Chapter subtitle: AR Aint Hat It Used to Be, Roll Out the Fog of War! (Author's note: If you don't understand, you can only blame you for not playing StarCraft)

To declare, thank you for the correction of the patient @Nyx p, it was indeed mentioned in the previous article that Baker and Morgan did a poll, which was Murong's mistake. I can't change it for the time being, so I have to ask you to ignore it automatically.

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If the short-lived universal suffrage that followed the Glorious Revolution and the French Revolution is regarded as the beginning of universal suffrage in the West, then the polls on electoral campaigns that began at the beginning of the twentieth century are indeed too late.

Moreover, opinion polls were originally designed to measure the satisfaction of readers of newspapers and magazines, and of course they will soon be applied to political elections.

From both a business and a political point of view, polling is a very scientific and practical method.

Again, the savior of the free world was a very intelligent and shrewd man from every point of view.

So when he heard Yuan Yanqian talk about the survey methods of sampling questionnaires, sampling phone calls, and sampling interviews, his eyes were getting brighter and brighter.

FDR couldn't help but interrupt: "Mr. Yuan, according to what you said, wouldn't this kind of poll also be applied to ......?"

"Election above!" The two said in unison.

I only heard the big savior muttering to himself: "I...... Well, why didn't we think of it?! ”

Our Master Yuan said in his heart, it is naturally because you are not scientific enough. Rather, you don't have enough awareness of your elite democracy that you subconsciously ignore popular preferences.

In fact, political economists have a very good view of this.

Remember that "bat" Schumpeter? Democracy, he argues, is the process in which political elites compete for power and the people choose political leaders. The essence of democracy lies in a competitive electoral process. The political elite wields political power and rules, but its legitimacy comes from the choice of the people.

In other words, the political market and the economic market are actually the same thing. In a democratic political market, politicians compete freely in general elections by providing political platforms and policies based on voters' preferences, competing for voters' votes.

To put it more simply, modern representative democracy is nothing more than a "leader democracy of the referendum", and its main function, if not the only function, is to elect political leaders.

So, for political leaders, charisma is more important than intelligence!

The charisma of a political leader is not just about being handsome, eloquent, fresh-looking, experienced, and innocent. They also need to be down-to-earth, to be "anxious about what the people are anxious about", so that voters feel that the candidates are "one of us". This is where the role of the poll comes in.

Like my Majesty Trump, who is obviously one of the 1%, he has stubbornly portrayed himself as the spokesperson for the white trash, and he can't slip away anymore.

FDR raised his head suddenly, looked at Yuan Yanqian with blazing eyes and asked, "Mr. Yuan, are you interested in working for our Democratic Party...... Oh no, is it for us Fidelity Savings Guaranty? ”

Lao Tzu is so talented, even the great savior of the future free world regards me as a great savior in a few words.

It's a pity, the broken ship of your Democratic Party is too broken now, and if it doesn't sink to the bottom of the sea, God willing. The Republican Party is nice-boat...... Well, even if you want to jump ship, you have to wait for the Great Depression.

"Thank you, Mr. Roosevelt, for your kindness." Master Yuan said very regretfully, "It's a pity that I will return to China to get married after I get my doctorate in June this year." I'm afraid I won't be able to work for you and your Fidelity for the past two years. But ......"

Just now, he had a great idea, a very good one.

"But together we can set up a business investigation company."

"A commercial investigation company?" FDR asked suspiciously, "Mr. Yuan, do you mean a private detective agency like Pinkerton?" ”

Yuan explained: "We can also do those businesses in Pinkerton, but our research company mainly does what I said about polls. ”

"Mr. Roosevelt, this business model is a blank slate in the United States. You have also understood that there must be a lot of commercial companies and political workers like you who need this kind of service. In that case, why don't we fill the gap? ”

"Trust me, Mr. Roosevelt. There are great benefits to having the world's No. 1 polling company! ”

The great savior of the free world obviously showed a heartfelt look on his face, but he still did not agree on the spot, but said ambiguously: "Mr. Yuan, I will seriously consider your suggestion." Maybe...... Well, maybe we can do an experiment first. ”

Our Master Yuan nodded in agreement: "No problem, then we will use this movie to do an experiment." Whether you invest in Fidelity or not, I'm going to do a poll. Comparing the future box office, we know that the data of the poll is accurate......"

"BIG DATA IS THE WORLD'S FIRST BUSINESS POLLING COMPANY. For more than 60 years, Dash has been a global leader in measuring and analysing the opinions, attitudes and behaviors of voters, consumers and employees using scientific methods to provide marketing and management consulting to clients, achieving academic and business excellence in academic and commercial outcomes......"

