Chapter 7: The Calculation of the Northland

As the head of the pen of the white lord Matsudaira family, Zhixiu has a family of Lu Wanshi, and there is still an official position hanging on his body - from the fifth place to the housekeeper, but he has to participate in the pre-shogunate politics, and now he is still an old cat sniffing salted fish, smelling incense, smelling incense (don't think).

Therefore, he can only achieve his goals by manipulating or instigating others.

However, "those who do not seek the overall situation are not enough to seek a domain", how the overall situation of Fusang is evolving now, this must be clarified first.

According to the analysis of the people of Kitachi, the turbulence of the current 2nd year of Bunkyu (1862) can be said to be either the shogunate's own doing, or it can be said that the situation is so difficult to disobey.

It is said that the shogunate suffered from its own inappropriate response:

Although the Tokugawa family's weakness to the outside world from the first visit of the black ship in the 6th year of Kaei (1853) caused dissatisfaction among the people and many princes, until June of the 5th year of Ansei (1858), this dissatisfaction was more akin to complaining, "Why don't you listen to me?"

To be honest, this kind of complaint is just a mouthful, and he does not dare and will not directly oppose the authority of the shogunate - of course, Qi Zhao sprayed people in front of him, but he also sprayed it at the time, even if he made a small move, it was also within the scope of ordinary political disputes.

However, in June of that year, Fuso signed a formal trade treaty with the Mi people, and the incident escalated the feud.

In fact, it was signed, and at that time, the whole of Fusang did not have a deep understanding of the consequences of opening the port, and it was all hypothetical and assumed.

But the "elder" of the shogunate at that time, Jing Yi, should not have been, he should not have gone alone - you can say hello to everyone, this time has passed, maybe the situation will be much easier later.

But this is also hindsight, as far as Qi Zhao's temper is concerned, he doesn't shed tears when he doesn't see the coffin, and he may even be more energetic when he sees it, so it is useless to discuss.

But most of the mystery of governing lies in clever compromises, this big old Jing Yi took the risk of lifting a Zhuo rice table first, okay, anyway, Fusang is a separate meal system, you lift mine, then I-I will forget it.

At that time, Jing Yi punished Qi Zhao's family, Qi Zhao and others also endured it temporarily, the matter could have ended here, and then "big things turned into small things, small things turned into small things", but "I'm not afraid of no good things, I'm afraid of no good people", it is not a big deal to see the excitement, and the small court in Kyoto issued a secret edict in August of that year, and the fire was arched.

It stands to reason that if Jing Yi is a steady and old-fashioned person, then just laugh at it - "Don't open a scheming army to die", you always say this to others, but how can you forget it when it's your turn.

How else to say that "those who know others are wise, and those who know themselves are clear", this self-knowledge, self-control, and talent are divinely endowed, but they are rare, and most of them have to be slowly grinded.

In fact, Ii Naobi used to be a rich idler - this is what he said, until the 3rd year of Honghua (1846), the then head of the Hikone family, Naobi's elder brother Naoryo was a descendant, he was made the son, and in the third year of Kaei (1850), Naobi passed away, and Naobi was able to inherit the position of head of the family.

The Ii family was a daimyo before the establishment of the Tokugawa shogunate, and has always been called the "pedigree of the pedigree", and is regarded as the first of the daimyo of the pedigree, even among the four masters of the pedigree "Ii, Sakai, Doi, and Hotta", it is also proud of the others.

Let's take the nominal highest position in the shogunate, the "eleventh", before Naobi, among the eleven eleventh eleventh, the Ii family accounted for six, and the first and last four were all from the Ii family - what is called arrogance, this is arrogance.

Let's take an example.

Kunitomo Yossai (born and died) is the same name as Iwahashi Zenbei, who was the one who made Fuso's first practical air gun, a reflecting astronomical telescope, a jade lamp (a lamp with oil on the lower water), a boori pen (a simple tap water brush), a powerful crossbow, a magic mirror (a mirror with a pattern on the back of a bronze mirror that reflects the image on the back of a bronze mirror), and a "Machima Mikito" (rangefinder).

In the 8th year of Bunka (1811), Hikone Domaini Ijia asked Kunitomo Village to make 200 jade tubes (cannons), but the Mura Nianyoshi thought that the order did not have the approval of the shogunate, so they did not start construction. This incident angered the Hikone clan and canceled all orders forged with Kunyu. Due to its location within the jurisdiction of the Hikone Domain, this conflict was undoubtedly an unprecedented crisis in the history of Kunitome Village.

Kunitomo Village, as a forging place under the direct control of the shogunate, brought the lawsuit to Edo in order to continue to survive. But in the fourteenth year of culture (1817), the matter ended with the punishment of the two years of the village of Guoyou.

Since then, Guoyou Village has been in a slump, and it is basically abandoned - the Jing Yi family is not relenting and continues to find fault.

