"I don't think it's the best time to go north. Pen | fun | pavilion www. ｂｉｑｕｇｅ。 "The war in India is not over, the situation in the South Seas is stalemate, the U.S. military in the Pacific is eyeing the U.S. military, and there is neither strength, nor supplies, nor friendly troops in the north, but I am afraid of repeating the mistakes ......of the Cimberia War."

In order to annex the Far East and Siberia, Japan sent more than 80,000 troops, and after five years, it invested more than 900 million yen in military spending (token value in 1920) -- equivalent to two years of naval military expenditure, which could build 20 Kaga ships, and finally withdrew its troops and gained nothing.

This huge military expenditure eventually became a huge burden on Japan, and most of the money it earned in World War I was re-sold, which is why Japan's economic problems were so great during the Great Economic Crisis of 1929.

Everyone's hearts sank, and Horikichi's words were very pointed.

"From the situation in Delhi, it can be concluded that if the enemy forces are desperately holding on, our army will pay a great price. The Russians were inferior to the German armored forces in the plains, but the level of special street fighting in defending the city was not bad, otherwise there would not have been a victory in the defense of Moscow. After that, the Germans no longer fought offensive campaigns in large cities, but focused on destroying their opponents in field battles - these are all written in the report of the expedition. Compared with Germany, our army is inferior in terms of training and equipment, and the Red Army in the Far East has not attacked the European war, and the gap between them is far smaller than that between the Soviet Union and Germany, so I dare to conclude that attacking with a small force will lead to defeat. "And from a political point of view, since Germany chose to allow Stalin and Red Russia to exist and own Asian territory, it shows that Germany has no intention of erasing the Bolsheviks. Have you thought about it? ”

Everyone was shocked, and the face of King Minoru Higashikurenomiya became solemn: at first, everyone only thought that Germany was worried about casualties and unwilling to be distracted by the war in Europe and the United States, but from Horiyoshi's inference, it was very troublesome.

"So......" King Minoru Higashikuremiya slowly said a possibility, "Germany wants to betray the alliance?" Or at least to contain us with Soviet Russia? ”

Horikichi sighed: "It is impossible to betray the alliance in the short term, and it is not a fact to contain it in the short term, but with the gradual advancement of the war between Europe and Russia, our relationship with Germany is undergoing subtle changes, do you feel it?" ”

Yamamoto fifty-six and the others all nodded with heavy faces.

Relations between Japan and Germany are still very good, and even if Japan has been pushing back and refusing to carry out the second expedition to the west, Germany has not said much. The new carrier-based aircraft, Tiger tanks, armored vehicles, and even Me-262s that were scheduled to be supplied were handed over to Japan, and Japan responded positively to its requests for railway artillery and rockets, and the supply of oil and other industrial products was also very smooth.

However, there are a few things that the Japanese top management has felt the subtle changes in Germany's attitude: first, Germany's credit line is shrinking, not only is there no new credit, but the original excess part is also required to be made up by Japan as soon as possible, although Japan has increased the export of minerals, agricultural products, rubber, etc., but on the whole, the materials are in a state of substantial excess, and must be made up for with precious metals, which have been filled in more than 600 tons of gold and 1,400 tons of silver, and the precious metals looted from India and Southeast Asia. Much of the surplus from transactions from Chinese mainland and Soviet Russia was refilled into the gap.

Second, Germany formally put forward its territorial claims to the Indian continent -- the reason was to achieve reconciliation and armistice with Britain and to reserve a colony for Britain, but the Japanese top brass believed that this was Germany's intention to meddle in India's affairs, and they were dissatisfied with it, but they did not dare to say anything, and although the other side avoided Madagascar's reconnaissance by the Spruance fleet in the Indian Ocean, Chiaki Matsuda, the former staff officer, put forward a point -- what if the Germans insisted on letting the British in a steady stream? This made everyone break out in a cold sweat.

Third, Germany has been seeking peace with the United States, and the United States is also seeking peace with Germany, and Japan will not be ignorant of the relevant news even if it is sluggish; although Germany has now repeatedly declared that it will continue to maintain its alliance with Japan, if the United States makes conditions that Germany cannot resist, Japan's situation will be in danger. As for peace between Japan and the United States, Japan has been trying, and is even preparing to return the Philippines, but now it seems that the United States would rather make peace with Germany than with Japan.

"In the final analysis, the war has been fought until now, the relationship between Japan and Germany and the balance of power have been unbalanced, Germany has less and less to ask for us, we have more and more Germans, the German naval power is rising rapidly, Ito sent a telegram, from the end of this year, Germany's new aircraft carriers will continue to be launched, and the Axis class has been rolled out in seven European countries, after the Iceland campaign, he believes that Britain is likely to join the ranks. He predicts that if there are no resource supply and manpower constraints, Axis-class Germany can build 30-36 ships a year. ”

"30-36?" King Minoru Higashikunomiya was frightened, Japan's proposal to build 10-12 ships a year has been considered a great leap forward and it feels a little difficult to achieve, and Germany actually wants 3 times this power?

