Analyzing and planning, peeping at the leopard in the tube, knowing the autumn when a leaf falls, and seeing the big from the small are what the strategists are good at.

Liu Ji originally boasted of being a famous person such as the dragon and phoenix, and often lamented that he was born at the wrong time, full of talent and ambition but no one appreciated him.

Hao Jian's question happened to scratch his itch, and the look of cowardice just now was suddenly swept away, and his whole face seemed to be shining.

"General, there are three suspicious points about today's officers and soldiers: first, the thief's den we are in now is called Black Cow Mountain, which is near the border pass.

The closest city to Heiniu Mountain, Datong City, is the only border city nearby. It is said to be the closest, but it is actually more than 200 miles away. According to the best knowledge of the gang of thieves in Heiniu Mountain, the number of them is less than 500, and the young and strong of them are less than 200 people, and their combat effectiveness is very ordinary, that is, they cut the path near Heiniu Mountain and plunder, which is really inconspicuous compared to other bandits nearby, and it can be said that they are nameless.

Therefore, it is really unreasonable for officers and soldiers to come from Datong City, 200 miles away, to specifically suppress such a group of unknown bandits, and to consume grain and straw. “

After Liu Ji finished talking about the first point, he looked at Hao Jian, and found that he was listening carefully to what he said, his spirits were lifted, and he continued: "This second point, in recent years, the Manchu Tartars have often sent troops to invade and loot the border, and sometimes they will even send people and horses deep into the border for one or two hundred miles to loot property and capture women.

As the largest border city in the vicinity, Datong City naturally has the responsibility of defending the land and the people, so it is necessary to divide troops everywhere to intercept it. In this way, the forces are even more dispersed. In addition, the rogue in the imperial court was rampant, and the imperial court was sending troops and horses everywhere to chase and intercept it, and there was no spare strength to increase the number of troops on the border, and even transferred troops from the border back to the Central Plains to suppress the invaders many times.

In this way, it is even more impossible for Datong City to send extra troops to suppress a group of unknown bandits. However, if the officers and men came to attack today, it would be really suspicious. “

After Liu Ji finished speaking the second point, he saw Hao Jian nodded, and his heart was even more excited, and his voice couldn't help but get a little louder, and he continued: "Thirdly, the officers and soldiers are obviously prepared this time. Of course, the preparation mentioned below obviously means that the officers and soldiers have traveled 200 miles for a long distance, and it is very likely that they have been fully prepared beforehand, and they are sure to capture the thieves' den in one fell swoop and exterminate all the bandits. The previous progress was also smooth, almost as expected by the officers and soldiers. It was only in the end that he encountered the general's divine attack, which fell short and retreated in a hurry.

The general tried to imagine, if the officers and soldiers really had the intention to suppress the bandits, as far as I knew, there were several thieves in the vicinity of Datong City, whose number of people, grain, grass, and property far exceeded that of Heiniu Mountain. If my expectations are correct, it should be that the officers and soldiers have internal responses within the Black Bull Mountain, so that they can be sure to exterminate the Black Bull Mountain bandits in one fell swoop. “

Hao Jian listened to Liu Ji's eloquent talk, and his heart began to gradually open up, this guy does have two brushes, and such a one-two-three-one analysis seems to be really like that.

"Yes, it makes sense. Now that the three major doubts have come out, what is your conclusion? Hao Jian nodded, showing a look of appreciation, which was regarded as praising Liu Ji.

But don't praise it too much, or this guy will probably start pretending again.

Seeing Hao Jian's approval, Liu Ji became excited, stroked his long beard casually, and continued: "The conclusion is that someone in Datong City wants to run!" ”

"Run?" Hao Jian was a little confused.

"Yes, the meaning of this run here is not to be a deserter, but to say that the officials or generals in Datong City want to be transferred out of Datong City and return to the imperial court or other inland state capitals as officials."

Liu Ji's tone was full of affirmation, and a pair of eyes were also radiant at this time, obviously very sure of his judgment.

