Chapter 60: Gambling
According to Zhang Bin's estimate, even if Pei Gai gets the two counties of Xihe and Taiyuan, he will only get a mess, and he must first help the hungry people to stabilize the situation, and he should not use troops against Leping and Shangdang in the short term.
When Shi Le heard this, his spirits perked up slightly, and he hurriedly asked: "What does Taifu mean, can there be no police on the Western Front for the time being?" ”
Zhang Bin shook his head and said: "It can't be said that there must be no police, but the two generals can be ordered to gather soldiers and horses to block the mountain road, but stick to it, and be careful not to fight lightly." Leping, especially Shangdang, has many mountains in the territory, the roads are tortuous, easy to defend but not easy to attack, only need to be arranged properly, although 100,000 male soldiers can not be defeated. And even if the two counties are lost, there is still a Taihang danger in the east, if Pei Wenyue wants to merge the state and seek to attack Jizhou, it will not be able to reach it, and it will become the end of the strong crossbow. ”
Shi Le nodded, and asked, "However, with Taifu's plan, what should I do on the Eastern Front?" ”
Zhang Bin said: "Taiyuan is lost, even if Pei Wenyue can't go beyond Taihang to attack me, I am afraid that it will meet and expand, and go north to Youzhou, although the road is dangerous and long, but slowly invaded, and there will be a solstice." Therefore, it is not advisable for me to make a big move on the eastern front, but I can go all out to overcome the disgust, uproot Shao Xu, and then rely on the Yellow River in the south and Taihang in the west, or I can hold on to the enemy for a long time.
"Jizhou is vast, the hukou is prosperous, since the Han Dynasty, that is, more and more in Guanzhong and even Henan, Yuan Benchu based on this, is to make Meng De deterred. If you can appease Li Shu and devote yourself to life and reunion, you may be able to map the Central Plains again in the future. ”
Hearing this, Shi Le's face couldn't help but sink slightly, and he asked: "Taifu's meaning, since I have lost Taiyuan, can't I chase the Central Plains anymore?" ”
Zhang Bin smiled bitterly: "The momentum of the small and big is very clear, and it is not the right time. Today's trend, there can be a comparison, in the past, Liu Bei crossed Jing, Yi, strong for a while, and then added Dongwu as an alliance, it can shake the world, and then break Cao in Hanzhong. It's a pity that Guan Yu couldn't stick to Jingzhou internally, and he couldn't reconcile with Eastern Wu outside, resulting in the defeat of the army and shrinking. At that time, if Liu Bei could restore the alliance of Shu and Wu, and be good at accumulating, or he could defeat Wei, he would rashly go east, resulting in the defeat of Yiling. From Liu Bei's death to Zhuge Liang's southern expedition, he was three years old before and after, and he was three years old when he went north. After six years of accumulation, there is the strength to fight again......"
Zhang Bin still searched for and systematically read the "Chronicles of the Three Kingdoms" through Pei Gai's introduction, as well as the relevant information of the scattered people, but he deeply felt that Wuhou's strategy was unparalleled and could be a role model for his own family, so now he likes to talk about Zhuge Liang at every turn.
What he meant was that since he was defeated on the Western Front, in addition to Shao Xu, who had penetrated deep into the territory, he had to pull out, and the Eastern Front should be on the defensive and prepare for a long-term struggle for power.
Shi Lefu pondered for a long time, and said slowly: "Six years, but it's not long......" Then he raised his head and asked Zhang Jing: "What do you think of Taifu's plan?" ”
Zhang Jing had actually been holding back his opinion for a long time, but Shi Le had already been proclaimed emperor and was becoming more and more powerful, and he had been muttering just now, and Zhang Jing didn't dare to open his mouth to interrupt the Heavenly King's train of thought. Finally, Shi Le asked him, so he arched his hand and said: "The minister thinks that Mrs. Zhang's words are not enough." ”
Then he talked eloquently: "Mrs. Zhang said that Zhuge Kongming, Chang Yunbi has a plan to overturn the world, and he is also the head of Sun Wu's array, even so, counting out Qishan, can not succeed, catch him and die, Shu is declining day by day, and finally destroyed by Cao Wei." Why? The trend of small and big is not easy to reverse, and it is difficult to compete with the world with the land of a state? And Kong Ming still has Dongwu as a aid, and he can't break Cao, now Ji, You, Yiwai, are all Jin soil, then I accumulate one point, he can accumulate three points, protracted, the stronger the stronger, and the weaker the weaker, when the time comes, Hugh said that the Central Plains, even if Zhao Tu, I am afraid that it will not be able to keep! ”
Zhang Jing's words are indeed quite reasonable, although Jizhou is prosperous, after all, it is less than one-tenth of the land and less than one-sixth of the population of the whole "world".
