Chapter 677: Prediction of Youzhou
Guo Tudao: "From the lord's point of view, Gongsun Zhan occupies the four counties of Qinghe, Hejian, Bohai and Zhongshan under the name of Jizhou, but his Hejian and Qinghe border Qingzhou in Xuding, and it is a little southerly, and he does not have so many troops and energy to manage this time."
If there is a war, these two counties will definitely be taken by Xu Ding first, even if we support Gongsun Zhan, we cannot fight Xu Ding in these two counties, because we will not have any advantages.
Therefore, when we arrive, we should send troops to concentrate in Hejian State, so that we can control Bohai County, support Youzhou County by County, retreat to protect Pingguo, and control most of Jizhou.
The counties and counties of Jizhou do not like Gongsun Zan in the first place, but once they attack Youzhou, these counties will inevitably take the opportunity to rebel to protect themselves, and we are their most ideal targets. ”
Yuan Shao also wore two big hats on his head.
One is after the fourth and third dukes, and the other is Jizhou pastor.
It is the most suitable allegiance target of the Jizhou family.
Yuan Shao could hear it and bowed slightly, but this was a problem in Jizhou, and he still didn't talk about Youzhou, how to let Gongsun Chan drag down Xu Ding.
At this time, Xun Kan stood up and said: "Lord, the affairs of Jizhou don't need much attention, I think as long as Weihai doesn't want to start a full-scale war, he won't grab Jizhou with us, so he will only enter Bohai County at most, and will only send a small army to symbolically station."
As for Qinghe County, he probably won't take it, because if he takes his troops, it will stretch out under our Yecheng, which will inevitably provoke our strong resistance.
With his overall view and strategic view, he should understand this. ”
"Then if you talk about Youzhou's opinion." Yuan Shao straightened his posture and asked.
Xun Kan said: "Weihai Hou has a strong water army, we all know it, then he will definitely send troops to land in various parts of Youzhou, let's take a look at the map of Youzhou first, where to land from, and then it is more convenient to attack in multiple ways." ”
Although Yuan Shao is only a pastor of Jizhou, he still got the map of Youzhou, and Gongsun Chan has the shadows of the major princes around him, so it is not difficult to get the map of Youzhou.
Moreover, when Liu Yu was in trouble, there were still many people who defected to Yuan Shao, and in terms of Yuan Shao's think tank, it was also simple to copy a simple topographic map of Youzhou.
So Xun Kan spread out the map of Youzhou, and then pointed to the coastal land and said: "There are actually not many places to land Xu Ding, one is Quanzhou in Yuyang County, from here to the shore, his troops can go north directly by land, attack Anci, then Guangyang, and finally Jixian County, the distance is very short, and it can be killed in a day or two."
You can also land in Quanzhou by water, and then go up the water to hit Yongnu City first, in Jixian County, the road is also short, but because the river is shallow in autumn and winter, you can't go big boats, it is estimated that they will not take this route. ”
"The second landing place is in the east of Yongnu County, near the Qiu River at the mouth of the sea, where the population is sparse and there is no village market, which is suitable for covert landing, and then you can go north to attack Yongnu City, you can also hit Lu County, and you can even attract Gongsun Zan to Liaoxi County and block its main force.
As a result, the main force of Gongsun Chan was surrounded from east to west and disarmed Youzhou in one fell swoop, which is very likely, so we have to remind Gongsun Chan not to have a decisive battle with Xu Ding in western Liaoning.
Otherwise, the war will end in the shortest time and at the lowest cost. Xun Kan then said:
"The third location, still carried out with this intention, is just to narrow the encirclement, Xu Ding's eastern soldiers and horses to attract Gongsun Zhan to Liaoxi County to the duel, land near Haiyang City, and then capture Tugen, the county capital of Beiping on the right.
Controlling the scope of the war only in Liaoxi County will be of great benefit to him to take Youzhou without spending a single soldier in the future. ”
Three landing points, not a lot, but not a lot.
