Chapter 47, Oil Prices
Negotiations between Bulgaria and Russia on loans have quietly begun, and Bulgaria's 10-year plan to invest in the largest transportation has also been put on the agenda.
Rolex Tole said cautiously: "Today, the core of the congress - transport, including railways and roads, is expected to have a total investment of 60 billion leva.
First, the Baghdad railway will resume work and extend it to the Persian Gulf region, with an estimated total investment of 185 million leva;
second, the construction of a railway from the peninsula of Asia Minor to Jerusalem, ordered to be the Quds Railway, with an estimated total investment of 2,860,000,000,000 leva;
Third, the construction of a railway around the Arabian Peninsula, through Iraq to complete the docking with the Baghdad railway, through Jordan to complete the docking with the Quds railway, the total investment is expected to be 9.84 billion leva;
Fourth, the construction of 72 branch lines along the Baghdad Railway and the Al-Quds Railway, with an estimated total investment of 4.56 billion leva;
Specific branch lines include the St. French Railway, the Tamar Railway, and the Yaori Siqi Railway......
Fifth, the construction of the railway around the southwestern part of the Balkan Peninsula will connect our home border, with an estimated total investment of 2.84 billion leva;
Article 6 In order to strengthen its control over the colonies, the Ministry of Communications decided to build thirteen railways in the African colonies, with an estimated total investment of 186 million leva;
Including: Nigerian Railways, Libyan Railways, Namibia Railways, Kenya Railways
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Article 36 The Ministry of Communications plans to implement the implementation of highways covering counties within 10 years, third-class highways covering towns and towns, and fourth-class highways connecting 80 percent of the local villages, with an estimated total investment of 18.97 billion leva; (No restriction on the source of funds)
Article 37 The Ministry of Communications plans to invest 7.86 billion leva to build highways between major cities in Asia Minor; (No restriction on the source of funds)
Article 37 The Ministry of Communications plans to invest 9.68 billion leva in the highway plan for special areas, including important ports, industrial bases, industrial raw material production areas, and military important places, to implement a railway and highway coverage plan for these areas; (Domestic Funds Only)
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After reading it, Rolex Totel joked: "I can breathe a sigh of relief when I finally finish reading it, and when I look at the numbers on it, I think it was an extra zero, and I was so scared that I thought it was three times to make sure that there were no mistakes, and then I dared to read it!" ”
Sure enough, the humor of the Bulgarians is not very good, and the atmosphere is enlivened, and there is still no one laughing out loud below, and it seems that many people are still immersed in the figure of 60 billion.
Rolex Totel did not continue to talk nonsense, and directly said: "Now the parliamentarian who has doubts, please raise your hand!" ”
As soon as his voice fell, he raised his hands in unison, and almost 90 percent of the councillors raised their hands at a glance, and it seemed that there were not a few people who had doubts.
Rolex Totel was still unfazed and said, "Okay, the gentleman in the middle of the first row, please ask a question!" ”
The man who was named stood up and said with some anger: "Mr. Beshir, please tell me the value of building the railway around the Arabian Peninsula, with all due respect, although the Arabian Peninsula is vast, it is still sand except sand!"
We invest heavily in it, where is the return? With the few nomads on the island, they can provide us with up to 300,000 cattle and 1 million sheep every year, which must be exchanged for food, and this investment will not recoup the cost for 10,000 years! ”
Beshir Ivanov replied unhurriedly: "First of all, I would like to correct that the Arabian Peninsula is not just sand, and in terms of strength, the desert occupies only one-third of the peninsula's area. Although most of the remaining land is wasteland and mountains, it is not completely devoid of economic value!
In addition to the economic value, we must also take into account the military value, the Persian Gulf is the most important port of our access to the Indian Ocean, and in the future it will be the largest military base for our navy!
Preparations for oil exploitation in Iraq have already begun, and transportation must also be carried out in the ports of the Persian Gulf, where Bulgaria's main source of oil in the future will be.
To protect our overseas colonies, the navy departs much faster from the Persian Gulf than from the Mediterranean.
Maybe you don't know it, but on the whole, our overseas colonies can already break even, or it won't be long before we can make up for the country!
And there are still mineral resources we need in the colony, once developed, it will completely change the status quo of our insufficient mineral resources!