"I probably understand what you mean, you mean that the officials of Datong City are unwilling to continue to stay in Datong as officials for some reason, so they have to find a way to transfer back to the mainland. But it is obviously not easy to move for no reason. But it's much easier if you have some credit. “

"And the credit for this, in the current situation, it is either a victory in the battle against the Tartars, or an achievement in the encirclement and suppression of the Liukou, and neither of these points is obviously easy. Then, these officials are eyeing the third point: suppressing bandits. Compared to the Tartars and the Rogue, it is clear that these bandits are easier to deal with. As for why you chose the bandits of Black Bull Mountain, it is obviously as you said, one is that there is an internal response, and the other is that the bandits of Black Bull Mountain are more straw bales and easier to clean up. In this way, everything can be explained clearly. “

After Liu Ji finished speaking, Hao Jian continued his words.

The more Hao Jian said, the brighter Liu Ji's eyes became, obviously he didn't expect Hao Jian to be able to further analyze so thoroughly based on his own analysis and judgment, which was exactly the same as he thought.

"The general is wise, and his subordinates are obedient!"

After Hao Jian finished speaking, Liu Ji bowed deeply to him, and his demeanor was more respectful than before.

Obviously, at this time, he really admired Hao Jian a little, instead of the helpless act he had before because he was forced by the sword.

Hao Jian also noticed that Liu Ji's self-proclaimed subordinates had changed from subordinates to subordinates, and it was obvious that he was willing to follow him sincerely at this time.

However, he smiled faintly, and did not become complacent, but planned to continue to finish this forced assembly.

"But I think there's more to it than that. Have you ever wondered why the officials of Datong City are deliberately transferring out of Datong City? Hao Jian stared at Liu Ji's eyes and asked.

"This, the subordinates haven't thought about it yet, I think the general must have already gained, and the subordinates are willing to hear about it!" Liu Ji paused for a moment and said slightly.

"Yes, it's a buildable material, and there is no chance to compete with the master." Hao Jian praised Liu Ji in his heart, and began to say his conclusion: "In fact, it is not difficult to see that for border officials, the most important duty is, of course, to guard the land and the people, and ensure that the border is calm." Since they are desperate to transfer, it means that there is a big problem at the border or that a big problem is about to be faced. So the biggest problem that comes from this is obviously the threat from the Tartars. ”

"And this threat is not the usual threat of a small group of people, it is very likely that the Tartars are about to launch a major offensive against Datong City. Obviously, the commander of Datong City was aware of this danger, but there was nothing he could do, so he desperately wanted to transfer out of this place before the Tartars attacked. ”

After Hao Jian finished speaking, he looked at Liu Ji looking at him with wide eyes, there was shock, appreciation, and worship in his eyes, and Hao Jian was a little embarrassed to see it.

"I don't know what Lao Liu thinks of my analysis?" After Hao Jian finished speaking, he had to pretend to be forced to show off again.

"The general's ability to fall and the world knows the autumn is only seen in Berwyn's life, Berwyn used to boast of being extraordinary, arrogant and arrogant, and now he understands what it means to be a human being, there is a sky outside the sky, the general please bow to Berwyn again!"

After Liu Ji finished speaking, he bowed deeply, this time for a longer time, and his waist was bent even lower, obviously he sincerely admired Hao Jian.

Hao Jian didn't expect that he would let Liu Ji worship him so much with a few casual words, and he was a little embarrassed.

He felt that this was actually nothing, and it was easy to analyze and judge it by combining some intelligence and the general situation, and then using some logic.

He didn't know that what he thought was easy was great for the ancients.

The ancients were closed to information, and many people lived within a radius of dozens of miles from their homes all their lives, and they had no concept of what the world was.

Only some scholars and businessmen who are fortunate enough to travel outside the world will have a little understanding of the geographical location and political situation of the world.

In the era of information explosion, everyone can easily obtain all kinds of information, from the international trend to trivialities, under the influence of various information, the vision and way of thinking are certainly not comparable to the ancients.

So Hao Jian felt that there was nothing special about the conclusion he had reached, but for Liu Ji, it was shocking, this is the huge cognitive gap caused by the difference in the times.