Chapter 16 Is it garbage? Or is it a clever strategy?

With the restoration of William III, the smell of gunpowder in the world became stronger and stronger, and the situation became tense from Europe to Asia to the Americas.

The Eastern European Union and the Western European Union are pitted against each other, and everyone fears that it will turn into the situation of the First World War again.

However, only the top brass knows that the current international situation is very different from that of the First World War, although strategically the two countries are already incompatible.

But war was still a long way off, Bulgaria wanted to continue farming, had no interest in military adventures, and British anti-war was on the rise.

After the establishment of the two alliances, the arms race eased down, after all, after the expiration of the London Arms Treaty, Britain and Bulgaria each launched more than a dozen capital ships, and there were still a large number of warships under construction on the slipway.

The total tonnage of the Bulgarian Navy has been expanded to 770,000 tons, and when the shipbuilding plan is completed, the total tonnage will exceed 1.5 million tons.

Since 1934, the navy has doubled in just three years, and after this round of arms race, there are only two players left.

The rest of the world has fallen behind, and in fact the British are a little overwhelmed, and by 1940 the total tonnage of the Bulgarian navy in active service will reach 1.5 million tons, and the British Royal Navy will only reach 2 million tons.

The gap between the two sides is constantly narrowing, and the standards of the two powers can no longer continue, unless John Bull learns from the Japanese and directly modifies warships to reduce the cost of military expansion.

In fact, they are already doing it, but John Bull is not Japanese after all, they have only converted a few warships that are younger, and they don't look down on the rags.

If nothing else, by 1940 the Japanese navy will exceed one million tons, and the world's third naval power deserves its name.

The ambitions of the Japanese were no longer pressed, the two major European alliances were opposed, the shackles that bound them no longer existed, and the history of East Asia seemed to have returned to square one.

…… (Omitted for safety)

On the European continent, in addition to the discomfort of the French who were surrounded by the Western European Alliance, the Kingdom of Poland, sandwiched between the two major alliances, was really embarrassed.

wanted to join the Eastern European Union, but Austria-Hungary and Western Russia did not agree, and Bulgaria also did not have a good opinion of them, who let them swear sovereignty over Ukraine?

Isn't that a joke? Do you think that politics is all about playing housework, and in order to gain the support of the people, any kind of slogan can be shouted?

The Eastern European Union did not want them, and the Western European Union did not welcome them either, and the Germans strongly opposed their accession, on the grounds that it was easy to exacerbate the contradictions between the two alliances.

This time, John Bull also did not support them, obviously frightened by their ability to pull hatred, and it was not easy to turn all the neighbors around them into enemies in such a short period of time.

Sandwich biscuits are often the saddest, especially those that do not have the strength, and the people of insight in the Kingdom of Poland have realized the danger.

Unfortunately, it was not their turn to speak, and even the king was tormented by the radical groups and lost his temper, and it is said that the king of Orleans was ready to resign.

Later, it was the French government that intervened and wanted the Kingdom of Poland to contain the Germans, so that His Majesty the King reluctantly remained in office.

However, he did not bother with the affairs of the new Kingdom of Poland, and did not even appear in public once a year.

First, they wanted to restore the system of electing the king, and then they wanted to empty the king, and the government's statements were more exaggerated than the other, and the king from the Orleans family had no confidence.

Looking at the changing international situation, Ferdinand sighed.

If you don't die, you won't die, and at this time the French still have the ability to avoid a large-scale war, and before Germany completes its integration, give them a moment and everything will be done.

The big deal is to exempt the major states from the war reparations, take advantage of Germany's internal contradictions, win them into neutrality, and arrest the German central government to beat them hard.

How could a central government, with only four layers of German strength, be an opponent of the French?

Even with the addition of Italy and England, on land, the French Army could still hold back.

When the integration of Germany is completed, then the offensive and defensive forces will be dispositioned, and then it will be another evenly matched battle.

In this respect, the French must thank Ferdinand, and if it were not for the rise of Bulgaria, the Germans would not have been so weakened.

The loss of land and the decline of population are nothing. The key is that the R&D and production of high-tech industries have been robbed by Ferdinand.