For the sake of strategic security, we have to strengthen our control over the Arabian Peninsula, so the Ring Island Railway of the Arabian Peninsula is a must! ”
The crowd fell silent, as if they were calculating whether it was worth it.
That's right, after reaching a deal with the British, Bulgaria's colonies were finally not in a state of loss, and the new richer colonies were still profitable every year, and the colonies in Africa finally broke even.
Of course, the Asia Minor, Iraq, the Middle East, and the Arabian Peninsula are not counted, and these areas belong to the construction zone, otherwise they are still in a state of loss.
As if perceiving this, Beshir Ivanov once again added: "This century is the age of the oceans, and if Bulgaria does not want to nest in the Mediterranean forever, then going to the ocean is inevitable, and the Persian Gulf strategy is our first step!" ”
"Marine Strategy"! This reason is undoubtedly much more convincing than the least one, and it can be said that ambitious countries all over the world are fighting for it!
There are successes and failures! The British Empire was the most successful, and everyone was vying to follow suit.
After more than a century of hard work, the Russians managed to make their way out of the Baltic Sea, only to have a civil war that broke out and was declared defeated.
The Germans were even more miserable, the world's first army power, dominating Central Europe, but when they were heading towards the ocean, they were blocked by the British and sunk in the sand!
The Americans' ambitious ocean plan, which had just begun and was about to succeed, ushered in the "American flu", which was beaten up by the whole world and went to division.
Now it's Bulgaria's turn, what should the maritime strategy do? It is certainly impossible to fight directly with the Germans and Americans in open flames.
From suppressing the expansion of the navy, they knew that the government did not intend to stand up and challenge the supremacy of the British Empire, which made everyone breathe a sigh of relief and regret!
Rolex Totle's voice rang again in everyone's ears: "Third row, Mr. 10th on the left, please speak!" ”
The old man stood up and asked, "May I ask Mr. Beshear, what is the government's maritime strategy?" Is it convenient to disclose? ”
Beshir Ivanov thought for a while and said: "This is not a secret, the maritime strategy formulated by the Bulgarian government is mainly economic, and there is no plan to participate in the competition for world hegemony, and we do not have that strength!" ”
The old man did it with satisfaction, this reply is very reassuring, with Bulgaria's current strength, as long as it does not come out to challenge the world hegemony of the British Empire, it is appropriate to be a regional hegemon!
Rolex Tote spoke again: "Now if you have any questions, please raise your hand!"
In the second row, the first gentleman on the right-hand side, please ask! ”
The man said directly: "May I ask Mr. Beshear, is it necessary for us to build a railway in the African colonies?" Of course, I'm not talking about all the railways in here, but some of them are so economically bad that I don't see the value of building them!
If it is to maintain the rule, those rotten lands should not be spied on by the great powers! As for the natives, I don't think they can threaten our rule! ”
Beshir Ivanov smiled and said: "The question is simple, now those areas are not valuable, and when the railway is built, it will be valuable."
You should also note that we did not invest much money in the African colonies, and the main purpose was to improve transportation in some areas and facilitate the development of local mineral resources.
No matter how bad it is, you can develop a few plantations in the local area, which will be profitable in the long run, and these investments will pay for themselves within five to ten years after the completion of the railway! ”
Although he didn't say it, everyone understands that the biggest expense of building a railway is manpower, and there is cheap labor to use, and the cost of building a railway in Africa is much lower than that in Africa.
The same is true for the mining and plantation in the back, using cheap local labor to reduce production costs, even if the freight is higher, it is still profitable!
The silence was broken by the voice of Rolex Todd: "First row, gentleman on the far right, please ask!" ”
The man asked suspiciously: "Mr. Beshear, our Ministry of Communications has invested so much this time, has it considered our financial affordability?"
Six billion leva, even if it is invested in ten years, is six billion leva per year, which has almost spent our whole year's finances! ”
Beshir Ivanov said unhurriedly: "Not almost, our financial income for this year is less than six billion leva? I think we will be able to break through next year!
If all the government invests, we can declare bankruptcy, after all, in addition to the Ministry of Transportation, there are other departments that everyone is asking for money.
As we all know, at present, our Bulgarian railway company has made a profit, although it is only four or five billion yuan a year, which is also a report!
