Chapter 93: Inference and Persuasion
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Lai Zongdao plucked up the courage to raise his head, wanting to ask if what the emperor had just said was true, but he really didn't know how to speak. Pen & Fun & Pavilion www.biquge.info After all, this is too sensational, the emperor plans to lead troops to invade the territory, this kind of top-secret thing, how did the emperor know about it in advance, and it was a year in advance?
Of course, his appearance of wanting to speak and stopping was all seen by Xiao Mu, and Xiao Mu also knew that although he was very sure, he would still be suspicious when he came to Zongdao, which was also a very normal performance. In all fairness, even if it was when he was in the afterlife, if someone told Xiao Mu that the Dongying Island Country would launch a war against Huaxia within a year, Xiao Mu would definitely not believe it easily, or in other words, those who could easily believe it would probably be fools.
Now that the words have been spoken, of course, it is necessary to convince Lai Zongdao and others, so Xiao Mu plans to conduct a "meticulous and meticulous" analysis of Lai Zongdao:
"What I just said is indeed true, because of its big matter, it is the reason why many slaves and maids have been dismissed." Xiao Mu said seriously, "As for the source, it is top secret, and it is inconvenient for me to say it here, and I ask Aiqing not to be surprised." ”
Xiao Mu said this, but he didn't lie, first of all, this thing does exist, it really happened in history, Yuan Chonghuan also lost his life because of it, and it was controversial. In addition, the source of the information that Xiao Mu said is top secret, which is not false - the source of the news is himself and Lin Yi, the two traversers, and the matter of crossing is naturally top secret, as for whether Lai Zongdao and Wang Chengen will misunderstand that there are other intelligence agencies and news channels for the emperor, it is not something that Xiao Mu can control.
"How dare a sinner."
Lai Zongdao listened to the emperor's words "don't be surprised", and said in a very panicked manner, and didn't even dare to say it. As for his heart, he really thought about it: "Since the emperor is so sure, I am afraid that this matter was found out by sending a secret agent to Liaodong to investigate, and the level of this secret agent must not be low, otherwise it would be impossible to find out such a top secret thing." ”
When I think of secret agents, there is no way to come to Zongdao without thinking of the two spy agencies of the Ming Dynasty - Dongchang and Jinyiwei, after all, these two agencies are famous, in addition to being the nightmare of officials at all levels, they can also undertake the task of spying on the military intelligence in the war - in the Wanli period of the war to aid Korea and resist the Japanese, Jinyiwei played a very important role in intelligence collection.
"Since the emperor ascended the throne, he has been trying his best to restrain the factory guards and prevent them from wreaking havoc and exploiting the people, and the ministers in the court are also chanting the emperor's sage. But now it seems that these factory guards are not so simply restrained, I am afraid that they have been arranged by the emperor on more confidential errands. ”
Lai Zongdao quickly thought of another question, this time it was Jinyiwei or Dongchang who was arranged by the emperor to spy on the military situation in Liaodong? Jin Yiwei's commander Luo Yangxing seems to have been busy investigating Niangniang's last kidnapping in Daxing, as well as the attack on the shopkeeper of Hongyuan Restaurant in Daxing, so he shouldn't have the extra time and energy to do the errand of spying on the military situation. So this time, I'm afraid the emperor should have sent someone from Dongchang to find out.
Lai Zongdao got a conclusion, but he was not sure, "But among the eunuchs who can count in the palace, Cao Huachun is busy dealing with the unjust cases left by the eunuchs, and Wang Chengen is serving the emperor's diet and daily life every day, so he shouldn't have time to do this." In this case, maybe Luo Yangxing and Jinyiwei's people are just a cover for investigating the case in Daxing, the purpose is to hide people's eyes, but in fact, it is still an errand to investigate the military situation? Or rather, the case of Daxing itself is not simple, and the people behind the scenes involved in it are the people of Liaodong's pseudo-Houjin......"
Lai Zongdao gave full play to his imagination and made some cranky and wild speculation about Xiao Mu's words just now. Although thinking is different from speaking, it takes time, but a few thoughts, but since Lai Zongdao has thought about it so much, it means that there is at least a short period of silence in the main hall.
In fact, this is indeed the case, because Xiao Mu is also thinking, thinking about how to analyze, so that Lai Zongdao can completely believe the fierce information that he has just exposed, and it is precisely because of this that Lai Zongdao has time to use his imagination and interpret Xiao Mu's words so "fully".
Fortunately, Xiao Mu quickly sorted out his thoughts, and opened his mouth to "analyze": "The Jianzhou Jurchen of the pseudo-Houjin Institute was originally my Ming courtier, and his ancestors have lived on fishing and hunting for generations, and he is not good at farming. Although the Han people in Liaodong grew up with farming, but most of them were slaughtered by Jiannu, and there was no one in ten, even if they survived, they were also enslaved by Jiannu, and they were separated from morality, and they would not be driven by Jiannu wholeheartedly. In addition, in recent years, the climate has been unpredictable, which is not conducive to agriculture, and even in the areas of Kannai, there are many droughts and floods. The bitter cold land of Liaodong is even worse than that of Guannei, and although the pseudo-Houjin occupies this place, it is still unable to obtain sufficient food. ”
"What the emperor said is very true, because of this, I have a clear text early tomorrow that it is strictly forbidden to transport necessary materials such as grain and iron tools to Liaodong, so as not to fall into the hands of the puppet Empress Jin Emperor Taiji and other Tartars." Lai Zongdao said peacefully.
