Chapter 74 73.The extreme of the country, the population trap, as it is
Master Weijie said: "Turuk is eighty or ninety percent dead, Zhang Hongfan is eighty or ninety percent dead, Zhang Shijie is eighty or ninety percent dead, although I don't know what the general's basis is, but if you don't pay attention, half a day away, within a day, eighty or ninety percent will also die." In addition, at this moment, the soldiers of the naval battle of Yashan, no matter whether they win or lose, within ten days, if there is no accident, or there will be bloody rain, there is not much left. β
Lin Xi smiled: "So what did Master Weijie come from?" Bringing blood? β
Master Wei Jie said: "No, I didn't bring the bloody rain, but I want to die less and change my own life." β
Lin Xi pondered for a moment and ordered, "Show Mr. Weijie a seat." β
Wei Jie saluted again: "General Qiqi, there are nine other people waiting for us, who have been drifting in the sea for half the night, and please allow them to have a place to shelter from the wind and cold, and there are two boys inside." β
Lin Xi said: "The authenticity has not yet been identified, if we let them come up, wouldn't it make us take a greater risk?" β
As soon as this sentence came out, everyone present was stunned, and those present were all people who were deeply influenced by Confucianism.
Wei Jie was also stunned, his brain was running rapidly, and he immediately responded: "The general is wise and martial ......."
Lin Xi interrupted and said: "The radical method is useless to me, it is useless to kill with a stick, if you want to survive, come and have some dry goods." β
Wei Jie was shocked again, and thought to himself, this Venerable Master does not eat the fireworks of the world, he is different from the people he met before, but with the Mongolian soldiers, well, he is also a little similar to that Kublai Khan, how should I deal with it? No, it's not quite the same, Kublai Khan is fierce and concise, and this Venerable Master is more straightforward, so it seems that one is to use the temperament of divine thoughts to make the Mongol soldiers invincible... Well, what, it's power. And this Venerable Master, although the power in his hands is small, but there are some magical means, right?
Just in the middle of this thought, Lin Xi said impatiently:
"In my opinion, the Mongol soldiers won because all the people were soldiers, secondly, because of mare's milk and jerky, which gave them the ability to run thousands of miles, thirdly, Kublai Khan's will was decisive, and fourthly, they used plundering tactics.
Specifically, it lies in the wisdom of Qi Zhaomin, in the way of Qi Zhaomin, in exploration, observation, creation, and interpretation, so that the people can enjoy the dividends of progress and development.
The fundamental difference is that
It is to start from oneself and forcibly create personal idols;
Or start from the way of heaven and receive the way of heaven. β
Wei Jie thought for a moment, and sighed: "General, his words are subtle, and he is not sensitive to the core, but his heart yearns for it. The extreme of the founding of the sacred Chinese nation lies in respecting the heavens and the ancestors, strengthening the army and enriching the people, opening up the wisdom of the people, and reaching the avenue, and the avenue lies in invention and creation. β
Lin Xi suddenly found that this Wei Jie was not simple, so Lin Xi said: "Good things, the heart knows; What is not good is practiced to make true knowledge. How long do you need to assess your resolve? β
Wei Jie chewed for a while: "Good things, the heart knows; What is not good is practiced to make true knowledge. The general is justifying the Ming scriptures, ingenious, old and admiring, and dares to ask everyone has a heart to love themselves, isn't it that if you get beautiful things, you will be happy, and others will be disgusted if you get them, and you will be happy and disgusted, how to determine goodness? β
When Wei Jie heard this, he felt more and more that the ancients were justifying the scriptures, and their mouths were not ordinary neat, but if they wanted to convince people with reason, they had to speak the truth after all, so he said:
"Master Weijie, it is really extraordinary, the so-called goodness is that the way of heaven has a god and a spirit, the Holy Spirit is the way of God, and man is the spirit of all things. Therefore, people have selfish love, and they have the desire to push themselves and others, and they also have the selfish interests of speculating on the weaknesses of others and secretly trapping them, that is, when their conscience is lost, they indulge their selfish desires and give birth to filth. β
[Note: Romans 9:1, my conscience was moved by the Holy Spirit to bear witness to me; 1 Timothy 1:5, this love is born of a pure heart and a good conscience and unfeigned faith. Ephesians 4:19, since the conscience is utterly lost, they indulge their lusts and covet all kinds of impurities. γ
Wei Jie looked at Lin Xi with burning eyes: "The general is saying that the conscience is, yes, yes, yes?" β
Lin Xi said: "Then what about it, if not, then others are hell, the more people, the more hell around, even if it is the emperor, the reproduction of the clan is to eat all the people, do they themselves have to attack each other!" Therefore, those who destroy the royal family are also clansmen, not human thieves, and thieves with selfish desires in their hearts. β
Wei Jie sighed: "How can the general explain it." β
Lin Xi said: "Heaven has not enslaved people, so why should people enslave them? β
Wei Jie said: "The Tao Te Ching says, heaven and earth are unkind, and all things are used as dogs; The saints are unkind, and they use the people as dogs. β
......
