The second more

While Turkey was busy suppressing the Kurdish unrest in the country, Yanayev took advantage of the fire to make a request to revise the Montreux Convention. This is also a small conspiracy that Yanayev has been accumulating for a long time, taking advantage of Turkey's busy civil strife to carry it to death.

After the October Revolution, the Soviet Union announced the abrogation of the 1915 Secret Agreement on Constantinople and the Straits Question. In July 1923, Turkey signed the Lausanne Agreement, which stipulated that all warships could freely pass through the strait in peacetime and wartime, and only limited restrictions were imposed on the number and tonnage of warships. But the Soviet government did not ratify this agreement.

At the suggestion of the Turkish government, the Montreux Conference was convened in 1936 to discuss the revision of the Lausanne Agreement. At the meeting, Turkish representatives strived for the closure of the strait to warships of any country. The representative of the United Kingdom insisted that the Black Sea be treated as an international high seas and opposed any restrictions on the passage of warships of non-Black Sea States through the strait. After a fierce debate, the Montreux Convention was signed on July 20, stipulating that the Black Sea countries had the right to freely pass through the strait in peacetime; There are restrictions on the type, tonnage, and length of stay of warships sent into the Black Sea by non-Black Sea countries; Warships of belligerents are not allowed to pass through the strait; Turkey has the right to allow or prohibit the passage of any warship through the strait if it enters or is threatened with war.

In August 1945, the Soviet Union demanded that Turkey agree to establish a military base in the straits and that Turkey and the Soviet Union jointly organize the defense of the straits. However, in 1950, the Turkish government announced its rejection of the Soviet-Turkish condominium in the strait. To this day, the Montreux Convention remains the current international convention on the regime of the straits.

Although the "Montreux Convention" stipulates that the Black Sea countries have the right to freely pass through the strait in peacetime, there are still many restrictions on warships, such as aircraft carriers must notify Turkey in advance, so the Moskva-class aircraft carrier built by the Soviet Union in order to avoid this problem, and deliberately named a very strange type of ship, aviation cruiser.

And this treaty also leaves a tail. That is, when Turkey enters the war or is threatened with war, it has the right to allow or prohibit the passage of any warship through the strait. In other words, Turkey has the right to close the straits in wartime, so that Russia's Black Sea Fleet will be completely trapped in the Black Sea, and the entire strategic situation will be very bad and passive. That's why Yanayev has always been obsessed with this.

Not being able to cross the Black Sea straits means that your fleet can only fish in the waters of the Black Sea, and a country that wants to make the world feel the magnificence of the waves of steel can make its fleet rust in the harbor.

Of course, in the face of the advice of the Soviet government. Turkey refused, the Black Sea straits were his bottom line for bargaining, how could it be touched.

"We need to make a deal with the Americans and get them to break the deal with Turkey. Wasn't there a lot of news about the creation of an anti-missile interception system in Turkey some time ago? The United States is even afraid that the whole world will know about it. Yanayev said.

If the anti-missile interception system had been built between 1989 and 1991, the Soviet Union might not have had a choice, but in 1993 the Soviet economy began to recover slowly, and it had the confidence to say no. The United States wants to establish an anti-missile interception in Turkey, unless he wants another Cuban missile crisis.

So after a period of overwhelming reporting, the United States died down, and Yanayev knew that this was a signal from the other side. I know that the Soviet Union has a request from the United States, and now I am waiting for you to come to me.

In order for the Americans to relent, Yanayev must find enough equal interests to exchange with the United States, and the United States is most concerned about the Iraq issue, which made a deal with the Soviet Union in the first place.

The United States is not really unprepared to deal with Saddam Hussein because of the termination of Operation Southern Watch. In fact, although the military is not operating, various CIA forces are still active on Iraqi territory, conducting covert intelligence gathering activities. And the United States waited for the Soviets to speak, and Yanayev said that we could make a deal on the issue of Iraq and Turkey.

