Chapter 111: The stakes are high
Jarazadeh was reluctant to get involved in the Bosa Bay War, or to fight for the Nulands, but he had to be prepared.
The key is, will the Liangxia Empire stop in time?
Although two months ago, when the joint forces were established, the Liangxia Empire clearly stated that the main purpose of this war was to recover Kuwait, expel the Iraqi army that invaded Kuwait, and give Iraq the necessary punishments, without mentioning a counteroffensive against Iraq, let alone the occupation of Iraq.
Since then, the tide of the war has indeed been moving in this direction.
The intensity of the air strikes, as well as the relatively small number of ground forces used, suggest that the coalition forces have no intention of attacking Iraqi proper.
At least there is no possibility of a military occupation of Iraq.
The global war has broken out, and the Liangxia Empire will still have the main purpose of recovering Kuwait?
The answer is clearly no.
Although the ground forces deployed by the Liangxia Empire in Posha Bay are only 3 divisions, one of which is still a marine division, and the coalition forces are not very strong, and the only one that really has combat effectiveness is an armored division of the Gaoju Kingdom, which is obviously not sufficient to attack Iraq, which has more than 1 million troops, but everyone ignores a problem, that is, the coalition army's powerful air strike force can make up for the lack of ground troops, and after the ground breakthrough is completed, the task of occupying Iraq can be left to the Saudis and other Mua'a countries to be responsible.
To say anything, the combat effectiveness of the coalition ground forces should not be underestimated.
More than a month ago, an armored battalion of the Liangxia Imperial Marine Corps taught the Iraqi army a lesson, making the ace armored unit of the Iraqi army taste the bitterness.
That small armored battle is enough to prove that in the case of too large a technological gap, the superiority in troops seems insignificant!
Technology has replaced military strength as the number one factor in determining the outcome of a war, and it is precisely the result of this war that it has manifested.
There is every reason to believe that the ultimate goal of the coalition forces is not only to recover Kuwait, but also to conquer all of Iraq and open up a line of communication north to the Republic of Ther.
If you have to say, after the Manman Empire's attack on the 51st Task Force of the Liang Xia Navy, this has become a foregone conclusion!
Now the question is, after the occupation of Iraq, will the Liangxia Empire send troops to attack the Boi Kingdom in order to protect this line of communication?
It is also possible to neutralize potential military threats with air strikes.
This is a question that must be clarified.
Throughout August, one of Jarazadeh's cronies, his most trusted female diplomat, had been secretly negotiating with envoys from the Liangxia Empire.
The main content of the discussion is whether the Liangxia Empire has made relevant security guarantees.
After a month of talks, although no substantive progress has been made, it is not without gains.
According to Jarazadeh's information, the Liangxia authorities are willing to make the necessary security guarantees, but they will not sign any written agreement given the current situation.
In fact, by the time of late August, the Liangxia authorities had already made substantial concessions, saying that as long as Poland could remain neutral, it could provide security guarantees. To be precise, on the basis of the neutrality of the Boi State, the Liangxia Empire promised not to wage war against it.
Specifically, it is the signing of a legally binding peace treaty with Poland.
After the end of the Polish-Iranian War, the Liangxia Empire not only did not sign any treaties with the established Polish-Iraqi state, but even did not establish diplomatic relations with the Polish-Iraqi state, that is, did not recognize the Polish-Iraqi state. For more than a decade, the primary purpose of the Boi State in diplomacy was to restore normal diplomatic relations with the Liangxia Empire. Only by gaining the recognition of the global hegemon can the Polish-Iraqi country truly integrate into the family of nations.
Not to mention the Boi State, even the powerful Nuland Republic was only accepted by the international community after diplomatic relations with the Liangxia Empire returned to normal.
Unfortunately, just as the two sides were about to come to an agreement, a global war broke out.
Obviously, during the Great War, let alone the Liangxia Empire, even the Boi authorities would never sign a written agreement of any nature.
If it is true, it is very likely that in the end, it will be unflattering.
When it comes to the present, the biggest guarantee that the Liang Xia Empire can give is just a verbal promise. If the Polish-Iraqi state is out of the way, it will not launch a military attack on it.
It doesn't look much different from what I said before.
But in reality, it is a world of difference.
Maintaining neutrality is actually just not directly participating in the war, and it can also provide indirect support to the participating countries, such as allowing some of the warplanes of the participating countries to fly over the airspace, or providing intelligence assistance, and even giving necessary preferential treatment when selling resources.
None of this will undermine neutrality.
Ambiguous statements like the latter are not so simple.
The point is that the Liangxia Empire could revoke this verbal promise at any time on the grounds that the Boi State had not fulfilled its promises, such as exporting oil to the Western Continent Group.
