Chapter 46: Traceability
The morning breeze was blowing, the pine trees rustled and swayed, and the sound of training on the playground in the distance reached the theater commander's office a kilometer away, leaving only a faint and inaudible sound.
Raeder sat behind his desk and listened quietly as a teenager from a few feet away told him about Britain's national strategy since the Industrial Revolution. Although this seems to be far from the current development plan of the German Navy, he knows that the Navy is a complex complex involving many fields such as history, diplomacy, and strategy. If you want to really find a way out of this chaos, you must go back to the beginning of everything. As time passed, the amazement in Raeder's heart became stronger and stronger, and the historical knowledge displayed by the other party was so great that even some full-time historians had to sigh to themselves!
“…… Through the great leap in social productivity brought about by the Industrial Revolution, Britain, which was the first to complete industrialization, occupied an absolute leading position in the world game a century ago. The Anglo-Saxon nation has risen rapidly, from being abused by the Vikings to becoming a super-empire that rules a quarter of the world's territory and population, and the Victorian era is an eternal legend. In the course of this expansion, however, Britain was overly indiscriminately forced, and was completely intoxicated by the enormous benefits of the conquest by its unprecedented success. The British, who were originally pirates, learned one of the most violent and barbaric, but true and effective truths, that is, there is peace in machine guns, and there is equality everywhere in gunboats. Whenever anything is detrimental to British interests, the belligerent Britons will always be driven by a sadistic pathology to get rid of the other side as quickly as possible: and this is the central cause of the rupture of Anglo-German relations at the end of the last century. ”
Fang Yan paused for a moment, and then spoke again: "In 1871, the German states, which had been divided for hundreds of years, finally came together under the integration of Wilhelm the Great, and the political map of the core region of Europe has undergone earth-shaking changes since then. The nascent German Empire, armed with railroads and Krupp cannons, was so powerful that neither the traditional powers of Russia, France, nor Austria could defeat us alone without the help of other powers. As for Britain, which has always been a 'offshore balancer' that has always sowed discord in Europe, created hatred, and suppressed any power that may dominate the European continent, Germany has naturally replaced the former French Empire and has become the target they need to focus on. ”
"In the 40 years from 1873 to 1913, two generations of Germans wrote a magnificent poem of struggle destined to go down in history. It took us only 40 years to reach the heights that Britain once took 150 years to reach; With the reunification of Germany, the long-suppressed national enthusiasm finally burst out like a blazing molten steel, and bloomed with unparalleled brilliance. Fang Yan's voice was filled with a bit of reminiscence and emotion, as if he had really experienced the imperial era that was creating miracles of prosperity every day. After a moment of sighing, he regained his composure and said with a solemn expression: "However, the island country on the other side of the North Sea is sitting and watching the rise and development of Germany restlessly. The fine goods we produce have broken the monopoly of British products on the world market through free trade; Our merchant ships began to sail the deep sea, and the days of Britain's exclusive interests in sea power were over. ”
Fang Yan's expression gradually turned cold, and he said: "As a result, Britain began to hate us for creating civilization and wealth, and the right-wing forces in its country wanted to destroy us through a Copenhagen-style war: this hostility began to arise from the year of His Majesty William's accession to the throne, and finally moved from obscurity to public in 1904. They openly sided with France in the Agadir crisis, and in the shelling of the Dogle sandbank, which was entirely caused by the Russians, they indiscriminately rebuked Germany, which provided coal services to the Russian Second Pacific Fleet. War panic broke out in Berlin, the mark was strongly squeezed, and at that time our navy was only ranked fifth in the world, and in addition to Britain, France, the United States, and Russia were above us! If the development of the navy was the key to the rupture of Anglo-German relations, then the spearhead of British hostility would not in any case be our turn to resist. Therefore, there is only one reason for this, and that is the development of Germany itself, which has aroused Britain's deep fear of whether the European and world order with London at the core can be maintained! ”
Hearing this, Raeder couldn't help but be moved. Through the words of the young man in front of him, he suddenly understood an area of the article that he had been puzzled about last night: Britain and Germany were bound to be at odds with each other in the 20th century, and no change in the situation would be used as a change. In fact, as a soldier, he had considered the reasons for this from the perspective of the country, but he did not conduct such an in-depth analysis as this teenager; In particular, the insight into the essence of Britain explains all the situations like the eyelid!
