Chapter 28: Fanning the Flames
Stabilize the Empire?
It's almost impossible!
The meeting did not continue until Colin returned.
The most critical question is actually whether it can stabilize the Empire.
It's just that, no one, including Herbert, has any hope for this, not even a trace of illusion!
It's not that the Manman authorities are unwilling to endure for a while in order to win the war, but Norman mentioned that five years is too long.
In previous secret contacts, the envoy had been emphasizing that as long as the Liangxia Empire sent troops to intervene in Iraq, the Empire would not sit idly by, and would certainly take action when necessary to ensure that its core interests in the Posha Bay area would not be lost.
Since then, the CIA has provided information to prove that the envoy is true.
The point is not Iraq's annexation of Kuwait, but the internal contradictions between the Empire and the Western Continent are so serious that they cannot be controlled.
Only in the first half of this year, the retail prices of all kinds of daily necessities, including food, rose by 35% in the Manman Empire, and even more so in other countries of the Western Continent Group, even in the traditional grain-producing countries of Rock and Raleigh, the food prices increased by more than 20%. The resulting social problems have seriously threatened the internal stability of the Sairiku group.
As for the reason, in addition to the drought that has spread to the entire northern hemisphere since last year, it is also related to the operation of the Liangxia Empire.
The Western Continent Group, led by the Empire, has always been a net importer of grain, and food prices are greatly affected by the international market.
Of course, it also has a lot to do with economic imbalances.
In order to maintain their military strength, the member countries of the Western Continent Group have been focusing on heavy industry, and have clearly underinvested in light industry, which is related to the lives of their people.
The result was not only an internal economic crisis, but also a serious threat to the unity and stability of the Sairiku bloc.
Nowhere is this problem more evident than in the Democratic Republic of Losha.
Also in the first half of the year, about 100,000 citizens of the Democratic Republic of Rosa applied to travel to Dongmosa, which is controlled by the Liang Xia army, on the grounds of visiting relatives or working, while the number of citizens of the Democratic Republic of Rosa who did not return reached a record 5.5 million at the end of June.
In addition, the Federal Republic of Rosa has set up a special department to provide training for immigrants and integrate them into the local society through work.
Relevant propaganda, like the monsoon from the south, has long spread throughout the Luosha Democratic Republic.
In order to get a job opportunity, but also for a better life, thousands of citizens of West Loksha flocked to the city of Mosa, trying to get to East Mosa by any means possible.
As a result, the Democratic Republic of Losha was forced to announce the temporary closure of border crossings last month.
Immediately after the introduction of this policy, it was strongly opposed by the public.
The root cause of this phenomenon is actually that there is a problem with the economy of the Xilu Group, or it is a serious problem.
Within the Democratic Republic of Losha, there are already calls for reunification, and more and more citizens support reunification with the Federal Republic of Losha.
Crucially, there is also a will to reunite in the Federal Republic of Locha.
The difference is that the Federal Republic of Luosha prefers to achieve reunification by annexing the Luosha Democratic Republic with the support of the Liangxia Empire.
To a large extent, the acceptance of "immigrants" from the Luosha Democratic Republic is a strategy adopted by the Luosha Federal Republic with the permission of the Liangxia Empire against the Luosha Democratic Republic, which in this way aggravates the internal contradictions between the Luosha Democratic Republic and the Western Continent Group.
Last year, the Democratic Republic of Rosa arrested and deported hundreds of citizens of the Federal Republic of Rosa on charges of espionage.
Unfortunately, these measures are actually counterproductive.
No amount of drastic policy can change the fact that West Luosha and East Luosha are originally the same country, and the Luosha people with two changing borders are the same people.
At the root of these problems, all of them are related to development.
After more than 40 years of development, the Federal Republic of Luosha, which was originally in worse condition, has surpassed the Democratic Republic of Luosha in all aspects.
According to the statistics of unofficial institutions, the population of the Federal Republic of Luo Sa has exceeded 80 million, the GDP of more than 1 trillion gold dollars, ranking seventh in the world, in addition to the establishment of an industrial system with oil extraction and chemical industry, non-ferrous metal processing and machinery manufacturing as the core.
In the Eastern Bloc, the Federal Republic of Luosha ranks fourth in terms of overall national strength, second only to the Liangxia Empire, the Narrow Imperial State and the Gaoju Kingdom.
In terms of industrialization, the Federal Republic of Loosha is no worse than the Empire.
What's worse is that the Luosha Democratic Republic is going downhill!