Is such a request acceptable?
Jarazadeh knew very well that if he accepted such conditions, it would be tantamount to submission to the Liangxia Empire and the abandonment of his country's armed forces.
Obviously, even if Jarazadeh wanted to compromise, the military and civilians of the Boi State would not agree.
From this point of view, a war with the Liang Xia Empire was certainly inevitable.
What Jarazadeh has to think about now is actually to get as many benefits as possible for the Boi country before the war.
Even if he is unwilling to fight for the Nuland Republic, he must be prepared to ensure that he can withstand the attack of the Liang Xia Empire if necessary.
Crucially, it is also necessary to hold out until reinforcements arrive, such as the Nuland Republic sending troops into the war.
Although it is only a small country on the northern shore of Posha Bay, the Boi country has a fairly complete and powerful intelligence network, and has its own intelligence sources.
According to the information that Jarazadeh has, the Nuland Republic will definitely enter the war within half a year.
As for when, it depends on three factors.
The first is the battle on the battlefield on the mainland, whether the Western Continent Group under the command of the Empire can quickly achieve victory, and whether it can put enough pressure on the Liang Xia Empire.
The second is whether the Nuland Navy can obtain and seize the opportunity to eliminate the Liangxia Navy's Oriental Ocean Fleet, seize the sea supremacy and strategic initiative in the Guia Ocean, and recapture the vital Khowaii Islands, open up the route to the southwest and Guia Ocean, and achieve a major victory of decisive significance.
The last one is on the other side of the Southern Subcontinent.
To put it more bluntly, that is, whether the Van Luo Kingdom will enter the war in time.
Although theoretically, the first two points are decisive, but from the standpoint of the Boi country, the third point is the key.
The reason is also very simple, Pakistan is sandwiched between the country of Boi and the country of Van Luo!
Although there is a vast Gobi Desert in the eastern part of the country and the southwest of the Pakistani railway, not to mention not many towns, and even the roads are very rare, so it is not suitable for large corps to fight, and there is no problem of sending heavy troops to guard the eastern border, but it does not mean that you can sit back and relax, at least the tactical aviation deployed in Pakistan and the railway can cover the entire territory of the country and bomb the country into ruins in a few months.
Crucially, the Liangxia Air Force will be able to blockade the Gulf of Oman and implement a strategic blockade of the Gulf of Oman by using the aviation forces deployed in the southwestern region of Pakistan and the Railways.
In this way, just through a strategic blockade can bring the Poi country to an end!
Unfortunately, the Boi Kingdom was completely unable to resolve this problem with its own strength, and the only hope was for the Van Luo Kingdom to send troops to war.
To put it bluntly, Van Luo defeated Pakistan!
In fact, the country of Poland has been preparing for this.
In the war plan drawn up by the Boyi army, there was a war against Pakistan, that is, the Van Luo State, and the Liangxia Empire did not send troops in time, and the Boi State had to send troops to Pakistan at a critical moment, but not to help Pakistan, but to control the coastal areas southwest of Pakistan.
Of course, if a global war breaks out and the above situation occurs, it is still necessary to capture the southwest region of Pakistan before the army of Van Luo arrives.
Only in this way can we expand the strategic defense line and defense depth of the country and ensure the security of the homeland!
It can be seen that Jarazadeh is most concerned about whether the Van Luo Congress will enter the war.
Actually, in the Chancellery, the capital of the Van Luo Kingdom, Tigara?? Gabala is also keeping a close eye on the war on the other side of Posha Bay.
After dinner, he met with the special envoy of the Republic of Nuland, who had made a special trip, but not an ambassador, but a secretary of state who had flown in from Hwaseong.
The two talked for four hours, ending in the wee hours of the morning.
Although the atmosphere was quite harmonious, Tigara was not happy at all.
The reason is also very simple, Secretary of State Nuland clearly mentioned that if the Van Luo State did not declare war on the Liang Xia Empire before the Nuland Republic entered the war, then the Nuland authorities would definitely make strategic adjustments, such as putting more resources in the Guia Ocean, and the aid to the Van Luo Kingdom would be affected.
Obviously, this is a hint and a threat!
So far, the most indispensable thing for the country is the assistance of the Nuland Republic.
Don't look at the population of the Van Luo country has not yet reached 1 billion, and it is an official statistic, because there are a large number of "black households" who have not been registered with the official institutions, so the actual population of the Van Luo country will be more, but what is not commensurate with the size of the population is its weak comprehensive strength.
Strictly speaking, Van Luo is still a typical agricultural country!
