Chapter 49: Preparing for War

Under Ferdinand's butterfly effect, the rubber crisis that broke out in 1911 did not turn into a global economic crisis.

It is hilarious to investigate the causes, mainly because the economic crisis that began in the United States in 1907 and lasted until 1909.

Under the natural law of survival of the fittest, the economy that exploded in 1907 had eliminated a large amount of production capacity, and now the capitalist world economy is in a period of recovery.

Except for a few industries, most industries do not have the problem of overproduction, and there are not many industries involved in the rubber stock market, so there will naturally be no economic crisis.

Therefore, in this feast of capital, Ferdinand did not reap too many benefits, far less than the Jewish capitalists who were wantonly shorting, and the sequelae was that the European anti-Semitic movement began to rise again on the European continent!

Oh, this is not a big gain, it is Ferdinand thinks of himself, in fact, the benefit this time is still very rich.

"Carl Jr. takes stock of what we've learned." Ferdinand said lightly

"Yes, Your Majesty!" Carl Jr. replied

"Since 1902, we have laid out the layout of the rubber market in advance, invested a total of 15 million leva (about 600,000 pounds), established 38 large and small rubber companies, and owned 186 rubber plantations in Southeast Asia, covering an area of 10,000 hectares.

After operation, it was listed in London, Shanghai, New York, Paris and other places, and the total market value of the company approached 30 million pounds at its peak.

Before the stock market crash, we sold off and cashed out 8 million pounds, and before that, our company earned about 3.8 million pounds from the issuance of shares, and made a total profit of 10.36 million pounds excluding costs!

Later, we spent nearly half a million pounds to buy back the shares, and now we are delisting from the stock exchange! ”

From the point of view of return on investment, the profit is sixteen times in eight years, and even if it is converted to each year, the annual return on investment is more than 40%, which seems to be a high number.

In fact, Ferdinand knew that if he didn't have his own bank to operate, he probably wouldn't have been able to get even a third of this profit!

There is no way, how can you speculate on stocks without the cooperation of financial institutions?

Compared with the windfall profits of the financial industry, the rate of return on investment in the industry is too low!

Ferdinand doesn't have to think about it, he knows that this sell-off of stocks can't just sell his own company, and even the stocks that people mortgaged to bank loans have been sold in one go!

After the stock market crashes, the bank buys it back from the market at the price of cabbage, and then continues to recover the insufficient part from the creditor with the collateral, otherwise how can it make so much profit just by selling its own stocks?

Well, Ferdinand still has to be faced, and he didn't take advantage of the fire to rob after the stock market crash broke out, otherwise this profit could have increased by at least half!

As for the companies acquired later, Carl Jr. didn't mention it, and Ferdinand didn't ask, he knew that there were not many industries affected this time, and the harvest would naturally not be very large.

Except for a few unlucky capitalists who like to play finance very much, most of the capitalists are still a little bit of a brain, and the stock market crash once every few years on average has taught them not to gamble on stocks or to gamble on their net worth!

Therefore, most of the people who are really affected are the middle class, and ordinary people, who are fooled by the good news of the stock market and become the ultimate victims!

……

"My dear, you haven't picked the names of the fifth and sixth yet?" Queen Xenia said coquettishly

Ferdinand smiled awkwardly, choosing a name is also a troublesome job, especially since there are already four in front, and the names that were eliminated before must not be used now, otherwise it is a lack of attention to the twins, at least Xenia will not allow Ferdinand to be perfunctory!

However, for the sake of the name, their four brothers have eliminated hundreds of names, and there are not many names in the Western world, and when it was the turn of the two of them, Ferdinand had a headache, and for the first time, he felt that it was also a trouble to have more children!

Now Ferdinand still admires himself for being rational enough and not making a bunch of illegitimate children, otherwise this headache index will be +10086!

"Honey, what do you have a good offer?" Ferdinand shook the pot decisively

Xenia rolled her eyes, the meaning was obvious, you were the head of the family, this was your problem.

At this point, they really have something in common. They can find a lot of faults in the names that others think, but they can't think of a suitable name for themselves!

……

Ferdinand's troubles did not last long, and the surprise visit of the Foreign Secretary temporarily relieved him from this trouble, but a new trouble arose!

"Your Majesty, the Franco-German negotiations have failed, and now the Germans have sent warships to Morocco, the two sides are facing each other, and the French are asking us to provide diplomatic support and be ready for war!" Metev said

Although he had been prepared, when all this happened, Ferdinand was still a little worried, history had changed, and the advantage of the Entente was much stronger now than it was at the same time in history.

So will the French burst with self-confidence, thinking that the time has come for revenge, and simply drag everyone into the water and start a war in advance?

This is an era where strength speaks!

If war had broken out now, many of Ferdinand's plans would have been in vain. Judging by Bulgaria's current strength, it will be difficult to get the benefits that Ferdinand wants after the war.

"Well, tell the French that we will cooperate with them diplomatically, but it will take some time to prepare for war!" Ferdinand said lightly

Ferdinand was still very disciplined in this regard, and Bulgaria has not received any less help from the French over the years, and now it is time to repay.

