Chapter 1201: War is Peace (1)
"Lord Si Nong came just in time, what does Lord Si Nong think about this matter."
"The minister believes that there are advantages and disadvantages to the armistice, and that the enemy's proposal for an armistice is not a decision of its supreme commander, but only a unilateral decision of the front army, so it is not effective.
Secondly, our army does not know whether the armpit fleet will send submarines to approach the port and contact the besieged enemy forces, so it is not certain whether there is fraud among them.
Third, even if there is a real truce, it will be very detrimental to the current formation of a front and internal unity. The princes will have a serious miscalculation, mistakenly believing that the armpit has been defeated, and there is no need to fight again, only the illusion of negotiation, in case they continue to increase troops from the mainland, I am afraid that this battle will not be fought one day.
Fourth, I am afraid that even if our army does not want to cease the war, the vassal army is also considering an armistice, and the losses in the first battle of Rongcheng are heavy, and the losses of continuing the war in the future will only increase, and all countries have great concerns.
In the end, now that the two great powers of the Wei Guo and the Zhi Kingdom have participated in the war, so far the Wei Guo has suffered the greatest losses, the Zhi State has very few, and the Jin State has not participated in the war at all. In this way, if the war is truce now, or even fight and talk in the future, in the end, the Jin State will most likely not need to participate in the war at all, which will have a far-reaching impact on China's overall strategy in the future, and even the defense of the country will suffer huge losses and will not be on good terms with our country. ”
"Well, what Lord Si Nong said is reasonable, so according to Lord Si Nong's intentions, how should we deal with it?"
"Continue to urge the coalition forces to attack, and at the same time give the trapped enemy an ultimatum that no truce will be allowed, but only surrender, and the coalition forces should treat prisoners leniently with a preferential policy."
"What if the princes are disrespectful?" King Xian asked rhetorically.
"Then persuade Zhiguo that as long as Zhijun sends troops, this battle can still be won."
"Will the Zhi State obey the arrangement of the widow and continue to send troops?"
"There is a huge amount of ammunition and equipment hoarded in the port of Jinye and in the hills to the west, once captured, it can be promised to Zhiguo, and our country can also make some concessions in other areas in exchange for Zhiguo's support. At the same time, the minister persuaded Sun Guo to send troops together, and the battle was undoubtedly won. In addition, it is necessary to send officials to inform the princes, know the benefits, and persuade them to continue to send troops. ”
"In that case, Master Si Nong should do it quickly."
"No."
In fact, the threat of the armistice itself was not great, and the harbor of Jinye was huddled in the bay, and the Xian army airboats only had to anchor over the harbor, and the torpedo boats cruised in the coastal waters.
The real threat comes from the divergent interests within humanity, and if detected by the enemy in front of it, it will bring great trouble to future wars.
Today's armistice, tomorrow's truce, the vassal states each have their own calculations, once the pace of the coalition forces is out of balance, it will inevitably lead to mistakes in strategic coordination.
At present, with absolutely superior forces, encircling and annihilating the enemy troops who have no way to retreat, in the future, they will advance on the entire line for thousands of miles, and any of the princes along the way who are bewitched and have problems may cause the collapse of the whole line.
Baili Yan rushed out of the palace non-stop to Gongliangxiu's mansion, and the phone call from the Liang State War Zone could be received from Chenling all the time, but it could not reach the princes of various countries, but it could be called back to China through the embassy of Chenling, and now most of the princes have known the news, and they are carrying a ghost placenta to plan a truce and retreat.
When he saw Gongliangxiu, he was playing with his grandson Gongliangren. Gongliangxiu did not evade, and said directly to the point:
"You're here for the truce."
"It seems that the in-laws also know the news."
"You are worried that the princes have their own plans and delay the warplane, so they came to me to attack the enemy together."
"Yes, the armpit is asking for a truce, even if it is in a dead end, but the stakes are not in the possibility of deception, but in the fact that the princes have their own evil intentions. At present, the battle line is only a few hundred miles, and in the future, the Northern Expedition will span thousands of miles from east to west.
Moreover, once the armpit detects the suspicion of the coalition forces, it will be used in the future, which will cause great harm to the Central Plains. ”
At this time, Gongliangxiu put down his grandson, paced back and forth a few steps behind his back with his negative hand, lowered his head and thought for a moment and said:
"But if we can resolve the war through negotiation in the future, there will be no need to make a big move in this war."
"Huh." Bai Liyan sneered and said, "Brother Gongliang can't help but think of it too beautiful, do you know what people are in the eyes of their armpits?" ”
"I have also heard that they compare us with pigs, dogs, cows and sheep, because we humans walk on two feet, so they call us alien animals, and in their eyes we are no different from livestock."
"Brother, knowing this, he really fantasized that they could sit down and talk to us. Not to mention that most of the land of the eldest grandson has fallen into their hands now, if they really want to talk about it, how can they spit it out. If you don't spit it out, you will be entrenched in the north all the year round, and there will be nothing to say in the future. ”
"I understand the truth, but have you ever thought that now the princes of the world, only you Xianguo is getting stronger and stronger, and the national strength is not reduced, and the princes are getting weaker and weaker the more they fight, and when you have to breathe at this time, how can the princes drive you again."
"It's just for benefits, if Brother Gongliang is only for benefits and doesn't think about the overall situation, then my Xianguo will withdraw its troops, and this alliance will not do it. This notoriety, I Bailiyan can still afford it. ”
Gongliangxiu sighed, shook his head again and again, and said:
"You are a strong country, and all the princes are not afraid of you, but now you have cut off the way to retreat, you are going to offend the world."
