Chapter 366: Incomplete follow-up policy

readx; On the question of whether to follow up, Xia Jun convened all relevant people, including financiers, strategists, etc., to discuss the issue. Pen × fun × Pavilion www. biquge。 info

And several meetings were held in a row.

Ma Yinchu, a scholar of Hallym Academy, was the first to express his opinion: "My subordinates think that we should follow up, and if we don't follow up, then we will be left behind by the United States, which was able to surpass Britain in the economy before because they formed an investment boom through similar means, but before the establishment of the Federal Reserve, it was not as thorough as this time." ”

Ma Yinchu, is the first economist in the Chinese Empire at this time, his birth is very good, is the Year of the Horse, the month of the horse, the month of the horse, the time of the horse, also surnamed Ma, said to be all five horses, people are also extremely long-lived, lived 99 years old in history.

According to the eight characters, this kind of life is more peculiar, and it must be a type of achievement.

Since the end of the First World War in 1918, a large number of Western economic works have been translated and imported into China, but most of them are painted from gourds, and many of them are not realistic.

Ma Yinchu, on the other hand, has gone beyond this height, has a new point of view, and is able to formulate economic development strategies based on China's national conditions.

For Xia Jun, he understands the development of the economy, but he understands this in the overall situation, but he does not understand the specific implementation details.

It's as if Xia Jun knows the road, but can't drive.

This is the division of labor between Xia Jun and these economists, Xia Jun is responsible for the control of the general direction, and they are responsible for the specific implementation of the following.

As a graduate of Yale University, Ma Yinchu does have a lot of research in economics.

"However, our national situation is indeed different from that of the United States, so we can follow up partially, not completely." Ma Yinchu said: "In terms of economic development, it is best to follow up as much as we can afford. ”

Xia Jun thought for a while and said: "In terms of economic development, in our current state, people's livelihood is already very good. Overdraft consumption is obviously unnecessary, and our ultimate goal is actually to increase the war potential. ”

"War?" Ma Yin was fluted at the beginning.

"The United States has obviously felt the pressure brought by us in this development, first of all, they may be left behind by us economically, and secondly, they have fallen behind to a certain extent in technology. The development between China and the United States will inevitably lead to war. Xia Jun said indifferently.

Can war be avoided for two countries that both want to compete for world supremacy?

The so-called one mountain does not tolerate two tigers, and this earth is actually not too big.

The Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union after World War II was actually not a two-tiger war, because the Soviet Union was a [***] country, a semi-crippled type, basically equal to zero in terms of commercial operations, and the conflict with the United States was actually not so big that it had to be fought.

The trade friction between China and the United States is getting bigger and bigger, and they are both relatively normal countries, and it is inevitable that there will be a war in the future.

Yan Xishan listened quietly for a while, was inspired by Xia Jun, and said: "What the head of state said is good, the United States adopts this Great Leap Forward model for development, and we actually only need to grasp the core things. That is development, and the purpose of development is war. Wars are fought in terms of economy, industry, and military technology. We just need to make sure that these areas can develop at a high speed, and it is okay not to follow up. But if our development is constrained by the market, we can follow up immediately. ”

"That is to say, in the initial stage, we can stimulate the infrastructure and scientific research to the extreme. And our current construction power has actually reached its limit, and there is no need to stimulate it anymore. ”

…… The Chinese Empire quickly responded to the Federal Reserve's policy of lowering lending rates, and also gave low-interest loans to industries such as engineering construction and scientific research.

Basically, it is determined that the whole is a response.

At this time, China can imitate the United States to a certain extent, but it is not completely able to imitate.

For example, in terms of the stimulation of domestic demand, for example, after a large amount of money is lent out, industries such as automobiles will naturally double their demand.

At this time, cars are already in short supply, and if they are stimulated, they will be empty, and car prices may continue to soar.

Industries such as iron and steel, at this time, it does not mean that the production capacity is very abundant, basically it is to sell as much as it produces, which does not need to be stimulated.

At this time, China's development, many things without the need for stimulation, is already the fastest speed.

In fact, the overdraft method in the United States to stimulate consumption is only used to maintain such a speed, and there is no need to take such measures in a comprehensive way when the speed has already gone up.

The Chinese Empire planned for industries that needed to be stimulated.

The purpose is clear, and that is to make the country strong and the people prosperous.

