Serov, who had just returned to Lubyanka, first of all, also issued an order from the First General Directorate, mainly to deal with the Yugoslav problem, to think about the Yugoslav political situation after Tito's death, and to find a way to calm down the troubled children of the socialist camp and return to the normal track that should be. Pen | fun | pavilion www. ｂｉｑｕｇｅ。 ｉｎｆｏ

This normal track was to join the Warsaw Pact and the Economic and Mutual Economic Cooperation, and there was no doubt that Yugoslavia would have to remain under the protection of the Soviet Union if it wanted to continue to live in peace. Although Tito may not want to do this, it doesn't matter, this stumbling block can be defeated by time, and Serov will definitely win under the cover of time.

As for whether it is a victory or not, what does it matter? Didn't Stalin say that the victors are not condemned in any way......

"One of the foundations of Yugoslavia was the weakening of the Serbs, and Tito wanted to learn from Bismarck to play the balance beam, but let's not forget what the fate of Germany was after Bismarck's death. We have ready-made people at our disposal, the dismissed Lankovic and the 40,000 Serbian Communist Party cadres who were liquidated in the first place. At this stage, we must first act carefully, after Tito's death, the official start of the plan, the neighboring countries around Yugoslavia are all Warsaw Pact countries, as long as we are careful, the success rate is still very high! "Serov has drawn up a general framework for the activities of the First Directorate to prevent improper operation.

"Understand, Chairman, do you still bury the nails first and wait for the timing to change, as usual?" The head of the First General Directorate nodded, and there was not a single cadre of foreign intelligence work who was not convinced by Serov, and this was built on the basis of success.

The Yugoslav affair was just an episode, and for the Soviet Union, Yugoslavia was the last country in Eastern Europe that was not very obedient, and relations between Ceausescu in Romania and the Soviet Union were generally harmonious. So Yugoslavia was just an isolated country, and even if the explosion was for the Soviet Union, it would not necessarily cause any harm.

The worst-case outcome would be for Serov to raise the stick of limited sovereignty and make Ustinov assemble a Warsaw Pact army to invade Czechoslovakia, believing that the problem would be solved in a few days. Unlike Yugoslavia, which was surrounded by the Warsaw Pact, the situation in the Middle East has a somewhat intertwined feeling, and the trilateral strategy constructed by Serov to deal with the two-column strategy of the United States can only be said to have an advantage in military strength, and this advantage is not so great that once the war machine is activated, the enemy chieftain will be annihilated.

The Middle East was much worse for the Soviet Union than a separate Yugoslavia. The thing that disgusted Serov the most was that the events in Iran and Afghanistan were likely to erupt at the same time, and facing two things at the same time was not a good thing for any country, and Germany knew to try to avoid fighting on two fronts, although it did not succeed once.

"For the first time in more than 20 years, it seems that we have to face up to the problems of the South. There is the issue of Iran and there is the issue of Afghanistan, which can be discussed separately, or it can be discussed by two countries together, then! Serov glanced at the spy chiefs around him, spread his hands and said, "Let's start......

On either side of the chair, there were two first vice-chairmen, two vice-chairmen, the head of the important directorate, and members of the presidium of the KGB, and if there was a bomb in the meeting, the most vicious group in the entire Soviet strategic offensive would be reimbursed as a whole.

The situation in Iran is well known, and there have been more demonstrations in Iran since last year than in a decade combined. As for Afghanistan, the insurgency in some provinces is also worrying enough, if problems arise in both countries at the same time. That would be a catastrophe for the Soviet Union, and from the Caucasus to Central Asia, the pressure on the southern borders of the Soviet Union would be greater than ever.

Under such circumstances, the Soviet Union should not talk about disarmament, and it is estimated that it will soon expand its army. In fact, this scenario is not the worst scenario, if China can't bear the loneliness and make trouble for the Soviet Union. The results of the 10-year strategic offensive will be lost, and the Soviet Union may even be beaten back to its original shape, and the Soviet Union will be retracted from facing these problems. Once it encounters the United States, which is desperately working at full power, it is unknown whether it will be able to withstand it.

Pulling a hair and moving the whole body, this is the helplessness of the Soviet Union. Historically, at the cost of 150,000 casualties, the Soviet Union killed 800,000 militants from the entire peaceful world, and at the same time caused the death of 2 million ordinary Afghans. This exchange is much stronger than the US military in the 21st century, but it is completely useless, and in the end it has to withdraw from Afghanistan.

The best way to deal with the Peace Religion is for them to kill themselves until they kill the most extreme part. But in the absence of external support, in the same case, it is extreme, not extreme. Direct intervention will not work, and it will not work if left alone.