This time, the railways will still be mainly invested by the government, and the roads will be mainly private capital, and we will open tenders from all over the world to hand over our domestic roads to the capitalists for construction.
At present, the government has designed a profit channel for them to build gas stations and grocery stores on both sides of the road, and the government is responsible for helping them acquire land.
Of course, this is only an idea, and what the final result will be is still to be discussed, and we are not sure whether the capitalists will be able to accept this new model of cooperation, and we do not rule out the possibility of setting up toll booths on the highways!
In this way, the total investment of the railway plan alone is 25.8 billion leva, and the government's financial allocation of 5 billion leva is about the same, and the railway company can provide more than 5 billion leva by itself, and the remaining 15 billion leva will be used by the railway company to borrow money from domestic banks to undertake the construction! ”
Fortunately, it is a loan from a domestic bank, and if the right of way is mortgaged to a foreign bank, it is estimated that many people will jump out.
The man was surprised and asked, "Mr. Beshir, can you make a profit from the gas station alone?" You must know that all the motor vehicles in our country add up, only two or three million, and the number of cars is less than one million. ”
Beshir Ivanov explained: "The data you said is not accurate, it is from last year, the growth rate of motor vehicles in our country is 38.6 percent, and the growth rate of cars is 25.4 percent!"
Although it is impossible to maintain such a high growth rate, there is no problem for the total number of motor vehicles in the country to exceed 10 million within ten years.
According to the average annual refueling fee of 1,000 leva per car, then their revenue is 10 billion leva, of course, this also includes the cost of road maintenance in the later stage.
This figure should be able to break even, if the capitalists want to make a profit, they may have to wait, when one day we do it every household has a car, they will make a lot of money, this is a long-term investment!
If the capitalists can't accept it, we will also consider letting them charge motor vehicle tolls on the highway to shorten their time to profit! ”
Like most people, Beshir Ivanov is not sure whether the capitalists can make a profit just by relying on gas stations, after all, oil prices cannot rise indefinitely, and if the price is too high, it will discourage everyone from buying a car.
Bulgaria has a limited population, and in their opinion, the number of 10 million motor vehicles in the country has almost reached the limit, and under this number, it may not be a problem to make a profit, but it is definitely not so easy to make money.
Therefore, this business is destined to be done only by Ferdinand, the future oil tycoon, even if the profits of the gas station are not enough to achieve profits, but the oil companies make money, which is regarded as the early investment in cultivating the market.
Everyone fell into deep thought, and suddenly someone raised their hands again, and Rolex Totel did not talk nonsense, and said directly: "Fourth row, the second gentleman on the left, please ask a question!" ”
The man was embarrassed and said, "Mr. Beshir, is there a time limit for this?" ”
Beshir Ivanov asked in confusion: "Do you ask about the gas station or the toll booth?" If it is a gas station, I think there should be no time limit, after all, in addition to building highways, capitalists are also responsible for the village road, the investment in this is too large, we don't know how long it will take them to return to their capital!
If it is a highway toll station, it should be time-limited, do not undertake the construction of ordinary roads, and the investment in building highways alone is not so large, and it is easier to make profits! ”
This is also a matter of no way, if you only build highways, do not stop ordinary highways, people can refuel and then get on the highway, do not monopolize the country's gas stations, don't want to make money!
It's not just that the government wants to bundle business with the capitalists, but for the sake of profit, they have to do it!
The man continued to ask, "And Mr. Beshir, what about the farm vehicles?" Ordinary family cars, those who can afford to use them are rich people, even if the price of oil rises two or three times, they can afford it, but what about our agricultural vehicles and transport vehicles?
The average person can't afford it, and it's going to hit our current mechanized agriculture! ”
Beshir Ivanov calmly replied: "This problem does exist, but your guess probably won't happen!"
The first capitalists are not stupid and cannot set a high price that most people cannot afford, so that they cannot sell their oil;
Second, there is a price bureau, the government will not sit idly by and watch the price of oil soar, for example, once the oil price soars, the government will issue regulations to limit the price of oil for agricultural machinery and transportation vehicles.
What the capitalists can fully control is the price of private car oil, which is a luxury, as you just said, even if the price of oil rises two or three times, they can accept it! ”
Well, in this era, everyone's car is still the standard for the rich, at least it is only bought by the middle class, and there is no need for everyone to think about the price of oil for them.
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