At night, Liu Bei camped in Banpo, the magistrate of Dangyang County.

From here, you can see the traces of the bonfire party held in the west, Zhuge Liang and Guan Yu cooking and eating in the curtain.

Zhuge Liang and Liu Chan will only be sent to Dangyang, and they will leave for Yizhou tomorrow, and many things must be explained between Zhuge Liang and Guan Yu, and it is good to have a tacit understanding.

At present, there are 110,000 soldiers in the Fifth Army and the Northern Army, 20,000 county soldiers in Jingnan Xiangzhou, and more than 30,000 county soldiers and Haoqiang soldiers in Jingzhou, Nanyang, and Hanxing counties.

In addition to Zhang Fei's right army and the county soldiers who were ready to be incorporated into the right army, Yizhou had more than 10,000 garrisons and janissaries in Chengdu, and more than 20,000 defenders of Weiyan in Hanzhong.

Counting Zhang Fei's right army, Yizhou has 80,000 troops.

The size of this army can also be expanded, so that the current civilian strength of Yizhou can mobilize and maintain an army of about 120,000.

However, at present, the army is sufficient, what is lacking is food, and there is no need to mobilize to the limit.

The farther the attack, the more labor is needed to produce food and transport it...... Therefore, the closer the scope of the war, the limit of the troops that Yizhou can mobilize is 120,000, and the farther the scope of the war, the mobilized troops will be about 80,000.

The accounts of Jingzhou and Xiangzhou are also very easy to calculate, because of the reorganization of Tian Xin and Ma Chao, the armies of Jingzhou and Xiangzhou have long exceeded the upper limit of normal population support, and they must implement the military camp to feed themselves.

The population of each county can be divided into three kinds, one is the people who pay taxes normally and obey the forced labor, which accounts for forty percent of the total population; The second type is the hidden household, which is outside the control of the government, but will gradually return to the control of the government with the recovery of public security and economy, and the population of this kind is about 20%.

The third type is the powerful tribes and servants, accounting for forty percent or even more of the total population.

Due to the existence of a large number of barbarian tribes in the three prefectures of Jingyi and Xiang, these tribes live scattered in the deep mountains and old forests, but they are regarded as hidden households; Those with stable tribal organizations can be regarded as Haoqiang, and both Umeshiki and Shamoko can be classified in this category.

In the Nanzhong area, it is often the local Hanhao Qiang who is more prestigious, such as Meng Shu and others who are the Hanhao Qiang in Nanzhong.

After removing the hidden households, the arrangement of the government and the powerful troops are the main forces that constitute the army.

The army requisitioned from the household is the army of the imperial court; The army cobbled together by the powerful troops is a little more different, and it is not very easy to control.

If the households, hidden households, and Haoqiang of the three prefectures of Jingyixiang are re-clarified according to Tian Xin's "Maicheng Household Law", then the actual total population should be close to 5 million, of which the population of Banyuman, Jingman, Nanzhong Barbarian, and Wuxi Barbarian is about 2 million.

According to the population structure, there should be 1.2 million households, which can support about 180,000 soldiers.

But now the population of the three prefectures is only 520,000, and the registered population is less than 2 million. With the improvement of the rule of officials, if there were no major fluctuations in the war, this figure should rise to 700,000 households.

The rest of the hukou was controlled by Haoqiang, the family, and the clan leaders, and this was a problem that Cao Wei and Sun Wu had to face: the government controlled less than half of the actual population in the territory.

In this case, it is natural that the population and descendants controlled by the imperial court cannot be used to fight, but should be drawn to fight together.

Since you want to borrow Haoqiang's subordinates, you can't suppress and suppress Haoqiang; The world is uncertain, and no one dares to clean up the powerful tribes on a large scale.

Therefore, the Haoqiang tribe parasitized in the Han and Wei kingdoms in a strange posture, and Sun Wu's side itself was the form of the failure of the evolution of the Haoqiang warlords, and after successive fiascos, the system took a step back and became a large alliance of Haoqiang and warlords, with Sun Quan as the leader.

The problem of the Han and Wei dynasties is here, and now that the two powers are in contention, it is particularly important to treat the powerful forces in the territory with what attitude.

If the two sides are strong and weak, there will be more ways to solve the growing Haoqiang tribe group since the end of the Han Dynasty.

But now it is a competition between the two powers, and the importance of Haoqiang Trilogy Group has increased significantly.

Among them, the most different is Yizhou, Yizhou's heroes who dare to resist, such as Gan Ning and Li Yi, have long been purged by Dongzhou soldiers.

The Jingzhou army brought by Liu Bei was stronger than the Dongzhou soldiers, so the current Yizhou Haoqiang only controlled the serfs and worker slaves, and he had no arms in his hands, nor did he have the mind to master the armed forces.

On the contrary, there are strong and dense powerful tribal organizations in the southern and central regions; The Nanyang area of Jingzhou was originally the strong base camp of Hanhao, and later it was the focus of competition among all parties, and the Haoqiang tribe group here was stronger, and only Nanyang County could dispatch about 15,000 Haoqiang soldiers.

