Chapter 930: Chickens and Ducks (1)

A moment later, Shanshan rushed to the middle hall, Lu Jia enjoyed the refreshments leisurely under the service of the people in the house, and when he saw Mr. Bailiyan, he stood up and saluted respectfully

"Patriotic envoy Lu Jia pays a visit to the Marquis of Yongxing."

Bailiyan was neither humble nor arrogant, calm and calm, and puffed up his breath to speak

"Envoy Lu is exempt, I don't know what advice Your Excellency came here today."

"The Marquis of Yongxing is the hero of the world, and Lu Mou is here to come for the Marquis of Yongxing."

"Oh......"

Bai Liyan twisted her short beard and rolled her eyes, and couldn't help but secretly say in her heart: "Does this thing want to bribe him if he wants to bring himself a high hat with a three-inch tongue?" ”

Hiding the momentary hesitation on his face, Bai Liyan smiled indifferently

"Ben Hou wants to hear how Ben Hou's reputation is in jeopardy."

"Hehe, Yongxing Hou is famous all over the world, everyone in the world knows it, and Jin Xuedi people also have to respect Hou Ye for three points, but Hou Ye doesn't know that three sharp swords hang on his head, as long as a sharp sword falls, Hou Ye's reputation will be ruined, doesn't Hou Ye notice."

"Then Lu envoy said, which three sharp swords are hanging above Ben Hou's head, and everyone has not seen them, but only Your Excellency can peep, and Ben Hou listens."

"First, in the past few decades, the number of men in your country has decreased sharply year after year, and although our country has experienced two wars in the south and against thieves, it has not hurt its vitality, and after several years of cultivation and recuperation, it is now a strong army. Although Xianguo is strong, but the population is one-third of our country, and the war brigade is less than one-third of me, and now it is thriving and peaceful, if Xianguo raises the strength of the whole country to fight to the death with our country, the result will be at most a defeat for both sides, and Xianguo will not take too much advantage.

As far as my defense of the country is concerned, what does it matter if I fail, and Xianguo has been recuperating for several years, and the domestic male has not yet recovered his vitality, just to work hard for the eldest grandson, is it worth it.

Taking a step back, even if the Xianguo wins, it will cost hundreds of thousands of elites to be buried if they cut off a few pieces of land in my country, is it worth it, the eldest grandson country will not thank you, and the Jin country will not thank you. If you lose, the villains of the Jin Kingdom and the Zhiguo Kingdom will turn their faces and draw their swords against each other, and your Yongxing Hou I's reputation will not be ruined. ”

"Ben Hou probably understands, Lu Envoy wants to say, if I send troops to the Xianguo, the Wei Kingdom has now hit the eldest grandson hard, so the Wei Guo will draw troops to the east, and the eldest grandson will not move the troops and sit back and watch the Wei Guo lose both in my Xian Country, right?"

"Isn't it, does the Marquis of Yongxing think that the million soldiers and horses of the Changsun Kingdom can be the opponent of my 500,000 guards."

Bai Liyan scratched her head in embarrassment, and her face looked helpless.

It is said that one million fights 500,000, and under the same technical conditions, no matter how you fight, one million cannot lose to 500,000. But the Changsun Kingdom is such a strange excess, this time the guards attacking the Changsun are as many as nearly 700,000, and the attack on the whole line with 500,000 is actually too much, and 300,000 people can beat the Changsun army if they are broken through. said that it was 500,000, but Lu Jia was still very cautious.

If we focus on the same time and space technology conditions, regardless of the ability of the generals, the combat power of the cold weapons of the Xian army is equivalent to that of Wei Guo, and the calculation of the combat power of the Xian State by Wei Guo will never exceed the current technical scope, so Wei Ren does not know the real technical strength of the Xian army.

Purely judging by the strategy of defending the people, the Xianguo country has no advantage to take advantage of, and if there is an all-out conflict, most of the time it will be a lose-lose situation. There is nothing wrong with this comparative analysis of forces, the problem is that the patriots do not know the real situation in Xianguo, so they miscalculated.

Xianguo did not need to mobilize for war at all, and only attacked from Ganfu with 200,000 people, and could easily defeat the main force of one of its defenders, sweeping all the way to the west.

However, Lu Jia is right about one thing, there are indeed many fewer middle-aged men in Xianguo.

Excluding the invasion of the Jin army, the black scarves were rampant in Xianguo for more than ten years, and the Xianguo lost more than 2 million people due to war, disasters, illness, and disappearance. Among them, it is true that young adults have suffered the greatest losses, and the mortality rate of boys and girls under the age of 14 is actually the highest. As a result, there is a serious fault between the men of the 35-45 and 15-25 age groups in Xianguo today.

Excluding the population that moved in and replenished the four counties in that year, the biggest beneficiary of the Xianguo mainland was the population born after the 632633 of the Sheng Yuan Dynasty, and today it is only 14 years old, and it will take 20 to 25 years to restore the population gap when they become laborers and have children.

If the war starts now, according to the design of the defense of the country, it is to kill and injure a large number of young and middle-aged people who join the army of the Xianguo, even if the defense of the country cannot win, the Xianguo is actually defeated, because the population base of the defense is large, and the muscles and bones have not been hurt much in the past 30 years, and it has lost three or five hundred thousand young and middle-aged people, which can be replenished at any time, although it will cause serious internal problems, but the system of slavery in the defense of the country still has a huge population loss advantage, and its low social survival index makes the sensitivity of the patriotic society to casualties much lower.

