in affirmative language, adopt a zero-tolerance strategy for negative emotions or bad thoughts such as inferiority complex, and dispel them as soon as they are perceived."

"Even if you encounter setbacks, you must have the consciousness of 'doing your best to obey the destiny of heaven', give full play to your potential and deal with it bravely, and always face life with a positive and sunny attitude."

Speaking of this, Su Qiyue paused slightly, and then continued: "Chengcai, you are a smart person, you should be able to hear if I am fooling you." ”

"I understand, Captain. Of course not! ”

Chengcai was stunned for a moment, and then nodded with relief.

Outside the door, Wu Zhe couldn't help but give a thumbs up to the dormitory door after listening to Su Qiyue's last sentence.

Turning his head to look at Qi Huan, Wu Zhe sighed and said, "See, let the people who have been fooled not believe it, this is the highest state of fooling!" ”

Qi Huan nodded approvingly, and glanced at Wu Zhe.

Then, the two crept out of the dormitory door.

In the dormitory, seeing that Chengcai's brows had been relaxed, Su Qiyue stood up.

"Okay, see that you have almost recovered, and I can be regarded as having completed my merits."

"Thank you, Captain!"

Chengcai solemnly saluted Su Qiyue.

"Work hard and keep polishing yourself. If you want to be the best sniper, you can't slack off! ”

"Yes!"

Chengcai straightened his waist and said.

Su Qiyue smiled at the corner of his mouth, patted him on the shoulder, and turned away.

……

"July, it's been less than a year since you left our special operations brigade, so you've evolved again?"

"The problem that our brigade hasn't solved for three days, you can solve it in a few words?"

In the brigade commander's office, the railway said to Su Qiyue, who was under him, with a look of admiration.

Listening to the brigade commander's emotion, Yuan Lang, who was beside Su Qiyue, couldn't help but sigh for a while.

Regarding Chengcai, although he did not say anything close.

But deep down, Yuan Lang values this soldier very much.

Especially after Su Qiyue brought this guy for more than a year, some of Chengcai's original selfish thoughts have also changed a lot.

With such a combat effectiveness and reliable team member, Yuan Lang will certainly not ignore it.

After Tuoyong just left the team, among the players that Yuan Lang focused on cultivating, there were Xu Sanduo and Chengcai.

In the previous mission, Yuan Lang didn't criticize him too much after Chengcai made a mistake, and this is the reason.

Still, what he feared happened.

Although Chengcai avoided punishment, he failed to pass the level in his heart.

For this reason, Yuan Lang's face was silent, and he was still a little anxious in his heart.

Now seeing Chengcai regain confidence and get out of autism, Yuan Lang is finally at ease.

"Brigadier Commander, in fact, I just stated a fact. The characteristics of Chengcai in sniping are more suitable for completing some long-lasting tasks......"

The railway sighed, turned his head to look at Yuan Lang and said, "Chief of Staff, I heard it." July, that's questioning you. ”

Seeing the brigade commander's words, he would "lead the disaster to the east", and Su Qiyue was a little helpless.

Of course, Yuan Lang didn't care about anything.

He nodded and said, "Then I'll go back and reflect on the action plan I made!" ”

Listening to the relaxed tone of the two old leaders, the corners of Su Qiyue's mouth rose slightly.

It has to be said that the harmonious atmosphere between the upper and lower levels of the special operations brigade is indeed very difficult to see in conventional troops.

In fact, it is not difficult to understand this.

After all, the top and bottom of the special operations brigade have experienced real life and death tests, and they have underestimated many things.

If it's not a formal occasion, everyone is more open to words.

Catching a glimpse of Su Qiyue's thoughtful eyes, the railway started again.

"In July, you're here, just to explain to us about the exercise in February next year."

"Do you think that if this exercise really starts, what is the winning rate of our B Military Region?"

Before coming to meet the brigade commander, Su Qiyue had already guessed that the other party was going to ask this question.

At this point, he muttered for a moment before he spoke his thoughts.

"Brigade commander, I cannot assert the probability of victory on both sides until I am informed of the full requirements for the exercise......"

Hearing this, there were some disappointed looks on the faces of the railway and Yuan Lang.

Without waiting for the two to start asking, Su Qiyue continued: "However, if the A and C divisions of the R Army are only at the level they showed in the exercises a few years ago...... There is no suspense about the outcome of this battle. ”

Listening to Su Qiyue's confident words, the railway and Yuan Lang were all surprised.

After being stunned for a while, the railway asked: "What you said were five years ago, when Division A and Division C conducted three consecutive exercises and confrontations, right?" ”

Su Qiyue snorted and nodded: "Although I haven't seen the video of the confrontation in the end, I have already sorted out the relevant reports in the past two days." ”

"According to the military report, Division A was very lacking in the awareness of modern warfare at that time, and its tactics and strategy were really lackluster!"

After a slight pause, Su Qiyue continued, "As for Division C, of course it is stronger than Division A. In particular, their chief of staff, Zhu Haipeng, is a commander with modern military qualities. ”

"Coupled with Jiang Yuerong, an information engineer hired by their division, it can be said that Division C, a non-main division, has a stronger understanding of information warfare than Division A......"

Listening to Su Qiyue's incomparably sure words, Railway and Yuan Lang glanced at each other, both of them a little shocked.

You must know that after learning the general content of the exercise in February next year, the special operations brigade also began preparations as soon as possible.

The collection of data and the analysis of combat effectiveness, these railways and Yuan Lang have not been left behind.

However, this kind of busy work at home can't catch up with the complete information collected by Su Qiyue himself.

"July, to be honest, I really regret it now, I let you go so easily."

The railway said with emotion.

Although Yuan Lang did not speak, his face also showed a look of approval.

After straightening his face, the railway turned to the main topic.

"According to you, the two divisions of Army R are just nothing to worry about?"

After listening to the brigade commander's question, Su Qiyue waved his hand.

"Brigade commander, I mean that if the opponent's tactical play has not improved in the past five years, then their chances of winning are very slim."

"But in fact, five years is not a short time, how can the other party have to grow a little, right?"