[Note: Heaven and earth are unkind, and all things are used as dogs; The sage is unkind, takes the people as dogs, and speaks the fifth chapter of the Tao Te Ching, to the effect that-
Heaven and earth have no prejudice, and treat everything like this dog made of grass for sacrifice, it is the same thing, and everything has natural laws, whether it is life or death, let it be.
The saints are unkind, and they use the people as dogs. This sentence is to say: the saint is not close to anyone, he will seriously help others when he sees them in difficulty, just like a sacrifice, just help, not to the heart, just like a straw dog that is thrown away after the sacrifice.
The meaning of this sentence, some people look at the meaning of the text, and think that this sentence says that heaven and earth are ruthless, or heaven and earth are ruthless, strictly speaking, it can also be said to have such a meaning, but carefully distinguished, the meaning is still very large, here is the unbiased preference of heaven and earth, just like the importance of the saint to all people, not to a single person.
......
To understand these two sentences accurately, you should understand the dog.
So the dog is a god horse thing - "the dog" is to tie the grass into the shape of a dog, and it is used to seek blessings and disasters during the epidemic, and it is necessary to dress up at this time. After praying, the attendants can enjoy the offerings, and even if the dog is discarded, the person will tread, and then use it as firewood and grass, and burn it.
"Huainanzi Qi Vulgar Chapter" says that when the dog and the earth dragon were just ready, they were decorated with blue and yellow texts, covered with Qi embroidery, wrapped with red thread, and the corpse was dressed in pure black sacrificial clothes, and the doctor wore a top hat to welcome them. When they are finished, the earth dragon has become nothing more than a pile of soil, and the dog has become just a pile of grass mustard, who values them?
"Speaking of the Forest" "For example, the earth dragon in the drought year, the dog of the epidemic, is the emperor at the time." It is to the effect that one of the great uses of the dog is to sacrifice to the gods and ask for blessings when the plague is prevalent. At this time, its position is like that of an emperor. Naturally, it was thrown away after use. Before the sacrifice of the dog, the position was honored, and it was extremely glorious, but after the sacrifice, it was immediately abandoned, and the car was burned, as mentioned above.
"Romance of the Three Kingdoms, Wei Zhi, Zhou Propaganda" said that the three dreams came to show the three processes after the dog sacrifice, saying that Zhou Xuan was good at divination, and some people deliberately came to test him, saying that he dreamed of the dog, and Zhou Xuan said that he would get food. Soon after traveling, I met Fengshan.
Later, he said that he dreamed of a dog again, and Zhou Xuan said: "You have to be careful, you will fall into the car and break your feet." Soon, as promised.
The third time he said that he dreamed of a dog, Zhou Xuan said: "Pay special attention, your house will be on fire." "The house was really caught on fire very quickly.