Compared with Xianguo, there are 350,000 fewer young people, and the impact is not only on the economy, but also on the current pension and political system, which is enough to cause the national economy to collapse, and the pressure of public opinion generated by the already civilized social atmosphere may form a domestic anti-war rebellion at any time, and even face the threat of the Jin State and the Zhi State.

This is also the reason why Bailiyan sent troops to the west that year, trying to avoid the decisive battle of the main force and surrendering the rebellion with heavy money, Xianguo can no longer afford the drastic consumption of the population, even if it takes the four counties, it will not reach today's appearance within ten years.

Therefore, the backward system is not completely without its advantages, and the advanced political concept is not completely invincible in the world, and what really makes the system an excellent tool is the production relations that are changed by the productive forces brought about by technology, and then repeated iterations give birth to newer military revolutions, and change the existing rules of war, so as to obtain overwhelming military power for the side with a more advanced system.

But again, Wei Guo miscalculated.

Seeing Bai Liyan pondering and hesitating, Lu Jia struck while the iron was hot and said

"Second, does the Marquis of Yongxing know where the biggest failure of the Xianguo New Deal is?"

"Where?"

"All the people in the world, everyone supports themselves, but the Xianguo country raises soldiers with money, and the war dead are very compensated. The Xianguo fought to the death in defending our country, and if it was able to win categorically, it would inevitably pay the price of hundreds of thousands of casualties. If he does not pay compensation, how can King Xian trust the people, and this new policy is not a big failure for the Hou Ye. ”

"How could the guard envoy definitely expect that our Xian army would not be able to defeat the guards in one fell swoop, and suffered heavy casualties, how can we know without a fight."

"Hehe......" Lu Jia sneered, and then said, "This is the wisdom of the benevolent and the wise, if the Hou Ye thinks that the Xian army will be able to defeat our army, but just try it." ”

What Lu Jia said is actually quite reasonable, after the reform of the military system of the Xian Army, the army implemented the system of stipends and military dependents, and those who joined the army had salaries, which were paid once every six months. There is also a difference between the professional soldiers of conscripts, and their families can enjoy preferential tax policies during their family members' participation in the army, so as to encourage them to join the army.

However, those who join the army and live in chaos and flee from the war will face severe criminal punishment, and their families will be abolished from all special policies.

The new law stipulates that all those who are killed in war and those who are disabled and have lost their labor force shall receive a one-time pension of double the amount for three years, exempt from five years of forced labor and all taxes in the family, and the immediate family members of the next generation shall receive a meager pension for life to support the family.

Overall, the economic cost of a dead person's loss over a five-year period is at least between S$200 and S$230, not including the loss of labour and the loss of pensions each year.

According to the calculations of the defenders, the loss of at least 300,000 people in the Xianguo is calculated and the one-time expenditure exceeds 70 million Singapore dollars, which is not counting the indirect expenditures in the short term, and is as much as 120 times the fiscal balance except for precious metals at the end of the year. If the promised benefits under the new law are not honored, not only will the economy be bankrupt, but the government's credit will also be bankrupt.

Of course, this does not include the capital potential of the national nobles and the industries of the three marquis of Qianfang, and it is impossible to get the top secret information in this regard if you want to defend the country.

The Wei Guo had previously followed the example of the Xian State to implement the Yulu system, but it was limited to the forbidden army and elite soldiers, and more than eighty percent of the soldiers did not have the Yulu, and the meager pension system was almost negligible.

In addition, the princes of various countries still have three implicit pension and encouragement systems, namely the most traditional system of adding officials to the lord system, land fiefdom system, and killing enemies and meritorious service can redeem the status of the buyer's slave and the lowly status, which can also be used to offset crimes.

From this, it can probably be seen that the direct economic burden caused by the war losses of the vassal states is much smaller than that of the Xian country, and the population of the Xian country is small, and the loss of 300,000 people is tantamount to a catastrophe.

However, the defense of the country, or the vast majority of the princes in the world, their vision is still under the existing worldview pattern, and their reaction is as slow as a snail.

The economic potential of Xianguo is no longer determined by agriculture alone, the manufacturing business is unprecedentedly strong, the agricultural output value is not inferior to that of any princely power, and the economic and financial resources and economic policies that can be mobilized are far more than Wei Guo estimated.

Further, the defense of the country and the Xian country are not at all in the same time and space, the cognitive boundary is not at the same level, after the war starts, the Xian country will be unilaterally crushed, and there is no battlefield model designed by the defense of the country.

Bai Liyan pretended to be embarrassed, in the final analysis, he didn't want to get involved in the war too early and waste time cleaning up the mess. Delay the golden time for Yongxing's capacity expansion. Once war breaks out, the country's economic plate will inevitably turn to war in an all-round way, and it will take another process to switch from wartime to peaceful production after the war.

No matter how smooth the war is, economic mobilization and post-war economic transformation will take far longer and be more costly than war, which is a new feature of the economy under the advanced economic and military systems. The vassal states, on the other hand, remained in pure traditional agriculture and primitive industry, mobilized much less resources for war mobilization, and recovered more quickly.