Chapter 11: The Demeanor of the Second Adjutant (Part II)
"Having solved the question of whether to continue fighting, the second step is to talk about the current grim situation and our way out. You are all seniors in the military for many years, and it stands to reason that it is not my turn to point fingers at strategic issues, but you may not be clear about many situations, so I think it would be better to report on them. First of all, let's talk about the navy, how many aircraft carriers does your navy still have? ”
No one has said a word in the face of this problem, Midway has just been defeated, and the wounds of the Navy have not yet passed.
"I don't know how many, let's count the 10 ships under construction in service, we only have 1 ship in Germany and it has not been fully built, and Italy only has 1 unfinished ship. But how many are there in the United States? In addition to the three ships that are already in place, there are 37 ships on the slipway that the United States plans to build ships this year. ”
"What?" The audience was shocked.
"It can't be!" Someone shouted.
"I don't count." Cole pointed in the direction of Yamamoto Fifty-six, "His Excellency Admiral Yamamoto served as a naval attaché in the United States, can we hear him say how much strength the United States has?" ”
Yamamoto stood up expressionlessly: "The large American slipways add up to close to 50, and if they want, they can build 50 large and small aircraft carriers at the same time." Everyone was speechless.
"Second, I would like to ask how many tanks your country can produce in a month?"
There was still no one in the audience, Hirohito was unhappy, and directly named him: "Please tell the special envoy by the new prime minister." ”
"Big ...... Probably less than 300. Tada Jun didn't have any mental preparation, so he had to go through the "free bonus" on the data he had mastered, and after sitting down, he wiped his cold sweat and whispered to Ishihara Waner. "That's not a big difference, is it?"
"You've nearly doubled the amount you just reported."
Tada Jun immediately became nervous again: It won't be exposed, right?
Unexpectedly, Kohl said indifferently: "Your country is 300, Italy has about 300, and we in Germany are close to 2000 a month (the bonus is more than 20%)...... The United States is about 2500. ”
And if we add the USSR and Great Britain...... No one dared to think about it. There was a dead silence in the audience.
"And planes, steel production, crude oil...... These figures are 5-10 times larger in the United States than in Japan, more than the entire Triple Alliance combined. Cole changed his tone and said, "The numbers are listed here, it stands to reason that we don't need to fight anymore, but why can we still play and even have some advantages?" Because we also have a unique advantage, which is the result of our people who have been discriminated against, oppressed, and bullied for a long time, and they are willing to endure more pain and pay more costs for the ultimate goal of national rise and national prosperity. Willing to sacrifice the happiness of the present generation for the sake of the happiness of future generations. This spirit of self-sacrifice and dedication for the good of our country is our most precious and long-lasting weapon. I summarize this spiritual weapon as the German spirit and the Yamato soul!
The war continues to this day, and the cumulative number of Japanese casualties is 1 million, if not 1.5 million, right? Our German casualties also exceeded 1 million. But how many casualties are there in the United States? Is there 150,000? ”
A few generals calculated: the United States entered the war late, and the combined losses of the two battles of the Philippines and Pearl Harbor and other battlefields are probably less than 150,000.
"If we can keep going. What will happen if you continue to kill and injure the enemy's living forces, so that the Americans will die 1 million, 2 million? Are there any generals who know about the United States? How much can the American troops be reduced before they surrender? ”
Someone in the audience said expressionlessly: "More than 20%." If there are no reinforcements, it will be possible to surrender. ”
"What if we could get 2 million U.S. servicemen dead? Do the Americans dare to continue to fight with us? Will their people rise up and overthrow their government? Even if it takes 10,000 steps back, the U.S. government will persist in fighting. In the face of such heavy casualties, how many more losses are we prepared to pay in order to achieve our goal of total surrender? If 300-5 million, or even more, are needed for human losses, can their people agree? At that point, the two sides will be able to sit down and negotiate calmly. "Remember, population is the smallest gap between us and Britain and the United States, and the combined population of Germany, Italy, and Japan is close to 230 million, and the population of Britain and the United States is more than 300 million even if you add the Soviet Union." Less than 350 million. We must be prepared to fight for a long time and continue to fight. The Führer had asserted that it would not be possible for a great power to force the other to surrender to one or two important cities, or even to capitals. For example, the Russians. Will they surrender if we take Moscow? No! Another example is China, it has been almost 5 years since your country conquered Nanjing, has the Chinese government surrendered? No, on the contrary, their will to resist the war is becoming stronger and stronger. Therefore, we must adjust our overall strategic direction and thinking. ”
"First of all, there is little benefit to a war between Japan and China, because the Chinese have a large population and a weak economy, and even some resources are difficult to exploit, but how much does it cost to obtain these resources? Maybe the gain is better than the pay. Especially if there are many Chinese, he can't afford to consume people with Japan, Southeast Asia is far more ideal than China's goals, and if you have to choose mainland countries, British India is also a better and easier object to conquer than China - the indigenous peoples of India are weak and have been conquered by outsiders, most recently ruled by the British for nearly 200 years. If the Japanese Army were to retreat from China and attack India, the situation would suddenly become clearer. The Führer knew that there was a neutrality agreement between Japan and the Soviet Union and would not force Japan to attack the Soviet Union, but British India was already a common enemy of both sides, and was this a more ideal goal?
