379 The situation in the Middle East

The year 1949 was the year in which the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) was granted formal statehood, and in a small area on the eastern shore of the Mediterranean, a new socialist state successfully defeated the menacing Arab invaders and established itself as an independent and legitimate state.

With the end of the First Middle East War, Soviet-aided Israel managed to retain its status as an independent state and gave broad support to the Israeli people for the Israeli coalition government (consisting of the United Workers' Party of Israel (MARAM) and the Communist Party of Israel (MKI), which led Israel to victory.

However, the victory did not bring permanent peace to Israel, and the Arab countries that invaded Israel (including Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Jordan, Iraq, Lebanon, and Yemen) lost many soldiers, but also received military and economic aid from Britain and the United States.

Coupled with the increased investment in the oil industry and the export of exploitation technology by the United States and the United Kingdom, the oil industry in these Arab countries has developed rapidly, accumulating considerable wealth, enabling them to have more capital to support a larger-scale and more protracted war.

But no matter how much war capital the Arabs had, they were unable to solve the problem of low morale and combat effectiveness of their armies, and they could not gain any advantage over Israel, which was heavily armed with Soviet and German weapons in World War II. And the Israelis, although they only received from the Soviet Union some T-34 tanks that had been eliminated and the No. 4 tank that had been captured from Germany, but in terms of firepower and protection, they were light tanks.

Although the Arabs received Cromwellian tanks aided by the British in the later stages of the war, and the Americans secretly sent some Shermans to the Green of the Middle East at the risk of opposition from the Jewish capitalists, they could not stop Israel from winning one after another.

The Arab armies suffered repeated defeats on the Middle East battlefield, losing not only many tanks obtained from Britain and the United States, but also dozens of Spitfires shot down and thousands of casualties.

The frustrated Arab armies had no intention of fighting, while the Israelis became more and more courageous, and finally the Arab countries, which had lost confidence in victory, had no choice but to sign an armistice with Israel, and the Jews, who had been fighting for many years, were finally able to obtain a temporary peace.

After the war, Israel succeeded in gaining most of Palestine, but the West Bank and Gaza were annexed by Jordan and Egypt, respectively, and became a destination for Muslims in Israel.

Although Israel won the war, it was hated and isolated by the Arab world and even some Western capitalist countries, and some Virgin Mary media in Britain and France even condemned Israel's behavior of "forcibly occupying Palestinian land and causing hundreds of Muslims to become refugees", which aroused the hatred of the Virgins of Western countries against Israel and provoked a wave of anti-Semitism.

Only the Soviet Union and other European socialist countries still maintain fairly good relations with Israel, providing a lot of resources for Israel's development and construction, as well as providing Israel with a lot of weapons and ammunition, thus creating conditions for Israel's victory in the first Middle East war.

Although the victory in the war ensured Israel's independent status and enabled the Israeli Communist Party and the United Workers' Party to gain broad support from the Israeli people, it caused relations between the Soviet Union and other countries in the Middle East to fall into a state of rupture, and also caused Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Turkey, and other Islamic countries in the Middle East to move closer to the British and American camps, and extended the sphere of influence of the Western camp to the Middle East.

Stalin, as the supreme leader of the Soviet Union, was also quite worried about this situation, because the Middle East was geographically closer to the core of the Soviet Union than Western Europe and East Asia, and Turkey and Iran were bordering the Russian Caucasus and Turkestan regions of the Soviet Union.

In the event that the United States obtains the right to station troops in Turkey and Iran and establish a military foothold in the Middle East, they will be able to strike directly at the Soviet mainland from the Middle East, posing a considerable threat to the lives and property of the people of the Soviet Caucasus, Central Asia, and the southern regions of Russia.

Obviously, such a situation was very unfavorable to the Soviet Union, and when the Americans extended their sphere of influence to the Soviet Union's doorstep, the Soviet Union was unable to strike at the US mainland, which in disguise caused the Soviet Union to lose the initiative on the battlefield and could only passively deploy defense in the Caucasus and Central Asia.

In the eyes of many, the Soviet Union's support for Israel was tantamount to digging itself up, and while it had secured Israel as an ally and solved the problem of the fate of Jews in its own country, it had offended the entire Arab world.

However, Manturov does not think so, and he has a historical memory, and he is well aware of Israel's development potential, and he also has a general understanding of the future development process of the Arab countries.

In fact, in the 1940s and 50s, even if the Soviet Union did not support Israel, the Arab countries did not take a pro-Soviet position, until the Arab socialist Nasser came to power in a coup d'état in Egypt and had a conflict of interest with Britain and France over the Suez Canal.

Later, after the Arab Socialist Baath Party in Iraq and Syria seized power, it also defected to the Soviet Union because of its ideological and geopolitical interests. In Manturov's view, as long as the Soviet Union can successfully seize power with Nasser and the Baath Party as it has done in history, and support Egypt in the Suez Canal crisis, it is believed that Egypt, Syria and Iraq, the three future "Arab socialist countries", will all switch to the Eastern bloc, and the only problem is that Israel's existence will always conflict with the interests of the Arab world, which needs to be solved with extraordinary wisdom and skill.

In any case, now that the USSR has come to this point, there is no room for regret and a new decision. After learning of Israel's victory in the first Middle East war, Molotov, then Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Soviet Union, not only sent a congratulatory message to Israel, but also extended an invitation to the Israeli Communist Government to attend the 20th Congress of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union and promised to provide more aid to Israel to support Israel's development.

At the same time, however, Jewish capitalists in the United States are secretly pumping money into Israel's capitalist parties in an attempt to boost Israel's pro-Western party's chances of winning the next general election, taking advantage of the unstable roots of socialist forces in Israel. And the frequent activities of CIA agents in Israel pose a considerable threat to the Communist Party-United Workers' political regime in Israel.

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