Even with the official figure of 700 million people, more than 70 per cent of the population lives in rural areas, and few of the 200 million people living in cities are engaged in industrial production.
If I had to say, this was the thing that annoyed Tigara the most.
After the end of the war with Pakistan, the Van Luo Kingdom pursued a policy of alliance with the Nuland Republic, but it did not benefit much.
Or rather, the assistance given by the Republic of Nuland did not fundamentally change the country of Van Luo.
At the same time, with the help of the Liangxia Empire, Pakistan had initially industrialized and established its own national defense industrial system.
Not to mention anything else, Pakistan has been able to produce main battle tanks and fighter planes, with a localization rate of more than 90 percent, while Van Luo has no tanks and fighter planes of its own, and almost all heavy weapons rely on imports, and even the rifles used by soldiers are less than 50 percent localized.
In terms of military industry alone, Van Luo is not much stronger than Pakistan Railway, and in many ways it is inferior to Pakistan Railway.
Challenge the Liangxia Empire with the support of the Nuland Republic?
Obviously, it is tantamount to self-defeat!
The reason is also very simple, the Nuland Republic is on the other side of the world, and the Liangxia Empire is close at hand.
What's more, the Liangxia Empire has the most powerful navy in the world!
Although the Nuland Navy is known as the second in the world, its overall strength is less than half of that of the Liangxia Navy, and it is not even qualified to challenge the Liangxia Navy!
In fact, Van Rowe has long been prepared for this at the top level.
To put it simply, it is to wait for the Newland Republic to go to war with the Liang Xia Empire, at least after the victory or defeat of the battle at sea is decided.
The Nuland Navy has won, then everything is easy to say!
On the contrary, it is necessary to weigh it well.
The reason is also very simple.
Only the victory of the Nuland Navy will be able to ensure the unimpeded shipping route to Van Roe and provide support to Van Roe by sea.
Obviously, for the Van Luo country, which has not even achieved industrialization, the support of the Nuland Republic is indispensable.
The problem now is that the Nuland authorities want the Van Luo Kingdom to declare war on the Liang Xia Empire first.
Isn't that a joke!?
However, Secretary Nuland also made it clear.
The Nuland Republic will definitely enter the war, and in the near future, it just needs a suitable moment, or rather, the allies need to create favorable conditions. If the Van Luo Kingdom can attract the attention of the Liang Xia Empire and disperse the Liang Xia Empire's forces, the Nuland Republic will be sure to seize the initiative after the war and achieve a decisive victory. As long as the situation is opened, then it will no longer be a problem to assist the Van Luo country.
To that end, Secretary Nuland also hinted at Tigara.
After the Nuland Republic enters the war, it will inevitably be dominated by the Guina, and after retaking the Howaii Islands, it will send troops to the southwest and the Guia.
Crucially, the old immigrants, who make up more than half of Austria's population, are looking forward to the Nuland army.
From this point of view, it is expected to take Ozhou within half a year.
Then, it will not be difficult to control the entire Guia Ocean and march into the Fanyan Ocean.
At this point, even if there is no way to completely defeat the Liang Xia Empire, it can force the Liang Xia Empire to admit defeat and beat the Liang Xia Empire back to its original form.
Of course, to be precise, it is to return the Liangxia Empire to the state it was in before the outbreak of the last war.
Secretary of State Nuland also mentioned that as long as the Van Luo Kingdom enters the war in time, after the end of the war, not only the Fan Yan Yang area, but also Posha Bay will be included in the sphere of influence of the Van Luo State.
Obviously, the temptation is too great!
Until now, the country has not been able to cross the threshold of industrialization, and the most critical point is that it is seriously dependent on imports for energy.
What's worse is that it is mainly imported from the oil-producing countries of Posha Bay!
In other words, the lifeblood of the Van Luo Kingdom is in the hands of the Liang Xia Empire, as long as the international oil price rises by 10%, the economic growth rate of the Van Luo Kingdom can be reduced to zero. Over the past few decades, the Liang Xia Empire has plundered the wealth of other countries by manipulating international oil prices to crack down on potential competitors.
Obviously, if you can control Posha Bay and control the oil fields there, maybe in 20 years, Van Luo will be able to industrialize.
But the question is, is it that easy?
Secretary Nuland's promises are all about pie!
Even if the Nuland Republic were to enter the war, it would not necessarily be able to win, let alone deliver on its promises.
If anything, even if the Nuland Republic wins the final victory, it may not fulfill its promise after the war!
As long as oil is the most important energy source, any global hegemon will control Posha Bay.
In that case, it is still necessary to go to war!?
It was for this reason that after sending off Secretary of State Nuland, Tigara convened an emergency meeting of ministerials and senior generals.
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