Guan Zhuofan naturally knew what she was thinking, smiled slightly, and said, "When I say this, Madam is about a little surprised. ”

The vague astonishment had disappeared from Dapu Qing's face, and was replaced by a very gentle and pure smile: "Aqing is dull, ask the prince for enlightenment." ”

"Mrs. Fangcai's 'smoke and water'," Guan Zhuofan said, "I think these four words are very appropriate for the current shogunate." ”

After a moment of silence, Ouraqing said in a low voice: "Yes, the prince is wise, the life of the shogunate is not easy. ”

"The rebellion in Changzhou has been defeated, but it seems that the large and small 'Yishu' has not decreased, but has become more and more intense, right?"

"This ...... Be. ”

"Ichiku" in Japanese means the rebellion of the people against the lord, that is, "riot, uprising".

What kind of smart woman is Opu Kei? She already vaguely knew what King Xuanjun was going to say.

Choshu was in turmoil, the looming crisis was lifted, and the shogunate was elated, thinking that "the world would be settled from now on". But in fact, the shogunate only temporarily survived the difficulty, pressing the gourd to float the scoop, the first fire was temporarily extinguished, and the second fire was quickly burned.

This "first firehead" was the local samurai who seized power from the shogunate; This "second firehead" comes from the resistance of the people at the bottom.

In 1833, the fourth year of Tenbo, there was a great famine in various parts of Japan, which is known as the "Tenpo Famine" in history. The famine lasted until 1837, the eighth year of Tenbo, when the situation worsened and finally broke out in a poor people's rebellion led by Heihachiro Oshio.

Since then, large and small "one hand" has come and gone. Today. There is already a tendency to burn the prairie fire.

This is what we are familiar with at the end of the dynasty. The "opening of the country" of the shogunate aggravated this situation.

Raw silk, cotton, tea and other commodities were exported in large quantities, leading to a shortage of domestic materials, and prices rose as a result. This price increase has a strong conductive effect, which eventually leads to a sharp increase in the price of rice that is not exported, thus having a severe impact on the lives of the middle and lower classes.

In Japan, silver is expensive and cheap, so foreign merchants use silver at a low international price to buy gold in Japan. As a result, the gold reserves of the Japanese feudal treasury were quickly depleted. In order to save the financial crisis, the feudal clans had no choice but to reduce the gold content of the newly minted currency, or to issue indiscriminately "feudal clans", the equivalent of paper money, resulting in a strict depreciation of the currency.

The interaction between rising prices and currency depreciation has made inflation worse and worse.

Peasants, ordinary citizens, and low-ranking samurai all fell into a sharp impoverishment.

The huge military expenditures of the Second Choshu Expedition further deteriorated the financial situation of the shogunate and the warring feudal domains. In order to pay for the military, taxes had to be increased, and the people's lives became more and more difficult.

During the Second Choshu Expedition, peasant rebellions broke out one after another in Uto County of Yamato Province, Saeki County of Aki Province, Tado County of Sanki Province, and Harada County of Oki Province. Osaka, Hyogo. There were also riots among the urban poor.

Just as Kwan entered the inner castle of Edo as a conqueror and attended the enthronement ceremony of Emperor Wazakura, a "petition" occurred in Edo demanding "price reduction and relief for the poor." It's just that the shogunate desperately covered it and didn't let Guan Beizi see it with his own eyes at that time.

Will there be a large-scale "one-hundred-up" similar to the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom in Japan?

This possibility cannot be ruled out, and at that time, not only the samurai class will participate, but also the temple religious forces are likely to intervene.

The forces that have fallen behind the curtain will take the opportunity to attack again, and even seize the "leadership of the peasant movement" and "steal the fruits of the victory of the revolution."

Japan is in chaos, Guan Zhuofan does not object, however, this chaos is exquisite, the best state is "not dead or alive", has been sick and hanging, honestly, to be a supplier of raw materials for China's industrialization, and to provide part of the primitive accumulation.

To this end, Kwan Zhuofan must do the following two things:

First, Japan cannot be allowed to "rule out of chaos."

"Great governance" often appears after "great chaos", and large-scale wars will completely cleanse the old political forces and make enough room for fresh blood.

Guan Zhuofan must not allow a powerful new ruler to emerge in Japan, and he must not allow himself to risk Japan getting rid of its control and acting on its own - he believed that there could be no more suitable candidate for China to rule Japan than the shogunate; For him himself, there was no more suitable "agent" than the shogunate.

As long as the "shogunate system" is maintained, Japan will not be a country in the true sense of the word, let alone enter the threshold of a modern state.

At the same time, the weakness of the "shogunate system" made it impossible for the shogunate to be inseparable from the support of Guan Zhuofan and China, and it could not get rid of its dependence on Guan Zhuofan and China.

Japan had no choice but to obediently become a "semi-feudal and semi-colonial" in China.

Therefore, Japan should only be "small chaos" and not "big chaos."

Therefore, Guan Zhuofan cannot do anything that stimulates the explosion of class contradictions in Japan.

Second, Guan Zhuofan must not set himself on fire and harm his interests in Japan.

"If it's really like what Takeuchi said," Guan Zhuofan said, "the small people are 'extremely poor and bored', and the first thing they want to trouble is not the government, but the ...... 'Qing Ji'." ”

Dapu Qing was slightly shocked, his eyes flashed, and then he lowered his eyelids and said in a low voice, "Yes." ”

"Madame also knows that the shogunate is really in a big mess with that idea, and I'm afraid it will be difficult to protect the 'Keiji' thoroughly."

"This ...... Indeed it is. ”

"Also, when the time comes, I am afraid that the disaster of 'Qing Kee' will not only be affected by the silk reeling factory, but also the tea industry -- I know that there is a group of people who are not clear about the export of Japanese tea for a long time."

Oura Qing was terrified.

This is what I mentioned above: raw silk, cotton, tea and other commodities are exported in large quantities, leading to a shortage of domestic materials, and prices have risen as a result. This price increase had a strong conductive effect, and eventually the price of rice, which was not exported, also rose sharply, thus having a severe impact on the lives of the middle and lower classes.

"Sooner or later, the silk reeling factory will have to be built, but there is no hurry. Anyway, there are so many things we have to do at hand, and a single copper mine alone is enough for Aqing to be busy. ”

After talking for so long, Guan Zhuofan took the word "madam" from the back of "Aqing" for the first time.

Opu Qing's heart jumped big.

He...... Intentionally or unintentionally?

Involuntarily, his eyes were like silk, and he circled Guan Zhuofan's face, and then circled it.

"Ah Qing is happy and convinced, and Rin obeys the king's orders."

*

*

Serving tea to send off guests, Xiaorui sent Dapu Qing out.

Guan Zhuofan stood at the door of the study, looking at the backs of the two women, one tall and one short, and frowned slightly.

He vetoed Oura Kei's plan to build a silk reeling factory, but the most important reason was not made clear to her - and he could not be said clearly.

Worrying about the "extremely boring" of the small people to make trouble is certainly one of the reasons, but it is not the most important reason.

The most important reason was that he could not allow the Japanese silk industry to go ahead of China.

*(To be continued......)