"What Aiqing said is very agreeable." The Holy Lord frowned slightly, and sighed in a low voice, "Eye? We do not have the conditions to continue the Eastern Crusade, and it is meaningless to talk about the Third Eastern Crusade, but as Aiqing said, the Great War between the North and the South is imminent, and we must indeed prepare for the war, so as not to be caught off guard by the Northern Captives. ”

Feng Deyi thought so, but he was worried. It's easy to say, but it's too hard to do.

In fact, the Civil War has a long history, and all dynasties have been trapped in the Civil War, and even some dynasties have directly perished in the Civil War, so it is too naïve to discuss whether there is a Civil War, and what should be discussed is when the Civil War broke out and how to defeat the opponent in the war.

Today, the Central Lords and Factions seriously lack the confidence and courage to win the war, and they are very stubbornly putting themselves in a weak position, insisting on "destroying the country by razing", insisting on winning the greatest benefits at the lowest cost, and even not hesitating to compromise and tolerate in exchange for time for peaceful development. The times are different, we can't stick to the old rules, we can't rest on our laurels, we must keep pace with the times, we must forge ahead, and we must be the "tide makers" of the times, so there was a great victory in the western expedition, so the eastern expedition was launched, but the eastern expedition failed again and again, which gave the holy lord and the main battle faction a "head shot", and the voice of the lord and the voice of the lord immediately made a comeback and shrouded the center again.

However, the situation is different, and at this time the clouds of war are already raging, and the civil war is on the verge of breaking out.

However, in this era, standing on the top of the mountain, looking far-sighted, and accurately predicting the future trend are only a minority after all, and most of the aristocratic bureaucrats are still "in this mountain, and the clouds are deep and do not know where." "It is precisely because of this that in the process of reversing the fate of Middle-earth, the great wise will encounter unprecedented resistance, the winners will be remembered for thousands of years, and the losers will be left for thousands of years, one step to heaven and one step to hell, and every step is terrifying.

Now we will not talk about the Third Eastern Crusade, there is no shadow of the matter, but only talk about the relations between the North and the South, and the center has three different opinions: one is more optimistic about the future, insists on compromising in exchange for time for recovery and development, and adopts a defensive position in national defense, so as not to make a wrong interpretation by the other side; One is more pessimistic about the future, insisting on active preparation for war, and deterring with strong force; There is also an attitude of seeking truth from facts, since the future is very uncertain, then make preparations with both hands, compromise diplomatically, prepare for war in national defense, and be foolproof, which seems very good, but in the actual implementation process, because of the fierce contradictions between the central main battle faction and the main peace faction, they hinder each other and even pull back their legs, and the result can be imagined.

In other words, although both the Lord and the faction now see the "shadow" of the Civil War from the future trend, this does not mean that the Lord and the faction agree to prepare for war, which are two completely different concepts.

Preparations for war involve three important factors: politically, all-round cooperation, concerted efforts by all political forces, and maintenance of political stability in the two capitals; In terms of national strength, we must give full support to human, material and financial resources from the central to the local government, which requires a stable domestic environment; Diplomatically, it is necessary to unite all forces that can be united, such as a strong alliance with the Western Turks, recognition of the restoration of Tuyuhun and re-acceptance of its vassal status, submission to the Far Eastern captives and stabilization of the situation in the Far East, and co-opting and allied with the pro-Sino-Turkish forces in the Great Alliance of the Great Desert Confiscats and within the Great Desert Tent, and so on.

However, the current terrible situation at home and abroad makes it really difficult to make all-round preparations for war, which is why the Lord-Peace faction insists on compromising in exchange for time for recovery and development.

Previously, the Western Expedition carried out two years of war preparations, and the Eastern Expedition carried out three years of war preparations, of which the Western Expedition mobilized 100,000 Weifu troops, and the Eastern Expedition mobilized more than 400,000 Weifu troops, so how many troops should be mobilized in the Northern and Southern War? At present, it is impossible to predict the scale of the Great War of the North, but the strength of the Weifu Army into the battlefield will not be less than 100,000 troops, considering the heavy losses of the Eastern Expedition, the Weifu Army and the national strength of Middle-earth will not be able to recover to the best state in the short term, then the preparation time for this war will definitely exceed three years, so the problem will be even more serious, if the Great War of the North and South breaks out within three years, Middle-earth has not completed the preparations for the war, and hastily responded to the war, the result will be very unoptimistic.

The Holy Lord and the Center can no longer afford to lose, and the Great War between the North and the South cannot be defeated, this is the "bottom line", since the safety of the "bottom line" cannot be guaranteed, the Lord and the faction of course insist on compromising in exchange for time. This is no way, you can't take the rise and fall of Middle-earth and the survival of the country to make a big gamble, right? Can you govern the country by gambling?

So not to mention the Third Crusade, now even the preparations for the Civil War cannot reach a consensus and form a decision in the center.

The Holy Lord and the reformers want the victory of the Eastern Crusade, the victory of the Great Northern War, the strengthening of their ruling position, and the reform of the centralized system to the end, they have no way to retreat, they can only face the difficulties, so the central main fighters are determined and morale is like a rainbow, but the resistance is too great, not to mention the conservative forces, they must sing the "opposite tune", and the reformers in the main peace, they seek stability and do not fight uncertain battles, and the current fierce confrontation between the political situation in the two capitals and the defeat of the Eastern Crusade, It is enough to prove that there is no certainty of victory in the war between the north and the south in a hurry, since you know that the odds of victory are too small, why do you have to take a risk?