"We reduced our support for Saddam's government. How about you also stop aiding Turkey? Yanayev asked. Reducing support for Saddam Hussein meant that the Soviet Union would no longer openly aid Saddam's government forces, and would not exercise its veto power on Iraq, but the secret dealings between the Soviet Union and Iraq continued as usual.

"And now you have an excuse to send troops, and Iraq does have weapons of mass destruction." Yanayev had extensive discussions with President Mario on issues relating to the two countries. For the Soviet Union, the Middle East issue was a strategic interest, and the further opening of navigation rights in the Black Sea straits was an immediate interest. Rather than playing a game of chess in the Middle East, Yanayev is more concerned about regaining the glory that has been lost for more than 100 years.

For the choice made by the USSR. President Mario was secretly pleasantly surprised. The Middle Eastern countries of Syria, Iraq and Iran were all allies of the Soviet Union, but Yanayev was willing to give up his allies to protect his own interests.

"But there was one more condition for the USSR. That is, the United States and the Soviet Union must test the pressure on Turkey at the same time, force it to revise the Montreux Convention, and only after we have achieved our goal will we give up support for the Iraqi government, which is the bottom line of our deal. ”

President Mario thought about it for a long time and consulted with U.S. National Security Adviser Anthony Lake to analyze the feasibility of the plan.

Anthony Lake thought carefully for a while, and then said to President Mario, "It should be a very good deal, and it is very wrong for the Soviet Union to be willing to give up its interests in the Middle East to protect its current interests." Syria, Iran, and Iraq were like a barrier to protect the Central Asian states of the Soviet Union, but if Iraq was captured......"

"Then it is equivalent to opening a gap in the middle of this barrier, which not only separates the two allies of Syria and Iran, but can even threaten the strategic security development of Central Asian countries." So giving up a Turkish strait to gain a strategic advantage over the entire Middle East is still a very cost-effective deal. ”

Hearing Lake's answer, President Mario's brows suddenly tightened, "Logically speaking, the Soviet Union should not make such a low-level mistake, things are not so simple, what are they planning......"

But in the face of such a big piece of cake, the United States really couldn't resist such a temptation, and after thinking about it, he still agreed to Yanayev's request. He really couldn't find what kind of conspiracy would be hidden behind such a big cake.

"Happy deal, General Secretary Yanayev." The United States also gave up the interests of its allies for the sake of Iraq, just as the Soviet Union did.

"The Americans think they have the whole Middle East, but that's when they do it." Yanayev finally led the Americans into the first step of the chaos in the Middle East. Just as the Soviet Union analyzed, instead of adopting a long-term confrontation with the United States, it is better to lure the other side to make mistakes on its own initiative.

A long-term confrontation is nothing more than passively waiting for the other side to make a mistake, and luring the other side to make a mistake can seize the initiative.

The biggest mistake the United States made at the beginning of the 21st century was the terrible Iraq war, and the confident political elite not only failed to establish a stable pro-American regime in the Middle East, but even triggered an anti-American wave.

When those who tried democracy became disillusioned with liberalism, Islam became increasingly reliant in the Middle East. The failure of the United States on strategic issues affects domestic economic problems. While the top government and the interest groups behind them have made a lot of money through oil futures and arms trade, the domestic economic downturn has also exacerbated the widening gap between rich and poor.

From the point of view of the current interests of the United States, he is the ultimate winner, but from a historical point of view, the wishful thinking of the United States has failed and has suffered a lot of losses.

Unless there is another Reagan-like figure in the United States, the next president will be less than the last, as for whether Trump will come to power in 2015? Yanayev said he very much hopes that Trump will be the last straw that will crush the US economy and politics.

"The corrupt and incompetent democracy that was established after the overthrow and the poor development of the national economy, this is what I am aiming for. You cheated the Soviet Union once on the Afghanistan issue, and the Soviet Union will also pay you the same tribute on the Iraq issue. "Yanayev's Middle East game is gradually improving, and the United States is finally ready to take the initiative to step into the trap. (To be continued.) )