But Ferdinand didn't fool enough to tell the French that we were ready to do it!

Oh, it seems that Bulgaria is really not ready for war now, and it seems that some things need to be prepared in advance now.

……

After sending the Foreign Secretary away, Ferdinand instructed his attendants: "Inform the Military Council to convene a military meeting tomorrow morning. ”

Although Bulgaria will not be the focus of the Allies' attack because of its geographical location, the preparations that should be done still have to be done, and it is not Ferdinand's style to just be beaten and not fight back!

Relying on the Balkan Mountains, in fact, Bulgaria's defense pressure is not great, except for a few newly acquired cities from Romania, most of the other areas are dangerous to defend, and there are not many suitable places for attacking.

If Belgrade can be taken at the beginning of the war and the gateway to the Balkans can be closed, then the rest of the battle will be easy to fight.

Without two or three times the superiority in troops, it is difficult to even attack! Anyway, if you don't come to the tank, and the plane doesn't give you the power of the era, use the infantry to hit the barbed wire + trenches, that is, you are filling with human lives!

……

At the military meeting, Ferdinand said with his eyebrows: "The European continent is now like a powder keg, a little spark can detonate them, and the contradictions between the two alliances do not need to be said, you all know it!"

Looking around, Bulgaria is now surrounded by enemies, and once war breaks out, we will have to face attacks from multiple fronts at the same time!

Therefore, we must be ready for war to break out at any time, and I ask you to come up with a practical national defense plan as soon as possible! ”

Well, this kind of strategic plan will definitely not fit in a room in the General Staff.

However, the final plan has not been finalized so far, after all, this involves too many aspects, and Ferdinand, who has a military hobby level, is really not as good as these professionals when facing specific plans.

Then, it was up to these generals to judge, and he would not interfere anyway as long as it was strategically as Ferdinand demanded.

After thinking about it, Ferdinand added: "By the way, judging from the strength of the two alliances, I don't think it will be possible to divide the winner in the short term, so we must be prepared to fight a protracted battle!"

When you draw up your war plans, you must also prepare for a protracted war, and you must take into account as much as possible all the crises that we will face once a war breaks out.

For example, if the Allies blockade our coastline with submarines, how should the Admiralty respond?

For example, when the war broke out, the French or the Russians suddenly collapsed, how should we respond?

Or, after the outbreak of war, the German navy defeated the Royal Fleet, what should we do?

……

In short, all imaginable adverse consequences must be considered! ”

Well, Ferdinand's words frightened everyone, and now everyone is very optimistic about the situation in the Entente, and has never thought that so many unfavorable situations will happen!

The battlefield is ever-changing, and who knows what will happen before the battle begins? Historically, the Entente won the game, and in addition to its great business and strong national strength, it was also inseparable from the strategic mistakes of the Germans.

What if, under Ferdinand's butterfly effect, the Germans suddenly broke out? Didn't they make a strategic mistake?

Or maybe the Germans were lucky enough to directly overthrow the British in a naval decisive battle, who can say for sure?

In short, all this is theoretically possible, and if any situation happens, and Bulgaria is not prepared in advance, the consequences will be catastrophic!

The Chief of the General Staff, Imya Dimitev, thought for a moment and said: "Your Majesty, I'm afraid these situations will not happen!" Once the war broke out, Austria-Hungary would not be able to stop our joint attack with the Russians in any way, and without the help of the Germans, Austria-Hungary would not have been able to hold out for even half a year!

The Italians were not fit for war, and once this happened, the Germans would be left alone, so the division of troops was inevitable!

In this way, the entire battlefield will become a battle between the two sides, and the war potential of the Allies will not be comparable to ours!

As for the fact that the German Navy was able to defeat the Royal Fleet, this is even more unlikely!

The difference in strength between the two sides was too great, and with the help of the British and the French, even the Russian fleet in the Baltic was able to pin down part of the Germans.

And the fleets of the allies, Italy and Austria, will not be able to get out of the Mediterranean at all! ”

Ferdinand nodded, under normal circumstances, the inference of the chief of the general staff is correct, but who can say for sure on the battlefield?

I saw Ferdinand say lightly: "Nothing is impossible on the battlefield, and the Germans will not be led by our nose, is it really difficult to give up Austria-Hungary?"

As long as the Germans are sure that they will kill the French before the end of Austria-Hungary, all this will not be a problem, and it will be us who will be passive at that time, even with the addition of the Russians, we will still be at a disadvantage!

As for naval decisive battles, everyone knows that sometimes luck is more important than strength, and even a tsunami on the sea can help the Germans win the battle, and we can't afford to take anything lightly! ”

The crowd did not speak, and it was clear that what Ferdinand said was not out of the question, especially since the Germans concentrated their forces on the front line, which was still very likely.

If at the beginning of the war, the Germans had launched a surprise attack without shame, would the French have been able to stop it?

No one will be able to answer this question!