So far, the population of the Luosha Democratic Republic is only 80 million, and the official GDP is less than 2 trillion gold marks, or about 700 billion gold yuan. Although it has the ability to produce tanks and fighter jets, as well as a supporting industrial system, the variety of industries is seriously insufficient, and it relies on the Hindan Empire or imports from other members of the Western Continent Group in many key areas.
In fact, this is also where the people of the Democratic Republic of Losha are most dissatisfied.
After decades of development, the Luosha Democratic Republic is actually reversing, not only being caught up by the Luosha Federal Republic, but also the economic lifeline is in the hands of the Riman Empire.
In addition, the quality of life of the population is getting worse and worse.
If this trend continues, the Xilu Group will definitely fall apart.
Perhaps, the Riman Empire will not be finished because of this turmoil, but after losing the Western Continent Group, the Riman Empire will also lose its qualification to compete for hegemony.
With its own strength alone, the Manman Empire is at most a second-rate power.
After the end of the Western Continent Group, the great cause of unifying the Western Continent and Western civilization will definitely come to an abrupt end, and then many second- and third-rate countries on the Western Continent will become tools in the hands of the super-hegemon, and the Riman Empire, as the number one power in the Western Continent, will certainly not be able to stand alone.
This is by no means alarmist!
If the Western Continent Group collapses, then several countries on the western side of the Western Continent, namely the Kingdom of Bran, the Kingdom of Locke, the Kingdom of Span and the Kingdom of Raleigh, will all fall to the Republic of Nuland, and at least seek an alliance with the Republic of Newland. Those countries to the east would become vassals of the Liangxia Empire.
At that time, where will the Empire, which is caught in the middle, go?
If you want to say, as long as war breaks out again in the Western Continent, then the first unlucky one will definitely be the Riman Empire.
As long as the war spreads, the heaviest losses will inevitably be the Empire.
To put it mildly, if the Western Continent ends up being controlled by other superpowers, the Empire will likely be dismembered before the end of the Great War.
The reason is also very simple, any super-hegemon that has the ability to control the Western Continent will not leave a powerful native country like the Empire.
If the Rimman Empire cannot be destroyed, it can only be divided as it did against the Luosha Federation.
It can be seen that the Empire is closely related to the Western Continent Group.
In Herbert's words, even if they know that if they start a war now, they will definitely not be able to defeat the Liangxia Empire, and the Ranman authorities will not sit idly by, because if it drags on for a few years, after the end of the Western Continent Group, not only will the Empire collapse, but there will be no chance to start a war at that time.
With this, there is no way to prevent the outbreak of the third global war.
Delaying it for five years is nothing more than a fool's dream.
Herbert was reluctant to accept this conclusion, but he had to accept it.
Herbert also thought about stabilizing the Empire by transfusing blood to the Western Continent Group, but finally gave up this slightly naïve idea.
The first is that Congress will certainly not approve any foreign aid package that does not expect anything in return.
Secondly, the Manman authorities may not be willing to accept the aid of the Nuland Republic, after all, they need to pay the same price while receiving the aid, and after the Nuland Republic's influence infiltrates, the members of the Western Continent Group may not obey the orders of the Nuland Empire.
The Empire has always been unwilling to compromise, that is, it wants to maintain the independence of the Western Continent Bloc, or more precisely, its hegemony in the Western Continent Bloc.
Finally, the Liang Xia Empire will definitely not pretend not to see it.
Judging from the series of strategies implemented by the Liangxia Empire, the bottom line is to keep the Nuland Republic out of the world island, and the Nuland Republic will never be allowed to formally form an alliance with the Empire.
The reason is also very simple, the alliance of the two superpowers will immediately upset the strategic balance.
Even if the total strength of the two superpowers is equal to that of the Liang Xia Empire and does not have an advantage, they can pose a threat to the Liang Xia Empire in two directions.
This means that the Liangxia Empire had to fight on two fronts from the very beginning!
No matter how powerful an empire is, it can't withstand the toss of a two-front battle.
Unless he is willing to hand over the world's number one hegemon, the Liang Xia Empire will inevitably make a move at this time.
From the perspective of the strategic situation, the final result of the war is also very likely to be the dismemberment of the Western Continent Group.
All in all, when the strategic potential of the Western Continent group led by the Empire has been completely drained and can no longer be maintained, a global war is inevitable.
If the Nuland Republic does not enter the war in the first place, it has little chance of winning.
The point is that the gap in military strength is too great.