What Zong Dao said, Xiao Mu just didn't know, "It turns out that Da Ming didn't do anything, such a 'material blockade' strategy is really a good idea, this trick can definitely make Huang Taiji disgusting enough, and he should continue to insist on implementing this method!" ”
But Xiao Mu naturally didn't show these on his face, but made a look that he already knew, coughed lightly, and continued, "What Aiqing said is good, plus my Ming Dynasty strictly forbids transporting grain to Liaodong Jiannu, and the puppet Empress Jin Huang Taiji and others can't eat enough, so it is natural for the dog to jump under the wall in a hurry, and lead troops to knock on the pass, in a vain attempt to loot in the pass." ”
Xiao Mu analyzed from the perspective of the shortage of food and materials in Houjin, and he felt very good, and even found out in a trance that before the Battle of Chibi, Zhou Yu analyzed the situation of the Cao army in front of Sun Quan and the ministers of Eastern Wu, who were uncertain in the war, and came to the conclusion that "the Cao army will be defeated, and our army will win". The only fly in the ointment is that the conclusion that "Huang Taiji will definitely lead troops to invade the territory" is not very good, or very bad -- how can there be good things in war? Especially when the current Ming army and the Houjin army are fighting, it is already thankful that they can be defeated and lost.
All in all, what Xiao Mu wants to express is that he has both a very reliable source - the memory of the traveler of history, and a very careful and meticulous analysis - Houjin lacks food and materials and wants to enter the customs to rob. Therefore, the fact that Huang Taiji is going to lead troops to invade the territory is already as sure as a certainty.
Lai Zongdao naturally understood the emperor's analysis, and felt that what the emperor said was indeed very reasonable, but there was still a huge question in his heart that could not be solved, so he asked, "What the emperor said is extremely true, the pseudo-queen Jin Huang Taiji is indeed very likely to lead troops to invade the territory because of lack of food. But as the emperor said before, Huang Taiji will lead the troops to the capital and the soldiers will come to the city, why is this? My Ming Dynasty is the elite of the nine sides, especially the Guanning Iron Cavalry in Liaodong who is now garrisoned by Yuan Chonghuan, even if he has the heart, he wants to enter the customs but he can't easily succeed. ”
Xiao Mu was almost stopped by Lai Zongdao, indeed, his analysis just now can only show that Huang Taiji is very likely to lead troops to attack, but how did he know that Huang Taiji will definitely be able to break through the blockade of the border pass and approach the capital? Even if he sent a powerful meticulous work to Liaodong, he could only find out that Huang Taiji was going to send troops, and he couldn't find out the results of the war in advance, right? In other words, even if the so-called "war results" are found in detail, it will definitely be "invincible and invincible wherever Dajin goes", after all, the Houjin leaders led by Huang Taiji must be full of confidence in their side.
"Ahem." Xiao Mu's face was a little not very good-looking for a while, and Lin Yi also noticed this, just as Lin Mu was thinking about how Xiao Mu should explain this problem to Lai Zongdao, or if Xiao Mu couldn't speak, he should say something to reveal this matter, Xiao Mu spoke again:
"Although I am an elite in the Ming Dynasty, Yuan Chonghuan is also a minister of the country, and the Guanning Iron Cavalry is also quite powerful." Xiao Mu first "praised" the border army of the Ming Dynasty against his will, after all, as the emperor, he can't say that the army of the Ming Dynasty is all vulnerable garbage, right? Then he changed his words and continued, "But the northern border of the Ming Dynasty is thousands of miles long, and there are always some places where the garrison is weak, or the defense is lax, and the emperor Taiji takes advantage of the loophole, so he can knock on the pass and enter the hinterland of the Central Plains. ”
Xiao Mu saw that Lai Zongdao still didn't seem to be persuaded by himself, and continued: "Especially recently, there has been a secret communication between the Mongolian tribes and the pseudo-Houjin, and it is very likely that Huang Taiji will lead his troops through Mongolia, avoid Yuan Chonghuan and Guan Ning Tiecai, and enter the pass from the weak place of the nine sides. ”
In fact, Xiao Mu is not very clear about the relationship between Mongolia and Houjin, I only remember that in the TV series I watched in later generations, Emperor Shunzhi, that is, the son of Huang Taiji, and his mother, the famous Empress Dowager Xiaozhuang, is from the Mongolian tribe. Therefore, Xiao Mu naturally thought that the relationship between the Mongol tribes and the Later Jin should be relatively close.
And Xiao Mu's strategy of "borrowing through Mongolia" is indeed a real occurrence in history, although it sounds a little unlikely, but when you think about it carefully, it is very operational, and people have to gasp - this of course refers to the Ming side, if Huang Taiji knew this method in advance, he must be cheering.
Although it is impossible to "spy on the outcome of the war", some strategies and tactics can naturally be explored, such as this "borrowing through Mongolia", which was identified by Lai Zongdao as important information sent by the emperor to investigate.
After explaining this problem, Xiao Mu did not give Zong Dao too much time to react, but walked forward in person, supported Zong Dao in the future, and asked sincerely: "The situation of my Ming Dynasty is so grim, I feel very difficult, does Ai Qing really insist on resigning and leaving me?" ”