This Jing Yi family privately purchased military weapons in a big way, and after being exposed, there was nothing to do, no one believed it!

The family style is like this, and Jing Yi is at the helm of a halfway monk, so the stubbornness and self-use behind it can be explained.

Ansei 5 years (

From September 1858 to August of the sixth year of Anzheng, he led the initiation of the Wuwu Rebellion, starting from the powerful faction of Qi Zhao to the secretary of the imperial court, and then expanded to the founding faction and the reconciliation faction, almost sweeping away the political opponents.

Later, Ii himself regretted it a little and began to mend relations with all parties, but the sweet dates were not delivered, and in March of the third year of Ansei (1860), he was stabbed to death by various ronin of Mito and mainly Mito.

He died, and the small court immediately changed the yuan, and "Anzheng" became "Wenjiu", saying that it was because of the fire in Edo Castle and other events, and took the auspicious sentence of "the descendants of hundreds of billions of dollars, which have lasted forever for thousands of years" in the "Book of the Later Han Dynasty • The Biography of Ma Rong", in order to ask for the mercy and protection of the heavens and the gods, but who doesn't know that this is the celebration of the royal family and the minister, "Jing Yi is dead, and the future life will be better!" ”

But it's a lot of good things, Jing Yi is dead, but it's not the Qi Zhao family of the king who appears on the stage - the reconciliation faction is back, you said this thing.

However, Naohide and others said that "the shogunate suffered from its own inappropriate response", and in addition to Arii Yi's pot, this conciliator could not escape.

Reconciliation is just a matter of right and left, but if this thing is not done well, it will become "left and right".

Jiushi, Ando and other old middle schools, it can't be said that they don't have the strength - they can't work for two years without the strength, but the problem is that this ability is not enough.

In June of the 6th year of Ansei (July 1859), Nagasaki, Kanagawa (Yokohama), and Hakodate opened their ports to the outside world, and then prices boiled and the people did not have a good life.

And the Wanyan coinage (1860) and the issuance of one dang four copper coins (1861), these two hands only cared about saving the shogunate itself, which can be regarded as a complete loss of character - yes, there are some hand subsidies for each family, but "a drop of water is difficult to save the car salary", not to mention that the big head has not been taken away by Edo.

In 1860, the Gosin Edo Order, which was a painstaking effort to purchase and sell, did not fundamentally solve the problem of shortage of goods and rising prices.

So, if you can't do it, don't do it, the resignation of the Hisashi and Ando lines can be said to be expected.

In the end, the two fell into a situation where almost everyone shouted and beat in the second year of Bunjiu (1862) - the powerful Yiyi faction of the Qi Zhao family, the hardliners behind Iyi, the small imperial court in Kyoto, the strong feudal clan fishing in troubled waters, and the princes and Qiben who hoped to save themselves, all felt dissatisfied.

But Naohide also thought about it, in fact, this can't be completely regarded as the shogunate's own suffering, the situation is like this, and the general trend is difficult to disobey:

This agricultural country has no strong control measures against foreign trade, and this industrial product, even if it is a large influx of primary industrial products, the big scissors are waving, even if he is a god, he should kneel, let alone a mortal such as Jiushi and Ando.

I can't beat it, I can't stand it, this nest of sins, Fusang has only tasted a few bites, and the days to come will be long.

There was a voice in the Northland, led by Hori Toshiki and Egawa Hidetoshi, who knew that the combination of public and military forces was nonsense, so they demanded that "the Shogunate should be served with the troops of the Northland", and at first the momentum was quite huge.

But this can be pulled down!

By the end of 1861, there were more than 130,000 people under the Hakodate Mission, and although the proportion of young and middle-aged people was quite high because of the large number of immigrants, it was possible to pull out 10,000 horses.

But let's not say that the days of the Northland can't get by, is this a matter of more soldiers and fewer soldiers!

Since the invasion of Naohide, the strength of the shogunate has been several times stronger than the original, but it is not afraid to use force to subdue the opponent, this economic problem is not solved, and after the beginning of the victory, there are still people everywhere who oppose it, completely useless.

And the people's desire, this is false, but in fact it is very powerful, unless it is cool, it will be pulled down, otherwise, if you want to change the world, then you have to admit it - most people think that it should be so, then don't do it, at least don't do it publicly, otherwise it's thankless.

Before Naoxiu set off at the beginning of this year, he was afraid that he would not be there, in case something happened to the dragons of the Northland who would go on a rampage without a leader, so he had already made a plan.

So Hori Ri Hee and Youngmin were suppressed at that time, and the reason was that the praise staff deduced:

The strength of the Northland is calculated at 1:2, that is, the 1 of the Northland and its allies can be worth the 2 of others.

Of course, many people are not convinced, thinking that it is too little, even if it can't be 1:10, then 1:5 is not too much. But Naohide and others believe that the comprehensive strength cannot be calculated in this way, the population of the north does not exceed 400,000, then the production capacity and system are too fragile, and the support for allies is not enough, so 1:2 is still more reasonable - as for the 400,000, we will talk about it at that time.