To say that the original power of Shile was similar to Pei Gai in Guanzhong, but now Pei Gai has taken away Xihe, Taiyuan and other places, and one has greatly fallen behind; Besides, Jindi is not only related to Zhongzhong, but also Heluo, and Jiangnan, with a momentum of three to four times, after accumulating for a few years, maybe it will become six to one, eight to one, how will this battle be fought at that time?
When Shi Le heard what he said, he couldn't help frowning, and asked: "Ran, Wenqing's meaning, my defeat has been decided, why don't you go east and be a minister, so as not to humiliate your descendants?" ”
Zhang Jing hurriedly bowed: "Your Majesty is clear, the minister does not mean this." ”
Then he straightened up and explained: "Your Majesty has commanded the army for many years, and has dominated the world, so you should know that the two armies are facing each other, and the number of victories and defeats is not all in the number of generals and whether the materials are abundant, but whether the generals have a plan and whether their soldiers are brave. If you can crush the enemy's heart with surprise soldiers and destroy the enemy's fatigue with courage, the outnumbered are expected to break the crowd, and the weak are expected to bully the strong.
The minister compared what Zhang Taifu said, the affairs of the Han and Ji Kingdoms. Liu Bei avenged Guan Yu, sent the Shu army, traced the east of the river, his soldiers were very numerous, Eastern Wu was repeatedly defeated, and Sun Quan repeatedly sued for peace. When it was time, all Yunwu would die and Shu would take the Yangtze River to the seashore, but Lu Xun conspired, Sun Huan was brave, Yiling set fire, Liu Bei was only spared, and Xishu collapsed. Why? The Wu people are united, and there is no way out, it is a battle of trapped beasts, which can be small and big.
"As for Zhuge Liang's Northern Expedition, the situation was the best when it came out. At that time, the Wei people thought that Shu was not enough to fear, and they came to surrender overnight, but they were not equipped to specialize in Eastern Wu, and when Cao Pi died, Cao Rui rushed to the young, and the lord and young ministers were suspicious, so they went out of Qishan, the three counties should be and, west of Chang'an, almost all of them were lost. It's a pity that Kong Ming knew that the momentum of the small and big was irreversible, but he didn't dare to fight, but he hoped to slowly invade Longyou from the frank road, and he didn't need Wei Yanqi's plan to attack Chang'an, and the resumption of the army was slow, so he retreated in vain.
"I think it can be known, small can not consume large, but it can be a surprise attack, and the surprise attack is to break the cauldron and sink the boat, and move forward, if it looks forward and backwards, thinking that it may be able to hold for a long time, then there will be no reason to win!"
Shi Le nodded again and again: "Qing's words are good, and the same is true for combat." The enemy is fearless, the enemy is not fearful, only I have no courage to fight, and I have the intention of retreating, which is the most fearful. In the past, Xiang Yu broke the cauldron and sank the boat, and Han Xin fought against the water, which is also the intention, if you think that victory is gratifying, defeat will not hurt the root, and if you lose your courage, you will have no chance of winning. ”
After a pause, he asked: "Zeqing's intention is that I still make a big move on the Eastern Front and win a decisive battle with the Jin people?" ”
Zhang Jing replied, "Exactly." Today's situation can also be compared with Zhuge Liang's exit from Qishan. Pei should be in Guanzhong, Fangde Xihe and Taiyuan, as Zhang Taifu said, temporarily become the end of the strong crossbow, and it is impossible to come to the east in a big way; Just like Wei Zhiliang's strong soldiers, they are all prepared for Eastern Wu. Therefore, Cao Rong wanted to summon Zhang He from Jingzhou to the west and destroy Ma Tan in the street pavilion, however, if Meng Da's plan succeeded, the Jingzhou soldiers could not move, and Wei Zhilong was in danger.