Taking advantage of the opportunity of the world war, many high-level talents in Germany were taken away, and Britain and France were very damaged in transferring light industry to Germany.

Now the German industry has been led astray, and it can't be pulled back if you want to. The field of heavy industry has been stagnant for twenty years, and in the field of machine building, there are not even qualified workers.

Although twenty years ago, the industrial workers in Germany were still alive, but after so many years, the technology in their hands has long been obsolete.

Without the more than 20 million Germans of Austria-Hungary, the total population of Germany would not have reached the level of the historical Third Reich, with a population of just over 50 million, including ethnic minorities.

This time, the French will not be as cowardly as in history, this is determined by strength, why should they surrender if they win the war?

In terms of overall national strength, the French also had a clear advantage, surrendering to a country weaker than themselves, and Marshal Petain could not do such a thing.

The Germans want to recover, not to mention them, they don't even have windows!

The world has been carved up, and even now that the British financiers have given them blood transfusions, they can't find the direction of development.

There was no market for industrial products anymore, and the market of the British colonies was not enough for themselves, so how could the Germans be allowed to enter?

In the European market, their products do not compete with similar products, and the 20-year technological gap cannot be bridged in a short time.

……

On October 7, 1937, at the enlarged meeting of the League of Nations, the government of the Republic of China complained about the Japanese aggression, which was approved by the representatives of various countries.

Under the tacit agreement between Britain and Bulgaria, the League of Nations made a decision to sanction the Japanese government, of course, this was limited to economic sanctions and material embargoes.

In the current international situation, it is obviously inappropriate to intervene by force, unless the Japanese government is so powerful that it is invincible in the world as it boasts.

Obviously, they don't have that strength yet. If there is no way to make Britain and Bulgaria jealous, and they need to join forces against the enemy, it is naturally impossible for the two sides to really join forces.

As for the ability to implement this resolution, it depends on the discipline of the capitalists, and the League of Nations has no anti-smuggling boats, and there is nothing to be done in the face of smuggling.

A conscientious capitalist like Ferdinand would have strictly implemented the material embargo regulations of the League of Nations, and other capitalists would not have known about it.

Everyone knows that the two great alliances are opposed, and the League of Nations has died in name only.

"Your Majesty, the Nuclear Weapons Research Group has achieved phased results, and it is expected that by the end of 1938 we will be able to test the first nuclear bomb.

However, due to limited production capacity, it will take at least five years to mass-produce this weapon! Karl said cautiously

Ferdinand nodded, the technology of nuclear weapon manufacturing is completely based on the situation that he is willing to spend money, and it is different if he wants to mass production.

At least the current high manufacturing costs must be reduced first. Otherwise, this expensive weapon can only be left as a hole card.

Judging from the current situation, it will take a long time to achieve industrial mass production, but this is enough.

Even if it is a laboratory product, with Bulgaria's industrial capacity, it is not stressful to produce a few pieces a year.

Hoarding for a few years will guarantee a smooth landing of Bulgaria in a world war, and this is not the main battle weapon.

"Let's conduct experiments in secret, in the depths of the desert for safety, and it's better to identify places that have no value, so as not to cause trouble in the future!" Ferdinand explained

He can't be careless, there are many deserts in Bulgaria, and there is also a lot of oil buried in the Bulgarian desert.

In case of the wrong location and nuclear tests are carried out on these oil fields, then the economic losses will be great.

……

1938 was destined to be an eventful year, the Spanish Civil War entered its climax, and the Republicans were doomed to be unable to hold up the wall, even with the support of the British, they were still at a disadvantage.

This kind of disadvantage is not only military, but also political, there is no harm without comparison, and the two sides have come to a worse game.

Politically, the nascent republican regime quickly degenerated before it had time to grow stronger; Militarily, the military discipline of the troops was lax, which caused untold suffering to the people.

In contrast, Spain's right-wing bloc fared slightly better. In terms of local governance, they have basically remained stable, and although it is a dictatorship, they are not so corrupt.

If nothing else, in this round of the game in Spain, the French are going to win this time, and it is difficult to say whether they can establish a Franco-Spanish alliance.

