Chapter 538: Accessibility Bias

"The armored forces and tank regiments still retain eighty or ninety percent of their combat effectiveness, but the losses of the two artillery regiments are too great......"

"Without the cover of firepower, it is too difficult for the second line of defense to hold out for another 8 days."

On the phone, Chen Jie said with a sigh.

Su Qiyue frowned and asked, "Is the second line of defense of the U division still in the col of 410,221?" ”

"Yes, Camp Commander Su."

Chen Jie responded, "The narrowest part of this col can only accommodate two chariots at the same time, which can be described as easy to defend and difficult to attack. ”

"After the first line of defense collapsed today, our division gathered most of its forces in this col and prepared to hold on."

Su Qiyue snorted, frowned, and said, "Theoretically, Chief of Staff Chen, it's not wrong for you to do this. ”

"After all, this col is a good defense against the cluster charge of the Red Armored Army."

"But ......"

Su Qiyue's words followed, "There is a premise for such a tactical assumption, that is, the firepower of the U Division will not fall behind if it is compared with the other party. ”

"But now, the losses of the firepower of the U division are too great, and if you stick to the mountain pass, it will be easy to be suppressed by the firepower of the red side, so that the whole line collapses......"

Hearing this, Chen Jie sighed: "Yes, Master Zhang and I have also realized this. ”

"But there is no way, at the moment we only have the last line of defense left, and if we retreat, we will have to approach the division headquarters. Therefore, it is impossible for my division to retreat again! ”

The resolute attitude of Master U and Chen Jie, Su Qiyue can understand.

He thought for a while, and his eyes fell on the sand table not far away.

When he saw the point on the sand table, where area B and area C were connected, his eyes suddenly brightened.

"Chief of Staff Chen, I have an idea!"

Su Qiyue suddenly opened his voice.

"Ahh

Chen Jie didn't react a little and asked blankly.

"With regard to this second line of defense, you have no problem holding on. Because we are here in the synthesis camp, we will give you some fire support! ”

"What?"

Listening to Su Qiyue's words, Chen Jie was a little confused.

Su Qiyue didn't have time to explain to him in detail, but just told the other party to continue to hold on.

As for other things, I will arrange it properly on my side.

After putting down the phone, Su Qiyue quickly beckoned to Zhou Zhiyang, Li Hao, and Wang Qitao, who were looking at him behind him.

……

Director's Conference Hall.

The few bigwigs who had just "eavesdropped" on the phone between Su Qiyue and Chen Jie all showed a look of surprise on their faces.

"July, this kid, what's the hell about it?"

Du Zhongping muttered, "Over there in Area C, the decline of the blue side is already unstoppable, and he still wants to force the situation to be reversed?" ”

Tian Songren replied: "Yes, Chief Du." ”

"No one can deny the ability of this Su Qiyue. Perhaps, if he infiltrates the red position with two special operations teams, he will really be able to do something......"

"However, the advantage of the red side in the frontal battlefield in Area C is too great, even greater than that of the blue side in Area A."

"In such a predicament, Su Qiyue still thinks about reversing, which is too naΓ―ve."

Hearing this, Xiang Qiangjun in the back row couldn't help but nod and said, "I completely agree with Deputy Commander Tian's point of view." ”

"Although Su Qiyue and his digital synthesis battalion fought a beautiful battle today, the current situation in Area B is still evenly balanced."

"If Su Qiyue recklessly sends firepower troops to support the friendly forces in Area C, I am afraid that they themselves will fall into a bitter battle on the frontal battlefield."

Xiang Qiangjun's words are still unfinished, and everyone can naturally hear them.

Needless to say, this deputy chief of staff Xiang felt that Su Qiyue's blind command was likely to bury the good situation of the blue side in Area B.

Although Chen Haoruo didn't speak, his eyes also had some brilliance for the first time.

He has a deep understanding of Fan Yingming's tenacity.

Chen Hao was sure that if Su Qiyue was really so arrogant and dared to send troops to travel long distances to support the U Division under the balance of power, then Fan Yingming's counterattack would definitely come.

Duan Zifeng also muttered in a low voice on the side: "I really can't understand this young man, the advantage of the good end, do you really want to be careful?" ”

Just when everyone was secretly suspicious, Su Qiyue also began to explain to Zhou Zhiyang, Li Hao and others on the screen.

Seeing this, Mr. Du waved his hand with a smile: "Everyone's analysis makes sense!" But let's hear what this kid thinks! ”

……

"Deputy Battalion Commander Wang, tomorrow at 7 o'clock in the morning, you will lead three squads of the self-propelled mortar company and two squads of the self-propelled howitzer company to form a fire team and drive to coordinates 410,221."

"Remember, you don't need to hide your location along the way, just go through the past!"

At the headquarters of the synthetic battalion, Su Qiyue seriously explained to Wang Qitao.

"Yes, Battalion Commander!"

Wang Qitao knew that the battalion was tight for a long time, so he quickly responded.

