Chapter 9 009.Monte Carlo Fallacy

As soon as I saw Li Congjia walking out of the door,

Boss Qian immediately jumped to his feet and shouted: "Sister Yanyan, it's him, it's him!" ”

Guan Yanyan glared back,

Boss Qian obediently closed his mouth.

Li Congjia smiled faintly,

It turned out that Xingshi was asking for guilt.

Li Congjia arched his hand and said: "Yesterday's farewell, the girl was fine, but I almost didn't recognize it when I put on my clothes today." ”

Yesterday with her upper arms bare, she stepped on the stool with one foot, like a little sister,

Now slim, but a lady's appearance.

It's completely like two people.

"Humph......"

Guan Yanyan glanced at Li Congjia with disdain,

There was no answer,

Instead, he stepped aside.

Guan Hao took a step forward, hugged his fists and said: "Little old man Guan Hao took the liberty to visit with his daughter, and I hope that my son will forgive me." ”

"With deep eyes, vigorous steps, and hard calluses on his fingertips, he seems to be also a practitioner......"

Li Congjia still had a harmless smile on his face,

But his eyes quietly glanced at Guan Hao.

"Don't be presumptuous, don't be presumptuous......," Li Congjia asked, "I don't know what happened to my father-in-law?" Could it be yesterday? ”

Guan Hao said solemnly: "Let's open the door to do business, and we are not afraid of others winning money." Just ......"

"It's just that I heard the little girl mention it yesterday, the son has seven in a row, chasing and killing, in Kaifeng Mansion, at the age of the child, but there is such a gambling skill, it is really rare, I don't know where the son is taught?"

Li Congjia said with a smile: "I'm afraid that my uncle is out of sight, the kid has no teacher, just a little research in his spare time, and yesterday was just luck." ”

"Ghost ......only believes," Boss Qian said indignantly, "Lianzhong, who has such good luck." ”

"Shut up!" Guan Hao snorted, "There are no rules." ”

Boss Qian came to his senses,

But he was yelling at the prince of the Southern Tang Dynasty,

The momentum is discharged,

Suddenly three points shorter.

Guan Hao hugged his fists, and Hao Ran said: "Guan has no way to discipline his disciples, and he still looks forward to his son Haihan." ”

Li Congjia smiled faintly: "It's okay, ten gambles and nine cheats, and it is needless to say that there are thousands of people......"

Guan Yanyan was unconvinced: "Nonsense, we don't have a thousand ......"

"Really?" Li Congjia glanced at her with a smile.

Guan Yanyan's white and tender cheeks immediately flew up with two blushes,

The more you talk about it, the less confident you are.

The reason why she can kill more and lose less,

It's because of the cooperation with a few brothers and sisters.

It's just this kind of thing that can't be put on the surface,

was suddenly called broken by Li Congjia,

It feels like you're stripped naked and standing in front of people.

Li Congjia said: "No matter how clever a thousand are, there will always be a time when they will be recognized, and only the weakness of human nature is eternal." ”

Guan Hao's face showed a trace of doubt: "Little Lao'er would like to hear about it." ”

Li Congjia looked at Guan Yanyan: "I don't know if the girl has any copper coins on her?" ”

Guan Yanyan touched the money bag,

took out a Zhou Yuan Tongbao.

Zhou Yuan Tongbao is Zhou Shizong Chai Rong a few years ago to raise military salaries and appease the people,

The bronze statue in the Buddhist temple was destroyed and cast into "Zhou Yuan Tongbao".

Because it is made of bronze statues, it has a good effect of warding off evil spirits, so the folk still use it as a medicine.

"It smells so good."

Li Congjia took the copper coin and put it on the tip of his nose and sniffed it slightly.

"This apprentice ......" Guan Yanyan glared at Li Congjia fiercely.

Li Congjia picked up a stone and made a white mark on one side.

"Boss, let's play the simplest game. If there are white marks, it is positive, and if it is not, it is negative. ”

Guan Hao nodded: "Childe, please." ”

Zhou Yuantongbao was bounced into the air,

When it falls,

Li Congjia's palm is as fast as lightning,

First of all, he blocked everyone's sight,

Then he grabbed the copper coin in the palm of his hand.