"Leaving it unchecked is not in line with the tradition of our anti-rebel workers, direct intervention may put us in the mix, this is still our neighbor, we have to find a way to intervene conditionally." Serov concluded by saying.

Protests in Iran have been underway since last year, with devout Iranians almost entirely using their "mosque network," but in Iran, which has "more than 15 million adults," the demonstrators are in the minority. Demonstrators demonstrated every 40 days to mourn the deaths of those who had lost their lives, and each demonstration resulted in casualties until moderate religious leader Shariat Madari called on the demonstrators to calm down and stay home. In an attempt to appease the moderate clergy, the king dismissed the leaders of Savak and promised to hold elections the following year.

Although the wave of protests that spread across Iran was nearly a year behind history, the shock to the Soviet Union was still enormous, and the Soviet Union's vision was not limited to Iran alone, but the possibility of the revolution spreading. Iraq and Afghanistan are both neighbors of Iran, and compared to Iraq, which has been operating stably for many years, the Afghan People's Party has just come to power and does not have enough resilience. This is why the Soviet Union did not like Amin who advocated tough land reform and eradicated local forces and tribes, and the Soviet Union was afraid that Amin would provoke a counterattack by religious forces, which would then affect the Soviet Union.

"It's a little difficult, if we support the Pahlavi dynasty, it may be the Americans who will be able to succeed in the end, and the Pahlavi kid has always been pro-American. We have no reason to support him. First Deputy Chairman General Bobkov shook his head slightly.

"But Khomeini's religious overtones are too strong, and once it affects the surrounding areas, it is likely to completely destroy our decades of painstaking business in the Middle East, and even affect the Caucasus region of our country." Another KGB first chairman, General Chebrikov, was also at a loss.

Although it may seem like choosing a side, in fact standing there does not see the benefits to the Soviet Union. For a while, these time-tested spy leaders couldn't see who they should choose.

"What surprised me the most was that Khomeini had been in Paris all the time, and he could still remotely command the Iranian followers, and peace religion is really not a good thing, and he dared to stand up to the government." Serov snorted coldly and said, "Our comrades in China, we must not relax the suppression in this regard, and we must not be soft-hearted when religious voices appear in any region." ”

"Yes......!" General Bobkov, General Chebrikov, General Zinev, General Tsvigon assured at the same time.

Serov covered his head, he has planted nails in all countries, and Iran is no exception. However, when the matter comes, no matter which side you stand on, it will not be of much benefit to the Soviet Union, and what is good for the Soviet Union will be even greater for the United States, and the choice that is most harmful to the United States will actually pose a danger to the Soviet Union, and it is worthy of being a cancer of mankind.

In the case of military intervention, there are also several options, the first is a full-scale invasion, so that the Soviet Union would directly address the source of cholera, and the best case would be to confine the battlefield to Iran. The second was a partial invasion, replicating Stalin's original plan to occupy the entire region of South Azerbaijan in northern Iran.

But the problem is that the former needs to die a lot of people, once the Soviet Union invades in a full-scale way, Iran will inevitably be unanimous with the outside world, the kind of strange thing of the Republic of China Artillery Party is still very rare, Serov does not believe that the Soviet Union is so lucky to meet it.

In addition to the hostility of Iran, some of the invasions will also have the demographic problem of Azerbaijan. Southern Azerbaijan is much larger than Azerbaijan in the Soviet Union, both in terms of population and area. Suddenly there will be nearly 10 million more people in the Soviet Union, who are still pacifists, and Azerbaijanis in the Soviet Union will become a minority and quickly assimilate.

The occupation of southern Azerbaijan is a bad move, and if it succeeds and regrets it, Azerbaijanis will quickly become the third largest ethnic group in the Soviet Union with a population of more than 10 million, after the Ukrainians.

When Serov was thinking silently alone, the whole conference room could hear a needle drop, and no one disturbed his thinking at this time, otherwise the consequences would be very serious.

On the side of Pahlavi, on the side of Khomeini, on the occupation of South Azerbaijan, several options appeared one after another in Serov's head. Eventually, all of these options disappeared, and Serov's mind was filled with the Syrian war model of the 21st century, a proxy war, turning the whole of Iran into a meat grinder, and letting them kill themselves until they decided each other.

"The forces that we have cultivated in Iran are mainly concentrated in the agglomeration areas of Azerbaijan, right?" Serov nodded when he saw his subordinates and said, "Then let these forces work together to keep the peace of Azerbaijan, isolate us from Iran geographically, and the provinces will bomb us." ”

"At a time when the forces of both sides are outnumbered, there is a not-so-successful assassination that will detonate Iran's civil war. Prepare Iraq and Afghanistan for refugee escapes. Let the Iranians kill each other. Serov cut the railroad. (To be continued.) )