From the observed movements of soldiers and horses, Zhu Da can draw rough inferences, but these inferences he will only tell Qin Chuan, Zhou Qingyun and the Wang brothers, and he will not tell so much information to others.

“...... As far as I know in Taiyuan, I'm afraid the officers and soldiers will not dare to move......"

“...... The officers and soldiers may not be able to fight, but they dare not fight, they are unwilling to fight, and it is impossible to intercept them, at most they will be rear-ended and sent out......"

The Taiyuan Wang family is a giant family, and there are inextricable relationships in the government and the army, and the understanding and judgment of this aspect are very accurate, Qin Chuan lived in the Wang family at that time, and he must know more about it, not to mention Wang Xiong.

Everyone avoided talking about one thing, according to Zhu Da's analysis, in fact, dozens of miles or as far as a hundred miles, there should be a Mongolian army of several thousand horsemen stationed in each, and from a broader area, Huairen County is actually surrounded by three strong enemies, which is more dangerous than everyone can see.

After Zhu Da and Qin Chuan told their decisions that night, Qin Juren didn't try to persuade and stay, but people who were attentive could see that his expression was depressed, but at this moment, no one was in a good mood, and no one did it if they were curious or kindly comforted.

But after all, it is much better than the tension and despair of the previous days, the news of the city and the city is not isolated, and the relaxation of the city head has also driven the city, everyone thinks that the Tartars will not attack the city, this time there will be a thrilling past, and even the decent people who go to the city to send condolences and rewards are a lot more, they are here to see the excitement, and the transit of such a large Tartar army is not something that can be seen at any time.

Some people close their doors to drink and feast on Chinese New Year's Eve and Spring Festival, and some people also visit each other to greet the New Year, if it is not for strict inspections, and some people want to set off firecrackers, these are unceremoniously drunk, and they are also unceremoniously confiscated, so as not to have an incident, everyone feels that there is nothing to do, close the city gate and live a happy life, but Zhu Da does not dare to have any accidents, and making up his mind does not mean that he has given up on himself at this time.

On the third day of the first lunar month, that is, the fifth day of the Mongolian grain camp outside the city, Zhu Da saw the return oxen, horses, carts and camel caravans, full of loads, and even made Zhu Da think of the word "overload" in his more than 20 years of life, along with the convoy of loose cavalry, and the captives who stumbled and walked on the snow.

The return from the south had far more cattle and horses than there were carts to carry the goods, and there were no young men among the captives, and even from a distance they could probably be seen as women and young men.

Plundering goods, livestock, and women, the Mongols plundered each time they invaded the south, only around the border gates, and on their way back, so as not to consume rations or cause trouble.

This harvest is really "rich", Zhu Da's eyes are getting colder and colder at the battlement, and even those decent people in the county who went to the city to look out because of "curiosity" were frightened, and they were no longer willing to stay in the city, and left one after another.

No matter what they saw going in and out of the camp, after all, the Mongolian soldiers and horses had not disturbed the city in the past few days, and everyone was becoming more and more relaxed.

In a sense, Zhu Da is also becoming more and more relaxed, and every day passes, he becomes more and more calm, but this calmness is easy for those around him to understand as "relaxed" and "safe and sound", in a sense, Zhu Da is also "suffering words".

The range that can be observed at the head of the city is as far as the eye can see, although the height is far away, the snow fields are flat all around can be seen very clearly, but the observation is limited after all, what can be really seen is the side of the grange grain platform outside the city, the daily entry and exit of people and horses, grain and goods, can still see a rough idea.

Considering the distance and time, and then considering the supplies captured by the carts, and even the number of young women, we can roughly judge what kind of results the Mongol army had, and how many towns were broken and plundered.

On the fourth and fifth days after Huairen County observed the army, he saw that a steady stream of booty was brought back, and it was so much booty, which can only show one thing, the Mongol army was not hindered in the front, and broke the city and village, otherwise there would not have been so many captures.

Could it be that only Huairen County has tightened its timely precautions, and the other cities and villages have been paralyzed and careless, lax, maybe there are no strong people like Zhu Da and Qin Chuan who can completely control the whole county in other places, otherwise there is no way to mobilize the strength of the whole county, or there is no way to respond in time, and when the real disaster comes, there is no way to reach an agreement and be directly broken by the rapid army.

But Zhu Da thought of another situation, the Mongol army planned very carefully this time, their main generals and related figures should have taken into account various situations, if they just want to go south as soon as possible, the city that is not threatening can be broken, and if there is a defense, let it go directly, Huairen should be like this, according to this inference continue to think, the purpose of this time the Mongol army is to go south as much as possible, invade and plunder as many areas as possible......