"And the lord of Luoyang Jin is young and shallow, and the ministers are also suspicious, and looking at his behavior, he is far away from Cao Ei! It just so happened that Zu Ti was seriously ill, so only Li Ju, Wei and other generations were defeated in front of His Majesty's army in the past, so why worry? If you can do your best to fight the soldiers of Youyou and Ji, give a thunderous blow, and the army rushes across to take Yanzhou, and goes out of Chenggao to Luoyang, then the Jin army will be chaotic, the Jin lord will escape, and the east of Henan can be covered. If it becomes a trend, it can accumulate in reply, and then compete with Pei in the Central Plains! ”
Zhang Bin was shocked when he heard this, and hurriedly said: "No, our army has only been defeated and its morale is low, and if you want to get a county, a gathering in March, a state, and a three-year-old gathering, how can you have enough money and grain to fund such a big move today?" And it is still necessary to prepare Murong in the east, Tuoba in the north, Pei Gai in the west, and Su Jun in the south. This is a dangerous plan. ”
"Taifu, the small and the big are competing, and if you want to increase its momentum, the only way to do it is to break the cauldron and make surprise soldiers."
"The country is not yet to the point where it has to gamble, or its demise is imminent......
"In the opinion of Taifu, can the trend of small and big be reversed by accumulation?"
Zhang Bin arched his hand and advised Shi Le: "Your Majesty, although the momentum of small and big cannot be reversed purely by accumulation, but because of this, you can take advantage of the enemy's shortcomings and wait for opportunities. I don't think the Jin people have a gap to take advantage of - Pei should have a tendency to stand on his own in Guan, and Luoyang is quite at odds with him; And Pei Gai is in alliance with Zu Li, and Zu Ti has been ill for a long time, once he dies, the Xun family and others want to seize his military power, the hearts of the people in Luoyang will be chaotic, and Pei Gai will also take the opportunity to usurp. Jiangnan Wang Dun, who has always been unruly, will not accept Pei, and the split of Jin can be expected. I hope that before that, I Zhao will keep the rock resistance, Xu Tu will accumulate, and wait and see the changes; Only when it is self-divided, can it be as Zhang Zhongshu said, and give a thunderous blow. ”
Shi Le looked at Zhang Jing: "What does Qing say about this?" ”
Zhang Jing said with a smile: "Taifu's words, just like Zhuge Liang's "Longzhong Pair", his words want to make Liu Bei cross Jing and benefit, protect his rock resistance, repair politics internally, and tie Sun Quan outside, and wait for his world to change, but he can order a general from Jingzhou to Wan and Luo, Liu Bei led the soldiers of Yizhou out of Qinchuan, saying that the world can be determined. His words seem reasonable, but in fact, it is just a mediocre plan because of people!
"Your Majesty thinks, if there is a change in the world, even a three-year-old naughty boy knows that he will take advantage of the enemy's weakness, so what should he say? If two armies confront each other, I will not move, but wait for the enemy to retreat - what if the enemy does not retreat? What if the world does not change? It is the old Sun Ziyun: 'The method of using soldiers, there is no fear that it will not come, and I will wait for it; There is no need to attack it, and it is impossible to attack it', although the reference is different, the reason is the same. And if there is a change in the cloudy world, what Zechen said before is a change-Pei should not go east, and Zu Ti is seriously ill and cannot be a director. If we don't grasp the opportunity in front of us, how can we talk about the changes in the future? ”
said to Zhang Bin again: "What Taifu said is all speculation. Could it be that the guild will judge the life and death of people, and know when Zu Ti will die? Man is born to die, but what if he lives long? That is, at present, if he is sick, I am afraid that there is no gap to take advantage of, who will die if he is sick for a long time? As for Pei Gai's usurpation...... Hehe, in the past, Cao Cao had seven of the world's most important things, and he didn't dare to usurp it, so he wanted to wait for the heir, and did Zhou Wen himself. Now Pei is just standing, can the public judge when he will live and die, and pass on his son?
