Chapter 264: The Wind Rises
The Saudi authorities not only produced evidence that Shigeo Nishiguchi, the president of Sumiyoshikai, had instigated the terrorist attack, but also made a fuss about the IPO of Aramco, which attracted the attention of the global news media and became the most concerned event, overshadowing the India-Pakistan conflict.
Two days later, the Japanese authorities arrested Shigeo Nishiguchi on suspicion of money laundering, transfer of illegal gains, and tax evasion.
Subsequently, the Tokyo District Court seized assets in Shigeo Nishiguchi's name, including the headquarters of Sumiyoshikai.
However, the Japanese authorities did not agree to extradite Shigeo Nishiguchi to Saudi Arabia because Japan and Saudi Arabia have not signed a judicial agreement on extradition.
Legally, it is impossible for a Japanese court to convict Shigeo Nishiguchi on Saudi charges.
If tried in Japan, Shigerao Nishiguchi would be sentenced to a maximum of several years in prison under Japanese law, and he would be released on bail not long after.
If you extradite to Saudi Arabia and try it in Saudi Arabia, it will be a death sentence.
Clearly, the Saudis are not satisfied.
On the day of Shigeo's arrest, the Saudi Foreign Minister publicly stated that Saudi Arabia absolutely could not accept the outcome of allowing terrorists to go unpunished.
In addition, Saudi Arabia refused to negotiate with Japan, saying that the matter was not negotiable.
As for the annual agreement negotiations with the Saudi state-owned oil company, the Saudi authorities are equally tough, and they don't seem to be going to make the deal.
Affected by this, international oil prices hit new highs in two trading days.
According to the analysis of market institutions, if the situation drags on, the futures market will also be affected, and it is likely to hit the highest point after the 08 financial crisis.
Actually, it's not hard to understand.
If Japan is not able to reach an agreement with Saudi Arabia's state-owned oil company, it will have to buy crude oil from the market, which will inevitably increase the market price.
Because block trading is dominated by futures, it has the greatest impact on the futures market.
It didn't show itself for the time being, just because there are still a few months until the end of the year, and Japan still has a lot of time to improve relations with Saudi Arabia.
Of course, it's not just oil prices that are affected.
On the day of Nishiguchi's arrest, the Nikkei Stock Average on the Tokyo Stock Exchange closed down again and hit a new high this year with an 8% decline.
On that day alone, hundreds of billions of dollars evaporated from the market systems of Japan's listed companies in the fields of petroleum, transportation, and chemical industries.
If it weren't for the financial-led heavyweights that began to pull in the afternoon, the Nikkei would likely have bottomed out and closed early for the first time this year.
This incident has also had an extremely serious impact on the energy structure reform that Japan is advancing.
After the Fukushima earthquake, the Japanese authorities made clear the general direction of gradually reducing the proportion of nuclear energy, and proposed to vigorously develop clean energy, but in essence, to increase the degree of traditional energy such as oil and natural gas, and the scale of Japan's oil imports has increased year by year.
Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries happen to be the main producers of Japan's imported oil.
Eighty percent of Japan's oil imports come from Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries, and Saudi Arabia has never accounted for less than 40 percent.
If Saudi Arabia no longer sells oil to Japan, where will it import so much oil?
In addition, Saudi Arabia is the leading big brother of the Gulf countries, and has extremely strong influence on oil-producing countries such as the United Arab Emirates, Oman and Kuwait.
Although other Gulf countries have not yet followed suit, as long as the situation gets out of control, they will inevitably follow Saudi Arabia's pace and start imposing sanctions on Japan.
Of course, the solution is not none, but it is extremely costly.
For example, Japan could use Qatar, which parted ways with Saudi Arabia because of the severance of diplomatic relations, to import oil and gas from Qatar.
It is a pity that Qatar mainly produces natural gas, and oil production is not very large.
In fact, only US shale oil can make up for this shortfall.
It's just that the shale oil industry makes a profit when the international oil price exceeds $55 per barrel, and below that price it loses money.
The current international oil price is around $45 per barrel.
If it stabilizes at around $45, and Japan can only import shale oil to fill the energy gap, it will have to spend at least $50 billion a year on oil imports.
Of course, shale oil companies in the United States will surely burst into laughter.
There is nothing to be happy about for the Japanese economy, because it will be a catastrophe from which no industry is immune.
It's just that, in order to curry favor with the Saudi royal family, Shigeo Nishiguchi was handed over to Saudi Arabia for trial?
Not to mention that Japan and Saudi Arabia have not signed an extradition agreement, and even if there is, handing over Shigeo Nishiguchi at this time will cause a political earthquake that will bring down the cabinet.
It is precisely for this reason that the Japanese authorities, knowing that they cannot obtain Saudi Arabia's understanding, insist on trying Shigeo Nishiguchi in China.
It can be expected that Shigeo Nishiguchi will definitely not live long.
Even if he is the president of Sumiyoshikai and has an inextricable relationship with Japanese political leaders, he can only be sacrificed in the face of national interests.
It is actually very cost-effective to sacrifice a Shigeo Nishiguchi and make more than 100 million people happy.
Of course, it certainly not now, and this step can only be taken after the turmoil has passed, at least when it is no longer closely watched.
Ideally, there is another explosive event to draw the attention of the news media.
And it does, and it's only been a day.
The day after Shigeo Nishiguchi's arrest, the U.S. military dispatched dozens of transport planes to transport 1,500 officers and soldiers from three battalions to Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar.
The heavy equipment of these three battalions has long been sent to the ports of Qatar.
After the incident, a Pentagon press spokesman declared that the purpose of sending additional troops to Qatar was to maintain regional peace and stability and was not aimed at any country.
Not targeting any country?
The devil believes!
After Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries severed diplomatic relations with Qatar, the United States sent an additional 1,500 troops to Qatar.
At that time, the United States had already received Qatar's tribute for protection, that is, a total of more than $30 billion in arms purchase contracts.
Counting the three additional battalions sent this time, the number of US troops in Qatar has reached 5,000!
In addition, almost 10,000 US officers and soldiers are stationed in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates and other countries.
You must know that the total number of US troops stationed overseas is less than 50,000, of which more than 20,000 have been deployed in Northeast Asia, which has never been at peace.
If it's just to maintain regional peace and stability, can't we send a few aircraft carriers over?
Obviously, the United States is actually warning Saudi Arabia to increase its troops in Qatar, so that the Saudi royal family understands that the United States is the leading big brother in the Gulf region.
To put it mildly, if the United States is provoked, the Saudi royal family will say goodbye to glory and wealth.
Obviously, Saudi Arabia has the capital to anger Japan, but it does not have the courage to provoke the United States.
That evening, the Saudi ambassador went to the White House to meet with the US president, and after several hours of talks, he left the White House before dawn.
At this time, Wang Dong was on a flight to Edinburgh.