"The Gulf War was the first face-to-face confrontation between an anti-missile system and a ballistic missile in modern warfare."

"In this confrontation, it seems that the American anti-missile system has won a big victory; But in my opinion, the performance of 'Scud' in this confrontation is not inferior at all. ”

After a slight pause, Su Qiyue continued: "Even considering the loss problem, 'Scud' is the ......one who wins."

In the command center, when Su Qiyue talked eloquently and finished his opinion, a faint smile appeared on the face of Chen Qiang, vice president of the Artillery Academy.

He is an expert on ballistic missiles, and he is the part of the world that knows the "Patriot" and "Scud" debate most clearly.

In his opinion, Su Qiyue's young man's views are undoubtedly a bit extreme.

Perhaps, it is to attract people's attention.

In fact, since the war in 91, the anti-missile system of the United States has been highly respected by the Western world.

There's really nothing to question about that.

Of course, since this young man wants to explain something ingenious.

Chen Qiang felt that it would be okay to listen to it himself.

At that moment, the principal Chen stretched out his hand and signaled: "Su Qiyue, you go on, tell me the reason why you gave this assertion......

Seeing the other party's gesture, Su Qiyue nodded indifferently and began to explain.

"Many military scientists praise the 'Patriot' anti-missile system because it shot down a Scud missile for the first time on January 18 of that year, and since then, the US military's anti-missile system has become famous."

"However, many people ignore that a month later, the same Scud missile broke through the Patriot interception and killed 28 American soldiers at one time......"

Listening to Su Qiyue say these two precise time nodes in detail, Chen Qiang nodded secretly.

Although this young man is somewhat "amazing", he is by no means a mouthful.

He still has a serious understanding of this war.

Compared with Chen Qiang, another deputy commander, Liu Cheng, does not know much about anti-missile systems and missiles.

What he paid more attention to was the calmness of Su Qiyue, a student, in explaining the problem.

He Ziming, who was sitting in the back row, couldn't help but touch his old comrade-in-arms Yuan Lang with his elbow after hearing Su Qiyue's explanation.

That meant naturally asking him what he thought of Su Qiyue's remarks.

Yuan Lang glanced at him dissatisfied, and bowed his mouth downward, signaling He Ziming to listen carefully.

Looking at Yuan Lang's serious appearance, He Ziming was a little funny.

In his opinion, Su Qiyue said this assertion in front of Principal Chen, which was undoubtedly an axe for the class.

Of course, his courage is indeed something that many people do not have.

Yuan Lang admires him, and it is estimated that it is also for this.

"According to published information, during the Gulf War, Patriot missiles needed an average of four rounds to guarantee the interception of Scuds."

While the leaders were thoughtful, Su Qiyue continued, "Moreover, we cannot ignore the fact that throughout the war, the multinational forces have always maintained absolute air superiority. ”

"Even before the war, they had already treated the Iraqi army's Scud missile launchers as the number one enemy. In such a harsh environment, the Scud missiles could not organize a large-scale attack at all, and they were more likely to harass in the form of scattered launches. ”

Su Qiyue raised his hand and said: "Even so, in this war, the consumption of 'Patriots' is much higher than that of 'Scuds'. Of course, in this low-intensity engagement, the US military can replenish at any time with such a little attrition. ”

"But we can imagine that if the US military's anti-missile system is faced with an adversary capable of organizing a large-scale missile attack, can it still be displayed in front of the world as a victor?"

Listening to Su Qiyue's reasonable analysis, the smile on Chen Qiang's face gradually put away.

With his professionalism, of course, he knew that the data narrated by this young man was true and credible.

Although similar views have been mentioned occasionally, Chen Qiang has never paid attention to them before.

Now that he suddenly heard a military cadet say this, Chen Qiang was a little stunned.

"Well, don't stop, July, keep talking!"

Principal Hao Cunren seemed to be very interested in Su Qiyue's story, and couldn't help but urge.

"I say all this and never mean to disparage 'patriots'. In the environment at that time, this anti-missile system was, of course, the most advanced. ”

Su Qiyue looked at the three leaders in front of him with burning eyes, and said word by word: "However, it is so mythologized more because of the logical fallacy of 'survivor bias'. ”

"Survivorship bias!?"

Hearing this word, Yuan Lang, who was listening carefully, his eyes lit up.

"People only remember the winners, but they often ignore the bright spots in the losers."

Sue's statement continues.

"Patriot VS Scud, 4th generation anti-missile missile VS 2nd generation ballistic missile, the cost of millions of dollars VS the cost of hundreds of thousands of dollars; 25% success rate; This series of data was all overshadowed by the victory of the US military in this war. ”

Taking a deep breath, Su Qiyue continued: "In my opinion, the reason why the US military was able to achieve a quick victory in this war is more because of their huge economic advantage. ”

"Their 'patriots' are paid for by wealthy allies like Saudi Arabia, and they can be deployed and intercepted unscrupulously, which is the key to the 'patriots' victory over the 'Scuds'."

Looking up at Chen Qiang, Su Qiyue finally said: "Principal Chen, this is my opinion on the dispute between 'patriots' and 'scuds'. ”

After Su Qiyue finished speaking, there was a silence in the headquarters.

Looking at the unnatural look on Principal Chen's face, Su Qiyue did not have any regrets.

As a reborn, Su Qiyue knew better than anyone that Lao Mei had an advantage in weapons and equipment.

However, having an advantage does not mean that it can win a war.

Specifically in the Gulf War, the US military's high-tech combat methods certainly attracted people's attention, but also achieved brilliant results.

When analyzing this war, some military experts in China are also more likely to admire the US military's modern operational thinking.

This kind of admiration is actually not serious.

It is still necessary to analyze the problem more objectively in order to uncover the whole picture behind the strength of the US military.

The economic strength of the old American giants can extravagantly use high-tech weapons and equipment that are expensive to arm every soldier to the teeth.

These are the biggest keys to success.

This has been ignored by many experts, including some well-known scholars.

Su Qiyue said these unpleasant words in front of Principal Chen in front of him, just to remind the other party.

By the way, wake up those experts who were shocked by Lao Mei.

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