"If the ancestor does not die, Pei should not usurp, the world will not change, and Zhang Gong's plan will be paid for as much as possible. The stronger Jin is and the weaker I am, even if I still have ambitions, I'm afraid I will have to follow Liu Chan's example! ”
Cheng Yao, who had never spoken, reprimanded: "Zhongshu Ling is cautious, and it should not be compared like this." ”
Zhang Jing hurriedly apologized to Shi Le: "The minister is afraid that the Taifu's plan will disappoint His Majesty's hopes, and he will be anxious for a while. ”
Zhang Bin's meaning is to first plan for the garrison, and then wait for the enemy to take advantage of the gap. And what Zhang Jing means is that I think the enemy has a gap to take advantage of at present, and we just happen to be pressed by the whole army and gamble; If you want to accumulate slowly, I'm afraid time is running out. So Shi Le asked the opinions of several other people, Cheng Yao and Guo Ao agreed with Zhang Jing, and Xu Guang naturally sided with Zhang Bin.
Everyone was arguing fiercely, Shi Le was silent for a long time, and suddenly slapped the table and stopped the ministers' words. Then he raised his head, looked at Zhang Bin, and asked with a smile: "Taifu Su knows me, so in Taifu's opinion, who will I use?" ”
Zhang Mengsun couldn't help but sigh with emotion: "I'm afraid that in Your Majesty's heart, you are still more inclined to Zhang Zhongshu's plan......"
Shile laughed and said, "Not bad. I started from the reckless, difficult and battled, to be able to swallow Jizhou according to Xiangguo, and then to the south to be respected, how can I be a guard? For example, in the past, between Handan and Xiangguo, there was Liu Yan in the south, Wang Jun in the north, Cao Wei in the east, and Liu Kun in the west. If you only take the risk, then what is the difference between me and that Cao Wei?! ”
Before Zhang Bin could open his mouth to persuade, Shi Le waved his hand and said, "I would rather fight and die than die in poverty." Now with an army of 100,000 and a thousand miles of territory, we should make a big bet on it, and if you win, you can have the world, and if you lose, you will be a martyr! Then he slapped the table again: "I am determined!" ”
However, although Shi Le had already made a decision, Zhang Bin still held on to his last hope, and asked for a private meeting the next day, analyzing the current situation and saying: "Your Majesty should not compare it with the past. In the past, the situation was indeed dangerous between Handan and Xiangguo, but although the thieves were numerous and did not belong to each other, and Wang Jun and Liu Kun were in the same room, Cao Wei sat in the unambitious generation, Henan was not strong, and Guanzhong was surrounded by Liu Yao, so His Majesty was able to take advantage of the chaos and break them one by one, and there was a land of three states. And now, even if no matter the south of the Yangtze River, the Yangtze River, and the Yellow River, all of them are under the orders of Luoyang, although Pei Gai has the intention of self-reliance, he can still respond to each other with Zu Ti, although the thief is outnumbered, his strength is strong. For example, a long snake, hit the head and tail, hit the tail and respond, Zhang Zhongshuyun made a thunderous blow, and smashed the heart of the thief, how easy is it? Your Majesty think twice! ”
Shi Le asked him: "However, in the opinion of Taifu, Zhang Jing suggested that he should use all his troops from Youyou and Ji to go to Luoyang through Yanzhou to force Sima Ye Xiao'er to abandon the city and leave, will his plan not be successful?" ”
Zhang Bin hesitated slightly, and then replied: "There is no reason to win the war, but the minister does not dare to assert that his plan will fail." In short, nine deaths and one life depend on the will of God......"
He is too honest and honest and refuses to tell lies, so he was caught by Shi Le, and immediately laughed "haha": "Then please ask Taifu to assist me and seek this 'life'!" If I don't even believe that God is in me, how can I rule over my subjects? ”
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