Where to go south, do you want to go to Henan? Are you going to Beizhili? How much area to plunder, after Datong is Shanxi, these two places are also relatively rich under the Great Tomorrow, but if you break into Beizhili, there are more rich prefectures and counties worth plundering, and there are still a few stoppers in Beizhili to go to the grassland.

But if the invading Mongols have such a big plan, the time it takes is not a few days or ten days, but a few months or even half a year, and the time drags on for so long, the variables will become bigger, not to mention that the roads in the Datong border area are very difficult to walk because of the thawing mud from February to April, and the march will also be greatly affected......

Zhu Da stood at the head of the city and pondered, and the people around him thought that he was still observing outside the city, but they didn't expect Zhu Da to be completely caught in thought.

Suppose he is the chief general of the Mongolian army, and wants to break more cities, plunder more goods and population, and then withdraw to the grassland as safely as possible, then he must avoid the spring thaw as much as possible, the muddy and difficult season, then the most suitable time to enter the army should be the end of autumn, when the Ming Guancang Mincang is the autumn harvest is abundant, the land and roads have become hard, not to mention the autumn high horse fat on the grassland, it is the best state, there are sufficient materials for plundering, the road is suitable for travel, and destroy all the preparations made by the Daming border town for spring ploughingThere are a few months to reach the goals in all aspects, and then to withdraw at the end of the first month of the following year and the beginning of February.

This is a logical and meticulous plan, but now the time left for the Mongolian army to operate in the Ming Dynasty is less than two months, and there is a certain time margin for marching and fighting to avoid unplanned risks.

Will it be that after the Battle of Yingzhou, the Mongolian tribes will reorganize and reunite, suppressing their hatred, this time it is for complete revenge, complete burning and looting, and even to defeat the Ming Dynasty, but if so, why bother to launch an attack when the winter is about to end, why set up a military station in Huairen County, which is not too far from the border pass, and why transport a large number of goods and prisoners back?

There is no indication that the Mongol army was carried away by hatred this time, and first harassed the border passes to numb the border towns under the nuisance of constant and no substantive attacks, and then concentrated on breaking through in two directions, and then set up a grain station camp in a suitable place, and there were soldiers and horses nailing the officers and troops who might be dispatched......

Zhu Da, who had been frozen and did not move, trembled, and he reacted suddenly, the Mongolian army will not be delayed for too long in the territory of Daming this time, at most a month, so that it is in line with the logic of their behavior, although it is too much time for the Mongolian army, although the benefits cannot be maximized.

Why did Zhu Da suddenly think of the small-scale invasion of his relatives that destroyed his relatives and his family business, could it be a prelude and temptation to this invasion?

So is this "halfway" for the sake of the next larger-scale invasion, and what will it be like next time?

Zhu Da's thoughts came to an abrupt halt at this point, and he came to another conclusion, the Tatar army would return to the division much earlier than previously predicted, and he thought that he would have to wait a month or even longer for the Mongol soldiers and horses to return to the division to break through Huairen City, but now, it will not be more than twenty days!

There are a few people around Zhu Da who are staring at him, pondering and speculating about Zhu Da's "daze", "concentration", "suddenly" and now "relaxed smile", everyone is very optimistic at the moment, Master Zhu has figured out that he is relaxed and optimistic, why don't everyone follow suit.

If you just wait day by day, suffer day by day, the longer the time drags on, the more consumed it will be for people, Zhu Da does not feel that he has an "iron will", he is also afraid of being consumed of despair and cowardice, and when it comes to the end, the courage will be lost, then it will be meaningless, the longer the time is more disadvantageous, the shorter the time, the less cold the boiling blood will be.

Since it's almost time, it's good to greet it calmly and have a good time!

Zhu Da didn't share what he figured out with Qin Chuan and the Wang brothers, everyone had already thought of what the ending would be, and the reason and process were not so important.

When it was confirmed that the "end" was faster than expected, Zhu Da still did not panic, and even calmed down, the lion and the rabbit still had to use all his strength, and he was afraid of an accident, and he was now a "rabbit", so he could not have any carelessness, nor could he be violent and hysterical, it was only meaningful that the strong man did.

In the eyes of onlookers, Master Zhu Dazhu should not be worried at all, eat well and sleep early, and supervise the preparation of war in the city that has nothing to do with defending the city every day.