Chapter 174: A two-pronged approach

"Zhang Xiaotian did this again, let him come to me himself. Nothing to do with the internal affairs of the Navy. ”

"If you can really ignore it, that's good."

Zhou Yongtao smiled, knowing that Lin Shiping was just complaining and had no other meaning.

"But seriously, if this trend continues, shouldn't you really be worried?"

"Worrying will solve the problem?"

Lin Shiping was stunned for a moment, and then couldn't help sighing.

"When we first made this deployment, we took a variety of scenarios into account. Even the worst possible outcome is acceptable. ”

"That means the war will last for years, and hundreds of thousands, if not millions, will die for their country."

"That's why we need to take risks, and we take the consequences."

After Zhou Yongtao said this, Lin Shiping sighed heavily.

As early as July, shortly after the outbreak of the Posha Bay War, at the Empire's Supreme Military and Political Council, Zhou Yongtao stressed the possibility of a third global war. From that time on, Zhou Yongtao set out to prepare for the third global war, especially the overall strategic approach.

As the head of intelligence, Lin Shiping participated in the whole process of strategic war games that followed.

The deduction was carried out three times in total, and several supercomputers were used. The work of the Military Intelligence Agency is to provide computing resources for deductions.

As for the deduction results, there are no exceptions.

As long as the routine of fighting a global war is carried out, even in the early stage of the war, that is, in the first half of the year, it will take 4 to 5 years to defeat the main opponent and achieve a result that can be accepted by the whole empire and implemented.

Obviously, it will not be a total victory.

Even if the most ideal result is achieved, it will only defeat the Western Continent Group, occupy and control the entire Western Continent, including the Empire, and basically complete the overall control of the World Island. It's just that in the end, they will still give up the battle plan of attacking the Northern Lonely Continent because of the unbearable casualties and losses. The best possible outcome was the capture of the Wangxi Canal, and the control was very limited.

To achieve such a result, it is bound to pay a very tragic and even unbearable price.

In the best of the three strategic exercises, the direct combat casualties exceeded 3 million, and did not include combat operations against Nuland itself. In the worst of the exercises, more than 5 million combat casualties were reported, the mainland was bombed, and about 5 million civilians were killed or wounded.

What is the significance of such a victory?

Even according to the best of the best results, taking control of the entire world island after the end of the war does not mean that hundreds of countries will be united. In view of the overall situation, it is still necessary to withdraw troops from the enemy country and end the military occupation of the enemy country in stages while carrying out post-war reconstruction.

In the long run, the shorter the military occupation of the main hostile country, the better.

The reason is simple: in the absence of a basis in culture, tradition and faith, military occupation by force will only turn the enemy into a common enemy.

The Polish-Iranian War is a lesson in point.

From this point of view, if the empire had carried out military occupation of the Western Continent after the war, it would not only suffer a crushing defeat, but also contribute to the unification of the Western Continent.

In fact, this is a situation that the Empire has been avoiding, and trying to prevent.

After the Second Global War, the empire spared no expense and regardless of previous suspicions to support Dongluosha, that is, to use Dongluosha to contain the Xilu group.

Fundamentally speaking, as long as the Xilu clique refuses to give up Xiluosha and treats Xiluosha as a country on the western continent, it has to support its great cause of reunification, and the existence of Dongluosha will become a major obstacle to the Xilu clique's comprehensive reunification and development and growth, and a hurdle that must be overcome.

Give up Luo Sha?

Although historically, before the Second Global War to be precise, almost all countries in the Western Continent regarded Luo Sha as an outlier and did not recognize Luo Sha as a Western country at all, even the Empire of the Empire, but compared to the East headed by the Liang Xia Empire, Luo Sha appeared more cordial. The point is that the countries of the Western Continent really need a strong barrier against the threat from the Liang Xia Empire.

This fundamentally determines that the Xilu Group will definitely not abandon Xiluosha.

It was in this way that within forty years after the war, the Liang Xia Empire was able to use the Eastern Luosha to influence the Western Luosha and curb the ambitions of the Yuman Empire.

That's right, to unify the entire Western Continent.

If anything, like the Nuland Republic's desperate attempt to retake the Khowaii Islands, this is the number one strategic task of the Empire.

Unfortunately, it is far more difficult to unite dozens of countries that have been divided for thousands of years than it is to recapture an archipelago.