The person who asked later said, "Actually, I didn't dream of a dog three times, why is it so effective?" β
Zhou Xuan said: "This is what the gods asked you to say, and it is no different from a real dream." β
The person who asked said, "I said three times that I dreamed of a dog, why is the result so different?" β
Zhou Xuan said: "The dog is a sacrifice to the gods. At the beginning of the sacrifice, the sacrifice can be divided into people, so you can get food. At the end of the sacrifice, the dog is crushed by the car, so it will fall and break its feet. After that, the broken dog will be taken to the fire, so it will catch fire. β
In layman's terms: Heaven and earth look at all things the same, not to be particularly good to anyone, nor to anyone who is particularly bad, everything develops naturally. In other words, no matter what things become, it is the behavior of all things themselves (including luck), and it has nothing to do with heaven and earth. γ
[Note: Master Wei Jie's use of words, firstly, is to show that he is a disciple of Taoism, which is different from Confucianism, because Lin Xi obviously does not belong to the classic school of Taoism. During the Spring and Autumn Period, a hundred schools of thought contended, among which the more important for ideology and consciousness were Taoism, Confucianism, Legalism, and Moism, among which Taoism openly preached following and listening to the way of heaven, and even the ancient word of the saint itself, which was heard by people with their ears (the saying of the way of heaven), and then gradually evolved into ears and mouths, and the lower was people, and later became Ren, indicating the person who shrugged his shoulders, and later Ren, which was changed to a king, which gradually evolved into a system that highlighted the social class structure. γ
[Note: Before Confucianism, nobles and scholars in ancient society received the traditional socialization education of the six virtues (wisdom, faith, sacredness, benevolence, righteousness, and loyalty), the six elements (filial piety, friendship, harmony, marriage, ren, and compassion), and the six arts (etiquette, music, archery, royalty, calligraphy, and mathematics) through "teachers" and "Confucianism". From the point of view of the content of teaching, social education in ancient China was completely based on the cultural elements such as values, habits, conventions, behavioral norms and norms formed by the Chinese nation in a specific living environment for a long time. Confucianism absorbed these cultural elements and rose to the level of systematic theory.
Confucianism was founded by Confucius, a thinker in the late Spring and Autumn Period, after nearly 1,700 years of the Xia, Shang and Zhou dynasties. The Confucian doctrine founded by Confucius summarizes, generalizes, and inherits a complete ideological system formed on the basis of the traditional culture of respecting relatives and relatives in the Xia, Shang, and Third dynasties.
Confucianism, as a manifestation of China's inherent value system, is not an academic or school in the usual sense. In general, and especially in the pre-Qin period, Confucianism was one of the most influential schools. and the Mohist family together with the Xianxue. During the reign of Qin Shi Huang, "book burning and pit Confucianism" was hit hard, and in the time of Emperor Wu of the Han Dynasty, Dong Zhongshu "deposed a hundred schools of thought and respected Confucianism" in order to maintain autocratic rule. γ
[Note: Mohism is a philosophical school in the Eastern Zhou Dynasty of China, one of the hundred schools of thought, together with Confucianism represented by Confucius and Taoism represented by Laozi, which together constitute the three major philosophical systems in ancient China. Han Feizi, a representative of Legalism, called him and Confucianism "the manifestation of the world", and Mencius, a representative of Confucianism, also said that "the words of the world do not belong to Yang (Yang Zhu, the representative figure of Taoism) will return to Mo (Mozi)", Mohism was born in the Warring States Period. The founder is Mo Zhai (Mozi). The Mohists were a well-disciplined academic society, and their leaders were called "Juzi", and their members had to carry out the Mohist ideas when they went to various countries to serve as officials, and the income from them had to be donated to the group. The Mohist school is divided into the early and late periods: the early period mainly deals with socio-political, ethical and epistemological issues, and focuses on the wars and turmoil of the present world; In the later period, Mohists made important contributions to logic and began to move closer to the field of scientific research.
The main ideas of Mohist ism are: equal love between people (love and love), opposition to wars of aggression (non-offensive), advocating economy and opposing extravagance and waste (thrift), attaching importance to inheriting the cultural wealth of predecessors (Ming ghosts), and mastering the laws of nature (Tianzhi). γ
[Note: Taoism, one of the main philosophical schools in ancient China, Lao Tzu collected the great wisdom of the ancient sages, summarized the essence of ancient Taoist thought, and formed a complete and systematic theory of Taoism, Taoism is the most far-reaching school of Chinese philosophy, literature, science and technology, art, music, health, religion, etc.
Joseph Needham said: "Many of the most attractive elements of the Chinese character come from Taoist thought. If China does not have Taoism, it is like a tree with deep roots that have rotten. "Taoist thought is the foundation of Chinese science and technology" and "Taoist philosophy is of paramount importance to the history of Chinese science", which has had a great impact on the religion, thought, and culture of East and Southeast Asia.