The latter point is a bit empty for the time being. Because in the development mode of overdraft consumption, it will inevitably be accompanied by depression, which is the same as raising pigs and killing pigs.

Labor pains are certain, and if we follow the American model, this is inevitable.

But after the pain, when China achieved world hegemony, the people could still get rich quickly after the economic recovery.

China's traditional affluence is a model that is not easy to concentrate resources.

For example, at the end of the Ming Dynasty, many people in society were very wealthy, but the gap between the rich and the poor was too large, and the wealth was scattered in the hands of the landlords, officials and businessmen below, and the country was so poor that it was to death.

The gap between the rich and the poor is actually tolerable to a certain extent, but this kind of excessiveness is not universal.

If, as in the United States, wealth is concentrated in the hands of a small number of bank capitalists, and the majority of the population is poor, then the contradiction is not so acute, and the concentration of wealth in the hands of a few people is more conducive to the concentrated use of resources.

However, the American model is not advisable for China, because the American model is that the private individuals who control a lot of wealth do not recognize any political responsibility.

If China follows the U.S. model of overdraft consumption, then the wealth it harvests must be converted into state-owned assets, and the game must be played by the state.

…… After the Federal Reserve lowered the lending rate, the economy began to develop rapidly, changing the previous decline in the race with China's economy, and there is a great deal of trying to throw China far behind.

However, China's development is not slow, after all, China is a country with a population of 460 million, while the population of the United States is only 100 million.

In other words, it won't be long before China's population will be five times that of the United States. As long as the per capita productivity of Chinese reaches one-fifth of that of the United States, they will be able to equalize the economy with the United States.

In fact, Russia's current population of 50 million is to a large extent one of China's spheres of power.

The Russians have now gradually become milk bears.

Part of the tax revenue of the Russian political axe was spent on construction, part on the military, and part on repayment.

In fact, the ultimate goal is to strengthen China's war capability.

This is because Russia is militarily at the mercy of China's arrangement. Moreover, Russia began to change towards the comprador surname, and the Russian political axe has gradually become a comprador political axe.

That is, China sells them military weapons, and they will be able to fight.

China does not sell them military weapons, and with the elite military route they are taking now, they will not be able to fight a war at all.

Russia's economy has developed, and China can slaughter it at will.

Therefore, the population of Russia is added to China, and it is already 500 million.

It's just that in the living space of these 500 million people, the industrial base is too poor, and the current GDP is on par with that of the United States.

It is already great to be on par with the United States, after all, the United States has used the method of overdraft consumption before, but it is not as complete as this time.

At the end of the 19th century, the United States was in a recession.

There will be an economic depression, which must be playing the trick of overdraft consumption.

This is why, at this time, only 4% of the people in the United States accounted for 60% of the national wealth.

In contrast, China's monopoly is also much larger, basically on par with that of the United States. But China hasn't had a recession before, because China hasn't played that model. And to form such a monopoly, it can only be said that the ability to work is too strong, with Xia Jun's cheating development model, it is indeed difficult for private capital to compete with the East China Group, if it is not for Xia Jun also supported a group of capital businessmen, then the monopoly is even more terrifying.

But these capital merchants! They bear the risky business, and the East China Group does not care about this, and the industrial production and other aspects of the steady profit are occupied by the East China Group, which controls the best technology and carries out refined management, and has money in hand, and private capital cannot compete at all.

This is still formed without policy inclination, and it is impossible to put it in any country, and only a cheating development like Xia Jun has such a strong ability.

At this time, China is still having more children and more children, although it may have a large population and per capita resources are not as large as those of the United States, but the productivity has gone up, and many things can be ignored.

For example, in terms of food, even if the population is one billion, in terms of China's agricultural productivity, it can still be very generous enough for every citizen to eat and drink.

There is no problem with water resources, but if you pump water from Lake Baikal or use free energy to develop the desalination industry, you will never be able to drink all the water in the sea.

Lack of resources is just a symptom, the real fact is that there are people who suppress productivity.

When the population increases, the productivity increases, and the total economic volume will become even larger.

The United States is not much of a country with a sense of population, and its people come from all over the globe.

However, the United States is also a national country to a certain extent, that is, with white people as the core.

Compared with China's various measures and appeals, as well as the differences in fertility habits, the United States' population growth has not been able to catch up with China's.

What China lacks right now is time, a time to develop talent and build infrastructure.

As long as this initial stage of development has passed, the United States will only be able to reach the speed of China's development.

(To be continued)