Ever since he became the grandson of the Second German Reich, Jochen had lived in a fear of the unknown, which others saw as a grief for the little prince to come to terms with the loss of his two older brothers. But Yochen himself knew that he did not have the kind of commendable affection between the two brothers, who were not very close. He was just afraid, afraid that this historical ship would not know where it would go.

He is only 13 years old now, and although he has made the upper echelons of the empire realize that the little prince is a little clever, this cannot shake the political strategy of the entire empire, and even if he ascends the throne in 1888, the problems he faces will be difficult to solve.

First of all, the rise of Germany's industrial power is unstoppable, in 1880~1900, Germany's foreign trade accounted for the proportion of the global market rose from 8% to 12%, while Britain fell from 25% to 21%, in 1900 Germany's steel production was 291% of Britain's, and the railway mileage was 171.8% of Britain's, and then this development not only did not slow down but more rapid and rapid, to 1913, Germany's GDP of 2.55 billion pounds also exceeded the UK's GDP of 2.354 billion, becoming the largest economy in Europe, and this qiē is still achieved when the tonnage of German merchant ships is only 27.9% of that of the United Kingdom, and the rapid development of German industry is naturally competing with Britain for a larger market share in world trade, and due to the market seizure of Germany and the United States, the decline and closure of British local enterprises. The hollowing out of industry and massive unemployment made Britain's hatred of Germany grow rapidly, and unless Germany ceased to develop industry and trade, Anglo-German confrontation was inevitable, but it was obviously impossible.

In France, although there is indeed a Franco-German rapprochement now, a careful analysis shows that reconciliation may be possible, but an alliance is absolutely useless. Perhaps seeking German military support from Britain and France over the contradictions over Egypt and the British military threat in the Fashoda crisis was the most favorable opportunity to ease the Franco-German contradictions, but it did not solve the problem fundamentally. The most fundamental issue is the Franco-German border, and many people believe that Alsace and Lorraine are actually mostly German-speaking (Note 1), so this is not the biggest contradiction that prevents Germany and France from easing. But in fact. When France asked Germany for military support during the Fashoda crisis, Germany only made one demand, that is, the German-French border was fixed, but this demand was not too excessive in the current situation that Alsace and Lorraine had become de facto German territory, and it could even be said that it was the same as no demand, which was categorically rejected by France, and then France was even willing to submit to Britain in overseas colonies and spheres of influence. Brownism in France also worsened Franco-German relations, and this anti-German ideology also dominated the French upper class. Théofir delcasse, a politician who had long dominated French diplomacy and colonial affairs, was a more sophisticated and calculating anti-German than the radical Blanger himself, and under his promotion, he established the Franco-Russian alliance and the Anglo-French Entente with revenge against Germany as the core of the national policy, and it was not until 1906 that he took advantage of the Moroccan crisis to remove him from power, but only three years later he returned to the helm of the French navy. It was precisely for the sake of the feud between Germany and France that the British government privately instigated, connived, and encouraged Germany to resolutely annex Alsace and Lorraine. It was clear, however, that it was absolutely impossible for Germany to return Alsace and Lorraine to the French. Therefore, even if Germany can ease the conflict with France in the short term, this relationship is unreliable and unrealistic in the long run.

The Austro-Hungarian and Russian problems in the Balkans could not be resolved at all, and Tsarist Russia's claim to the Balkan Slavs could not be changed. With the signing of the German-Austrian Treaty of Alliance and Austria-Hungary's increasing dependence on German support, the Russian-Austrian contradiction eventually evolved into a German-Russian contradiction.

The Russian-Turkish conflict is even more unsolvable, the 300-year intermittent war between Russia and Turkey is no longer just a dispute can be summarized, Tsarist Russia's thirst for access to the Black Sea has never stopped, and the 1915 Constantinople Agreement agreed to give Russia Constantinople and the Dardania Strait after the war was won, and the 1916 Sykes-Pico Agreement further met Russia's claim to Anatolia. After the February Revolution of 1917 and the overthrow of the Tsarist regime in Tsarist Russia, the ruling capitalist parties continued to engage in the war with the recognition of the validity of the two treaties by Britain and France. However, Bismarck's partiality and closeness to the Ottomans during his tenure also led to Russia's hatred of Germany.

And it is precisely because of Bismarck's Austrian alliance and pro-Turkish policy that the contradictions between Germany and Russia are almost insoluble.

Then there are Italy, Austria-Hungary, Russia and the Ottomans, and these 4 countries are very complicated with each other. First of all, Italy and Austria-Hungary, the contradiction between the two is the minimal, mainly the territorial dispute between the two regions of Austria-Hungary Vorarlberg and Tyrol, and Italy, the wall-head grass, after the Entente made sky-high promises and received a large number of loans, in the face of Britain, France and Russia at the same time, Germany has almost no chance of winning, and how can Italy not fall to the Entente?

As for the United States, the United States in World War I was really insignificant, and if the United States had entered the war, to be honest, Germany would have lost at this time.

From this point of view, Germany is embattled and has almost no chance of breaking out!