Taoist philosophy, which is known as the cornerstone of Chinese culture, has also been embodied to varying degrees through Confucianism and Buddhism after sinicization.
Taoism takes "Tao" as the core, believes that the Tao is inaction, advocates the Tao and the law of nature, and puts forward the political, economic, statecraft, and military strategies such as the Tao of Life, the Male and the Female, and the Combination of Rigidity and Softness, and has a simple dialectical thought, which is an extremely important philosophical school in the "Hundred Schools of Thought", which exists in various fields of Chinese culture and has had a huge impact on the culture of China and even the world.
The Tao is the last origin of the world, so it is called Taoism. Founder Lao Tzu. In addition to "Laozi" and "Zhuangzi", the main works also include "The Yellow Emperor's Neijing", "Wenzi", "Liezi", "Guanzi", "Crane Guanzi", "LΓΌ's Spring and Autumn" and "Huainanzi", "Book of Changes" and so on.
Taoism takes the Tao as the origin of the world, and takes the role of weakness and follow-up as the Tao, and advocates the rule of inaction in politics, and the Taoist cosmology system of "Tao gives birth to one, life to two, two to three, and three to all things" is similar to the "Yi Chuan" proposed that "Yi has Taiji, is to give birth to two rituals, two rituals give birth to four images, and four elephants give birth to gossip". Lao Tzu believes that it is the three (three talents) that give birth to all things; Confucius believed that yin and yang, the four elephants (old yin and old yang, less yin and less yang) give birth to all things. γ
[Note: Legalism is an important school in Chinese history that advocates the rule of law as its core ideology, and takes enriching the country and strengthening the army as its own responsibility. Legalism is not a pure theoretician, but a doer who actively joins the WTO, and its thinking is also focused on the practical utility of law. Legalism includes many aspects such as ethical thought, social development thought, political thought, and rule of law thought. Legalist ethical thought. Legalist ethical thought refers to the concept of integrity and the concept of righteousness and benefit based on the concept of human nature. At the end of the Warring States period, Han Fei summarized and synthesized their doctrines, and collected the culmination of legalists. Its scope covers the social sciences of law, economics, administration, organization and management, as well as social reform, law, economics, finance, currency, international trade, administrative management, organizational theory and operations research.
Legalism was the political spokesperson of the common people during the Warring States Period, and it can be described as "unique in the world" in politics. Emphasizing "don't be close to each other, don't be noble and cheap, and break off the law". γ
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Lin Xi said: "What if it is love and needs the Tao to carry it? β
Wei Jie said: "The general is saying that the universe has rules for operation, and the root of this rule is love? β
Lin Xi clapped his hands and said: "Master said, people are born to know, learn and know, sleepy and learn, sleepy and not learn, today's view, Master Weijie heard and knew it, heard the strings and songs and knew the elegant meaning, worthy of the literary and thoughtful, but rare." β
[Note: "Those who are born to know, the upper also; Those who learn and know, the second also; Sleepy and learned, and secondary; Sleepy and not learning, the people are the next step. "From the Analects, Chapter 16, Ji's Chapter, "The One Who Was Born to Know"
Lin Xi took two steps and said, "I don't know what Master Weijie thinks about creation and development?" β
Master Wei Jie said: "Fu Wen - the way of heaven, more than what is lost and what is not enough. The way of man is not, the loss is not enough to give more than enough, the way of heaven is constant, and man's desire is endless. The population is endless, the power of the people is poor, and the territory of the land is boundary, Wei Jie really doesn't know how. β
[Note: From the seventy-seventh chapter of "Lao Tzu": "The way of heaven is like a bow and a bow!"] The higher ones suppress it, the lower ones lift it, the surplus loses it, the insufficient ones are with it, and the way of heaven loses more than enough to make up for the shortcomings. Humanity is not, the damage is insufficient, and the sacrifice is more than enough. Who can have more than enough to serve the world? There is only one who is the Taoist. βγ
......
