Chapter 129 The land is vast and the island is scarce

The county seat of Lin'an County. Anping Bookstore.

In the afternoon, there were more and more readers and customers in the bookstore. The number of people shopping outside the store has also increased. Qian Wanlin led a dozen detectives with shell guns on their backs to the door of Anping Bookstore on bicycles and got out of the car with their legs crossed. More than a dozen bicycles blocked the entrance to the bookstore. Two detectives stood on either side of the door with their right hands pressed on their shell guns and crossed their legs, while others pushed the door open and poured into the bookstore.

Luo Changming, the owner of the bookstore, was first stunned when he saw Qian Wanlin bring people in, he knew that the person who came was not good. However, Luo Changming quickly calmed down, and he stepped forward with a smile:

"Welcome, welcome. Sir is here to buy books again, right? Thank you for bringing so many customers. ”

The county seat of Lin'an County. The headquarters of the Japanese army in the Fangjia compound. Front yard main house.

"Zong Hanjun, I am a student of Lingzun, we have the friendship of teacher and student, the relationship between father and son, and we are also friends who have forgotten the years. You and I are close friends who have known each other for many years and have nothing to say. Please tell me, the outcome of this war, who will win and who will lose in the end? Please be sure to tell the truth, tell the truth, and speak from your heart. ”

"Huh? Nakagawa-kun, haven't we all analyzed and discussed the question of who wins and who loses? How did you say it again? ”

"Yes, I did. However, I would like to ask Zong Hanjun for advice again, maybe it will be of some help to me. May I? ”

"Well, that's total, I do have a lot of truth, truth, and heart to say to you, and only to you and my father, which have been holding back in my heart for a long time. It's not nice to see you today. ”

"Okay. Zong Hanjun, please advise, I will listen. ”

"Human beings on the earth, from scratch, from less to more, from weak to strong, survive, reproduce, develop and become strong today, the most fundamental condition is because there are sunshine, air, water, land and underground mineral resources on the earth......"

"Stop, stop. Zong Hanjun, you said it was too big, and you said it was too far. I ask you to tell me your thoughts, analysis, predictions, and judgments about this war, which has been going on for several years and has no end to it, and please do not expand it. ”

"Nakagawa-kun, I didn't say big, far, and expanded. If you want me to analyze and judge the final outcome of this war, you should and must say so. I can be brief. Nakagawa-kun, you studied history and taught history. Therefore, for the occurrence, process, and outcome of a war, we will think, analyze, predict and judge from a historical perspective. Although I majored in economics, I studied history with my father from a very young age, especially East Asian history, Japanese history, and Chinese history. Therefore, for the occurrence, process, and outcome of a war, I must not only think about and analyze, predict and judge from a historical perspective, but also add economic factors. Speaking of the economy, it is impossible not to mention the population and natural resources of the two warring countries. In contrast, the final outcome of the war is naturally clear. Nakagawa-kun, do you agree with me? ”

"I agree. Zong Hanjun, please continue. ”

"Okay. Let me start with the population. According to the statistics of the intelligence department of the General Staff Headquarters at the beginning of 1937, Japan's population was nearly 100 million, and during the war, the total number of soldiers who could be directly put into the battlefield to participate in combat did not reach 10 million, and there were no female soldiers, except for women engaged in secret service and espionage. China has 457 million people, and the Communist Party's war countermeasure is to fight a nationwide war of resistance and all the people to fight, and they have done the same. In a few years, the total number of Chinese soldiers who can be directly put into the battlefield will exceed 50 million, not counting the guerrillas composed of female soldiers, children around the age of 15, and men over the age of 50. It is even more impossible to count the number of auxiliary and indirect participants in the operation. ”

"Uh-huh. I agree, Zong Hanjun, your estimate is basically accurate and is in line with the actual population situation of Japan and China. Please go on. ”