According to this ratio, there is a three-step plan for the local area.

Only when the population of the Northland and its hardcore allies accounts for one-seventh, that is, four million, can the Northland jump out openly, and then it can be pointed at, and when it is spoken, it will naturally be listened to and valued;

As for wanting to influence the situation, this requirement is too high, Fuso people

The mouth is 26 million upwards, and at least 7 million, that is, a quarter, can begin to wrestle with all opponents head-on-one - one against two, a quarter is half, and it is estimated that the other quarter does not dare to move, that is, half against half, what is there to be afraid of;

But if you want to complete the ultimate mystery, that is, "order the world not to dare to disobey", this must have at least three points of the world's strength, that is, the combined allied forces, at least nine million people.

After this conclusion came out, everyone burst into laughter at the time:

Although it's talking about business, it's so funny, seven million, nine million, isn't this the strength of the northern land plus the shogunate's imperial leader!

According to the table height of Fuso, the shogunate's imperial domain was about 6.8 million koku, of which 2.6 million koku was the domain of the retainer banner; The relatives of the clan had about 2.6 million stones, the genealogy daimyo accounted for more than 6.7 million stones, and the rest of the foreign daimyo accounted for about 10 million stones.

How to calculate, Hori Toshiki and Egawa Hidetoshi are right - because "do your best to serve the Shogunate", and then the Northland and the Shogunate combined, the population can just reach the threshold of 7 million, and if you win over some more irons, then 9 million is very easy.

And according to the deduction, Naohide actually said that this "diligent shogunate" is not feasible, can it be funny to slap the face on the spot.

At that time, Naoxiu himself was also happy, and he wiped his tears before explaining:

If the Shogunate Imperial Leader can be like an arm, what are we talking about the Shogunate today!

Not to mention the fact that his own Hakokan pursued his own affairs, there were 43 incidents in Fuso in the year of Bunjiu (1860), and according to the statistics of the northern land, the number of the first year of Wanyan was more than 50.

Although most of them are not in the territory of the shogunate, but half of them are not good, this imperial territory is 7 million, and now those who are willing to follow the shogunate, or even those who do not object, half of them are not?

As soon as Zhixiu's question came out, everyone was silent.

Why?

Because it's so good to ask!

The immigrants of Hakodate were the first to be many and non-humans, and there were very few serious people and townspeople.

But now, those who are willing to come to the local area to take refuge are already good citizens of various families, not to mention the second and third sons who could not inherit the family business, not to mention the hired farmers such as "Shui Tun" and "Xiaoqian", and even the landowners who were originally ordinary people have begun to increase.

It turned out that after the opening of the port, prices were boiling, and the rich were getting richer, but it was undoubtedly true that the poor were getting poorer, and the shogunate and the princes of various families began to increase the search for the people.

Therefore, the people of the imperial leadership and the shogunate are of the same mind, hehe, I can't say that there is no, but there are few who really support it, otherwise the shogunate will not give in to the small court step by step - if it is really foolproof, then why not do it!

So, the northern land and the shogunate combined have 7 million people, this really can't be counted like this, so the proposal of the Qin shogunate is completely useless.

So how did the abacus of the Northland series work?

Fuso was still a shogunate system, but now it has been infiltrated by the Kyoto Imperial Court.

This princess and royal family, the Zhixiu family are all hard-working, and naturally they don't look down on these indifferent things, so they don't even bother to hook up.

And the feudal clan in the shogunate is the princes' families, this hook up, the cost of each family is too high, and the effect is slow, although the northern land has been doing it, but how can the shogunate be attractive.

However, the structure of the shogunate is that the old and middle of the lineage daimyo guide the direction, the banner book holds the real power, and the in-laws and factions are complicated.

However, there is a good saying, "the dragons have no leader, the world is auspicious", taking advantage of the endless infighting of many forces, Naoxiu and others can collude with each other, and when these people are tired of fighting, they want to do the right thing, and the northland that has accumulated good strength can naturally rise up at the right time.

Therefore, it is still the stage of moving with the times, that is, the stage of gathering 8 million stone irons - the zanhua staff believes that there are probably more than 8 million people in the territory of 8 million stones, and according to half, 4 million people can still fight for it, so that it can reach the threshold of the northern land to jump out openly and point fingers.

And Naohide's rescue of the first Jiushi in the old middle school, and the promotion of the Fukuyama family Ishikawa Bunbei to collude everywhere, are all to achieve this small goal.

However, "you have your plans, I have my plans", the plans of these families inevitably collided, so the imperial envoy who arrived in Edo on June 7 in the second year of Bunkyu (1862), Saemon Governor Ohara Shigetoku, ran into great trouble:

There is a "three-thing policy" in the edict, but now that it has not been announced, one of them has already turned yellow, what can I do?