Raeder pondered in his heart for a long time, and suddenly said: "If it is the strength of Germany that has caused the hostility of Britain, then why would the British point the finger at us instead of going to the United States on the other side of the ocean to settle accounts?" From the last years of the 19th century, the United States surpassed Britain in economic and industrial aggregates and remained the world's first, while Germany finally surpassed Britain in 1910. ”
Fang Yan explained: "The reason why Americans were able to avoid British hatred during their formative years was that their vast territory and huge population base provided a rich enough domestic market to enable them to solve the problem of production and accumulation in the process of capital development, without touching the overseas interests of the old colonial powers." By the time they were ready to go abroad, their own strength was already fledgling, and even Britain could not help them. Germany, however, does not have such excellent conditions for development. Due to the limitation of territory, resources, and population, the domestic market is saturated early, and we must expand our trade overseas, otherwise the capital economy will fall into a sluggish and recession, and this will inevitably have a direct and fierce conflict with the British old pirate who preemptively occupied the cheese, and detonate the hostility of the British. In fact, this is directly related to another key topic that I am about to touch, which is why Germany should build a strong ocean-going navy. ”
Looking at the handsome face in front of him, which was calm and confident, Raeder suddenly felt an unreal feeling in his heart: as a lieutenant general, he had completely become an audience that could only be silently accepted, and this young man who was not yet 17 years old had become a teacher-like existence who transmitted information to him. As for the authenticity of the article written by Fang Yan independently, Raeder no longer had the slightest doubt. The only thought he had now was to listen to Fang Yan tell all his thoughts and cognitions, so that his heart of extreme thirst for knowledge could be filled, and everything else could be postponed to the aftermath!
"At the end of the 19th century, Germany was facing two increasingly serious problems: the domestic capital giants urgently needed to find a large enough overseas market to absorb the surplus production capacity, and the foreign strategic environment was becoming more and more dangerous with the change of British policy towards Europe. For the vast majority of people in the country, the significance of the former is not known to them, but it is the most important core that directly affects the rise and fall of empires. Only by expanding its markets abroad can Germany alleviate the catastrophic deflation caused by too many domestic commodities with its own small gold reserves; It was only through the establishment of inseparable economic and trade ties with overseas that the cheap raw materials that Germany needed for capital production could be continuously transported to the factories and reach the highest critical point in the scale and efficiency of production in this new imperialist era in which the needs and satisfaction of one person depended on the whole world. If we continue to live behind closed doors, as Chancellor Bismarck advocated, with neither colonies nor seas, then Germany's industrial system will eventually be destroyed by the integration of foreign industries with the world market. For Germany, an emerging economy, this means decline! Fang Yan said solemnly.
Raeder opened his mouth, but he didn't say anything, he never thought that Fang Yan would have such profound attainments in economics; Because of his profession, this is an area that he has completely failed to cover and is difficult to understand. However, faintly, his intuition told him that every word of this young man was a deafening Huang Zhongdalu, which made people wake up from their confusion, dispel the fog in front of them, and truly touch the core origin of things. As for the initial shock in his heart, he had already become numb under the impact of Fang Yan's astonishing knowledge concepts displayed one after another. The other party can no longer be regarded as an ordinary teenager, but an erudite genius with a deep understanding in the fields of history, economy, and society!
"In order to provide a solid enough backing for overseas interests, a large naval fleet must be built. Naturally, the big industrialists and nationalists in China have given absolute support to the expansion of the navy, which is completely in line with their interests. Fang Yan paused, and then said, "As for the increasingly unfavorable international situation facing Germany, the solution also falls on the theory of Marshal Tirpitz's risky fleet. ”
(PS: Today's collection is still sad, the author's heart is cool and cool, everyone help)