In the case of the all-important navy, the Nuland Republic has only four aircraft carriers in total, and three are medium-sized aircraft carriers, carrying vertical take-off and landing fighters and helicopters, and the main task is to cover the transport fleet, similar to the large-scale construction of escort aircraft carriers during World War II. The other one is only a 60,000-ton large aircraft carrier, although it is equipped with a catapult, but its overall combat effectiveness is at most comparable to the "Chen Bingxun" class of the Liangxia Empire, and cannot be compared with the "Xue Yuanzheng" class, that is, the 100,000-ton supercarrier.
Of course, the gap in the Navy has been narrowing.
In the Newland shipyard, there are now 3 large aircraft carriers under construction, the design of a new generation of supercarriers has been completed, the first two are also expected to start construction this year, and the construction of 3 more ships next year, and strive to expand the large aircraft carrier and supercarrier to 9 within 3 years.
If you want to say it, this is the minimum requirement to challenge the Liangxia Navy.
According to the information provided by the CIA, if the Liangxia Empire expands and accelerates the construction of aircraft carriers, it is expected to increase the number of aircraft carriers to 15 within three years, and deploy 9 of them in the Guia Ocean to gain a relative advantage in strength against the expanding Nuland Navy.
It's just that this doesn't take into account the dozen or so large aircraft carriers mothballed by the Liang Xia Navy!
If war breaks out and the Liang Xia Navy uses mothballed aircraft carriers, it will be able to double the number of aircraft carriers in one fell swoop and expand the number of aircraft carriers deployed in the Guia Ocean to more than 20.
This amount has the advantage of being pressed!
It can be seen that even after 3 years, the situation of the Nuland Navy may not have improved much, and at most it can be said that it has obtained the capital to compete with the Liang Xia Navy.
So, is there any way to give the Nuland Republic more time?
In other words, there is a way to get the Nuland Republic to enter the war a few years later, so that it has more time to build a navy.
Obviously, this is also Herbert's primary concern.
In the months before, after secret contacts with the Manchurian authorities, Herbert had already held more than a dozen meetings on the issue.
Unfortunately, up to now, no feasible solutions have been reached.
First of all, after the outbreak of the war, stay out of the matter as much as possible, not to participate in the war at the first time, and not to give the Liang Xia Empire any reason to declare war.
Secondly, we must do everything we can to support the Riman Empire and the Western Continent Group, and consume the war strength of the Liangxia Empire.
In Cullen's words, let the two empires fight to the death.
Of course, it's certainly not that easy.
If it had been 30 years ago, there might have been a fight.
After 30 years of long-distance running, the Manman Empire has long been pulled down, and the Xilu Group is also full of contradictions.
The last way was to let the Liang Xia Empire fight on two fronts without directly participating in the war.
If you can, you have to try to open up as many fronts as possible.
In fact, this is also an issue that has been held more than a dozen times and has not been discussed.
To put it simply, it is more appropriate to open up a second battlefield there.
There are three main options, one is the kingdom of Bran, one is Ozhou, and the last one is the southern subcontinent.
The Bran Kingdom is the simplest, after all, the Bran Kingdom and the Newland Republic are of the same culture, and the exchanges are also very close, and the citizens of the Bran Kingdom have long not wanted to submit to the Liang Xia Empire, so as long as the Nuland Republic raises its arms, the Bran Kingdom will definitely rise up.
It's just that the impact of the Bran Kingdom is very limited, that is, the Liangxia Empire can completely abandon Scapa Bay, and there will not be much loss strategically.
Okusai is a little more difficult, but it's also more meaningful.
The reason is also very simple, since the last war, the Liang Xia Empire has been immigrating to the Austrian continent to strengthen its control over this continent.
Crucially, Aozhou has always been the main source of resources for the Liangxia Empire, such as iron ore and copper ore.
Because the Liangxia immigrants have exceeded 10 million, accounting for nearly 3% of the total population of Austria, the investment in Austria may not be effective, and may not be able to force the Liangxia Empire to send troops. Mobilizing the local Liangxia immigrants and controlling the armed forces of the Aozhou is enough to stabilize the situation.
Then, the only thing left is the Southern Subcontinent, which is known as the Van Luo region.
There are about 600 million people in the Van Luo region, of which there are more than 400 million in Van Luo alone, and more than 100 million in Pakistan.
The point is, the subcontinent is the backyard of the Liangxia Empire!
As long as war breaks out in the Fanluo region, the Liangxia Empire will definitely send troops.
However, it is too difficult to create war in the Van Roe region.
Ba Tie has already formed an alliance with the Liangxia Empire, and the leader of the Van Luo Kingdom is not stupid, and he does not have enough benefits to never take advantage of the fire of the Nuland Republic or the Empire.
So, is there any way to get Van Luo Guo to stand up?