Second, the Triple Alliance is now forced to fight separately due to the naval superiority of Britain and the United States, but if we look farther. From the Strait of Malacca, 4,000-5,000 nautical miles west of the Indian Ocean and the Arabian Peninsula. There is no strong armed force of the Anglo-American coalition there, and the little strength of British India is not enough for your country to fight. Both the U.S. and British naval bases are far farther away from this location than Japan has from Malacca, and Japan will not suffer if both sides start from their own territory. Now Germany is fighting in North Africa, and your country is fighting in the eastern part of the Indian Ocean. As long as we open up this passage, we will be able to unite the forces of both sides by virtue of our superiority on land and sea -- this will be the focus of the axis. Not to mention the fact that the ships, steel and other materials that your country needs can be continuously transported through the Suez Canal, instead of being as painful as it is now. At that time, the German army strength and your country's naval strength will be enough to change the balance of power between the two camps, even if the British and American camps still have a slight advantage over us, they will not be able to overwhelm us in the focus area of the axis. And I doubt how much Britain will continue to fight after the occupation of British India.
Finally, I would like to express my views on the current war in the Pacific in your country. Judging from the current operational situation, the 'invitation operation' and the 'tapering strategy' no longer conform to the logic of the battlefield, and the battle between Japan and the United States will no longer be like the Battle of Tsushima and then divided into 1-2 decisive battles and then divide the final victory, but will only be accompanied by a series of long-term and continuous battles. At present, the United States has not yet obtained sufficient support points in Southeast Asia, so it can start from Australia and recklessly use its superiority in troops and equipment to attack any island in Southeast Asia. If the other side is allowed to occupy a part of it, and the Japanese military forces retreat to the key hubs, the American forces will be dispersed accordingly, and the Indian Ocean strategy will be very valuable: if the United States continues to concentrate its forces in Southeast Asia, the Indian Ocean strategy can be completed quickly; If the United States turns its forces to the Indian Ocean, the difficult situation in Southeast Asia will be immediately reversed, and Japan will immediately be able to deal with the scattered US-occupied islands -- as long as the two chokepoints of the Suez Canal and the Strait of Malacca are in the hands of the Axis, the Triple Alliance will always have the advantage of fighting on the inner line and can deal with it calmly. ”
Based on the above goals and the same logic, Germany's strategic objectives in the next stage are very clear: on the Western Front, we will integrate and coordinate the forces of various countries, give full play to their production and technological advantages, and enhance their long-term combat capability; The Eastern Front is to stabilize the situation and support the independent nation-states against the Soviets ****; The southern front was to raid the British forces in North Africa and the Middle East, to open up direct links between Japan and Germany, and to obtain the precious oil resources of the Middle East, which Japan could transport from the Middle East if it needed oil. When Germany has achieved its goal of uniting European forces, establishing a European Union, and making the whole of Europe 'speak with one voice', we will not be inferior to the Anglo-American Commonwealth in terms of population, resources, and industrial power, and then the time will come for final negotiations. Of course, I hope that you will keep this strategic direction strictly confidential. ”
Kohl concluded: "If Japan is willing to take on the task of advancing into the Indian Ocean and the Arabian Peninsula from the east, the European allies can pay the price to ensure Japan's interests and returns." ”
"Thank you very much for your excellent statement, and I hope that you will keep the comments made by the Special Envoy today strictly confidential -- Japan cannot afford to leak secrets again." Hirohito told the special envoy, "We will soon convene a national policy seminar to discuss and analyze the relevant strategic opinions put forward by your country, and we will convey them to your country through the special envoy after the relevant opinions are formed." ”
Cole bowed again and exited the venue, knowing that the bomb had been dropped and that the Japanese would definitely dig into it. What he said just now was Hoffman's leading opinion before leaving, and he didn't know how well he was doing. However, there is one thing he is confident in, at least his ability to speak around the Führer has improved a lot.
I just don't know what the outcome of the Japanese side will be? Will it move forward according to the Führer's vision? He was both curious and responsible. (To be continued.) )