"Father, as you might expect, the Japanese did attack Soviet Russia. In the early hours of the Far Eastern time last night, the Japanese Kwantung Army and the Korean Army launched a sneak attack on the Soviets.

Judging from the current situation, Soviet Russia is now at a disadvantage, and in a future war, Soviet Russia will not be able to cause us trouble. Ferdinand Jr. said with a smile

This is all the pot of the Soviet Russian government, and in order to obtain foreign exchange, Soviet Russia had to export mineral resources to Japan.

In 1937 alone, the total amount of ore exported by Soviet Russia to Japan exceeded 10 million tons, which aroused the interest of the Japanese.

The husband is not guilty, but he is guilty!

Soviet Russia, which was in the process of industrialization, became a fat sheep in the eyes of the Japanese, and the war broke out.

"It is estimated that it will not be long before the Japanese government will regret attacking two vast countries at the same time, and they will have to suffer.

It is true that Soviet Russia is no match for them now, and it is not necessarily when winter comes.

Now there are only a few countries in the world that have the ability to fight in the winter in Russia, and this does not include Japan! Ferdinand said with a sneer

If it were Ferdinand, he would never have started a war against two neighbors at the same time, don't look at them as weak, but he can't stand the vast territory of others?

A large population, and a natural umbrella for winter, are not something that can be done in a short time. For an island nation, a protracted war means disaster!

In terms of difficulty, the Japanese government's strategy is completely a hell copy, and two hell copies have been opened at the same time.

According to normal people's thinking, the best chance for Japan to invade Soviet Russia was just after the end of the Russian Civil War.

At that time, Soviet Russia was at its weakest, taking advantage of the blockade of Soviet Russia by Western Russia and Eastern Russia, as soon as the war broke out, Soviet Russia could cut off the channels for Soviet Russia to obtain weapons and ammunition from the outside world, and at the same time, there were not enough young and strong soldiers in the hands of Comrade Iron and Steel to fight the war.

Then if they grind slowly, they can still win the war, which is nothing more than joining forces with Eastern Russia and Western Russia to carve up Soviet Russia.

It is a pity that the Japanese government was coerced by lower-level military officers at that time, believing that Soviet Russia was a wild land with no value, and chose to take action against another neighbor.

With the continuous expansion of the trade volume between the two countries, Japan discovered that the Far East is not a wilderness, and there are rich mineral resources, so what else to say?

One word, of course - dry!

"Father, I don't think the Japanese government's decision this time is wrong!" Ferdinand Jr. disagreed

"Tell me?" Ferdinand asked, confused

"Now the two major European alliances are facing each other, but after all, there is no fight yet.

When two lions compete, it is not necessarily the onlooker wild dogs who benefit, and it is likely that before the outbreak of war, the wild dogs have become a snack in the stomach of the male lion.

It is estimated that the Japanese government has also seen this problem, and if they are not deeply mired in the quagmire of war, how can we and the British be at ease to start fighting?

If we choose to clear the site early, they will bear the brunt. Even if they were thousands of miles away, they would still not be our opponents.

If they are strong enough, maybe after our two major alliances kill them, everyone will be tired of fighting, and the war that may break out will disappear completely. Wouldn't that be a tragedy for the Japanese? Ferdinand Jr. analyzed

Ferdinand smiled slightly, yes, little Ferdinand also saw it in his analysis, as the so-called seeing through and not saying it, it should be a test of his son's international observation. Looking at it now, the results are still very satisfying to him.

Perhaps, in the eyes of later generations, how unreliable and ridiculous the Japanese government's strategy is, this is indeed the most correct choice for them now.

Ever since the lessons of the First World War, European countries have been very restrained in their approach to war. In addition to the upsurge of anti-war movements among the people, there is more concern about being profited from.

Even the battle plan of the Bulgarian General Staff had a plan to clear the field in advance, including the first abolition of the Japanese, not to mention the British.

As long as John Bull doesn't want to lose Southeast Asia, India, Australia and New Zealand after the battle, then it is very necessary to pull out the hidden danger of Japan in advance.

……