So is it feasible to sacrifice Austria-Hungary and Turkey from this? The Austro-Hungarian Empire itself was not united, and the Hungarian aristocracy demanded independence from the ground up and constrained the development of the empire. And without the support of Germany, it is inevitable that Austria-Hungary will suffer losses on the Balkan issue, and it is not very difficult to dismember Austria-Hungary as an opportunity, and after the dismemberment of Austria-Hungary, annexing Austria and its subordinate regions, Germany will obtain the most important financial revenue area of Austria-Hungary, accounting for as much as 60%~70% and the most advanced and developed industrial areas. As a result, Germany's population will increase by more than 30 per cent and will also have access to the Mediterranean Sea. If all of them were integrated, Germany's industrial capacity and mobilization capacity would be exaggerated. As a result, the weakened Hungary was naturally unable to compete with Russia for the Balkans, and Austria-Hungary disappeared, and Germany did not have to fulfill the failed agreement of the German-Austrian Alliance, which tied barrels of explosives to itself but handed over lighters to others. Naturally, the first contradiction between Germany and Russia was resolved. With the disappearance of Austria-Hungary and the annexation of the southwestern region by Germany, the question of the territorial dispute between Italy and Austria-Hungary no longer existed. Italy declared war on Austria-Hungary on May 23, 1915, but declared war on Germany in August 1916, which shows that Italy is not firm in its determination to be an enemy of Germany. If Germany's defeat in World War I is not obvious, the worst outcome will be Italy's neutrality. But this seemingly advantageous choice was not perfect, first of all, Russia, which had acquired the Balkans, was also greatly strengthened, and a large number of Balkan Slavs would become the best cannon fodder for Russia. It is still unknown whether Germany will be able to fully satisfy his appetite under the increasingly greedy interests of Tsarist Russia, and although Germany has gotten rid of the German-Austrian Treaty of Alliance, it is very unlikely that Germany will completely ignore it if Russia really takes action against Hungary and Romania. The Austro-Hungarian Slavs at least could restrain the Slavs of the Balkans.

The sacrifice of Turkey would be a relatively less dangerous danger to Germany, after all, Germany's attraction of Ottoman Turkey was more about this area that was not divided between Britain and France. Women's land. With its large territory, abundant products, vast markets, and above all, a corrupt government and weak national power, Germany was the best colony to alleviate the mismatch between domestic economic development and overseas markets. However, at the expense of Turkey, Germany could still do business here and semi-colonize the weakened empire. However, at the expense of the Ottomans, Russia would be completely liberated, and Russia would be unstoppable from rushing out of the Black Sea into Asia Minor and Africa. This is also clearly not in the interests of Germany. And pinning their hopes on Lenin to make trouble for Tsarist Russia? Forget it, without the bitter fighting on the Eastern Front, Tsarist Russia, which has obtained the Balkans and the Black Sea outlets, and Russia, whose national strength has been greatly improved, would not have much of a problem fighting a civil war.

Of course, we must not forget about another country that is swinging, the United States. As an equally rapidly developing industrial country, although the United States has a vast domestic market and two spheres of influence in North and South America, and is facing a much better situation than Germany, it does not mean that it does not have the need for overseas colonies and the contradictions with traditional European colonial powers. The U.S. Navy, which was extremely weak in the early days, was extremely restrained in this contradiction. In the face of German pressure, Britain's naval power contraction gave the United States sea power in the western Atlantic, so the United States was the object that could be wooed in the early stage, but like easing the contradictions between Germany and France, this cooperative relationship could not last long, because for Britain, Germany was the immediate henchman, and Britain could make a certain amount of compromise and sacrifice compared to the sea power in the western Pacific, which was beyond the reach of the whip. And the growth of America's own naval power will not make the British sit on pins and needles like Germany. And when the Anglo-German contradictions were completely intensified, it was also the time when the US-German cooperative relationship ended, because Germany could not give the United States what it wanted, while the British could.

So for Jochen, there was an unsolvable dilemma in front of him. How to change? How to break the game? This is too heavy for Jochen, one wrong step, one wrong step, and the wrong decision is a catastrophe. Is it like the older brother in history? was overthrown by the officer corps, then the revolution broke out, he abdicated himself, took refuge in the Netherlands, and then watched Germany sink for 20 years. Fallen, and finally led into the abyss by a devil? Oh, Wilhelm II hung up without seeing it, but at his own age, he probably could see it. After his death, he was forever called "the instigator of the First World War" and "the evil German emperor". This is not the future I want!

Note 1: The "Last Lesson" of the textbook used to be a secondary school textbook in China is a distortion of history, and Alsace and Lorraine are widely German-speaking regions, and the so-called "German is taught in schools under German oppression" is very funny. The author Dude himself was a representative of the German-hating writers under Brownianism at that time.

Author's Note:

At that time, the social environment and state relations were very complex, so it was necessary to explain clearly, so this kind of excerpt of large sections of information was really helpless. After all, the author himself didn't want to write a novel about Long Aotian who was a god blocking and killing gods and Buddhas. Therefore, it is very important to formulate policies in the context of historical data. It's definitely not an intentional cheating on the word count. Thank you for your understanding.

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