"Those who forget the righteousness are not my Bailiyan, but the princes, so short-sighted, it is really not enough to plan. I only ask you whether Zhiguo sent troops or not. ”
"You have to let me think about it or not."
"Now hundreds of enemy ships are entrenched in the open sea, and dozens of ironclad warships, and one more day of waiting will increase the risk for one more day. The Han army's sea power in Liang is far from being able to stop its forced breakthrough, and after a long confrontation, more enemy ships will swarm in, and the Xian army will not be able to stop it from continuing to reinforce from the sea, and the casualties will inevitably be greater than those in Rongcheng, do you want to see such a situation. ”
"I already know the stakes in this matter, and I can reply after I have contacted the king and the army."
"Then please reply as soon as possible, don't delay the fighter, I'll leave first."
Gongliangxiu's hesitation made Bai Liyan very annoyed, even if it was a family, the inconsistency of interests was always an irreconcilable contradiction.
As he walked out of the embassy, he said secretly:
"Judging from the current situation, the situation may not be optimistic."
"What do you mean?"
"According to the model established by the previous data, in order to completely win the entire war, it will take more than 6 million casualties, and this is still a compromise casualty data, at most more than 10 million casualties, which is only military casualties, not civilians. Although the losses estimated by the vassal states themselves were not so high, based on the general estimation of the Battle of Rongcheng, the vassal states also suffered four or five million casualties. ”
"What do you want to say?"
"Whether this truce is true or not, if it is brokered, the consequences will be extremely serious."
"I know that the princes will have illusions and take the initiative to seek armistice negotiations."
"It's secondary, if the armpit strategic layer also wants to negotiate."
"Then they are delaying the army, and it is very bad for us."
"Actually, this is also secondary. If they think that humanity is pinning its hopes on political peace to resolve the war, then they have fallen into their hands, and the situation will be much worse.
Not only will the armpit be more aggressive in the future, but the negotiations will be very long, and they have enough reason to delay the negotiations, for a year or three years, plus the last seven years of war, they have captured a large number of weapons and technological products of mankind.
Judging from the current information, they may have reversely researched the relevant gunpowder and automatic weapons, and I am afraid that it will not be long before there will be no generation difference between their weapons and equipment and that of humans, and the army's firearms technology will no longer have an advantage.
Once this truce is successful, it is logical that they will begin to consider negotiating with the humans in order to stall for time until they have enough weapons and equipment to resume their aggressive presence in the southern hemisphere.
And because of the internal injuries caused by the destruction of the war and the withering economy, the princes did not want to continue the war for a long time, but let Xianguo become the ultimate overlord to unify them, so it is likely to start political negotiations. Delusional negotiations in exchange for peace, and then start domestic construction, trying to industrialize.
Therefore, the end result will be a total slide to the brink of uncontrollable war. ”
"In other words, if the Jinye armistice is successful, it will trigger a series of chain reactions."
"Yes. The princes were essentially an aristocratic agrarian society, and the casualties and economic losses in Rongcheng had shaken their resolve to continue the war of resistance, and this armistice was not a good start, whether by chance or deliberate conspiracy. So this truce must be broken at all costs and they must be encircled.
But if not, with the current mentality of the princes, it is impossible to continue to promote the development of the war. ”
"And what do you suggest?"
"First of all, there are two very important things that you are overlooking at the moment."
"What about it?"
"First, the analysis of the above points is based on a model based on pure data, which is just a simple comparison of forces, and has little practical value, so no matter how much the axillary population base is, they still follow the basic social production and consumption, so the peak of the troop strength has reached more than 1.5 million people, which is the limit of their current logistics support for overseas expeditions across the hemisphere."
"What you mean is that if you don't count the navy, their current logistics support can supply at most about 1.5 million expeditionary land forces to invade the Central Plains across the earth."
"It's just that at the moment, it is not known how much transportation capacity they can requisition, how much industrial resources and economic resources can be invested in the country, and the munitions and ships needed for the production of economic resources.
So I suggest that when the time comes, use the navy to launch a naval offensive and sink and destroy their ships in order to reduce their capacity. When the tonnage of sinking is much greater than the tonnage they built, the expedition is affected.
At present, they still have a large number of wooden sailboats, and if they are destroyed, they need to be filled with new ships, which will take a cycle. The more sunk and the longer the cycle, the more difficult it is for them to logistically support and transport their forces across the hemisphere.
Just like the naval battle seven years ago, more than 300 ships were destroyed and sunk, which seriously affected the pace of their initial southward invasion.
Second, the war has been going on for seven years, and they should also feel the economic and casualty burden, especially the impact of casualties on their society, and the southern hemisphere continent accounts for more than 80% of the planet's land area, and the southern hemisphere's economic and population carrying potential will be higher in the future. ”
"That is, we have now reached a critical juncture, and if we can gain more initiative in the war, a truce will be beneficial to us."
"Yes, especially the loss of maritime capacity, it is difficult to make up for it quickly in a short period of time. And the logistical supplies and soldiers of the expeditionary force invading from the south are being consumed, and once they exceed their psychological capacity, there will inevitably be a symbolic compromise.
At the same time, they lacked knowledge of humans and their land area, so they were able to use the armistice to explore the land and humanity of the southern hemisphere in order to thoroughly understand the general situation of the continent where humans lived.
And you have the predictability of ideas and knowledge paths, so the further the war goes, the more initiative you have. If a truce cannot be avoided, it is necessary to buy more buffer time to build domestic industry and breed the population. ”
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