Chapter 442: Gambler's Psychology
Chen Yuan actually has no interest in gambling, because that thing is ten gambles and nine losses, and if he wins, whether he can get out of the casino and go home safely is a question mark. Afterwards, she has seen a lot of ruffians come to make trouble and beg for money.
She didn't care about gambling, but because Fang Yuan was full of interest, she couldn't help but do what she liked, pretending to listen attentively, and accompanying Fang Yuan to relieve her boredom.
Fang Yuan asked, "Yuanyuan, you say, should this casino make money from the poor or from the rich." ”
Chen Yuan thought for a while and said, "Of course it's the rich man's money. ”
Fang Yuan nodded and said, "That's right! But the rich have less thirst for silver than the poor, they are more knowledgeable and have more self-control. Everyone says that nine out of ten gambles are lost, have you seen a few rich businessmen who have nothing to do and are immersed in casinos? If you really mix in the casino all day long, it is a blessing not to go bankrupt, how many can become rich businessmen? ”
Chen Yuan responded softly, "What Governor Fang said is reasonable, so what should be done to make the rich businessman willing to pay money to gamble?" ”
Fang Yuan continued, "In order for the rich to be willing to pay money to gamble, the gambling must be packaged as necessary! ”
If Chen Yuan still dealt with it casually before, now he is a little interested, and asked, "What packaging?!" ”
Fang Yuan asked rhetorically, "The so-called ten bets and nine losses, will you gamble?" ”
Chen Yuan said truthfully, "No! ”
Fang Yuan continued to ask, "If I tell you now, there must be a doorway in gambling, as long as you study this doorway thoroughly, you are the only one who wins, do you still gamble?" ”
Chen Yuan pondered for a while and said, "If there are really doorways to win, I will study these doorways and then gamble." ”
Fang Yuan smiled and said, "Yes, Chen Yuan, now you understand what packaging is!" ”
Chen Yuan was also a smart woman, and suddenly said, "It turns out that this doorway is the packaging that Governor Fang said!" There is no way, don't say that ten bets and nine losses, that is, ten bets and five losses, most people will not gamble; But with the doorway, most people will think that they are better at studying this doorway than others, even if they lose nine out of ten bets, they will win and lose others. ”
Fang Yuan had to admire her flexible brain, and he saw the trick in a word, stroked his palms and laughed and said, "The child can be taught!" Ha! ”
Chen Yuan asked again, "Is there a way to win in gambling?" ”
Fang Yuan asked rhetorically, "Is it important to have or not?" Since gambling, someone will always win. As long as the three of them become tigers, most people will believe that whether they win money in gambling depends on the doorway, not luck. If they win, they will think that they are the god of gambling, and if they lose, most people will also think that they are not able to learn the arts, and then they will gamble after studying thoroughly. Anyway, as long as it can create an illusion, gamblers are either the god of gambling or on the way to the god of gamblers, and they will continue to join the gambling army to send silver. ”
Fang Yuan's theory is actually borrowed from the K-line theory of the stock market before the crossing, as well as the odds theory of betting. Whether these two theories can make money or not, Fang Yuan has no need to jump to conclusions, because that is God's judgment.
As a market maker, Fang Yuan only needs to promote this theory, let a steady stream of stockholders take and study the K-line theory, and then invest money in the stock market; There is also a steady stream of gamblers to study the betting odds offered by the European index and the Asian handicap, and after completing the study, they will invest money to gamble.
This, for the dealer, is enough!
The truth that Fang Yuan said has thoroughly studied and analyzed human nature vividly, as if it had opened up another world for Chen Yuan.
Chen Yuan had already been deeply attracted by Fang Yuan's topic, and asked, "Then what kind of doorway is Governor Fang going to put on this lottery ticket?" ”
Fang Yuan still didn't answer the rhetorical question, "Let me ask you, don't consider cheating, what is the probability of betting on the size and opening a small one?" ”
Chen Yuan replied, "Fifty percent!" ”
Fang Yuan continued to ask, "What is the chance that this one will be small, and the next one will be smaller?" ”
Chen Yuan thought for a while and said, "Fifty percent of fifty percent!" ”
Fang Yuan continued to ask, "If the next one is small again, and the next one is small, will you still buy the small one?" ”
Chen Yuan pondered for a while and replied, "Fifty percent, fifty percent, and fifty percent, this may be too small, the chance of opening a big one is greater!" I don't buy small, I buy big! ”
Fang Yuan smiled and said, "Actually, no matter how many small ones you open in a row, the chance of the next one is still fifty percent." You think the odds of opening a big one are greater, this, that's the probability theory that I want to wrap the lottery lottery. ”
Fang Yuan explained to her some of the most basic probability theories, as well as the algorithm of probability. Chen Yuan, who is too complicated, definitely can't understand it, and those gamblers can't understand it either.