Surrendering without a fight is the best policy. I have made a compromise in exchange for the stability of relations between the north and the south, and while I have a firm alliance with the Western Turks, I can also form a strong alliance with the northern captives of the desert, and I can not only promise the Western Turks to attack the northern captives of the desert from the east and west, but also promise that the northern captives of the desert will join forces to attack the Western Turks, so that I will be able to provoke the fratricidal killing of the two Turks in the east and west.

This strategy is good, but the operability is not high, the reason is very simple, the Turks are not idiots, and the same mistakes will not be made again. This strategy was used as early as the last years of the emperor, and at a very small cost, Middle-earth skillfully took advantage of the contradictions within the Turks, provoking the fratricidal killing of the two Turks in the east and the west. If you calculate that others can do it once, and if you try to be smart again, I'm afraid you will have to shoot yourself in the foot, after all, there are still many smart people in this world.

Of course, no matter how great the difficulties and obstacles, the right thing to do still has to be done. As far as China is concerned, foreign captives are always a threat, and even if the national defense strategy is biased towards defense, defense is also based on war, and the army must always be ready for war and must not slack off in the slightest; especially in the current situation between the north and the south, the armies of the western and northern frontiers must enter a state of war, and they will go to the battlefield as soon as the drum and trumpet sound. As long as the army is in place, the morale of the soldiers is full, and the food and grass weapons are endless, then after the war begins, even if the central government does not have time to react at the first time, it can ensure the safety of the Great Wall defense line and win time for China to devote its national strength to the war.

If we cannot reach a consensus on the civil war for the time being, and we are unable to carry out all-round war preparations, then we should first reach a consensus on the border war, and first consolidate and strengthen the garrison forces in the northern Xinjiang, such as increasing the army, hoarding grain, grass and weapons, cutting off smuggling between the north and the south, eliminating horse thieves and bandits, making personnel adjustments, and so on.

However, in fact, consolidating and strengthening the garrison of Northern Xinjiang has long been the consensus of the center, especially after the defeat of the First Eastern Crusade, the central lord and faction have done their best to achieve this, but it is against people's wishes, and the biggest resistance comes from the holy lord and the main battle faction. In order to win the victory of the Eastern Crusade, the Holy Lord and the Central Main War faction launched the Second Eastern Crusade desperately, and for this reason, they recklessly mobilized and "overdrafted" the forces of the Northern Xinjiang Suppression, and as a result, the Northern Frontier Suppression fell into today's crisis.

What's even more terrifying is that the same thing is going to happen again. The Holy Lord and the main battle faction must continue the Eastern Crusade to the end, and have a strong will and great motivation to launch the Third Eastern Crusade, so that the Northern Xinjiang Suppression Force will inevitably not be effectively replenished, and the Northern Xinjiang Suppression Crisis will not only not be alleviated, but will further deteriorate. At the same time, it also suffered greatly from the national strength of Middle-earth, which was seriously depleted by successive wars, and the Holy Lord and the central government ignored the facts, blindly recklessly used military force, and tried their best to catch fish, and the results can be imagined.

Faced with this dilemma, what should the central lord and faction do? There was no way, only opposition, opposition to the launching of the Third Eastern Crusade, opposition to the Civil War, but blindly opposing it would not work, so Pei Shiju decided to personally rush to the Western Regions to form an alliance with the Western Turks, trying to ease the tense relations between the North and the South, delay the outbreak of the Civil War, and win precious recovery time for Middle-earth. However, this requires the cooperation of all sides, and requires the Holy Lord and the Central Committee to work together to implement the "Lord Peace" decision, if the Holy Lord and the Main War Faction instead take this opportunity to create conditions to launch the Third Eastern Crusade, or even take the initiative to actively carry out the Civil War, then the result will inevitably run counter to Pei Shiju's original intention, and the efforts of the Lord and the Lord's Faction will be completely in vain.

What about Feng Deyi, who resolutely changed his position? The Holy Lord has already taken out the problem, does Feng Deyi want to go next? The next thing is to solve it, is Feng Deyi sure to solve this problem?

Under the current situation, if there is no Third Eastern Crusade, the expeditionary force is withdrawn, and the national strength is greatly reduced, it will not be a problem to supplement, consolidate and strengthen the garrison force in Northern Xinjiang, and the Holy Lord will not be worried, so the premise of Feng Deyi's solution to this problem is that the Holy Lord must be ensured? The main battle faction launched the Third Eastern Crusade as soon as possible, so that the expeditionary force would not be withdrawn, and the national strength would continue to be consumed in large quantities.

But he had already "let go" the words, and he swore to tell the Holy Lord that the Great War of the North and the South would break out in the next two or three years, and that Middle-earth should actively prepare for war, and that the first priority was to win the final victory of the Eastern Crusade.

Seeing that Feng Deyi was silent, the Holy Lord directly pressed forward, "Aiqing has a countermeasure?" ”

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