Chapter 639: Nuclear Threat
Out of humanitarian consideration, after consulting with Huaxia, Pakistan first provided assistance to Amritsar, which was subsequently offset by supplies provided by the United Nations.
All these food, medicines and other supplies came from China to provide aid to Pakistan.
That was the reason why the humanitarian relief operation in Amritsar was able to start immediately.
By this time, the Fourth Indo-Pakistani War had actually come to an end.
Although the Indian authorities still refuse to admit it, as the defeated side, India basically has no right to speak, let alone lead the negotiations.
What else can be done but to negotiate?
Although, as proposed by the United States, private enterprises had replaced political entities to carry out and carry out humanitarian relief operations in Amritsar, the local civil self-government institutions had provided tremendous assistance, and much of the assistance was distributed through the self-government committees.
Can India still fight?
The answer is clearly no.
Even if the Indian authorities refuse to give up, the current situation makes it impossible for the Indian authorities to continue fighting, and negotiations are the only option.
So, how to talk about it?
On the 98th day of the war, the day after the start of the humanitarian relief operation in Amritsar, the Security Council adopted a condemnation resolution against both India and Pakistan, demanding that India and Pakistan immediately cease military operations and then begin preparations for armistice negotiations.
The resolution also has sanctions attached to it.
The key to the adoption of the resolution was that the United States abstained from voting.
Obviously, the United States is also tired of this war.
In fact, it is more for its own sake, that is, this war has had a huge, and negative, impact on the United States.
What are the negative effects?
More than 3 months after the start of the war, more than 1 million Indians have gone to the United States through various channels!
While most Indians have legal visas, many of them will find ways to stay in the U.S. rather than leave the U.S. before their visas expire.
In addition, about 1.5 million Indians went to Europe.
It can be seen that the refugee crisis caused by the war is already manifesting.
For the United States and other Western countries, the refugee crisis is the biggest concern.
Why?
Although India is far from the United States and Europe, it has a population of more than one billion people.
As long as the situation gets out of control, tens of millions, if not hundreds of millions, of Indians will inevitably be displaced, and some of them will certainly go to the United States and Europe.
The impact of refugees is unimaginable.
In addition, a range of problems caused by refugees can have extremely serious consequences.
For example, the impact on the global economy.
Although the economic impact of the war was already evident at the moment of the war, it will become more severe as the war continues to deteriorate.
As a result, the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund have lowered their economic growth forecasts for the current year three times.
It can be said that as long as the war continues, no country will be able to stand alone.
Of course, there is also the humanitarian catastrophe that must be taken into account.
Amritsar is just the tip of the iceberg.
According to the International Food and Agriculture Agency, the war will lead to an existential crisis for at least 500 million Indians, half of whom will face humanitarian disasters such as hunger and disease.
The international community cannot provide comprehensive assistance, and no country can accommodate 500 million poor people.
The result?
If the subcontinent enters a period of turmoil, it will not be long before it spreads to the whole world, causing a global food crisis.
It can be said that the time has come when this war must end.
Indian authorities?
Obviously, this is indeed a problem.
Why?
If the aim of the Indian authorities is to maintain power, that is, to hold the ruling position, they will not necessarily accept the UN Security Council resolution at this time.
At the military level, the Indian authorities do still have a little bit of capital.
On the army side, the second batch of main battle equipment purchased for India at the expense of the United States and Japan has arrived in Mumbai, and it is enough to equip five armored brigades.
For the Air Force, there are still about 200 combat aircraft, many of which are more advanced fighters.
In terms of the navy, India has always been in a dominant position, and the submarines of the Pakistan Navy have not performed much during the war.
Overall, if India concentrates its forces, there is still hope that it will turn the tide of victory, or at least reverse the unfavorable situation.
More importantly, India has a lot of weapons in its hands and could use nuclear weapons at any time.
In fact, just the day before, on the 97th day of the war, the Indian defense minister hinted in his speech that if New Delhi was threatened, India might use nuclear weapons, at least at the tactical level, to contain the offensive of the Pakistani army.
In fact, it was the Indian Defence Minister's remarks that prompted the Security Council to issue a condemnation resolution.
You know, if the United States continues to exercise its veto power, then no resolution can be adopted in the Security Council.
This time, it was the United States that abstained from voting to allow the condemnation resolution to pass.
Why, then, did the United States abstain?
Quite simply, India threatens to use nuclear weapons.
Even if it's just a threatening word, the threat is big enough.
Why?
As long as India uses nuclear weapons, Pakistan will inevitably use them, and the conflict will turn into a full-scale war, and the entire South Asian subcontinent will be in ruins.
When the time comes, who will get the benefits?
It can be said that no country can benefit from it.
If the situation gets out of control, for example, if the Indian authorities make the foolish decision to target China, the consequences will be unimaginable.
As a matter of fact, for the United States, the use of nuclear weapons is a red line that must never be crossed.
Why?
For decades, the United States has been the only country to use nuclear weapons on the battlefield.
Even if the United States has been supporting India, it will never tolerate India's use of nuclear weapons in war.
Of course, it's not just the United States.
On the very day that the UN Security Council adopted the condemnation resolution, a squadron of 8 B-2As was stationed in Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean.
In addition, at least 3 aircraft carriers are heading for the Indian Ocean.
According to information disclosed after the war, the US authorities immediately informed the republic and Russia and expressed concern about the conflict between India and Pakistan.
According to the intention of the US authorities, if there is a risk of nuclear war, the US will take action at the first opportunity to destroy India's nuclear capability.
Of course, the United States also wants China to make assurances that it will control Pakistan and not let Pakistan do stupid things.
Russia, for its part, needs to remain neutral and put pressure on the Indian authorities to know that nuclear weapons are definitely not weapons that can be used.
The key remains the armistice negotiations.
As long as India and Pakistan sit down and talk, then everything is easy to say.
If the Indian authorities continue to refuse to negotiate with Pakistan, there is a high risk that the situation will spiral out of control.