Whether to fight or not is not determined by the price offered by Muhammad, but by ability.

If you can't win the battle, in the end, the whole army will be wiped out, and no matter how high the price offered by Crown Prince Mohammed, Wang Dong and others will not be blessed.

Besides, who are the employees of the "Angu" company?

Mercenary!

If they knew that they were going to die, and they didn't even have the slightest hope of winning, would they be moved by the high commission, would they still follow Wang Dong?

After going back, Wang Dong immediately found Yunlong.

With Yunlong and Yunfeng here, Wang Dong doesn't need to worry about intelligence matters, and after the outbreak of the civil war, the whole world is staring at Iraq.

Huaxia's intelligence agencies are no exception.

In fact, the current situation on the battlefield can be said to be clear at a glance.

During the offensive and defensive battle of Samawah, Iraqi government forces took the opportunity to expand the defensive area of Nasiriyah, pushing the defensive line to the west by about 50 kilometers.

Strictly speaking, it controlled only a few key roads on the south bank of the Tigris.

In the face of the imminent rebels, such a defensive deployment is nothing more than buying a little more time so that the defenders in the city can be well equipped.

Fortunately, the rebels did not advance quickly.

The point is that there is only one ordinary road south of the Tigris, and the highway from Baghdad to Basra is located west of Nasiriyah on the north bank of the Tigris, and does not pass through Semavo.

Due to the limited capacity of the road and the air strikes of the Arab coalition forces, the rebels encountered a lot of trouble.

Obviously, in this matter, Crown Prince Mohammed deliberately exaggerated the facts.

According to the information obtained by Yunlong, it would take five days for the rebels to reach the outskirts of Nasiriyah at the earliest, and a few more days if they ran into trouble on the way to the army.

From Semavo to Nasiriyah, it is only one hundred and twenty kilometers.

Advancing more than 20 kilometers a day, not too slow, not too fast.

So, will Iraqi government forces loyal to Razak be able to hold Nasiriyah?

The answer is no.

As things stand, if nothing else, government forces will only be able to hold out in Nasiriyah for a week at most, and they may be routed in three days.

You must know that the government army is facing six brigades headed by the armored brigade of the "Holy Land Heroic Division", three of which are mechanized infantry brigades with relatively strong combat effectiveness.

In the case of the extremely limited number of troops invested by the Arab League, that is, fighter jets, it is simply a drop in the bucket.

As long as the rebels make up their minds, they will surely be able to defeat Nasiriyah.

According to Yunlong's judgment, the rebel leader Karim is likely to go to the front line to try to take down Nasiriyah in one go, and then move westward to capture Shuaibai and Zubayr before the coalition forces cross the border, cutting off the highway from Kuwait to Basra.

At that time, when the overall situation has been decided, the countries of the Arab League may retreat.

In fact, as long as a few Arab League countries that have agreed to send troops retreat, even if Saudi Arabia refuses to stop there, it will be powerless to turn things around.

From this point of view, the rapid capture of Nasiriyah will determine the outcome of this war.

Could it be that there is no hope at all?

In this regard, Yunlong did not give a clear answer, but only made a detailed analysis of the battlefield situation.

It seems, that the rebels under the command of Karim are about to win the civil war.

However, the situation is far from ideal.

For Karim, there are several serious problems.

First of all, there is logistics.

It's not that the distance from Semavo to Nasiriyah is too far, and the rebels' logistical support is not the same, but that the reserves of ammunition and other military supplies are about to run out.

According to Yunlong's estimates, the remaining ammunition of the rebels can be used for a month at most.

Although the combat consumption of the rebels during the offensive and defensive battles of Semavo was not large, the loss of ammunition and supplies to the front line was very large.

In Yunlong's words, only about a third of the ammunition was delivered to the front, and the other two-thirds were lost in transit.

In fact, this is the key reason why the rebels had to stop in Semavo.

Although there is enough ammunition left for the rebels to take Nasiriyah and march towards Basra, the rebels will be in serious trouble if the Arab League intensifies its air strikes in this area, such as focusing on bombing convoys carrying ammunition supplies to the front line and destroying several rebel ammunition depots.

After running out of ammunition and food, what will the rebels use to attack?

Secondly, Nasiriyah is not the place to win.

Even if we do not consider taking Basra in one go, it is necessary to capture Shuaibai and Zubayr, that is, after the capture of Nasiriyah, the offensive must be continued.

Nasiriyah is one hundred and eighty kilometers from Shuaibai and more than two hundred kilometers to Zubayr.

It was clearly a difficult journey for the rebels.

Then, with the aim of advancing on Shuaibai and Zubair, the rebels had to keep a sufficiently strong reserve when attacking Nasiriyah.

In other words, it is unlikely that all six brigades that were advancing towards Nasiriyah could be sent to attack Nasiriyah.

From the point of view of assault capabilities, the rebels should have left the "Holy Land Xiongshi" brigade behind, and even had to keep the three mechanized infantry brigades.

Quite simply, only mechanized troops are able to advance quickly.

In this way, when attacking Nasiriyah, the rebels must first use the other two infantry brigades, the armored brigade and the mechanized infantry brigade as the main reserves.

With two infantry brigades can you take Nasiriyah?

Apparently impossible!

Of course, Karim must have been prepared to move the forces that captured Semavo, namely the "Mosul" and "Kirkuk" brigades, south within a few days.

At that time, without using reserves, the rebels would be able to attack Nasiriyah with four brigades.

The question is, can the "Mosul" brigade and the "Kirkuk" brigade take on the big role?

You must know that these two brigades suffered heavy losses in the bloody battle of Semavo, and even if they are withdrawn to rest and recuperate, they may not be able to make up for the lost equipment and personnel.

Especially heavy equipment.

It can be seen that as long as the government forces receive strong support, the rebels may not be able to successfully defeat Nasiriyah as they wish.

Although theoretically, as long as the rebels used the reserves such as the "Holy Land Heroes" brigade, they would definitely be able to capture Nasiriyah, but after the reserves suffered heavy losses, the rebels would certainly not be able to capture Shuaibai and Zubayr within the planned time, missing the best chance to win the civil war.

In fact, this is the key to the need to defend Nasiriyah.

The key is not whether it can be held, but whether it can be held, but to consume the combat effectiveness of the rebels.

So, with the support of the mercenaries led by Wang Dong, will the government forces be able to hold Nasiriyah?

Or how long can government forces hold out in Nasiriyah?

No one has been able to answer either question.

Yunlong only provided information, analyzed and judged the situation on the battlefield, and it was up to Wang Dong to decide whether to agree to Crown Prince Mohammed.