It is precisely because of this that Wang Dong can't figure out what reason India has to provoke a conflict.

Could it be Pakistan?

Apparently not.

Since the founding of the People's Republic of China, Pakistan has always been on the defensive in its strategy toward India, focusing on defense, and Pakistan has always been on the defensive side in the three Indo-Pakistani wars and several large-scale conflicts, and has always been in a disadvantageous position, so it is impossible to talk about the strategic initiative at all.

In fact, this is also limited by national strength.

In any case, Pakistan is too small compared to India.

In addition, there is absolutely no need for Pakistan to take the initiative in its strategy toward India, because all Pakistan needs is its own security.

Of course, the most important thing is Pakistan's national strategy.

With the possession of nuclear weapons, Pakistan's security has been strengthened and the country's focus has gradually shifted to internal development.

Although the threat from India has not abated, the Pakistani authorities have long recognized that the future of the country is determined not by military strength, but by development and construction, and that only by economic development can it build a military force to defend the country.

On this point, there is a great unity of opinion across Pakistan.

In fact, this is also influenced by China.

Why?

Decades ago, China was also poor and backward, and after decades of rapid development, China is already the world's largest industrial country and the world's second largest economy.

In addition, the strength of Huaxia is built on development and construction.

What about Pakistan?

After decades of confrontation with India, nation-building has been a mess.

After coming to their senses, Pakistan naturally regards development and construction as a top priority.

The key is that Huaxia has the ability to help Pakistan in construction, to provide assistance to Pakistan, and to change the face of poverty in Pakistan.

So why keep an eye on the military?

In addition, Pakistan's internal contradictions have also determined that construction must be the mainstay.

What contradiction?

The contradiction between rapid population growth and uneven development.

According to Pakistan's official census in 2022, Pakistan's population has exceeded 350 million, and it is likely to exceed 400 million in 2040, and may even reach 450 million, surpassing the United States around 2040 to become the third most populous country in the world.

What is this concept?

Although India's population is likely to exceed 2 billion by 2040, which is still much larger than Pakistan's, Pakistan itself is much smaller than India, and neither its land area nor domestic resources are enough to support a huge population of 600 million.

Without development, by that time, there will be no need for India to start a war at all, and serious domestic problems will be enough to finish Pakistan.

The issue before the Pakistani authorities is clear: to strive for development and to build the country well.

To put it more thoroughly, it is to seize the demographic dividend and realize industrialization as soon as possible, because only industrialization can feed more and more people.

If it remains in the agricultural stage, the future of Pakistan will be extremely bleak.

In a sense, this is Pakistan's last chance.

Why?

China is also undergoing industrial adjustment, and needs to transfer a large number of labor-intensive industries to the outside world, so as to improve the country's industrial structure.

If this point in time is missed, Pakistan will never have a chance.

Why?

It is imperative for China to adjust its industrial structure, and it is also necessary to speed up its efforts, because China's demographic dividend is about to run out.

From the perspective of development, Huaxia must complete the adjustment of its industrial structure before the population is used to absorb light.

That is, it is impossible for Huaxia to stop and wait for Pakistan.

The fact is that Pakistan must step up its pace to follow China's lead.

Quite simply, if Pakistan does not keep up, then Huaxia will inevitably choose other partners, and will not leave the opportunity to Pakistan.

It is precisely in this way that Pakistan has devoted most of its resources to construction over the past decade or so.

For Pakistan, all that is needed now is time.

In fact, after several years of development, especially after the completion of the infrastructure aided by China, Pakistan has seen hope for revival.

The next step is to march towards industrialization.

Railways and highways across Pakistan have been opened, several large power stations have been connected to the grid, and more infrastructure is being built at a rapid pace.

According to estimates, within 5 to 10 years, Pakistan will be able to cross the threshold of industrialization.

Although it will take 20 to 30 years to complete industrialization, as long as Pakistan begins the process of industrialization, with the support of China, it will soon become the most modern country in South Asia, and under the condition of relying on China, Pakistan's economic development will inevitably be soaring.

Why?

After China's industrial upgrading, the huge market provided by more than a billion Chinese people alone was enough for Pakistan to complete the primitive accumulation in the early stage of industrialization.

To put it bluntly, it is the low-end industry transferred from China that is enough for Pakistan to develop.

In fact, Pakistan is already making great progress.

In 2022, Pakistan's industrial output has surpassed that of India as the first industrial country in South Asia.

According to Pakistan's plan, by 2030, Pakistan will basically build an industrial system with light industries such as textiles as the core.

So, what does Pakistan need in this context?

There is no doubt that it is a peaceful and stable external environment.

To this end, Pakistan is also stepping up its military build-up at the same time, but not for the purpose of provoking war, but for the purpose of maintaining peace and stability.

Only peace and stability can lead to Pakistan's successful industrialization.

Only peace and stability can enable Pakistan to embark smoothly on the road to prosperity and strength.

As for the confrontation with India, even if it cannot be completely avoided, we must try to reduce the contradictions, at least within a limited scope.

So, what reason does Pakistan have to provoke a conflict?

In fact, as long as the situation is generally stable, Pakistan will not change the status quo, at least not on its own initiative.

You know, maybe in 10 years, Pakistan will be able to establish a sound industrial system.

By that time, India would not be an opponent of Pakistan at all.

Looking at the longer term, by 2040 or so, when Pakistan is basically industrialized, what will India do to fight Pakistan?

Obviously, what's the point of waiting more than a decade for Pakistan's leaders?

If it can become the China of South Asia, let alone more than 10 years, it will be no problem for Pakistan to hold on for another 30 years.