Lin Xi was very surprised, in the ancient books, put forward a clear theory of population and natural resources competition is not much, in the discussion of the royal clan overpopulation, resulting in the lack of supply of civil power and land taxes, resulting in the collapse of the dynasty, but because the imperial examination system allows students, officials, exempt from taxes, so the land and population are endless, and eventually the state tax can only be borne by a small number of yeoman farmers, this situation muddies the contradiction of the rapid decrease in per capita income after the growth limit caused by population growth under the condition that the productivity is basically constant, and even the clan costs a lot, so the contradiction caused by the contradiction between the clan and the officials is much faster than the contradiction of the population base growth, so it is rare to be able to clearly see the long-term and difficult to solve the problem of absolute poverty in population growth, which is rare at that time, China has a vast history of more than 5,000 years, a total of 83 dynasties, and there is almost no qualitative leap in productivity in ancient times a few years ago. A few more years, but the Malthusian trap \/\/ or the loop, is not over. Under the prosperous dynasty, the population grew exponentially and massively, which led to a rapid decrease in the per capita arable land area, and at the same time there were nobles and bureaucrats embezzled and enclosed land, and the people's grievances were boiling, in this case, the people began to rebel, which caused a series of chain reactions, and finally the dynasty collapsed, but with the development of population, the arable land decreased, and the dynasty fell into the Malthusian trap again, so the Central Plains unified dynasty rarely exceeded 300 years.
The one who clarified this point of view is the population theory, which is the "Zhiping Chapter" of Hong Liangji of the Qing Dynasty, which is five years earlier than Malthus's "Population Principle". Hong Liangji lived during the Qianjia period of the Qing Dynasty and was born in 1746. The Zhiping Chapter, written in 1793, was written in 1793 and may have been an examiner in the Shuntianfu Township Examination at the time of writing. Hong Liangji pointed out that the growth rate and absolute volume of the Chinese population at that time far exceeded that of previous generations, but although the cultivated land area expanded, it was far lower than the population growth, and the average cultivated land per capita dropped from more than 5 mu to more than 2 mu. He feared that in a few decades to more than a hundred years, the population would increase five, ten, or twenty, but the fields and houses would increase by one, three, or five times, similar to Malthus's view that the population would increase in proportional proportions and the means of subsistence in proportional proportions.
In another article of "Yiyan", "Livelihood Chapter", Hong Liangji proposed that "the fields for farmers are ten times as much as before, and the goods for businessmen are ten times as high as before", and there are also "those who work diligently all year round, and those who are emperors all their lives and are self-reliant actually have the worry of ravines" and those who do evil, giving rise to "the trouble of grabbing". He has seen that the rapid growth of the population and the slow growth of the means of subsistence will affect the stability of the social order and lead to a decline in the people's living standards.
Hong Liangji also proposed two solutions to the situation of overpopulation: one is the "method of adjusting heaven and earth" similar to Malthus's "active suppression", that is, reducing the excess population through natural disasters such as floods and droughts and epidemics.
The second is the "law of kings and phase adjustments", that is, through the rulers to implement policies such as reclaiming wasteland, transferring population, prohibiting luxury, and relieving famines, to alleviate population pressure. At the end of the article, "I am therefore worried about the people of peace."
But Malthus's population theory exposes the cruel truth under ethical governance, which is actually a deep-rooted driving force in the competition for resources between countries and even between countries.
In 1985, 160 years after the publication of the sixth edition of the book in 1826, more than 300 delegates from more than 60 countries around the world passed a resolution by an overwhelming majority of 99.8% to immediately print the seventh edition of Malthus's Principles of Population.
On the other hand, the United Nations has continuously adjusted the criteria for dividing high and low fertility rates according to the changes in fertility rates in various countries around the world: in 1965, this standard was 4.1 total fertility rate (TFR, that is, the number of children a woman has in her lifetime), in 1990 it was reduced to 2.5, and two years later, in 1992, the cut-off line was drawn to 2.1, which is today's replacement level. It can be seen that from a global perspective, it is an irreversible status quo and trend to move from the initial high birth rate, high mortality rate and high natural population growth rate to low birth rate, low mortality rate and low natural population growth rate.
However, in modern times, with economic development, it can be seen that the economic development exceeds a certain level, and the birth rate of the population has declined significantly, which is not foreseen by Malthus, although there is no unified understanding now, and the psychological aspect of animal psychological experiments has verified that if the density of mice is crowded to a certain extent, the birth rate of mice can be reduced to no replacement rate, and then after restoring the appropriate survival density, the birth rate cannot be recovered - note, it cannot be recovered.