"The founders of Dashu are Vice President Ross and Master Yuan Yanqi. The two hit it off in a business meeting in 1921 and soon opened the company together. Since then, they have developed a very good personal partnership. ”

"THE SPEED AT WHICH BIG DATA IS EXPANDING IS STAGGERING. When it was founded in New York in 1921, there were only a dozen employees, but by the time of the Great Depression in 1929, most of the branch offices were spread across 50 states, and there were 5,000 full-time investigators on the register, not including senior advisers and part-time staff. In addition to conducting various business investigations, he was also an indispensable advisor to political workers at the time. ”

"BECAUSE BIG DATA'S FOUNDER IS A COMMITTED DEMOCRAT AND A STAUNCH REPUBLICAN SUPPORTER, BIG DATA HAS BEEN KNOWN FOR ITS POLITICAL NEUTRALITY AND DATA OBJECTIVITY FROM THE OUTSET. Although there were many imitators of the polling business at the time, and major media outlets in the United States also established their own polling departments, Dashu has always been the most credible polling company in the United States. ”

"Not only has it successfully predicted all U.S. presidential elections, but it has also held the highest record for predicting local elections in the United States. So much so that some people joked that Mr. Yuan Yanqi's good luck has always blessed the company. The good luck here refers to Mr. Yuan's famous '250 Incident', in which he gambled on the results of the 1920 presidential election. ”

Later, Mr. Yuan Yanqian complained about the 'Roosevelt's New Deal', believing that it was a betrayal of capitalism. But the two of them are still good friends. After the outbreak of World War II, President Roosevelt also entrusted Mr. Yuan with the important task of personally appointing him as a special adviser to the U.S. Military Advisory Group......"

——Excerpt from "Baidu Encyclopedia: Big Number Company"

After getting down to business, it's time to get started. So in front of the savior of the free world, Yuan Yanqian ate all the dishes on the menu of this restaurant.

"Mr. Yuan, your appetite is really amazing." Witnessing this exaggerated way of eating, FDR is also a little calm.

He gasped and said in disbelief, "And with the way you eat, you're still so thin!" ”

Our Master Yuan picked up a napkin and wiped his mouth, took a sip of water, and posed in an unfathomable but unwavering manner: "Mr. Roosevelt, although Westerners like you may find it unscientific, we Seris people do have mastered the ancient secret arts. ”

"And I myself am a practitioner of an arcane method called Devouring Heaven and Earth. As you learned, this secret technique can help me recover from sepsis. But it also had some side effects, and I had to eat a lot of it. ”

There is nothing wrong with what he said, the characters in "Devouring the World" need to eat buns and pork knuckles in large gulps.

FDR naturally asked with great interest, "Oh, Mr. Yuan. Is there really a secret technique that can help people recover from a serious illness? ”

"Of course, Mr. Roosevelt." Yuan Yanqian said quietly, "Some secret techniques can also cure other people's serious illnesses. ”

The great savior of the free world shook his head slightly and said, "Mr. Yuan, even if you are a recognized gentleman, I still can't believe it. ”

Our Master Yuan smiled, picked up the knife and fork again, and said, "You will believe it, Mr. Roosevelt, you will believe it......"

After eating and drinking enough, Master Yuan, who was addicted to fooling himself, said goodbye to FDR and returned directly to Rosewood.

As soon as he entered the door, the lobby foreman greeted him very warmly and said, "Mr. Yuan, good night." You have a guest. He's in the bar right now. ”

"Thank you, Frank."

Yuan Yan said in her heart, did that guy come quite quickly?

He turned around and walked into the bar on the ground floor of the hotel, and sure enough, he saw a big man drinking "juice" boringly next to the bar.

“ZOD…… Well, Mr. Aiden, I'm sorry to keep you waiting. Our Master Yuan greeted the visitor, turned to the bartender and said, "This gentleman will also bring me a glass of juice." By the way, it's all on my account. ”

"So Mr. Aiden, have you brought me any good news?"

General ZOD took out a few brown paper envelopes from his briefcase and said, "Mr. Yuan, look at it for yourself." ”

Yuan Yanqian was not polite, and directly opened these envelopes and looked at them.

Well, Mr. Professor is still in seclusion, with little contact with outsiders except for his students.

Well, Linden Wan and the Mother of Dragons did go to Europe, and there are customs records to prove it.

Well, Zhuang Kunlun is really quite honest these days, and he is not unclear with Sister Lian.

Well, his little dragon girl really became a good girl.

Master Yuan nodded with satisfaction, and the documents were all put away.

However, Captain Aiden on the side said sarcastically: "Mr. Yuan, it seems that you are really a gentleman who values love and righteousness, and you 'care' about your friends so much. ”

"Mr. Aiden, we Cyris have an old saying, if you are careful enough, you can drive a broken ship or a nice boat for 10,000 years." Yuan Yan loosened her shoulders and said indifferently.

General ZOD pursed his lips disappetively and asked, "Mr. Yuan, then what is the purpose of your captain naming me to come over?" ”

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In order to thank the patients for their care, Murong will try his best to make changes during this time.

But there is something to do today, only these 3,000 words. Tomorrow I will continue to work hard. 18110