Gongsun Zhan didn't have so many soldiers and horses, so it was impossible to send a key guard to these three points.
Because he also had to deal with the army of Xu Dingming from the north and east.
These two directions alone are enough for Gongsun Chan to deal with.
Therefore, Yuan Shao was worried about Gongsun Zhan, and only hoped that Xu Ding would use less soldiers and horses to attack Youzhou.
"My lord, I don't think the Marquis of Weihai will fight Gongsun Chan in Liaoxi, and Gongsun Chan will not send soldiers and horses there to fight him." After everyone had said it, Feng Ji, as Yuan Shao's earliest follower, stood up and spoke.
Yuan Shao raised his eyebrows slightly, and asked, "What does Yuan Tu mean?" ”
Feng Ji replied: "Lord, Xu Ding once broke two pieces in Liaoxi, and played Liu Bei, and scattered all the money he got to the people of Liaoxi and Youbeiping.
The people here in the institute all read his good, and when he rebelled with Erzhang, most of the Haoqiang family suffered from the central government, and Liu Bei harmed a batch, and the vitality of the family in the second county was greatly damaged.
Therefore, if Xu Ding's soldiers and horses enter the two counties, they will get the help and love and support of the local people.
And Xu Ding will also take care of the people here, he will not let these people who support him be injured and the soldiers will be harmed, and he will also avoid the two counties.
So I made up my mind that he would not fight Gongsun Chan here. ”
Feng Ji analyzed it meticulously, and gave everyone new thinking from the other side.
Yuan Shao remembered this at this time, so he also nodded in recognition of his words.
Since this is the case, it is impossible for Xu Dingbu to land near Haiyang.
This eliminated a landing site and shortened the range a bit.
Yuan Shao asked: "According to Yuan Tu's opinion, where will Xu Ding fight Gongsun Zhan, and how will he send troops to attack Youzhou." ”
Feng Ji walked to the map, and pointed at the position of Juyong Pass with his hand and said, "Here!" ”
Juyong Pass!
Everyone was stunned, thinking that Feng Ji had said something wrong.
How could Xu Ding have a decisive battle with Gongsun Zan at Juyong Pass.
His main force should be in the south or east, not in the north.
It is even more impossible to run to Juyong Pass, which is easy to defend and difficult to attack, to fight a decisive battle.
Unless the brain is broken.
All Yuan Shao and the others looked at Feng Ji suspiciously.
Feng Ji said: "To be precise, it is outside Juyong Pass, probably near Juyong County, because this place is more suitable for large-scale battles of cavalry, so that Gongsun Zan and Xu Ding can fight heartily." ”
Everyone seemed to understand something, and then Feng Jishuang said: "You should have also heard that Gongsun Chan very much wants to fight Xu Ding head-on and defeat Xu Ding's cavalry with his white horse Yicong, so I bet that they will make an appointment."
Xu Ding wants to reduce casualties, and he will definitely complete Gongsun Zhan, and Gongsun Zhan knows that he can't beat Xu Ding so head-on, so he may not be an opponent in the battle to defend the city, and he will still lose Youzhou in the end.
In the past, we all thought that Gongsun Chan was an out-and-out madman, but this disaster relief made us reacquaint ourselves with Gongsun Chan.
In fact, there is a trace of pity and conscience hidden under his madness, and he did not refuse Xu Ding's move to enter Youzhou for disaster relief, which shows that Gongsun Chan recognizes Xu Ding's actions and administrative style.
Gongsun Chan has always fought the world for himself, and he has built a territory for his Gongsun Chan family, he is not a land for all families, and many of his ideas are also in conflict with the family in Youzhou, and even irreconcilable.
If it weren't for Xu Ding, he might have always achieved his madness, but my Han had Weihai Hou before Gongsun Zhan.
Weihaihou is the benchmark of the world, and it is the object of everyone's learning and imitation, it is undeniable that Gongsun Chan or we have been more or less influenced.
Because Weihaihou is too upright and too bright, we can't help but look up to him and learn from him. ”