Chapter 16: The Terrible "Butterfly Effect"

Ma Chao continued to work hard, developed the military of Hanzhong City, and constantly recruited prisoners of the Zhang and Lu armies, and once there were those who were willing to take refuge, they could be dispersed and supplemented to various cavalry brigades for training, and those who passed the training could stay, and those who did not pass the training were eliminated to logistics and other idle and miscellaneous troops.

In his spare time, he began to think about the famous events in history, and learned about the biggest opponents in the future: Cao Cao, Liu Bei, Sun Ce, their dynamics, especially Liu Bei's dynamics, due to the influence of "Romance of the Three Kingdoms", modern people worship Liu Bei the most, the most praised. Liu Bei's benevolence and virtue have infected generations of Three Kingdoms lovers! Ma Chaonature is no exception, and naturally he is also most concerned about Liu Bei's development trend. As a traverser, Ma Chao's biggest advantage is to anticipate the enemy's opportunity, he knew in advance that Cao Cao would defeat Yuan Shao in the Battle of Guandu and unify the north; Liu Bei will later seize Jingzhou and Yizhou to unify the southwest; Sun Ce would be assassinated in a few years, after which his brother Sun Quan would take over and unify Jiangdong. Since you know these things in advance, of course, you must make use of these advantages and formulate the right strategy at the right time, which will naturally get twice the result with half the effort!

But I don't know if I don't see it, I was startled when I saw it, when Yuan Shu was called emperor before, although Ma Chao felt that something was wrong, but Ma Chao was busy with the Hanzhong strategy at the time, and he didn't pay attention to it, thinking that he was mistaken, but now when he thinks about it, he finds that it was Yuan Shu who was the emperor at the wrong time! As a senior fan of the Three Kingdoms, Ma Chao has dabbled in the "Romance of the Three Kingdoms", "Romance of the Three Kingdoms" and other similar official history, according to Ma Chao, in history Yuan Shu called the emperor in 197 AD, although in 195 AD Yuan Shu also tried to call the emperor, but was persuaded by its master Yan Xiang to "the merit of the lord is not enough to be called the emperor", after nearly two years, Hanoi Zhang Xiao divined for him, saying that he had the destiny to be the emperor, Yuan Shu took this as a reason, in the second year of Jian'an (that is, 197 AD) in Shouchun called the emperor. And now it is only 195 AD, and Yuan Shu has succeeded in claiming the emperor, which means that the main book Yan Xiang did not persuade Yuan Shu, which is not the same as the history that Ma Chao has learned.

There is also Liu Bei, in 195 years in history, Liu Bei was already a pastor in Xuzhou, and according to the information that Ma Chao just consulted, Liu Bei is still stationed in Xiaopei and has not taken Xuzhou; In this way, Ma Chao learned that many events are different from history.

After carefully consulting various intelligence and comparing it with the history that Ma Chao knew, Ma Chao found that since Ma Chao crossed in 194 AD, many historical events have changed to a greater or lesser extent. The events before 194 are basically the same as history, Ma Chao did not find any difference, but since Ma Chao crossed in 194 AD, many historical events have changed, the most obvious is the change in Xiliang and Hanzhong, Hanzhong City is now under the rule of the Xiliang Army, and the historical Hanzhong City was ruled by Zhang Lu for several decades, until the 20th year of Jian'an (that is, 215 AD), Cao Cao personally led an army of 100,000 troops to the west to conquer Hanzhong, and Zhang Lu surrendered to Cao Cao. But now Zhang Lu has been shot to death by his second brother Ma Xiu!

In other words, the emergence of Ma Chao has changed the trajectory and process of history, and many historical events may not happen, let alone happen as scheduled! Could this be the famous "butterfly effect" in later generations? (The butterfly effect refers to the fact that in a dynamical system, small changes in initial conditions can lead to a large long-term chain reaction of the entire system.) It's a chaotic phenomenon. There are fixed numbers and variables in the development of any thing, and the development trajectory of things in the development process has laws to follow, and there are also unpredictable "variables", which are often counterproductive, and a small change can affect the development of things, indicating that the development of things is complex. )

If the famous events in history no longer happen as scheduled, then the biggest advantage of the traverser will be gone...

Ma Chao hurriedly continued to analyze Liu Bei's intelligence, Liu Bei in history had a bad fate and repeated setbacks before getting Zhuge Liang, among which the two biggest achievements were: Taoyuan Sanjieyi subdued Guan Yu and Zhang Fei as the younger brother, and since then Liu Bei has two fierce generals, and he is not afraid of any prince in force; The second is that Liu Bei plotted to seize Xuzhou and successfully became the pastor of Xuzhou, inheriting Tao Qian's power and having a group of vital teams, it was this force that helped Liu Bei, who had been defeated repeatedly, to persist until Zhuge Liang appeared, thus laying down the Shu Han River.

Whether Liu Bei can become the pastor of Xuzhou, although it has nothing to do with the current Ma Chao, has a lot to do with Ma Chao's future strategy! If Liu Bei can still be the pastor of Xuzhou, but the time is a little later, it means that although the "butterfly effect" exists, it has little impact, and the appearance of Ma Chao has only affected the northwest at present, and has not had a great impact on the Central Plains, and Ma Chao's traverser advantage is still obvious.