Let's not talk about the stalk of East and West Luosha, but it is a very difficult thing to unify the countries in the narrow sense, that is, the western region of the western continent. For example, after decades of hard work after the war, the Empire has not been able to compromise the two allies during the war, the Raleigh Kingdom and the Spann Kingdom, and these two victorious powers have become the main obstacle to the unification of the Western Continent Group.

Coupled with external factors, the Empire was even more useless.

This is also the key to the decline of the Hindan Empire.

Although theoretically, even if political unification is achieved, neither the Empire nor the Western Continent with it as its core will be able to grow and grow overnight, and it will take at least a few decades to resolve internal contradictions, especially the historical problems between various ethnic groups. But no one can deny that the unified Western Continent will become the only superpower on the island of the world, and even in the world, that can compete with the Liang Xia Empire.

The point is that the threat from the "Western Continent" is all-encompassing, far exceeding that of the Nuland Republic.

As for external threats, on the contrary, they will become the driving force for the reunification of the western continent.

It is precisely in this way that the basic strategy of the Liang Xia Empire towards the Western Continent Group can be described in four words.

No haste, be patient.

As long as there is enough time, after the influence of the Riman Empire weakens, the Western Continent Group will inevitably fall apart, and the great cause of the unification of the Western Continent will naturally be impossible to talk about.

In addition, the unification of the western continent will trigger a chain reaction.

To put it bluntly, the achievement of political unification in the Western Continent, or the prospect of political unification, will stimulate the Nuland Republic.

Although it is more difficult and less feasible to unify the isolated continent, it is very likely that the Nuland Republic will retreat to the next best thing, abandon the dream of reunification, and adopt a more realistic strategy, placing the entire isolated continent within the northern lonely group, and controlling other countries in an alliance.

Because it is relatively more isolated and far away from the World Island, the control of the alliance is enough for the Nuland Republic to use the resources of the entire isolated continent to fight against the Liang Xia Empire during the Great War. In time, the Nuland Republic will even be able to tighten its grip on its allies through industrialization.

If this is the case, the situation in the world will become even more dangerous.

Here, there is a very important point of view that is still misunderstood by most people.

On the basis of post-war peacekeeping.

Previously, most people believed that a three-legged situation was the cornerstone of peace, that is, none of the three superpowers could defeat the other two.

Really?

Apparently not!

The real key to maintaining a relatively peaceful international situation after the war is actually the unwillingness of the Liangxia Empire to bear the tragic cost of the war, especially the antipathy of the Liangxia people to the war, and the key to all this is the core idea of "harmony is precious" in Eastern culture.

The most representative is that Lian Xusheng lost the throne of the first assistant when he was in the middle of the day.

What made Lian Xusheng lose power in the two houses of the debate is actually a rumor. In his third term, he will unleash a third global war.

Although it was indeed possible based on the situation at the time and the later declassified materials, just a rumor made Shousuke lose support during the war, which is enough to explain the national situation at that time. Within the Empire, both the great lords of the two houses and the commoners at the bottom were tired of war, and they all wanted to restore normal order, and they did not want to be baptized by war again in their lifetimes.

Is there such a notion in the West?

It is conceivable that a three-legged situation has really been formed, that is, the Manman Empire and the Nuland Republic have the strength to challenge the Liangxia Empire, and peace will definitely not be maintained, and the war will break out immediately, and the tragedy will definitely far exceed that of the Second Global War.

The three-legged situation has never been formed, and the key is that the size of the Riman Empire is too small, and the Western Continent Group with the Riman Empire as the core is too weak.

It can be seen that what the Manman Empire lacks is only great unification.

From this point of view, even if we win the third global war, we will not be able to destroy all our opponents, and we will not even be able to maintain military occupation for a long time.

According to the unanimous conclusion reached by the three deductions, as long as the third global war lasts long enough and causes enough damage to the Western Continent group, it will inevitably promote the unification of the countries of the Western Continent after the war, and the threat of the Western Continent State born from this far exceeds that of the Empire.

It would be even more troublesome if the Nuland Republic began to reunify the isolated continent.

If a three-legged situation is formed, global wars will become normalized, and years of war will inevitably lead to serious social unrest.

It was through these three deductions that the top of the empire unified their understanding.

Even if a third global war is inevitable, the duration and scope of the impact must be strictly controlled to minimize the impact.

