Chapter 424, Judgment
"Those spies from the Guan Ning Army again?" Ao Bai asked the scout who was kneeling in front of him with an impatient face.
"Yes, the spies of the Guan Ning Army, their horses are good, we can't catch up." The Mongol scout replied.
The scout of Guan Ningjun's horse is good, this is what Ao Bai knows. Because I have a lot of spies in the Guanning Army in the Qing Dynasty. They naturally knew that in the past year, Guan Ningjun had bought some Taixi BMWs from the Taixi people through the Zheng family in Fujian, and these horses ran like flying. I also bought two such BMWs from Guan Ningjun. These horses are indeed good, and they are far from being comparable to ordinary Mongolian horses. On the Colonel's Field, the two horses only need to run a little more than two laps to fit the lap of even the best Mongolian horses.
"This is the Pegasus, how can there be such a horse in the world!" This is what some Mongolians who keep horses say. However, it is a pity that these horses are all geldings and cannot be used for breeding, and Guan Ningjun only has some geldings.
Ao Bai had seen these two horses, so he naturally knew that if it was really the scouts of the Guanning army riding this kind of horse, it was indeed not something that these Mongolian scouts under him could chase. However, the Guan Ning Army sent these high-level scouts, yes, they are high-level scouts, where are ordinary scouts qualified to use such horses? Guan Ningjun sent such scouts to keep an eye on his team, obviously, they were not very at ease with themselves.
"I heard that the guys in the Guan Ning Army like to betray friendly troops the most. Shouldn't they have had that idea again? Well, I remember that in the Battle of Hunhe, they sold Zhejiang soldiers, and later in Dalinghe, that Wu Xiang, that is, Wu Sangui's father, also played this set. They ...... now," said another man dressed as a military attaché, also frowning.
"Curb Pilon, use your brains more." Ao Bai said, "What did Guan Ningjun sell us?" Take the lead again? But where else can they run now? I think most of them are afraid of being sold by us, right? It is said that if a person always sells others, he will always worry that others will sell him. Just like in "Romance of the Three Kingdoms", Cao Cao is the best at burning other people's grain and grass in his life, so as soon as he fights, he will keep a close eye on his grain and grass, for fear of being burned by others. Well, you see, Zhuge Liang is so good at setting fires, hasn't he never burned Cao Cao's grain and grass? This guy from Guan Ningjun is like this. I think they were afraid that they would fight Li Zicheng in front of them, so we turned around and left, and then they ...... Besides, even without them, can the gang of sub-rogues under Li Zicheng be our opponents? Even if Wu Sangui and Li Zicheng are partners, they can beat us? ”
Ao Bai said this because he believed Huang Taiji's analysis. Just before the dispatch of troops, there was some discussion about whether Wu Sangui had the sincerity of the avatar in the Manchu Qing Dynasty. However, in the end, Huang Taiji finally made the decision to send troops after soliciting the opinions of a group of Ming generals, including Hong Chengchou. This decision was also supported by the vast number of Eight Banner warriors, including Dorgon and Dord.
Although outside the Guan, Huang Taiji still attaches great importance to the various situations in the Guan, and when the news of Li Zicheng's army taking Taiyuan Datong in one breath reached Shenyang through Mongolia, Huang Taiji made the judgment that the Ming Dynasty was already a ripe fruit. However, at that time, Huang Taiji did not expect that Li Zicheng would really take Beijing directly with his army, and in his opinion, it was the right thing for Li Zicheng to collect his troops after sweeping the nearby Ming Dynasty army, and then turn to the direction of Jiangnan. However, although Li Zicheng's direct attack on Beijing was beyond his expectations, it was more in line with his wishes.
Before sending troops, Huang Taiji and his generals carefully studied the relevant situation of Li Zicheng. and made a judgment on Li Zicheng's real strength and current situation:
"Li Chuang was defeated by the Ming army four years ago, and only a dozen cavalry remained. Since then, he has relied on the capture of Luoyang to regain his forces, but he has never had his own territory and has been wandering around. Every day he worries about feeding his army. The expansion of his army mostly relied on recruiting rebels, and we all know what those people he recruited were like, don't we? In such a short period of time, is there a place where he can recuperate, and he can't train seriously after eating the last meal or not. Therefore, he can only rely on the way of combat elimination to obtain elite soldiers. It's not that this is impossible, but it's just that in doing this, one out of a hundred soldiers may not be able to become an elite soldier, and if you don't do it well, you can make a bunch of things that are the best at running on the battlefield. Everyone is old from war. It is not enough for this elite soldier to rely on fighting alone, or relying on training alone. I estimate that the army that Li Zicheng can really fight will not exceed 100,000 at most. This can fight, which means that it is similar to the Guan Ning Army we fought in the previous two years. And it is impossible for Li Zicheng to keep all these 100,000 people by his side. You have to keep some guards, right? In this way, I estimate that Li Zicheng has at most 30,000 or 40,000 reliable soldiers in Beijing who can fight, plus those Ming troops who have newly defected to them, and he can not use much. And what about us? We only need to use 50,000 men, and it will be enough to deal with them in the field. In addition, Wu Sangui has a number of soldiers in his hands who can fight, and we also have a number in our hearts. Even taking into account that Wu Sangui may repeat, 50,000 people are enough. If we add 10,000, we can guarantee victory in the field. Wu Sangui also understood this, so as long as he didn't get dizzy, he didn't dare to play any tricks. And he also knew that he couldn't get anything better from Li Zicheng than from us.
The northern part of the Ming Kingdom was destroyed, and the grain of Beijing City depended on the transportation of the south. Without Cao Yun, Li Zicheng couldn't stay in Beijing. He wants to retreat, and he is worried that he will be pursued by Wu Sangui or even us. Therefore, if he does not hit Wu Sangui hard and does not seize Shanhaiguan, he will not be able to return with peace of mind. He will definitely attack Wu Sangui. Wu Sangui is willing to take refuge in us because he also understands this.
This war was a key battle for our Qing Dynasty to enter the Central Plains. As long as this battle is won, we can pursue Li Zicheng all the way under the banner of 'avenging Chongzhen', occupy the entire Central Plains, and then transfer troops to the south, and the world will be decided. ”
Since Huang Taiji made such a judgment, Ao Bai was naturally not too worried about Wu Sangui turning against the water or something. However, he still despises Wu Sangui's petty behavior.