"30-36 ships are not difficult." Yamamoto Fifty-six sighed, "The shipbuilding strength of the four major powers of Germany, Italy, Britain and France is not inferior to ours, even if it is slightly inferior, an average of 6 ships a year, that is, 24 ships, Spain, Portugal, Belgium, the Netherlands, Greece and even Western Russia also have some shipbuilding capacity, even if there is one ship a year, there are 7-8 ships, isn't this more than 30?" Of course, the time will be a little slower, and it will not be able to come out this year or next year, but there will be a large-scale explosion in the second half of the year after that! As for the personnel, I am more pessimistic than Hori-kun, who stipulated that these warships must be in the German Navy, and the Germans could recruit soldiers from other European countries to serve. How many foreigners were there in the SS? Even the American division has it! It is said that the fight is not bad, at least it is harder to fight the Russians than the Germans. ”

"The most difficult warships are so easy, planes and tanks are even easier, so no matter what the Germans think, we can't leave Germany at the moment, and even the Russian side should try not to offend as much as possible." Horikichi smiled bitterly, "So far, Japan is actually the country that needs a truce as soon as possible. ”

Ishihara nodded, the T-43/85, IS-1, IS-2 and other new equipment have been known through the European inspection mission, and now the No. 4 tank and the Tiger tank that Japan relies on are not invincible and difficult to deal with for the Red Army. Although the strength of the Kwantung Army is much stronger than before, it is still inferior to the main force of the Russian army. Therefore, although Horiyoshi's statement of not offending the Red Army is a bit abrupt, it seems very wise to him. Of course, this kind of thing can't be said to the outside world, Hori Yiji is now saying the same thing, the navy is obedient, maybe it's okay to say a few words, if he dares to "show weakness" like this, maybe the "heavenly thief" is coming, as soon as he thinks of this group of red deer, he feels a headache - why don't you die in India?

"That'...... So what do you say? ”

"My proposal is to rent a piece of land from Russia."

"Rent?"

"The military situation is agitated, the public opinion is excited, it is not possible to stop it, and if you can't keep it, someone will go alone, causing an incident, so you still have to move." Horikichi walked to the map and drew a circle on it with a teaching whip, "It's enough to take down the northern part of Sakhalin, the Soviet army on it is not strong, and it has a million tons of oil output, and it can also close Russia's foreign exchanges, which is a great deterrent to the Russian army." But nominally, to be polite, not to mention the cession of Russia, but to lease it to us for a period of 99 years, with a little rent every year. For example, 200,000 tons of grain? ”

"This ......" King Minoruhiko of Higashikure Palace didn't feel sorry for the grain, but the 99-year lease still made him feel uncomfortable.

"'99 is fine...... If Japan is still strong a hundred years later, the Russians will not be able to take it back; If Japan declines, it will be a good time to return it. Stalin was able to save face, and 200,000 tons of grain was also important to him, and the grain production east of the Ural Mountains was not so sufficient. ”

Tada agreed: "I personally agree, but I want the navy to send a fleet to support us." ”

"That's no problem, the main forces of the combined fleet will return home soon, the army will prepare its forces, we will go up as soon as we take it, take it first and then send a note asking for a lease, Stalin will have to rent if he agrees, and he will have to rent if he doesn't agree, but he must not declare war." Horikichi sighed, "Actually, the next step is that Soviet Russia will target us, if we don't guide it, the risk will be very great, and the situation of the army is actually dangerous......"

"Tell me about it?" King Minoru of the Higashikure Palace asked for advice with an open face.

"On the front line in the Far East, with 70-800,000 troops, resist our army. Then from Xinjiang and Mongolia to the south, how many troops of the Mongolian army can withstand the armored assault on the steppe? If the CPSU strengthens its alliance with the CCP, the problem will be even greater. ”

"Do you mean to increase the strength of the troops stationed in Mongolia?"

"To increase, to continue to retreat the troops of the Chinese mainland, Wuhan can be returned to Chongqing, the asking price is low, and the rest of the troops will speed up the contraction to the coast." Horikichi stared at the map and said word by word, "My opinion is very clear, if it is appropriate to promote the Ning-Han confluence, adjust the China policy, and conclude a peace treaty with the Chinese authorities as soon as possible, Chinese mainland will no longer send troops except for some port cities and leased places in the future." ”

This thought made Tada Jun feel stunned, and blurted out: "Isn't this equivalent to fighting in vain?" ”

"Not for nothing, we took India."

"But ......"

"Times change...... Gentlemen, with Stalin's character, suffered losses on the Western Front, and if you don't get it back in the East, you will still have it? He must not be crushed? When the Russians swallow Xinjiang, Tibet, and Mongolia -- and we withdraw from almost the vast majority of Chinese territory, will China's most dangerous enemy still be us? As long as China and the Soviet Union are not of the same mind and work against us, we will have the maneuver space of India, and life will be much better. ”

Ishihara, who had been thoughtful, stood up and bowed deeply: "Taught." ”

Horikichi shook his head: "I don't dare to say whether it will succeed or not, but at least this is the only way for Japan to survive, gentlemen, our prospects are very pessimistic......"