However, the general situation in modern economic development countries is that the economic pressure and life pressure of ordinary people are tense to a certain extent, the cost of raising children is high, and the legal framework is becoming more and more detailed, resulting in ordinary people reaching an age where they can afford to be able to earn themselves, so the birth rate is indeed declining rapidly.
After the opening up of real estate and the emergence of a large number of house slaves in New China, it was much more powerful than the suppression of births caused by the implementation of strict family planning.
This actually leads to a social strategy to reduce the population of the general population, so that ordinary people receive more education - after the literacy rate is popularized, the quality of the population is rising in a certain sense, but on the other hand, it is much easier to let the people themselves accept a certain concept and hypnotize themselves through writing and communication, which is manifested in the fact that today's entertainment industry is too developed, and the people's desire to consume ahead is greatly stimulated, and then use economic means to directly control it, which is much easier than using the army to control.
......
In an instant, several intentions came out of Lin Xi's mind, Lin Xi really planned to see if this Master Weijie was really transparent to this extent, if so, it was really a talent beyond the times, and the ability to stabilize the country, so he said:
"Master Weijie has calculated numbers, huh?"
Master Wei Jie said:
"Old and untalented, the short is a generation of 30 years, or a generation of 40 years, a generation, or 2 people, or 4 people, even if it is calculated according to 50 years of birth, 50 years of husband and wife died, and 3 children remained, it is more than half.
Therefore one generation is one and a half times, the second generation is two times and a quarter, the third generation is three times and a triangular seven and a half centimeters, the fourth generation is five times and six points, the fifth generation is seven times and five corners and nine points, the sixth generation is eleven times and three triangles and nine points, the seventh generation is seventeen times and nine points, the eighth generation is twenty-five times six corners and three points, the ninth generation is thirty-eight times four corners and four points, the tenth generation is fifty-seven times six points and six points, the eleventh generation is eighty-six times five points, the twelfth generation is one hundred and twenty-nine times seven angles, the thirteenth generation is one hundred and ninety-four times, and the fourteenth generation is two hundred and ninety-two times. The fifteenth generation is four hundred and thirty-seven times nine angles, the sixteenth generation is six hundred and fifty-six times eight angles, the seventeenth generation is nine hundred and eighty-five times triangular, the eighteenth generation is one thousand four hundred and seventy-seven times nine angles, the nineteenth generation is two thousand two hundred and sixteen times eight angles, and the twentieth generation is three thousand three hundred and twenty-five times two corners and five points.
Just now with the replacement of the 50-year generation, each generation has 1 more person calculation, in fact, the world's acres of land have increased reclamation, to our dynasty (note: here refers to the Song Dynasty), has been almost completely reclaimed, and the introduction of Champa rice varieties, has also been popularized, the potential has been exhausted.
Now, even if there is no border trouble in the Great Song Dynasty, the population cannot carry ten times, that is, six generations will die.
At best, it will be extended for another 300 years at most, and it is absolutely impossible to do more.
In fact, is it true that the population is only one generation in 50 years? Born in each generation, the number of widows and loneliness is as few as three or four, as many as seven or eight, and there may be two more people in each generation, that is, twice the growth rate.
Therefore, according to a certain calculation, if there is no border trouble in the Great Song Dynasty, it is impossible to extend it for another 100 years.
Frontier affiliations, internal famines, wars, can prolong the time of cannibalism, but how can it be organized?
Today there is no Kublai Khan's invasion, and tomorrow the day of cannibalism among the people of the Great Song Dynasty will come sooner or later. β
Lin Xi said: "Master Weijie is a genius, but I want to tell you, the continent, the sea, the blue sky, Haotai, the sun and the moon, the stars, all things in the world, this is the wealth that we can open and use, but to open these treasures, only the knowledge of things, scientific creation, if you want, you can see the heavens, far and wide, the earth can be our cradle, the sea can be our pond, the sky can be our paradise, the sea can be our hunting ground." β
Wei Jie said excitedly: "Dare to ask the Venerable Master, what can I do?!" β