This group of people stood Cao Wei, that is, 15,000 Wei soldiers; Buy the shares of the Han army now, that is 15,000 Han soldiers.

After the battle of Wankou, Tian Xin withdrew his troops back to Nanyang, and extorted more than 3,000 households from Nanyang Haoqiang.

It's okay to do this kind of thing once, and if you do it again, it will anger Nanyang Haoqiang.

In the battle of the Eastern Crusade, Nanyang Haoqiang was full of interest and rolled up his sleeves to get into the stairs of his body, and almost all died on the battlefield, and now he is generally disappointed, and he must be appeased.

This is a problem that Zhuge Liang cares about, worried that Mi Fang's matter will happen to Nanyang Haoqiang.

Moreover, Ma Chao and Tian Xin control about 50,000 troops from the north, which is very dangerous, but Ma Chao is the most stable.

The most aggrieved is Tian Xin, Tian Xin's will is a little looser, and he may be coerced by the reorganized army to turn away from the Han court.

Therefore, Zhuge Liang did not understand why Tian Xin, who opposed the Eastern Expedition and the Northern Expedition to the Central Plains, would suddenly support the plan for a decisive battle in the Central Plains next year.

At present, there are 140,000 soldiers in Jingxiang Prefecture and 80,000 soldiers in Yizhou, and if we accumulate for one year and carry out maximum mobilization in the year after that, then Jingxiang Prefecture can have 160,000 soldiers, and Yizhou can reach 120,000.

200,000 troops can be invested in the battle for Guanlong, and there is almost no possibility of defeat.

After defeating Guanlong, most of the psychological problems of Tian Xin and Ma Chao's troops will be solved, and the overall situation will be improved.

Sun Quan and Jiangdong are the ones who are most afraid of the Han army taking Guanlong, and the Han army will take Guanlong, and the next attack target will be two, either Luoyang, Hedong, and Taiyuan will take the route of Qin; Either rely on the advantage of water transportation to fight Jiangdong first, and Jiangdong will lose the country if it loses, and it cannot afford to lose.

The Eastern Expedition completely destroyed Jiangdong, so no matter how anxious Sun Quan was in the second two years of the Ming Dynasty, it was difficult to send troops to intervene in the Han army.

can let go of the stable Guan Long, but take the risk to fight the decisive battle in the Central Plains, this is something that Zhuge Liang can see the reason, but it is difficult to accept emotionally.

The mistakes that Yuan Shao made, Cao Cao was also making, and now Liu Bei is also making them, and Guan Yu is also making them before.

In the battle of Xiangfan, Tian Xin rescued the field, kept Jiangling and broke Jiangdong, and he had face; This time the battle of the Eastern Crusade was thrilling and dangerous, and Tian Xin rescued the scene, and he still got face and lining.

What about the decisive battle in the Central Plains?

Zhuge Liang couldn't persuade Liu Bei, nor could he persuade the current Guan Yu, and even Tian Xin, who had won successive battles, and the main generals of the Han army.

Victory, continuous military victories is the greatest confidence, the hardest waist.

Everyone can answer Zhuge Liang confidently: How do you know if you can't beat if you don't fight?

really stood up and opposed it in public, with the current fanatical atmosphere of the Han army, it is not good to say that it is going to be 'punished by heaven and the thief'.

Therefore, Zhuge Liang and Guan Yu must explain to each other, first consider the countermeasures after the defeat, and ensure that there is still hope for a turnaround.

This is a battle to dump the country, and then dump the country, Yizhou will retain 60,000 soldiers, and Xiangzhou and Jingzhou will add up to 30,000.

These 90,000 soldiers are the last confidence, and they can be restored to about 150,000 after maximum mobilization. This is all the belongings left to Zhuge Liang after the defeat.

Of course, no matter how miserable the Northern Expeditionary troops are, it is impossible for them to be wiped out, but Zhuge Liang must be left with enough troops to defend his family.

After holding Wei Wu's counterattack, he had a chance to continue the Northern Expedition.

Even at this moment, Zhuge Liang still has hope: "Yun Chang, the magic of using soldiers lies in the change of virtual reality. If the thief army gathers heavy troops in the Central Plains, please also ask Yun Chang to divide his troops to attack Guanzhong. ”

Don't be desperate to fight in the Central Plains, the fighter is suitable, wouldn't it be wonderful to fight the weak Guanzhong?

Guan Yu didn't hide it, and said bluntly: "Sir, I am only afraid that the thieves are few and are not afraid of them." ”

"Ugh."

Zhuge Liang looked up to the sky and sighed: "Please also ask Yun Chang to use filial piety carefully, at today's wedding banquet, I saw that there was sadness in Xiaoxian's eyebrows, and I am afraid that I have the heart to die." ”

"Yes, Your Majesty thinks so. Make Xiaoxian rest in Nanyang, pretending to be a suspicious soldier, which can make the thief army tired. ”

Guan Yu's expression was calm: "Only the soldiers can destroy the thieves and heavy soldiers." ”