"Deputy Battalion Commander Li, after Deputy Battalion Commander Wang and them start tomorrow, you let the 1st Company of the Armored Infantry slowly follow, the speed must not be fast, keep a safe distance from the fireteam!"

"Yes!"

Li Hao replied without thinking.

Zhou Zhiyang next to him pressed for a long time, but he couldn't help but ask.

"Battalion commander, do we really want to send a fireteam to help the U Division?"

Su Qiyue hummed and said, "Yes, the current situation of Master U is like a drowning person, looking for that life-saving straw." ”

"This life-saving straw doesn't have to be big, but as long as it is, it is a great support for the U division. This is true both mentally and strategically! ”

Zhou Zhiyang responded in a trance, and then said: "However, our synthetic battalion still has to confront the opposite synthetic brigade." ”

"At the moment, almost a half-fire company has been dispatched, how can we resist the frontal attack of others?"

"Moreover, isn't the past support of such an upright fire team itself also exposed to the monitoring of the synthetic brigade? Won't you be stopped and pursued by the other party? ”

asked all the doubts in his heart in one breath, and Zhou Zhiyang was a little more relaxed.

Su Qiyue snorted slightly, and gave his own explanations one by one.

"First of all, the first question. 410,221 coordinates, I've just seen it. It is located at the junction of our B and C regions. ”

Su Qiyue raised his hand and said, "At this coordinate point, the range of our firepower is sufficient, not only to cover the second line of defense of the U Division, but also to cover part of the red position in Area B. ”

"As long as the division of labor is well arranged, our firepower team can take care of both directions."

"On the B side, unless Fan Yingming breaks through from our left flank, their attack will definitely be subject to our fireteam."

Speaking of this, a smile appeared in Su Qiyue's eyes.

"And the left flank of our battalion is guarded by the 'spearhead' of the logistics support company. I think there's a high probability that Red won't dare to try it in this direction......"

Su Qiyue's words are not exaggerated.

Towards the end of the day's fighting, Takunaga, a battlefield on the left flank, suddenly led his troops out and gave a strong pursuit to the red side.

Although he brought a logistics support company, he was forced to give him the momentum of a reconnaissance company.

One battalion of the red side could not be attacked for a long time, and he was already a little worried about the combat strength of the logistics support company.

When retreating, he was chased by Takunaga Gang like this, and his morale dropped by half.

After the battle report came up, Su Qiyue concluded that in the next eight days of fighting, the red side would hardly make the choice of attacking the left flank.

"As for your second question, instructor...... I did it on purpose. ”

Su Qiyue then opened his voice: "The reason why Deputy Battalion Commander Wang and the firepower team are acting in a bright and bright manner is to confuse the other party. ”

"Huh? What is the rationale for this? ”

Zhou Zhiyang asked hesitantly.

"In psychology, there's a term called 'accessibility bias'. With this deployment, I want to make the commanders and fighters of the red side fall into the vulnerability bias......"

"Availability bias!?"

Zhou Zhiyang opened his mouth, his face full of confusion.

Before Su Qiyue could speak, Wu Zhe explained with admiration.

"The so-called accessibility bias refers to what people can easily 'obtain' according to their memories; events to assess how often, likely, why things happen. ”

"Uh...... Can Vice Captain Wu put it more colloquially? ”

Li Hao next to him asked with interest.

"Yes!"

Wu Zhe saw that Su Qiyue bowed slightly to himself, so he continued to explain.

"For example, because we often hear about air crashes, we intuitively feel that it's not safe to fly."

"But in fact, the death rate of airplanes is by far the lowest among all means of human transportation."

"According to statistics, the number of deaths per billion kilometers is: 0.05 in airplanes, 0.4 in buses, 0.6 in trains, 1.2 in pick-up trucks, 2.6 in waterways, 3.1 in cars and 54.2 on foot."

"And because we have the most coverage of air crashes, and they are the most eye-catching, it is easy to have an accessibility bias."

"To put it simply, the real cases are simple and intuitive, and the acceptance is higher."

Turning his head to look at the old leader with a calm face, Wu Zhe continued: "The arrangement that the captain made just now is to make use of the principle of 'accessibility deviation'. ”

"The vast majority of commanders and fighters, when they see the fireteam of the synthetic battalion swaggering and changing positions on the front line, will think that there is fraud."

"Coupled with the fact that the captain has an armored infantry company following from a distance, this possibility is even more confirmed."

"In this way, the possibility of the fireteam being attacked is reduced, and the ...... is reduced"

Listening to Wu Zhe's explanation, Zhou Zhiyang was really a little dumbfounded.

He looked at Su Qiyue, who was smiling, and opened his mouth, wanting to say something, but finally shook his head.

Zhou Zhiyang is sighing that he may really not be able to keep up with the times.

This new generation of battalion commanders and deputy captains Wu not only have solid military theories, but also have more active operational thinking.

Facing up to such a young generation of commanders and fighters, it is really possible to enter every minute.