Given a little time for the SASAC people to digest the meaning of this "death curve", Wu Guangliang continued: "In an ideal society, the number of people in the 'death curve' is generally between 15 and 20 percent of the total population.

The lower the life expectancy, the higher the proportion of the 'death curve', and the higher the life expectancy, the lower the proportion of the 'death curve'.

If the number of people in a society who is in the 'death curve' range reaches more than 20 percent, then it means that the society is in a period of decline.

Because such a society, at least in the next two decades, will not be able to get out of the shadow of an aging population.

The line chart formed by the changes in the number of people in different time periods in the life of these 10,000 people is actually the best age structure model of a mature and stable society.

Because China has adopted a flexible and effective 'self-flowing post' work adjustment mechanism, even if there are fluctuations in the population of different ages, as long as this fluctuation can be controlled within 10% of the standard value, it will not have a greater impact on various jobs in society.

In order to reduce the irreconcilable social contradictions that may arise in the future, I believe that we should plan for the age structure of the population as early as possible. ”

The people of the Ministry of State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration looked at the line chart displayed by Wu Guangliang on the screen, and they did not react for a long time, what is the significance of this so-called age structure model, and what does it have to do with social management, and can even alarm His Excellency the President to personally participate in the discussion.

Yang Yong, Minister of Construction, said suspiciously: "I still don't understand, what is the significance of the 'death curve' and average fertility rate that we are studying now for the construction of our Huaxia Kingdom?"

Since these problems will not arise until the future, and it is uncertain how much impact they will have if they arise, I have always felt that there is a sense of unfounded worry. ”

With these people who have never experienced it, to discuss the possible consequences of the drastic fluctuations in the age structure of the population, it is a bit of a feeling for Niu Tanqin, Wu Guangliang looked at Wei Minsheng helplessly, hoping that he could understand what he meant.

After all, Wei Minsheng and Wu Guangliang came from the same world, and they had more experience in modern social life than these people in Huaxia, and they quickly saw the secret.

"Under this age structure of the population, all kinds of social resources can achieve the best benefits, all walks of life in society can achieve sustained, healthy and stable development, the direction of social development becomes more controllable, and the performance of social contradictions is more singular.

You see, under such a structure, solving the problems of any age group is equivalent to solving the problems that may arise for everyone in this age group in the future.

Under such an age structure, there is greater continuity in the various social management policies, without the uncontrollable diversity and complexity of the sharp fluctuations in the age structure.

For example, when a newborn baby is born, a corresponding number of obstetricians and gynecologists are required.

Everyone knows that an obstetrician and gynecologist with a lot of experience is not so easy to train.

If there is a surge in the number of births in a particular region over a given period of time, it may create a temporary shortage of obstetricians and gynaecologists in that region.

With the rapid growth of our full membership in Huaxia, when the number of births exceeds the upper limit of all obstetricians and gynecologists in Huaxia, it may cause a shortage of obstetricians and gynecologists across the country.

After a person has a stable life, everyone wants their wives and children to be taken care of, because this is the power they have after becoming a full member of Huaxia Kingdom.

However, if all the obstetricians and gynecologists in Huaxia can only provide midwifery services for 100 pregnant women in a certain period of time, there are 200 pregnant women who have the need to deliver babies during this time period.

Under such circumstances, where do you go to find so many qualified obstetricians and gynecologists to ensure that these full members of the Huaxia Kingdom enjoy equal fertility services? ”

"As long as we improve the post coefficient of obstetricians and gynecologists through the mechanism of 'self-flowing posts', and let more professionals participate in this matter, we should be able to improve the ability to deliver babies within a certain range?"

"Delivery is not a trivial matter such as eating and drinking, and a doctor needs to choose the most appropriate treatment method according to different physiological conditions and working environments, and this is a severe test for the doctor's experience, and it is not at all something that can be done by just finding a doctor.

Driven by profits, there will definitely be doctors who take the initiative to extend their working hours and do more delivery tasks.

However, a person's daily energy concentration time is limited, and overwork, there is a high probability that medical malpractice will occur in the case of extreme exhaustion of doctors.

When the time comes, how to deal with these problems related to the life and death of a baby or even a mother? ”

"Then we will prepare now and train more obstetricians and gynecologists, and then we will have enough manpower to deal with such problems."

However, after everyone concentrates on childbearing, there will be a fertility vacuum, during which it is impossible to give birth again.

To form a new fertility peak, the time is at least ten months later, during this period, the number of newborn babies will be greatly reduced, which will cause a large number of obstetricians and gynecologists to be idle, forming a waste of social resources.

Although the 'self-employment' system we implement can also allow these obstetricians and gynecologists to find other careers, for the special medical industry, changing careers means the degradation of doctors' medical skills.

This is something that none of us want to see, because no one wants to accept the life of their wife and children in the hands of a doctor who is already unskilled.

I believe that in the past four years, everyone has become accustomed to handing over professional things to professional people.

But these professionals, their skills must be constantly maintained and consolidated with professional things, until the day when he is tired of this profession and chooses to give up such a career, he can not relax.

If every highly specialized occupation that a person comes into contact with in his or her life is constantly faced with such fluctuations, there will be varying degrees of shortage or oversupply in the whole society.

How to systematically eliminate this fluctuation in the needs of people of different ages is the significance of our study today on the optimal age structure of this population. ”

Wu Guangliang nodded and said: "Only when we understand what kind of age structure is the best and most reasonable structure can we take targeted measures to adjust the age structure of the entire society."

People have no foresight, but they must have near-term worries.

Only by taking into account in advance some problems that can be seen and that may occur in the future can we nip these problems in the bud.

Therefore, this is not unfounded, but far-sighted. 2k reading network