"What a quick trick ......"

Guan Hao was secretly surprised,

Without more than ten years, it is absolutely impossible to practice such a hand speed.

And how old is Li Congjiacai,

and as big as Yanyan,

Even if you start practicing in the womb,

I'm afraid there's not enough time, right?

"Which side?"

Li Congjia looked at everyone with a smile.

Guan Hao has been wandering the streets of Kaifeng since he was seventeen years old,

It's been almost 20 years now,

If you don't have this bit of eyesight,

has long been eaten by others to the point that there is no scum left.

But Li Congjia's hand is very fast,

The moment he blocked it, it disrupted his mind.

"Positive."

Guan Hao is a little unconfident,

And Guan Yanyan and Boss Qian are even more black-eyed,

How can you see this?

Li Congjia spread out his palms with a smile, there were no white marks, the opposite!

"Come again!"

Guan Hao guessed three or four heads in a row,

The result is the reverse side.

"Master, continue to be positive, I don't believe in the negative."

"Yes, Dad, it's all four heads, and it's time for a tail."

Guan Hao gritted his teeth: "Positive!" ”

Li Congjia smiled faintly, grabbed Guan Yanyan's little hand, and put the copper coin on it.

"Or the opposite!"

The three of them were dumbfounded.

Li Congjia said: "This is the trap of the gambler's fallacy, if you think that the negative side appears more often, the positive should appear, but it is just an illusion." ”

The gambler's fallacy, also known as the Monte Carlo fallacy,

That is, the probability that you think something will happen,

It has something to do with what happened before.

You see a stock go down for days,

There is an illusion that it should rise.

As a result, after you buy,

He continued to fall.

Li Congjia paused and continued: "It was the same yesterday, seven in a row are single, and everyone else thinks that the next one should be double, isn't that what the girl did?" ”

was said by Li Congjia,

Guan Yanyan's face turned even redder,

She's just not good at learning,

You can't control the dice as you like,

Yesterday there were seven in a row,

It was pure luck.

Guan Yanyan bowed her head and was silent, but the boss next to her shouted: "Sister Yanyan, I didn't expect that we also used that gambler's fallacy yesterday......"

"Shut up." Guan Yanyan's face was flushed with shame, she raised her jade feet, and kicked Boss Qian's ass with "gentleness".

"Childe is a talented ......" Guan Hao took a deep look, "The little old man has been taught." ”

Guan Yanyan's eyes widened,

She had never seen her father give such a big gift to others,

And it's a person of his own age.

"Nothing to do in the Three Treasures Palace, Childe, don't hide it, the little old man has something to entrust."

Li Congjia said with a smile: "My husband doesn't want to be my Lord Taishan, I'm not a casual person." ”

Guan Yanyan took a sip: "The dog can't spit out ivory in his mouth, hee-hee-ha, no serious ......"

Guan Hao was stunned for a moment, and then laughed: "The young man is old, the pink beauty has two sideburns, as long as Yanyan is willing, and has fun in time, the little old man is to be a Taishan adult, and hug his nephew early, isn't it beautiful?" ”

Li Congjia said in his heart: "You are an old and disrespectful guy, patronizing your daughter if she is willing, and you don't ask your brother if she is willing." ”

"But......" Guan Hao's eyes sank, and he looked around and said, "This is not the place to talk, Childe ......"

Guan Hao said, his eyes cast on the mansion.

Li Congjia turned to the side and made a "please" movement.

Guan Hao walked towards the main hall.

The four of them sat down in the main hall,

Guan Hao said: "Have you ever heard of the proud building?" ”

Li Congjia shook his head and said, "When I first arrived, I still hope that my uncle will give me some advice." ”

You are the prince of the Southern Tang Dynasty, of course you don't know about Bianliang's recent affairs.

Guan Hao is even more convinced of Li Congjia's identity,

Stroked the long beard and said: "The proud building can be said to be the largest sales vault in Kaifeng, the founder of Master Wu Hai has been close to antiquity, but it is a pity that there is no child under the knees, in order to find a successor, widely publish the hero post, call on the world to be a strange person, the day of the Double Ninth Festival to come to the proud building." As long as he passes the test, he will be the next proud landlord. ”