But if Liu Bei has not been able to be the pastor of Xuzhou, it means that history has completely repeated itself because of the appearance of Ma Chao, everything will be a random event, and all the events that have happened in history will be overturned and repeated, and they may not happen again. If the impact of the "butterfly effect" is so huge, then the advantage of the horse super traverser will be infinitely weakened!

According to the description in "Romance of the Three Kingdoms", Liu Bei at this time had accepted Tao Qian's "Three Lets of Xuzhou" and had inherited Tao Qian's power; Of course, as a "Three Kingdoms fan" of the traverser Ma Chaonaturally will not believe all of Luo Guanzhong's classmates, everyone knows that Luo Guanzhong's "Romance of the Three Kingdoms" is a novel, which originates from history and is higher than history, and there are many plots in it that are not historical facts, but fictional in order to portray the characters in it. And "Romance of the Three Kingdoms" is orthodox in Liu Bei's Han Dynasty, and many of the plots in it are fictional to strengthen the characters of Shu and Han. Tao Qian's "Three Lets of Xuzhou" is a clear example, which is used to show Liu Bei's benevolent demeanor and noble moral sentiments.

According to Ma Chao's previous understanding in modern times, Liu Beisan in history made Xuzhou both historical and fictional. Specifically, "let Xuzhou" is a historical fact, while "three lets" is fictional. According to the "Three Kingdoms? The Biography of the First Lord recorded: "(Tao) Qian was ill, and said don't drive Elk Zhu and said: 'If you are not Liu Bei, you can't settle in this state.'" 'Humility to death, Zhu led the people of the state to welcome the first lord. This shows that Tao Qian did settle in Xuzhou when he was dying, and the officials handed over the affairs of Xuzhou to Liu Bei, that is, "let" Xuzhou. However, we must also see that Tao Qian was "let" when he died, to be precise, this is not "let", but handed over the huge inheritance of Xuzhou to Liu Bei to inherit, and that's it. When it comes to "three lets", it is completely fictional by Luo Guanzhong in "Romance of the Three Kingdoms", Tao Qian has not "conceded" three times in history, only once; There is also a plot that is not the same as the legend, that is, Liu Bei was not present when Tao Qian "let" Xuzhou, Tao Qian did not directly "let" Liu Bei, but Tao Qian instructed his subordinates Mi Zhu to hand over the great cause of Xuzhou to Liu Bei, and then these officials "welcomed" Liu Bei to Xuzhou.

When Ma Chao saw this history book in modern times, he also doubted whether this history book was true, after all, history books are also written by people, although they are more reliable than ordinary wild history, but there is still the possibility of distortion, Ma Chao's biggest suspicion at that time was why Tao Qian wanted to "cede" Xuzhou to Liu Bei, instead of giving it to his henchmen. After all, the relationship between Tao Qian and Liu Bei was very ordinary, although Liu Bei was evaluated as a hero by Cao Cao at that time, he was repeatedly defeated in the war and had not yet shown his ability. If Tao Qian said that he "ced" Xuzhou to Liu Bei in order to be able to stabilize Xuzhou, but can Liu Bei really keep Xuzhou? At that time, the reason why Cao Cao returned from two expeditions to Xuzhou was not because he lost the battle, but because he had internal problems, one was the lack of grain and grass, and the other was that there was a rebellion in the rear. And the experience of defeat in the second war has proved that even Liu Bei cannot defeat Cao Cao. And when Cao Cao Lianke Wucheng for the second time was about to take Xuzhou in one go, Tao Qian at that time was already panicked and planned to flee back to Danyang. It was only later that Cao Cao's rear changed and his troops were suddenly withdrawn, and Tao Qian did not flee in the end. Therefore, if Xuzhou is entrusted to Liu Bei, once Cao Cao quells the rebellion of Lü Bu and crusades against Xuzhou again, he can only fail. Tao Qian himself should be clear about this. Therefore, the last sentence written in the history books, "If it is not Liu Bei, this state cannot be settled", it is also very suspicious. In addition, there is another question, why is it Mi Zhu who passed on Tao Qian's last life? Tao Qian's henchmen should be Cao Bao, Xu Tan and others, if Tao Qian really wants to give Xuzhou Mu to Liu Bei, he should let Cao Bao, Xu Tan and others pass on the information. These are the historical legacy of the "Three Kingdoms fan" Ma Chao thinking about when he read the Three Kingdoms in modern times, no one knows what the truth of the matter is, but now Ma Chao has a chance, since Ma Chao has traveled to this era, he will personally witness this historical event happen, and then the natural truth will be revealed!

So, Ma Chao asked Ma Xiu, the commander of the Archer Cavalry Brigade and Scout, to pay close attention to the dynamics in Xuzhou and find out all the information about Liu Bei and Mi Zhu; Whether Liu Bei can take Xuzhou is not only related to the role of the "butterfly effect" brought about by Ma Chao's crossing, but also related to Ma Chao's strategic deployment of the overall situation in the future.