The key lies in the Guia, the war with the Nuland Republic.

Here, an extremely sensitive topic is involved.

When necessary, the empire had to make sacrifices and compromise with reality.

To put it more bluntly, it is necessary to be mentally prepared to lose the Khowaii Islands, and if necessary, the Khowaii Islands must be used as armistice bargaining chips.

If a truce with the Republic of Nuland is possible, the abandonment of the Khowaii Islands can be considered.

Of course, this is not a confession.

In Zhou Yongtao's plan, it is not to hand over the Khowaii Islands immediately after the outbreak of war, but to consider armistice negotiations after defeating the sharp spirit of the Nuland Republic.

The Khowaii Islands are only a bargaining chip, at best, the main factor in achieving an armistice.

The key to the plan is to achieve victory on the battlefield and then negotiate with the Nuland Republic with a strategic advantage.

Only then can there be any hope of negotiating an outcome favorable to the Empire.

As for the Riman Empire, there is nothing to worry about.

If the Empire can hold out until the day when the Liang Xia Empire and the Nuland Empire cease war, the only option is to cease war with the Liang Xia Empire.

In addition, it is very likely that the armistice negotiations with the Empire will be carried out simultaneously, after all, the Empire has long been secretly allied with the Republic of Nuland. With the Nuland Republic willing to negotiate an end to the war, there was no reason for the Empire to remain hostile to the Liangxia Empire.

If you go it alone, the Juman Empire is definitely not the opponent of the Liang Xia Empire.

Of course, the Empire may not be able to hold out until that day.

The "risk" that Zhou Yongtao mentioned was actually a decisive battle of the fleet in the Guia Ocean.

Just, like he said. Even if you lose the decisive battle of the fleet, the worst result is to do your best to win this global war in a few years.

On the other hand, if you don't take such a risk, it will also take a few years to win the global war.

It can be seen that this is not a risk, but a struggle to get the best possible result.

"So, I'm doing it too much."

"Is there any new progress on the Southern Subcontinent?" Zhou Yongtao changed the topic, after all, those things in the navy are indeed a bit of a disappointment.

"That's it, Degala is not stupid, he has deceived us all by playing this bitter trick." Lin Shiping smiled bitterly and shook his head. "With the current situation, before there is a result on the Guia side, he will definitely not act rashly, lest he lose himself when the time comes."

"This guy is really smart, or rather sleek and sophisticated."

"The struggle at the national level is based on strength and conspiracy. If anything, Tigara is a good politician at best. ”

Zhou Yongtao just smiled and did not comment on Lin Shiping's evaluation.

When Lin Shiping said this, he emphasized one problem, Tigala is good at playing with intrigues, and these methods are not on the table at all.

As the saying goes, evil prevails over good.

This kind of side-by-side method is not that it cannot be used, but can only be used for specific operations, and it must be avoided as much as possible at the strategic level.

Apparently, Tigara did not realize it that way.

If you want to say, this is also the main reason why Zhou Yongtao and Lin Shiping have always looked down on Tigala.

In Zhou Yongtao's words, as the commander of the country, he calculates too much and will inevitably lack long-term vision.

Of course, Zhou Yongtao did not underestimate Tigara.

"Even if that's the case, keep an eye on that side." Zhou Yongtao paused for a moment before saying, "Be prepared for the worst." ”

"This ......" Lin Shiping was obviously a little hesitant.

"We have always had high hopes for Bai Huawei, but few people have thought about it, if he is not a commander like Generalissimo Bai Zhizhan, where should we go?" After turning his gaze to Lin Shiping, Zhou Yongtao continued: "I just hope that they will not disappoint us at the same time. As long as one of them can take on the heavy responsibility, we will be invincible. Either way, the Southern Subcontinent has to keep an eye on it. ”

"Okay, when I get free, I'll go there in person and have a good talk with Ding Zhennan."

"Don't put too much pressure on him, give him enough space to play freely."

Lin Shiping didn't say much, nodded and agreed.

Although he didn't have much contact with Ding Zhennan, Lin Shiping knew this young Zhuang general very well. On the other hand, he and Bai Huawei are two diametrically opposed cadres, and he is better at playing freely without constraints, rather than turning around within the prescribed rules and regulations.

Perhaps, this is also the reason why Zhou Yongtao values him more.