"Good. Nakagawa-kun, now let me talk about natural resources, which are the key factor in the war, and even more so the key factor in determining the outcome of the war. War is a life-and-death confrontation between two people and two armies. So, what to fight against? In the final analysis, wars are fought against the economy and resources. We ourselves always talk about the Great Japanese Empire, but our country is extremely lacking in natural resources other than sunlight, air, and water. And sunlight and air are completely useless and cannot be used directly in war. Japan has a land area of less than 380,000 square kilometers, and it has a lot of people and little land. China has a land area of 9.6 million square kilometers, which is a little more than 25 times the size of Japan. Under China's vast territory, there are very rich and diverse natural resources that can be directly or indirectly used in warfare, such as minerals such as coal, iron, copper, wood, and rubber. This is something that cannot be compared between Japan and China at all. ”

"Yes. Zong Hanjun, I already feel the same way about what you said. ”

"Nakagawa-kun, I don't say that you should also understand that a country and a nation, if the people want to survive, reproduce, develop and become strong, it is absolutely inseparable from the possession, support and nourishment of natural resources, but this is exactly what Japan lacks, and it is the dilemma and problem that all the people of Japan from top to bottom have been anxious and worried about for a long time."

"Yes. What should I do? Where is the way out? How to solve this dilemma and problem? The only way for Japan to solve this dilemma and problem is to wage war against China, which is poor and backward across the sea and has a vast land and resources, to expand its territory and to occupy natural resources for its own use. ”

"Is this the only way out? Nakagawa-kun, is this a complete dead end? ”

"Not really, not really. Zong Hanjun and the Imperial Army of the Great Japanese Empire came to China to liberate the Chinese people from the oppression and exploitation of Western powers, not only to solve Japan's predicament and problems, but also to help China's economic construction, establish a new order in Greater East Asia, and coexist and prosper with Japan. ”

"Don't say it, don't say it. Nakagawa-kun, this is Japan's own statement, which is self-deceptive and does not deceive others, and China and many other countries do not believe it. ”

"Don't care if others believe it or not. Zong Hanjun, we ourselves must always advocate and adhere to this theory. ”

"Good, good. Let's not argue about this for now, it doesn't make much sense. Nakagawa-kun, can I go on talking? ”

"Absolutely. Zong Hanjun, please continue. ”

"Just now I talked about the land area and natural resources, so I can't help but talk about the topography of China's land from the perspective of war and military affairs."

"yes. This is as it should be, and it is necessary. Zong Hanjun. Please speak. ”

"The topography of China's land is obvious, with high in the north and low in the south, high in the west and low in the east. Mountains cover four-fifths of the country's land area, and there are many rivers and lakes. From a military point of view, such a terrain is vast in offensive and defensive depth, with vast room for maneuver, and it is possible to hide, hide, and run, and the Chinese people have survived and lived very well without going out of the mountains for 10 or 8 years. It is absolutely impossible for the Japanese Imperial Army to completely and completely occupy and dominate China. ”

"Zong Hanjun, you have said so much, I don't know whether I should agree with you or deny you. Let me share my opinion. ”

"Nakagawa-kun, please talk about your high theory, I should listen to it even more."

"Japan is a developed and advanced industrial power, while China is a poor and backward agricultural country, which is a reality recognized by the world, and a strong industry is a strong military. Japan is strong and China is weak, this is an indisputable reality. In contrast to the strong and the weak, it is obvious who will win and who will lose this war. From several decades ago to the present, the military strength and equipment of our Japanese empire are obviously superior to those of China, and it is an asymmetrical contest between an advanced and powerful industrial country and a poor and backward agricultural country. ”

"Not really, not exactly. I agree with some of Nakagawa-kun's views that it was and is true that Japan was and is weak while China was and is weak. However, in the course of a war, the two sides of the strong and the weak will be transformed into each other, and in the history of world wars, there are many examples of the weak defeating the strong and the less winning the more. It is an indisputable fact that Japan is a developed and advanced industrial power, while China is a poor and backward country with weak agriculture. After so many years, has the Imperial Army conquered China? ”

"This? You can say that you have conquered a part, right? ”