Chapter 432: Drawing lots
"Heaven's ......will," Lin Yi repeated Xiao Mu's words and asked with a look of surprise, "Do you want to use a method like drawing lots to determine the champion?" ”
"Why not?" Xiao Mu nodded without hesitation and replied, "Since there is no other way now, and you can't let those ministers participate in the evaluation, what else can you do except draw lots, throw coins, oh no, it should be a method like throwing copper coins?" ”
Lin Yi was speechless by Xiao Mu's question, and after being stunned for a long time, he admitted Xiao Mu's method with difficulty, nodded and replied, "It seems that this is the only way now......"
"So, are you going to draw lots, or throw copper coins, or do you want to use some other method?" Lin Yi continued to ask—in fact, there is no essential difference between these methods, all of them are to find a random event with two intuitively visible different results, and their probabilities are also one-in-half, and then use the results of this random event to determine which candidate will become the champion of the Wuchen Kedian Examination in the first year of Chongzhen of the Great Ming Dynasty. Pen? Interesting? Pavilion wWw. biquge。 info
The reason why Lin Yi asked such a question that is not different in essence is that he can't wait to know what kind of absurd way the champion of the Daming Imperial Examination will be produced, because methods such as drawing lots and throwing copper coins have another thing in common in addition to the same principle from the perspective of probability, that is, they are all very absurd.
"Hmm." Although these methods are not fundamentally different, Xiao Mu still pondered for a while before thinking about it and said very "thoughtfully", "If you throw a copper coin, you first need to have a copper coin, and you and I don't seem to have this kind of thing on our bodies." ”
Xiao Mu used the elimination method to eliminate the method of throwing copper coins, "If you deliberately ask Wang Chengen or Chu'er to send a copper coin, and it doesn't feel appropriate, it's better for us to let the 'providence' decide who is the champion or not let the third person know." ”
On this kind of inconsequential issue, Xiao Mu's analysis is very clear, and he continued, "And if the copper coin thrown out happens to be standing when it falls to the ground, it will make us even more difficult, and there is no such small probability event as drawing lots." And if I don't have the power to throw the copper coin, I might not be able to find it if I fall to the ground, and I will definitely be very uncomfortable in that case. ”
"All in all, it's good to draw lots." Lin Yi felt that Xiao Mu had analyzed enough, and in order to prevent Xiao Mu from proposing two more drawbacks of throwing copper coins, she quickly helped Xiao Mu make the final decision, preventing Xiao Mu from continuing to waste time on such inconsequential issues.
"Yes, let's use the method of drawing lots." Xiao Mu also nodded, agreeing with Lin Yi's conclusion, "Take two pieces of paper and write the names of the two of them, and then form a paper ball, choose one at random, and point whoever you choose is the champion." ”
"Don't just write their names." Lin Yi had just stopped Xiao Mu from wasting time on inconsequential issues, but in a blink of an eye, she had thought of a similar question herself—so she now felt that in fact, these seemingly inconsequential questions were actually quite important, Lin Yi continued, "This Ming palace is like a sieve, if the paper ball with their names written on them is accidentally obtained by a palace maid or eunuch, and then circulated again, it is not a good thing after all, I think it is better to replace it with two symbols, such as using a square to represent Liu Ruozai." , with a circle to represent He Ruizheng. ”
"Well, that makes sense, it's true that their names shouldn't be written directly." Xiao Mu nodded, and attached great importance to the question that Lin Yi thought of, "But the method of using symbols is also a bit inappropriate, what if we are too nervous when we draw lots, and we forget which symbol corresponds to which person after we finish drawing?" ”
"Only your level of intelligence can have this kind of worry......," Lin Yi replied in his heart, "Anyway, I just gave an example, you can use other symbols that you can remember." ”
"Hmm......" Xiao Mu pondered for a while, and finally came up with a good solution, "I think it is represented by the pinyin initials of their names, Liu Ruozai is 'L', He Ruizheng is 'H', so that the symbols will not be confused, and there is no need to worry about the paper ball being taken by others and causing leaks, I dare to guarantee that in the time and space of Daming, no third person can understand what the note with such content can understand except for you and me." ”
"Then use this method." Obviously, Lin Yi is not very interested in what symbols to use to replace the two candidates, for her, as long as she does not use her real name, and then she can't forget to say the last sentence, "Fortunately, the pinyin initials of these two people's names are not the same......
Xiao Mu, who got Lin Yi's approval, then brought a pen and paper, wrote an "L" and "H" on the two small pieces of paper, and then formed these two small pieces of paper into a paper ball, and after swapping the order back and forth in his hand for a while, he put them on the table, "That's it, I'll choose one at random, and whichever one I catch is the champion!" ”
Saying that, Xiao Mu looked serious and wanted to reach out to grab it, but his attempt was not successful, because Lin Yi quickly stopped him again, "Wait! ”
"What's wrong again?" Lin Yi's "wait" startled Xiao Mu, who was very nervous and engrossed just now.
Lin Yi continued to put forward her opinion, "If you catch it directly, it is obviously not random enough, because although they are both paper balls, the shape of the two paper balls is more or less different, and the position of the ink on them is different, maybe you have already written down which paper ball corresponds to which person, if you catch it like this, how can it be 'providence'?" ”
"Actually, I didn't remember who the paper ball corresponded to," Xiao Mu explained simply, but he didn't have any opinion on Lin Yi's almost nitpicky statement, anyway, he said that it was up to heaven's will, since this is the case, then try to be perfect, let this process of drawing lots be in a completely random state, and eliminate all possible interference, "Then what do you say I should do?" ”
"It's simple, you know if you can't see these two paper balls?" Lin Yi replied, "I can hold the paper ball in my hand, take one in each hand, and then you choose one hand at random, and then there will be no problem." ”
"Okay, then follow this method." Xiao Mu nodded and agreed with Lin Ye's suggestion to further improve the method of "drawing lots to select champions".