After Fang Yuan explained to her, he said, "Chen Yuan, you will send someone to spread these most basic probability theories in the peach garden. Over time, there will inevitably be a group of gamblers who will study this probability theory in order to win money. ”
Chen Yuan asked again, "Then there are more people who study probability theory, isn't everyone able to do it, and they all come to win money?!" ”
If you can win money by studying a basic probability theory, then the lottery center that crosses the former government should have closed its doors a long time ago.
Fang Yuan smiled and said, "Chen Yuan, why haven't you turned the corner yet?" The more people who study probability theory, the more people are willing to bet on it, you know?! I wish that all the rich businessmen in Jiangnan would come to study it, and that would be the best! ”
Chen Yuan nodded and was taught, and what he heard the most in Qinglou before was that Fang Yuan, the governor of Zhejiang, was just a martial artist who took advantage of Chongzhen as the backstage, and then gathered a group of outlaws from outside to forcibly occupy the rich Jiangnan.
Even though her father-in-law Xu Hua has always been working for Fang Yuan, her thoughts are just the current situation, and she does not look down on Fang Yuan, a villain from other places who occupies Jiangnan.
But after in-depth contact with Fang Yuan for several days, she suddenly discovered that Fang Yuan was a simple martial artist? Yi Fang Yuan's ability to study heaven and man, as long as he is given a chance, whether it is in politics or business, he is still an existence that surpasses everyone. At least in Chen Yuan's knowledge, the closest Mao Bijiang must be far from Fang Yuan, and the rich businessmen and literati he came into contact with before definitely did not have Fang Yuan's insight and means.
At this moment, Chen Yuan looked at Fang Yuan's gaze in a daze, revealing the worship of heroes and expectations for Prince Charming, "Governor Fang, why are you telling me this?" Aren't you afraid that I'll give this secret out? ”
Fang Yuan met her watery eyes, crystal clear cherry lips, and his heart couldn't help throbbing, almost wanting to take her into his arms and kiss her fiercely.
When he complimented the princess before, the so-called temperament and manners were the words given to women the day after tomorrow. Pure beauty is the driving force of men's lust. And Chen Yuanyuan happens to have this purest beauty that makes men want to conquer and possess it at a glance.
However, at the moment, neither the occasion nor the timing is appropriate.
The scandal between him and Liu Ruye has long been rumored, and now there is a scandal with Chen Yuan, then he still has a good reputation in Jiangnan. At the critical juncture when Jiangnan is about to undergo a big change, it is better to control the lower half of the body and cause less peach scandals!
Fang Yuan sighed deeply, Qi Nian was still there, and he was busy pinching himself fiercely before he forcibly suppressed this thought, and said with a smile, "Chen Yuan, I have always been suspicious of people, and I don't doubt about employing people." Since I handed over the Qinglou and the gambling house to you, I will trust you unreservedly. ”
He dropped these words, got up and said, "I'll go first, and the casino will open as soon as possible!" I give the Xu family a percentage of operating expenses. ”
Fang Yuan didn't wait for her to reply, turned around and left.
Chen Yuan looked at Fang Yuan's departing back in a daze, it was hard to imagine that he was just leaving. She was still very confident in her appearance, but she had planted it twice in Fang Yuan's place.
Once when he first saw Fang Yuan, Fang Yuan rescued her from Tianfu and threw her aside to count the property looted from Tianfu; Once it was right now, she thought that Fang Yuan had said something serious, so she would go to bed with her in her arms to find fun, but she didn't think that Fang Yuan would leave her again.
This time, Chen Yuan is really suffering from gains and losses, is his posture not the slightest bit attractive to the other party? !