Anyway, Gu Huai was on the quicksand islands, what did he do at the moment of quotation at that auction?

Why did you start with 820 taels and have a chance of winning, instead of 850 taels?

This starts with Blackboy's offer.

From his news, it can be seen that the lowest bids of the other bidding caravans are 400 taels and the highest is 900 taels, and each of these two prices has only appeared once, and most of the others are in the middle.

Moreover, the more you are in the middle, such as the quotation of about 600 taels, the number of overlaps is the most.

How so?

For example, there are ten caravans, and the price of each is a range to the black boy, which is no problem, as I said before. What's more critical is that Jing Gu Huai sorted it out in his mind:

Eight out of ten people have the number 600 taels in their quotes;

The price of six people contains a higher 700 taels or a lower 500 taels;

The price quoted by four people contains eight hundred taels or four hundred and fifty taels;

And only one of the quotations contained 900 taels, and the quotation of one person contained 400 taels.

If he could draw a picture on the spot, Gu Huaiding would do this:

Start by drawing a straight line lying flat at the bottom as a "baseline".

On the far left of the baseline is written four hundred taels, and on the far right is nine hundred taels;

Then draw the quotation range of each bidding caravan in a straight line, and base it on this base line.

When drawing, the wider range is placed below, and the narrower is placed on the top, and one caravan occupies a row, not at the same level as the other caravans.

In this way, a figure will be formed that is wide at the bottom and narrow at the top, and after tracing its borders, it looks like a bell at first glance.

Of course, if you take a price on this bell chart, the further you go, the less likely it is to be overlapped.

For example, if Gu Huai quotes a total of 100 caravans, there is only a 1 percent chance that it will be equal. Of course, if it is reported at 900, it is also a 1 percent probability.

For the former possibility, Gu Huai had a ninety-nine percent chance of losing the auction, because there were ninety-nine caravans that would have offered more than him.

Therefore, if there is nothing wrong with the brain, it will naturally be reported higher.

In fact, after Gu Huai received all the price news from Heizai, he was a little surprised. He didn't expect that the budget given by You Qiu, eight hundred and fifty taels, would just allow him to win Moyangfang with a chance of about ninety percent of the time.

But then he thought about it, it was Boss You who asked Heizai to search for the price news, and it was not surprising that he knew how to use it.

However, since the boss promised to give him the opportunity to make money, it would be a pity not to use it.

So, he lowered the price a little, to eight hundred and twenty taels.

Because he sees that eight hundred and twenty taels also has a ninety percent chance of success, and it is a pity to lose thirty taels of gold for the possibility of half of the failure.

There was really no way, he was short of money, and such an offer was not a risk.

The so-called desperate policy may be to quote 700 taels or less, and win with a small chance in exchange for a higher return.

Therefore, he chose eight hundred and twenty taels.

However, why did he choose eight hundred and fifty-two taels when he and Sha Wuliu faced each other later?

First, he could see that Zhang Fatzi, a pedicure shop in the north of the city, had some collusion with Sha Wuliu. However, they can see this Tailai, and it is not difficult.

Second, Sha Wuliu will definitely not quote by himself, because he was not instructed by Boss You and does not have this authority. So he had to find someone to do it for him.

Of course, he wanted to do this, just to suppress Gu Huai, and by the way, to get some silver from his collaborators.

Second, the news from Black Boy is that he seriously underestimated the value of Moyangfang. In this case, Zhang Fatzi was willing to cooperate with Sha Wuliu, and Sha Wuliu happened to know the price news of the black boy, so in the end, judging from Zhang Fatzi's bid, it must have come straight to Gu Huai.

Third, if it is for himself, the other party should quote a high price that is as low as possible for Zhang Fatzi. Because Zhang Fatzi's quotation range is clearly less than eight hundred and fifty taels.

Then why didn't Sha Wuliu report only one eight hundred and thirty taels like Gu Huai? Because he wasn't sure whether Gu Huai would report eight hundred and thirty, eight hundred and twenty, or eight hundred and ten.

Because he knew that these prices would bring Gu Huai a chance of winning ninety percent or more. So, which "ninety percent" is convincing enough?

Therefore, the offer given by Sha Wuliu at the instigation of Zhang Fatzi must have been the highest at first, that is, eight hundred and fifty taels.

However, Sha Wuliu is not a simple person. He can think of eight hundred and fifty taels, and it is very likely that Gu Huai can think of his own move.

That is to say, Sha Wuliu also helped Gu Huai think one more step, so he gave an offer of eight hundred and fifty-one taels. He should think that this price will definitely help Zhang Fatzi win Moyangfang.

However, Gu Huai thought one more step than Sha Wuliu, and continued to add one or two gold, until the final offer was eight hundred and fifty-two taels.

There is no way, it is better to pay more money to take pictures of the business deed than to get fined for not taking pictures.

After this battle, Gu Huaidu felt that the entire Dao seemed to have been figured out by You Qiu in advance, not only could he not make money, but he also had to find a way to get two taels of gold.

He also felt that You Qiu might have expected that he and Sha Wuliu would have to fight against him early on, so he did not give a clear answer to Heizai and himself on the question of whether he could pay a premium.

Maybe Gu Huai will auction at a premium, but for Sha Wuliu, he would rather give up this idea.

Because of the first point, he didn't know if You Qiu would let Gu Huai come to make a premium; second, he knew that Gu Huai and Tailai didn't have the money they could spend more; third, if it was determined that Gu Huai could be auctioned at a premium, then he wouldn't be able to make a bid decision for Zhang Fatzi at all.

Because 850 taels is a premium auction, 1,800 is also a premium auction, endless......

Therefore, Sha Wu or Six is not as good, and he can only give advice based on his own beliefs.