Section 18 Strategic Direction (II)

Lei Shaoqing saw that Tan Renhao didn't speak, and he said: "However, if the Japanese Southwest Combined Fleet is here to deal with us, then they should not get too close to Jeju Island, but should deviate their route to the south a little bit, and strive to intercept us on our route to the waters near Jeju Island." ”

"Yes, but not just against us." Tan Renhao sighed, "You should be very clear about the key to this campaign. The task of the transport fleet is not to increase troops to Jeju Island, but to attract the Japanese Southwestern Combined Fleet so that we can find an opportunity to destroy it. As long as the Japanese Southwest Combined Fleet is eliminated, we will have at least a month, or even two months, to complete the troop build-up operation on Jeju Island, and at least, the Japanese Home Fleet will not be able to challenge us in a short time. In order to fool the Japanese, the convoy was fully loaded this time, and the naval command had already sent the news out more than ten days ago through a Japanese spy who had taken control. ”

"Are you asking the transport fleet to be the cicadas, and we to be the yellow finch?" Lei Shaoqing looked very surprised at this time, because Tan Renhao never explained this, and in Tan Renhao's plan, he only mentioned using a transport fleet to attract the Japanese fleet, but did not mention that this was a transport fleet carrying tens of thousands of army officers and soldiers and also carrying a large number of war materials.

"This decoy is genuine, and I believe that the Japanese submarines will definitely spot the convoy and confirm the information sent back by their spies. Although the sacrifice will be a little bigger, this is the best way to let Nagumo Yizhong be fooled. Tan Renhao put away the chart, "Nanyun Yizhong will definitely think that the Fifth Fleet left Zhoushan Port to escort the transport fleet north. Now, the conundrum before him was that if he did not intercept the convoy, the defense of Jeju Island would be strengthened, and the Japanese would have to pay an even greater price if they wanted to capture Jeju Island. If Japan is unable to quickly take Jeju Island, it will affect their next combat operations and have a great impact on their entire strategic deployment. ”

"And what is Japan's strategic plan?" Lei Shaoqing frowned slightly.

Tan Renhao sneered and said, "Land on the Korean Peninsula, and then advance the battle line to the northeast region of the empire." ”

Lei Shaoqing was taken aback, and it was even more difficult to believe it now. "Japan will attack the empire itself?"

"Why not?" Tan Renhao glanced at Lei Shaoqing, "The northeast region of the empire concentrates a quarter of the empire's shipbuilding volume, the empire's two largest steel mills, the empire's largest aircraft factory, the empire's largest tank factory, and the heavy industry in this region accounts for about 20% of the empire's heavy industry. If Japan landed in Korea and could quickly advance the battle line to the Yalu River, even if it could not gain a foothold in the empire itself, the heavy industrial base in the northeastern part of the empire would be exposed to the range of Japanese bombers. When the time comes, the Empire will inevitably move these industrial bases inward, just as we had to relocate some of the factories in the Northwest during the last Great War. Moreover, judging by the current situation of the empire, it will be difficult for us to hold back the attack of the Japanese army on the Korean Peninsula within half a year, and after half a year, perhaps the Japanese Army will already occupy the Korean Peninsula. ”

"But ......"

"There is no war, but judging from the current international situation, if there is a direct threat to the empire itself, then this can to a great extent destabilize some countries that are still wavering, including the United States of America." Tan Renhao smiled bitterly, "If the United States enters the war, the empire will most likely lose this war, even if it wins, it will be a miserable victory, a disastrous victory based on heavy losses, what is the difference between a disastrous victory and a defeat?" More importantly, if the northeast of the empire is threatened and forced to fight a ground war with Japan, at that time, our support for the Persian Empire and the German Empire will be much reduced, and the Russian Empire will also be very likely to declare war on us, and then the empire will face a third-line, or even a fourth-line war, will we be able to hold on? ”

Lei Shaoqing shook his head. In the last war, the empire was forced to sign an armistice treaty with the Western powers because of the huge loss of strength because of the three-front battle, and lost most of its overseas interests.

"Although strategic analysis is not our area of responsibility, it is only by having a clearer understanding of Japan's strategic intentions that we will be able to better grasp the tactical opportunities." Tan Renhao lit a cigarette for Lei Shaoqing, and then lit it himself, "The capture of Jeju Island is the most important step for Japan to achieve its strategic goals, and it can even be said that it is more important than the capture of the Ryukyu Islands and the sweep of the South Seas region." At the very least, until the United States of America does not cut off the sale of strategic resources to Japan, Japan will not sweep the South Seas because of the shortage of strategic resources, so they have invested about 300,000 ground forces in the South Seas. According to what we have now, Japan established a perfect mobilization mechanism more than 10 years ago, and its domestic reserve forces and retired servicemen exceeded 1.5 million before the outbreak of war, and Japan has a large arms reserve, and it only takes 10 days at most to organize these 1.5 million people, and then it will take one to two months to carry out recovery training, so that Japan will have 1.5 million more ground troops. And within this to two months, the Japanese navy must capture Jeju Island, remove the flank threat of landing on the Korean Peninsula, control the sea dominance of the Yellow Sea, and then it will be able to land on the Korean Peninsula logically, what can we do to stop this 1.5 million Japanese army? ”

Lei Shaoqing's expression became serious, Tan Renhao's analysis was well-founded, and he couldn't find a loophole at all.

"Therefore, the two months following the outbreak of the war were extremely important for the Empire, and for Japan, they were also extremely important." Tan Renhao slowly exhaled the tobacco, "Now, it took them a month and a half to capture Ryukyu Island, and the threat to the south has been lifted. The Southwestern Combined Fleet also got a few days of recuperation, and the morale of the Japanese Navy was at its peak, so what reason did they have not to attack Jeju Island? And if Japan wants to attack Jeju Island, it must prevent our reinforcements from arriving, and find a way to take out us, the Imperial Fifth Fleet. At that time, the Imperial Navy will not have any fleet that can fight against the Japanese Navy, the Empire will lose its control of the Yellow Sea, and Jeju Island will become an isolated island, and Japan can take Jeju Island within a month as long as it invests 100,000 landing troops. And this is exactly the same time as Japan mobilized 1.5 million retired military personnel and reservists! ”

Lei Shaoqing glanced at Tan Renhao, he had completely believed Tan Renhao's analysis.

"Actually, I'm most worried about another person right now."